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CGY-PHX

Calgary Flames
Calgary Flames 
O/U :5.52.29
Vs.Date: 2014-03-15
Time: 21:05:00Generated from 127 Previous Games
Phoenix Coyotes
Phoenix Coyotes
SIDE :-220
3.17 = 5.46

According to the ATS forecast, the PHX side pick looks solid.

Looking at the past few weeks, it’s taken teams like BOS, WSH, COL, STL to beat PHX.
PHX is at least on par, or maybe even doing a little better than normal.

CGY, well, this is a team that makes me nervous to fade.
4-3 vs DAL.
7-2 vs ANA.
This is a team that rarely loses by more than 1 goal no matter who they face, so they are definitely a candidate for the upset tonight.

With PHX having the P.O. slip from their fingers, they should be looking for some get back tonight in front of their home crowd. Not making the P.O. is one thing, letting the likes of CGY humiliate them at home? I would think there is a fat chance of that.

  • CGY 12-21 on the road
  • PHX  19-14 at home

So CGY does it’s worst work @away.
And PHX does their best work @home.

  • PHX is 4-1 L3S vs CGY @PHO

Getting more in depth with the Head-to-Head:
Team System Trends

CALGARY Team Trends
ATS SU O/U
Description Win-Loss-Push Win-Loss-Push Over-Under-Push
Click on description to see Predictions on next game Click on records Click on records Click on records
When CALGARY played as Road Underdog- With Total between 5.5 and 6.0 61-39-0 33-67-0 50-50-0
When CALGARY played as Road Team- Vs PACIFIC Division 58-42-0 45-55-0 39-43-18
When CALGARY played as Underdog- Vs PACIFIC Division 14-6-0 8-12-0 7-10-3
When CALGARY played as Road Underdog- Vs PACIFIC Division 13-7-0 6-14-0 7-10-3
When CALGARY played as Home or Away Team- Vs PHOENIX 6-4-0 6-4-0 5-3-2
When CALGARY played as Underdog- in the month of March 44-31-0 29-45-1 36-29-10
When CALGARY played as Underdog- With Total between 5.5 and 6.0 29-16-0 17-28-0 21-24-0
When CALGARY played as Road Underdog- in the month of March 51-47-2 32-61-7 45-45-10
When CALGARY played as Road Team- With Total between 5.5 and 6.0 13-7-0 8-12-0 11-9-0
When CALGARY played as Road Team- in the month of March 49-50-1 35-60-5 47-40-13
Team System Trends
PHOENIX Team Trends
ATS SU O/U
Description Win-Loss-Push Win-Loss-Push Over-Under-Push
Click on description to see Predictions on next game Click on records Click on records Click on records
When PHOENIX played as Home or Away Team- in the month of March 10-5-0 5-10-0 5-7-3
When PHOENIX played as Home Favourite- Vs CALGARY 13-14-0 17-8-2 12-13-2
When PHOENIX played as Favourite- With Total between 5.5 and 6.0 6-19-0 11-14-0 15-10-0
When PHOENIX played as Home Team- With Total between 5.5 and 6.0 19-26-0 24-21-0 25-20-0
When PHOENIX played as Home Team- in the month of March 14-21-0 21-14-0 16-16-3
When PHOENIX played as Home Favourite- in the month of March 33-46-3 45-31-6 34-40-7
When PHOENIX played as Home Favourite- Vs PACIFIC Division 3-7-0 8-2-0 6-4-0
When PHOENIX played as Favourite- Vs CALGARY 4-11-0 8-7-0 5-8-2
When PHOENIX played as Favourite- in the month of March 9-21-0 21-9-0 11-16-3
When PHOENIX played as Home or Away Team- Vs PACIFIC Division 7-8-0 7-8-0 8-7-0

So we can see that PHX rules this position while CGY is way behind the 8-ball.

Again looking at the ATS stats:

20 Team Trends

CALGARY 20 Team Trends
ATS SU O/U
Description Win-Loss-Push Win-Loss-Push Over-Under-Push
Click on description to see Predictions on next game Click on records Click on records Click on records
When CALGARY team played as a Road team – playing on Saturday – Coming off a 2 game winning streak 8-5-0 3-9-1 6-6-1
When CALGARY team Played as Road team as a Underdog – Vs Conference Opponent – playing on Saturday – Coming off a 1 goal win – Allowed 3 or less goals AGAINST in their last game 2-8-0 2-8-0 5-5-0
When CALGARY team played as a Road team – Total is 5.5 – Last 4 years – 3 games in 4 nights 17-16-2 9-24-2 14-21-0
When CALGARY team Played as Road team as a Underdog – Before a non division game – Last 3 years – Coming off a 1 goal win 8-5-0 4-9-0 7-5-1
When CALGARY team Played as Road team as a Underdog – Vs Conference Opponent – During the month of March – Playing in back to back games 9-10-0 5-12-2 7-11-1
When CALGARY team played as a Road team – playing on Saturday – Coming off a Road win as a Underdog – Scored 4 or more goals FOR in their last game 7-8-0 5-10-0 3-10-2
When CALGARY team Played as Road team as a Underdog – Last 4 years – Coming off a 1 goal win – Scored 4 goals FOR in their last game 3-5-0 0-8-0 3-5-0
When CALGARY team Played as Road team as a Underdog – Vs Division Opponent – Last 5 years – 3 games in 4 nights – Playing in back to back games 8-5-0 6-7-0 5-6-2
When CALGARY team played as a Road team – Vs Conference Opponent – After a conference game – Coming off 2 overs 12-15-1 7-20-1 13-10-5
When CALGARY team Played as Road team as a Underdog – Before a non division game – During the month of March – Coming off a 2 game winning streak 10-4-0 6-7-1 8-6-0
When CALGARY team played as a Road team – Vs Conference Opponent – Last 2 years – Allowed 3 goals AGAINST in their last game 6-3-0 4-5-0 4-4-1
When CALGARY team Played as Road team as a Underdog – During the month of March – Last 4 years – 3 games in 4 nights 4-5-0 2-7-0 4-4-1
20 Team Trends
PHOENIX 20 Team Trends
ATS SU O/U
Description Win-Loss-Push Win-Loss-Push Over-Under-Push
Click on description to see Predictions on next game Click on records Click on records Click on records
When PHOENIX team Played as Home team as a Favorite – before a division game – Coming off a Road loss as a Underdog 10-11-0 12-9-0 9-12-0
When PHOENIX team played as a home team – Coming off vs Eastern Conference opponent – Coming off a 1 game loss 10-14-0 9-13-2 15-9-0
When PHOENIX team Played as Home team as a Favorite – With 1 day off – Scored 1 goals FOR in their last game 13-21-2 19-13-4 15-17-4
When PHOENIX team played as a home team – With 1 day off – After a non division game – Coming off a 1 game loss 25-38-0 29-32-2 35-23-5
When PHOENIX team Played as Home team as a Favorite – Last 4 years – playing on Saturday – Allowed 2 goals AGAINST in their last game 2-10-0 5-7-0 2-8-2
When PHOENIX team Played as Home team as a Favorite – Vs Western conference opponent – After a non division game – Coming off vs Atlantic division opponent 13-5-0 13-5-0 10-7-1
When PHOENIX team played as a home team – Last 2 years – Coming off 2 unders 3-8-0 6-5-0 4-5-2
When PHOENIX team played as a home team – playing on Saturday – After a non division game – Allowed 2 goals AGAINST in their last game 6-22-2 10-19-1 10-16-4
When PHOENIX team Played as Home team as a Favorite – Last 4 years – With 1 day off – Allowed 2 goals AGAINST in their last game 3-12-0 7-8-0 5-8-2
When PHOENIX team played as a home team – before a division game – playing on Saturday – Allowed 2 goals AGAINST in their last game 2-5-1 3-5-0 4-2-2
When PHOENIX team Played as Home team as a Favorite – Total is 5.5 – playing on Saturday – Allowed 2 goals AGAINST in their last game 4-13-1 8-9-1 7-11-0
When PHOENIX team played as a home team – Last 4 years – With 1 day off – Coming off a Road loss as a Underdog 11-11-0 14-8-0 14-6-2

Top 20:

20 Random Team Trends

CALGARY 20 Random Team Trends
ATS SU O/U
Description Win-Loss-Push Win-Loss-Push Over-Under-Push
Click on description to see Predictions on next game Click on records Click on records Click on records
When CALGARY team played as a Road team – Before a non division game – playing on Saturday 40-45-1 30-51-5 36-45-5
When CALGARY team played as a Road team – Total is 5.5 – Vs Division Opponent 47-38-0 36-46-3 37-48-0
When CALGARY team Played as Road team as a Underdog – playing on Saturday – After a non division game 45-38-1 30-49-5 38-39-7
When CALGARY team played as a Road team – Before a non conference game – Last 5 years 24-10-0 15-19-0 13-18-3
When CALGARY team played as a Road team – Vs Conference Opponent – Last 2 years 20-16-0 11-25-0 17-15-4
When CALGARY team Played as Road team as a Underdog – During the month of March – After a non division game 44-44-2 29-54-7 40-45-5
When CALGARY team Played as Road team as a Underdog – playing on Saturday – Last 4 years 17-9-0 10-16-0 11-10-5
When CALGARY team Played as Road team as a Underdog – Total is 5.5 – During the month of March 28-28-0 18-35-3 24-32-0
When CALGARY team played as a Road team – Before a non conference game – After a non division game 69-61-2 46-75-11 61-63-8
When CALGARY team played as a Road team – Total is 5.5 – After a non division game 147-127-4 96-162-20 133-145-0
When CALGARY team Played as Road team as a Underdog – Before a non division game – Total is 5.5 111-89-3 65-119-19 102-101-0
When CALGARY team played as a Road team – Vs Western conference opponent – playing on Saturday 59-44-1 49-51-4 45-48-11
When CALGARY team Played as Road team as a Underdog – Total is 5.5 – Last 2 years 27-21-0 15-33-0 22-26-0
When CALGARY team Played as Road team as a Underdog – Before a non division game – Last 2 years 23-17-0 11-29-0 21-15-4
When CALGARY team played as a Road team – Before a non conference game – Vs Conference Opponent 18-19-0 12-22-3 21-13-3
When CALGARY team Played as Road team as a Underdog – Vs Conference Opponent – Last 5 years 57-33-0 31-59-0 42-41-7
When CALGARY team played as a Road team – Vs Conference Opponent – During the month of March 33-30-0 24-35-4 30-26-7
When CALGARY team played as a Road team – Vs Western conference opponent – During the month of March 52-43-2 39-52-6 42-44-11
When CALGARY team played as a Road team – During the month of March – Last 5 years 22-22-0 14-30-0 23-16-5
When CALGARY team played as a Road team – playing on Saturday – Vs Western conference opponent 59-44-1 49-51-4 45-48-11
20 Random Team Trends
PHOENIX 20 Random Team Trends
ATS SU O/U
Description Win-Loss-Push Win-Loss-Push Over-Under-Push
Click on description to see Predictions on next game Click on records Click on records Click on records
When PHOENIX team played as a home team – Total is 5.5 – With 1 day off 70-113-4 82-89-16 87-100-0
When PHOENIX team played as a home team – With 1 day off – Vs Western conference opponent 129-179-4 146-151-15 140-139-33
When PHOENIX team played as a home team – During the month of March – After a non conference game 7-13-1 8-10-3 9-8-4
When PHOENIX team Played as Home team as a Favorite – Before a conference game – With 1 day off 63-65-2 75-42-13 58-61-11
When PHOENIX team Played as Home team as a Favorite – Total is 5.5 – During the month of March 9-25-1 15-18-2 16-19-0
When PHOENIX team played as a home team – Last 3 years – playing on Saturday 17-25-0 26-16-0 22-16-4
When PHOENIX team played as a home team – Total is 5.5 – During the month of March 18-39-2 20-35-4 29-30-0
When PHOENIX team Played as Home team as a Favorite – Total is 5.5 – After a non division game 51-91-1 72-62-9 63-80-0
When PHOENIX team played as a home team – With 1 day off – After a non division game 118-157-4 135-125-19 121-127-31
When PHOENIX team Played as Home team as a Favorite – Last 3 years – playing on Saturday 12-22-0 21-13-0 17-14-3
When PHOENIX team played as a home team – Vs Division Opponent – After a non conference game 21-13-0 20-14-0 15-16-3
When PHOENIX team Played as Home team as a Favorite – With 1 day off – Vs Conference Opponent 54-72-0 71-49-6 57-55-14
When PHOENIX team Played as Home team as a Favorite – Vs Division Opponent – playing on Saturday 15-26-0 25-16-0 19-20-2
When PHOENIX team played as a home team – Before a conference game – playing on Saturday 38-29-2 41-26-2 27-34-8
When PHOENIX team Played as Home team as a Favorite – Last 3 years – After a non division game 21-39-0 34-26-0 27-27-6
When PHOENIX team played as a home team – before a division game – Total is 5.5 41-41-1 46-32-5 32-51-0
When PHOENIX team played as a home team – before a division game – playing on Saturday 17-19-1 22-15-0 15-20-2
When PHOENIX team Played as Home team as a Favorite – Vs Division Opponent – Vs Western conference opponent 55-76-3 77-52-5 56-67-11
When PHOENIX team played as a home team – During the month of March – playing on Saturday 16-18-2 18-17-1 20-14-2
When PHOENIX team Played as Home team as a Favorite – With 1 day off – playing on Saturday 38-63-1 53-46-3 45-47-10

So what I gather here is that positionally speaking, PHX should be sound in this position tonight and CGY should be status quo.

Did you know?:

  • When playing on back-to-back days, CGY is: 3-6

Let’s cross-reference what we have so far with the Raymond Report to make sure that there are no ugly trends to make us question PHX to win:

CALGARY

Road Team
(CALGARY)
When CALGARY is a Road Team When Any NHL Team is a Road Team Differential % When CALGARY is a Road Team,the O/U When Any NHL Team is a Road Team,the O/U Differential % on game going UNDER
Situations Current Season Current Season Differential % Current Season Current Season Differential %
SU SU O/U/P O/U/P
Total is 5.5 10-16-0 300-346-2 42.38 15-11-0 314-334-0 46.93
vs Division opponent 4-8-0 164-184-1 40.16 4-7-1 153-163-33 57.61
vs Conference opponent 4-6-0 129-152-0 42.96 7-2-1 126-125-30 36.01
Playing in the month of March 2-2-0 52-49-1 50.49 1-2-1 51-46-5 57.05
Playing on Saturday 4-5-0 105-125-0 45.05 2-6-1 112-93-25 60.19
Weekend game 5-6-0 151-173-0 46.03 3-7-1 154-138-32 58.63
Played as road Underdog 11-21-0 293-434-2 37.29 16-14-2 325-336-68 48.75
After a Non-Division Game 7-15-0 330-360-2 39.76 10-11-1 303-320-69 51.87
After a Conference Game 6-12-0 254-308-1 39.23 9-7-2 252-256-55 47.07
Before a Non-Division Game 9-20-0 368-455-1 37.85 15-12-2 372-368-84 47.09
Before a Non-Conference Game 3-9-0 209-238-0 35.88 7-4-1 200-201-46 43.24
vs Northwest Division Opponent 4-8-0 101-129-0 38.62 4-7-1 98-116-16 58.93
vs Western Conference Opponent 8-14-0 205-268-1 39.81 11-9-2 214-220-40 47.85
Coming off vs Northeast Division Opponent 1-7-0 96-109-1 29.55 4-3-1 82-96-28 48.4
Coming off vs Western Conference Opponent 6-12-0 208-255-1 39.08 9-7-2 203-218-43 47.77
Coming off a 2 winning streak 0-3-0 58-75-0 21.81 1-2-0 55-68-10 60.98
Coming off 2 over 0-1-0 55-56-0 24.78 0-0-1 41-60-10 29.71
Coming off a win 2-10-0 241-270-1 31.87 6-5-1 228-235-49 48.11
Coming off a Road Win as a Underdog 0-6-0 60-90-1 19.87 4-1-1 66-70-15 35.74
3 games in 4 nights 2-7-0 92-116-1 33.12 5-4-0 85-107-17 50.09
Coming off a 1 goals win 1-8-0 121-126-1 29.95 4-4-1 107-119-22 51.33
Coming off a score 4 goals FOR in last game 1-4-0 70-92-0 31.61 2-3-0 69-76-17 56.21
Coming off a score 3 goals AGAINST in last game 1-8-0 103-110-0 29.74 5-4-0 95-101-17 47.99
Before Playing BUFFALO (since 1996) 3-2-2 16-14-1 47.24 2-5-0 10-16-5 66.49
After Playing DALLAS (last 3 years) 1-2-0 11-21-0 33.86 1-2-0 12-16-4 61.91
Coming off 2 conference games 5-8-0 185-221-1 41.96 5-6-2 174-193-40 53.57
Two back to back games 3-6-0 98-138-0 37.43 6-3-0 106-111-19 42.24
vs. opponent with a 41% to 50% winning % 5-10-0 178-219-2 38.97 7-7-1 182-182-35 50
vs PHOENIX (last 3 years) 1-4-0 14-19-0 31.21 3-2-0 19-11-3 38.34
Last 30 days 2-2-0 61-61-1 49.8 1-2-1 61-56-6 57.27
Last 45 days 3-4-0 90-108-1 44.05 2-4-1 89-98-12 59.54
Last 60 days 3-7-0 142-166-2 37.91 3-5-2 144-145-21 56.34
Last 90 days 5-12-0 227-277-2 37.14 7-8-2 240-223-43 50.75

 

PHOENIX

Home Team
(PHOENIX)
When PHOENIX is a Home Team When Any NHL Team is a Home Team Differential % When PHOENIX is a Home Team,the O/U When Any NHL Team is a Home Team,the O/U Differential % on game going UNDER
Situations Current Season Current Season Differential % Current Season Current Season Differential %
SU SU O/U/P O/U/P
Total is 5.5 13-12-0 346-300-2 52.7 16-9-0 314-334-0 43.77
vs Division opponent 9-3-0 184-164-1 63.86 7-5-0 153-163-33 46.63
vs Conference opponent 2-5-0 152-129-0 41.33 4-2-1 126-125-30 41.57
Playing in the month of March 2-1-0 49-52-1 57.36 2-1-0 51-46-5 40.38
Playing on Saturday 6-5-0 125-105-0 54.45 8-2-1 112-93-25 32.69
Weekend game 6-6-0 173-151-0 51.7 9-2-1 154-138-32 32.72
Played as home Favorite 16-11-0 433-293-2 59.37 16-8-3 324-336-68 42.12
After a Non-Division Game 8-11-0 315-279-0 47.57 13-6-0 262-281-51 41.67
After a Non-Conference Game 3-7-0 161-147-0 41.14 7-3-0 132-150-26 41.6
Before a Division Game 7-4-0 114-84-0 60.61 6-3-2 69-100-29 46.25
Before a Conference Game 12-10-0 309-241-0 55.37 15-5-2 226-264-60 39.44
vs Northwest Division Opponent 9-3-0 135-107-0 65.4 7-5-0 104-113-25 46.87
vs Western Conference Opponent 11-8-0 247-221-0 55.34 11-7-1 196-223-49 46.06
Coming off vs Atlantic Division Opponent 2-2-0 135-119-0 51.58 3-1-0 106-123-25 39.36
Coming off vs Eastern Conference Opponent 3-7-0 271-256-1 40.67 7-3-0 236-250-42 40.72
Coming off 2 under 2-0-0 61-51-0 77.23 0-1-1 38-59-15 80.41
Coming off a lost 12-5-0 283-247-1 61.95 11-5-1 239-234-58 40.36
Coming off a Road Lost as a Underdog 7-1-0 116-91-1 71.64 6-2-0 82-101-25 40.1
With 1 days off 10-10-0 309-263-1 51.97 11-7-2 252-261-60 44.89
Coming off a 4 road stand 1-1-0 25-25-0 50 2-0-0 22-25-3 26.6
Coming off a 1 goals loss 6-2-0 135-123-1 63.56 5-3-0 112-120-27 44.61
Coming off a score 1 goals FOR in last game 4-2-0 95-88-0 59.29 3-2-1 72-90-21 47.78
Coming off a score 2 goals AGAINST in last game 3-3-0 134-112-0 52.24 4-2-0 100-123-23 44.25
Before Playing LOS ANGELES (last 3 years) 3-0-0 17-7-0 85.42 2-1-0 11-11-2 41.67
After Playing BOSTON (since 1996) 4-3-0 23-12-0 61.43 2-4-1 13-20-2 63.64
Coming off 2 non-division games 5-8-0 195-195-0 44.23 8-5-0 168-185-37 45.44
Coming off 2 non-conference games 1-3-0 78-71-0 38.68 3-1-0 70-68-11 37.14
vs. opponent with a 31% to 40% winning % 2-1-0 66-50-0 61.79 2-1-0 50-57-9 43.3
vs CALGARY (last 3 years) 4-1-0 21-12-0 71.82 3-2-0 16-15-2 44.2
Last 30 days 2-1-0 61-61-1 58.13 2-1-0 61-56-6 40.6
Last 45 days 4-3-0 108-90-1 55.71 2-5-0 89-98-12 61.92
Last 60 days 7-4-0 166-142-2 58.6 3-7-1 144-145-21 60.09
Last 90 days 9-9-0 277-227-2 52.37 8-8-2 240-223-43 49.08

 

So given Calgary’s performance lately, I can’t say that an upset would be completely out of left field, but when I look at all the factors combined, I don’t see why PHX shouldn’t bang out a win here tonight.

Value Analysis:

  • PHOENIX has twice as many people betting the game as CALGARY.
  • The HOME TEAM is the one with the vast majority of populace.
  • The game is on a weekend.
  • The HOME TEAM is the high chalk favourite.

With these 4 factors in mind, the PHOENIX will be getting absolutely pounded and will therefore NOT be paying out it’s true market value!!

In these instances, sports gamblers, we want to typically stay far away from the high chalk and either bet the DOG in these instances, or find a better wager somewhere else.

That said. Here’s tonight’s prediction:

PHOENIX to win 4-3. (no value)

 

 

 

 

 

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