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BOS@PHX

Boston Bruins
Boston Bruins 
SIDE :-1203.27
Vs.Date: 2014-03-22
Time: 20:05:00

Generated from 75 Previous Games

Phoenix Coyotes
Phoenix Coyotes
O/U :5.5
2.49 = 5.76

OK definitely this has everything to do with yesterday’s BOSTON pick as well.

All of the same value factors apply, but the SOS factors in differently…

Basically, everything is identical including the fact that they’re up against a team that could show up like a firecracker.

 

HEAD TO HEAD:

BOSTON Team Trends
ATS SU O/U
Description Win-Loss-Push Win-Loss-Push Over-Under-Push
Click on description to see Predictions on next game Click on records Click on records Click on records
When BOSTON played as Road Team- With Total between 5.5 and 6.0 57-43-0 62-38-0 47-53-0
When BOSTON played as Road Team- Vs Northwest Division 30-23-0 25-27-1 21-31-1
When BOSTON played as Favourite- in the month of March 20-30-0 30-20-0 23-21-6
When BOSTON played as Home or Away Team- Vs PHOENIX 8-13-0 10-9-2 7-13-1
When BOSTON played as Favourite- Vs Northwest Division 12-13-0 17-8-0 8-15-2
When BOSTON played as Road Team- Vs PHOENIX 3-7-0 4-5-1 1-9-0
When BOSTON played as Road Favourite- With Total between 5.5 and 6.0 18-27-0 29-16-0 26-19-0
When BOSTON played as Home or Away Team- in the month of March 8-2-0 10-0-0 4-4-2
When BOSTON played as Home or Away Team- With Total between 5.5 and 6.0 49-51-0 62-38-0 44-56-0
When BOSTON played as Road Favourite- Vs Northwest Division 2-7-0 5-4-0 3-6-0
Team System Trends
PHOENIX Team Trends
ATS SU O/U
Description Win-Loss-Push Win-Loss-Push Over-Under-Push
Click on description to see Predictions on next game Click on records Click on records Click on records
When PHOENIX played as Home Underdog- in the month of March 19-25-1 13-30-2 23-18-4
When PHOENIX played as Home or Away Team- Vs BOSTON 8-2-0 5-4-1 2-8-0
When PHOENIX played as Home Underdog- Vs Atlantic Division 9-7-0 8-8-0 9-6-1
When PHOENIX played as Home or Away Team- With Total between 5.5 and 6.0 12-13-0 11-14-0 10-15-0
When PHOENIX played as Home Team- in the month of March 3-7-0 6-4-0 4-5-1
When PHOENIX played as Home Underdog- Vs BOSTON 3-1-0 1-2-1 0-4-0
When PHOENIX played as Underdog- in the month of March 53-47-0 28-70-2 48-44-8
When PHOENIX played as Underdog- With Total between 5.5 and 6.0 20-5-0 9-16-0 9-16-0
When PHOENIX played as Home or Away Team- in the month of March 47-53-0 46-54-0 40-52-8
When PHOENIX played as Underdog- Vs Atlantic Division 18-7-0 11-14-0 11-12-2

 

 

 

ATS MATCHUP:

ATS SU O/U
Description Win-Loss-Push Win-Loss-Push Over-Under-Push
Click on description to see Predictions on next game Click on records Click on records Click on records
When BOSTON team played as a Road team – playing on Saturday – Last 5 years 30-25-0 27-28-0 26-22-7
When BOSTON team played as a Road team – Total is 5.5 – playing on Saturday 38-29-1 34-30-4 31-37-0
When BOSTON team played as a Road team – Total is 5.5 – After a non division game 126-103-4 111-112-10 104-129-0
When BOSTON team Played as Road team as a Favorite – playing on Saturday – Last 2 years 5-9-0 7-7-0 7-6-1
When BOSTON team played as a Road team – playing on Saturday – During the month of March 11-9-1 11-9-1 10-9-2
When BOSTON team Played as Road team as a Favorite – playing on Saturday – Last 4 years 13-15-0 15-13-0 16-8-4
When BOSTON team played as a Road team – Before a conference game – Vs Non Conference Opponent 26-24-2 21-28-3 21-27-4
When BOSTON team Played as Road team as a Favorite – Vs Western conference opponent – Last 2 years 4-2-0 5-1-0 3-3-0
When BOSTON team Played as Road team as a Favorite – Vs Western conference opponent – playing on Saturday 3-5-0 3-5-0 4-4-0
When BOSTON team played as a Road team – Total is 5.5 – Last 3 years 46-37-0 52-31-0 40-43-0
When BOSTON team played as a Road team – playing on Saturday – Vs Non Conference Opponent 20-17-0 17-20-0 15-20-2
When BOSTON team Played as Road team as a Favorite – Vs Western conference opponent – Last 4 years 7-8-0 11-4-0 7-8-0
When BOSTON team played as a Road team – Vs Western conference opponent – Last 5 years 29-19-1 24-25-0 19-28-2
When BOSTON team Played as Road team as a Favorite – During the month of March – After a non division game 15-18-0 20-13-0 15-13-5
When BOSTON team played as a Road team – playing on Saturday – After a non division game 55-52-4 45-59-7 44-56-11
When BOSTON team played as a Road team – Vs Non Conference Opponent – Vs Non Division Opponent 88-73-4 72-84-9 67-91-7
When BOSTON team played as a Road team – Vs Non Conference Opponent – playing on Saturday 20-17-0 17-20-0 15-20-2
When BOSTON team played as a Road team – Total is 5.5 – After a non conference game 45-32-1 38-39-1 36-42-0
When BOSTON team Played as Road team as a Favorite – Before a conference game – playing on Saturday 7-11-0 9-8-1 7-10-1
When BOSTON team Played as Road team as a Favorite – Vs Western conference opponent – Total is 5.5 7-14-0 11-10-0 6-15-0
20 Random Team Trends
PHOENIX 20 Random Team Trends
ATS SU O/U
Description Win-Loss-Push Win-Loss-Push Over-Under-Push
Click on description to see Predictions on next game Click on records Click on records Click on records
When PHOENIX team Played as Home team as a Underdog – Last 2 years – Total is 5.5 6-3-0 4-5-0 4-5-0
When PHOENIX team Played as Home team as a Underdog – Last 5 years – Total is 5.5 22-13-0 15-20-0 17-18-0
When PHOENIX team Played as Home team as a Underdog – Vs Atlantic opponent – With 1 day off 7-4-0 7-4-0 8-2-1
When PHOENIX team played as a home team – Last 3 years – Vs Eastern conference opponent 11-16-0 15-12-0 13-10-4
When PHOENIX team played as a home team – Last 2 years – Vs Non Conference Opponent 7-11-0 11-7-0 10-6-2
When PHOENIX team played as a home team – Last 2 years – After a non conference game 4-9-0 5-8-0 7-6-0
When PHOENIX team Played as Home team as a Underdog – Before a non conference game – After a non conference game 5-4-0 5-4-0 3-6-0
When PHOENIX team played as a home team – Vs Atlantic opponent – After a non conference game 3-8-1 3-7-2 7-4-1
When PHOENIX team played as a home team – Last 4 years – During the month of March 14-22-0 22-14-0 15-18-3
When PHOENIX team Played as Home team as a Underdog – Last 3 years – Total is 5.5 10-8-0 5-13-0 9-9-0
When PHOENIX team Played as Home team as a Underdog – Total is 5.5 – During the month of March 9-14-1 5-17-2 13-11-0
When PHOENIX team Played as Home team as a Underdog – Last 5 years – Vs Non Conference Opponent 6-1-0 4-3-0 2-5-0
When PHOENIX team played as a home team – With 1 day off – Vs Eastern conference opponent 45-56-3 50-41-13 55-41-8
When PHOENIX team played as a home team – Before a non division game – After a non division game 95-109-6 104-87-19 85-96-29
When PHOENIX team played as a home team – Last 2 years – After a non division game 18-33-0 27-24-0 27-21-3
When PHOENIX team played as a home team – Last 3 years – playing on Saturday 17-26-0 27-16-0 22-17-4
When PHOENIX team Played as Home team as a Underdog – Vs Non Division Opponent – Total is 5.5 36-37-1 23-44-7 36-38-0
When PHOENIX team played as a home team – During the month of March – Vs Non Conference Opponent 9-12-4 10-10-5 12-10-3
When PHOENIX team Played as Home team as a Underdog – Before a non division game – Vs Eastern conference opponent 9-8-0 9-8-0 9-7-1
When PHOENIX team played as a home team – Before a non conference game – Vs Non Conference Opponent 13-19-1 17-12-4 18-12-3

 

 

STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE:

BOSTON 48 – 22 68.57 31.43 48.13 0.58 7 – 0 100 0 42.86 0.71 12 – 2 85.71 14.29 45.41 0.66
PHOENIX 34 – 36 48.57 51.43 50.04 0.49 5 – 2 71.43 28.57 55.1 0.63 8 – 6 57.14 42.86 52.04 0.55

SOS is telling us that we should definitely risk less here. Unlike COLORADO, PHOENIX is playing the best hockey that they’ve played all season L7G. This means that BOSTON will have their hands full.

 

 

 

RAYMOND REPORT

 

RAYMOND REPORT FOR NHL
Game Date – 2014-03-22
Road Team :- (4421) BOSTON
Home Team :- (4422 )PHOENIX

 

BOSTONTeam Name: BOSTON(Road Team)
Money Line: BOSTON -135 vs PHOENIX +115
Spread Line: BOSTON -1.5 +215 —– PHOENIX +1.5 -255
O/U: BOSTON 5.5 +110 —– PHOENIX 5.5 -130
Game Date: Saturday,March 22 2014 8:05 PM
Last Game: Won 2 – 0 vs Colorado Avalanche
Current Game: Phoenix Coyotes
Next Game: Vs. MONTREAL
Stats & Trends: BOSTON vs. PHOENIX
PVI Rating on Winning: 68.12%
PVI Rating on game going UNDER: 46%
Road Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 46.94%
Streaks: 10 SU Win – 3 ATS Win – 1 Over
Road Teams % of winning this game: 53%
Road Teams % of this game going UNDER: 46%
Road Teams Predicted Goals For: 3.25
Road Teams Predicted Goals Against: 2.01
Road Team
(BOSTON)
When BOSTON is a Road Team When Any NHL Team is a Road Team Differential % When BOSTON is a Road Team,the O/U When Any NHL Team is a Road Team,the O/U Differential % on game going UNDER
Situations Current Season Current Season Differential % Current Season Current Season Differential %
SU SU O/U/P O/U/P
Total is 5.5 9-4-0 315-366-2 57.68 5-8-0 329-354-0 56.69
vs Non-Division opponent 13-7-0 311-376-1 55.1 10-9-1 306-316-66 49.09
vs Non-Conference opponent 6-5-0 178-217-1 49.75 6-5-0 173-187-36 48.7
Playing in the month of March 6-0-0 75-77-1 74.51 4-1-1 72-74-7 35.34
Playing on Saturday 5-3-0 108-131-0 53.85 4-4-0 114-99-26 48.24
Weekend game 8-4-0 160-182-0 56.73 7-5-0 160-149-33 44.95
Played as road Team 20-13-0 484-569-2 53.25 19-11-3 466-489-100 43.94
After a Non-Division Game 11-11-0 348-381-2 48.81 13-9-0 319-341-71 46.29
After a Non-Conference Game 5-7-0 212-238-1 44.34 7-5-0 198-212-41 46.69
Before a Division Game 4-2-0 74-77-1 57.68 3-3-0 63-80-9 52.97
Before a Conference Game 10-7-0 236-301-2 51.3 11-4-2 241-251-47 38.85
vs Northwest Division Opponent 3-3-0 107-136-0 47.02 4-2-0 101-126-16 44.42
vs Western Conference Opponent 6-5-0 214-281-1 48.85 6-5-0 219-236-41 48.66
Coming off vs Northeast Division Opponent 2-2-0 98-116-1 47.79 2-2-0 87-100-28 51.74
Coming off vs Western Conference Opponent 5-7-0 220-268-1 43.33 7-5-0 214-231-44 46.79
Coming off 1 under 2-2-0 116-139-1 47.66 3-1-0 121-116-19 36.98
Coming off a win 14-11-0 253-285-1 51.47 16-8-1 239-250-50 42.23
Coming off a Road Win as a Favorite 9-2-0 59-55-0 66.79 5-5-1 51-54-9 50.72
Coming off a 2 road stand 5-0-0 51-72-1 70.57 2-2-1 49-60-15 52.53
Coming off a 2 goals win 1-5-0 44-75-0 26.82 2-4-0 50-61-8 60.81
Coming off a score 2 goals FOR in last game 5-2-0 122-132-0 59.73 4-1-2 112-118-24 35.65
Before Playing MONTREAL (last 3 years) 1-0-0 10-19-0 67.24 0-1-0 12-11-6 73.92
After Playing COLORADO (last 3 years) 1-1-0 19-12-0 55.65 0-2-0 14-12-5 73.08
Coming off 2 non-division games 6-9-0 231-288-2 42.17 8-7-0 226-241-54 49.14
Two back to back games 5-2-0 104-144-0 56.69 6-1-0 112-117-19 32.69
vs. opponent with a 41% to 50% winning % 8-2-0 185-228-2 62.29 5-3-2 191-188-36 43.55
vs PHOENIX (last 3 years) 1-0-0 14-21-0 70 0-1-0 19-13-3 70.32
Last 30 days 6-1-0 84-89-1 67 5-1-1 82-84-8 33.64
Last 45 days 6-2-0 94-108-1 60.66 5-2-1 92-101-10 40.45
Last 60 days 8-2-0 142-167-2 62.83 7-2-1 142-153-16 37.04
Last 90 days 11-6-0 230-273-2 55.13 12-4-1 234-233-38 37.45
TEAM: BOSTON
Offensive Stats Defensive Stats
All Games Avg 3.21 2.13
Home Games Avg 3.19 1.78
Road Games Avg 3.24 2.52
Last 3 Games Avg 3.33 1
Last 5 Games Avg 3.4 1
Last 10 Games Avg 3.7 1.2
vs. Division Games Avg 3.35 2.7
vs. Conference Games Avg 3.57 2.26
vs. Non Conference Games Avg 2.68 1.93
vs. Top Ranked Games Avg 2.67 2.05
vs. Middle Ranked Games Avg 3.16 1.95
vs. Bottom Ranked Games Avg 3.63 2.3
After a Win Games Avg 3.21 2.21
After a Lost Games Avg 3.23 2
After a SU Road Win Games Avg 3.42 1.89
After a SU Road Lost Games Avg 3 2.15
After a SU Home Win Games Avg 3.07 2.43
After a SU Home Lost Games Avg 3.56 1.78
After an Over Games Avg 3.19 2.33
After an Under Games Avg 3.04 2.13
After a Push Games Avg 3.47 1.89
After 0 day off Avg 3.54 2.08
After 1 day off Avg 3.28 2.08
After 2 day off Avg 2.69 2.38
After 3 day off Avg 4 1.67
After 4 or more days off Avg 2.75 2.5
3.25 2.01
PHOENIXTeam Name: PHOENIX(Home Team)
Money Line: PHOENIX +115 vs BOSTON -135
Spread Line: PHOENIX +1.5 -255 —– BOSTON -1.5 +215
O/U: PHOENIX 5.5 -130 —– BOSTON 5.5 +110
Game Date: Saturday,March 22 2014 8:05 PM
Last Game: Won 1 – 2 vs Florida Panthers
Current Game: Boston Bruins
Next Game: At NY RANGERS
Stats & Trends: PHOENIX vs. BOSTON
PVI Rating on Winning: 48.57%
PVI Rating on game going UNDER: 49.25%
Road Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 57.14%
Streaks: 3 SU Win – 1 ATS Lost – 1 Under
Home Teams % of winning this game: 54%
Home Teams % of this game going UNDER: 54%
Home Teams Predicted Goals For: 2.72
Home Teams Predicted Goals Against: 2.77
Home Team
(PHOENIX)
When PHOENIX is a Home Team When Any NHL Team is a Home Team Differential % When PHOENIX is a Home Team,the O/U When Any NHL Team is a Home Team,the O/U Differential % on game going UNDER
Situations Current Season Current Season Differential % Current Season Current Season Differential %
SU SU O/U/P O/U/P
Total is 5.5 15-12-0 366-315-2 54.58 16-11-0 329-354-0 46.29
vs Non-Division opponent 11-11-0 376-311-1 52.33 12-7-3 306-316-66 43.82
vs Non-Conference opponent 9-6-0 217-178-1 57.4 8-5-2 173-187-36 45.2
Playing in the month of March 4-1-0 77-75-1 65.17 2-3-0 72-74-7 55.34
Playing on Saturday 7-5-0 131-108-0 56.57 8-3-1 114-99-26 36.88
Weekend game 7-6-0 182-160-0 53.54 9-3-1 160-149-33 36.61
Played as home Team 21-14-0 569-484-2 56.97 19-13-3 466-489-100 45.92
After a Non-Division Game 9-11-0 329-295-0 48.86 13-7-0 275-297-52 43.46
After a Non-Conference Game 4-7-0 172-155-0 44.48 7-4-0 139-162-26 45.09
Before a Non-Division Game 13-10-0 424-384-2 54.44 13-9-1 373-368-69 45.29
Before a Non-Conference Game 8-4-0 225-222-2 58.39 4-7-1 213-200-36 56.04
vs Atlantic Division Opponent 4-3-0 156-124-0 56.43 5-2-0 126-133-21 39.96
vs Eastern Conference Opponent 9-6-0 307-254-2 57.27 8-5-2 258-256-49 44.14
Coming off vs Atlantic Division Opponent 3-2-0 143-127-0 56.48 3-2-0 114-131-25 46.74
Coming off vs Eastern Conference Opponent 4-7-0 287-270-1 43.9 7-4-0 251-264-43 43.81
Coming off a 3 winning streak (since 1996) 15-9-1 34-33-0 55.38 8-14-3 26-34-7 60.16
Coming off 1 under 6-4-0 150-120-0 57.78 7-3-0 117-125-28 40.83
Coming off a win 8-9-0 271-226-1 50.74 8-7-2 216-240-42 49.65
Coming off a Home Win as a Favorite 4-6-0 128-100-1 47.95 4-4-2 101-104-24 50.37
With 1 days off 11-10-0 330-274-1 53.47 11-8-2 267-277-61 46.52
Coming off two 1-goal game wins 2-1-0 31-26-0 60.53 1-2-0 21-28-8 61.91
Coming off a 1 goals win 5-2-0 132-107-1 63.22 2-4-1 100-116-24 60.19
Coming off a score 2 goals FOR in last game 5-1-0 136-102-0 70.24 4-2-0 118-93-27 38.71
Coming off a score 1 goals AGAINST in last game 2-2-0 87-83-0 50.59 3-1-0 65-82-23 40.39
Before Playing NY RANGERS (since 1996) 2-6-1 12-23-0 28.26 6-1-2 16-17-2 32.91
After Playing FLORIDA (since 1996) 3-2-0 16-14-0 56.67 4-1-0 11-16-3 39.63
vs. opponent with a 61% to 70% winning % 2-3-0 65-92-0 40.7 4-1-0 81-61-15 31.48
vs BOSTON (last 3 years) 0-1-0 13-20-0 19.7 0-1-0 19-11-3 68.34
Last 30 days 4-1-0 89-84-1 65.58 2-3-0 82-84-8 55.3
Last 45 days 5-1-0 108-94-1 68.27 2-4-0 92-101-10 59.5
Last 60 days 7-3-0 167-142-2 61.85 2-8-0 142-153-16 65.93
Last 90 days 11-9-0 273-230-2 54.53 8-10-2 234-233-38 52.73
TEAM: PHOENIX
Offensive Stats Defensive Stats
All Games Avg 2.77 2.81
Home Games Avg 3.03 2.57
Road Games Avg 2.51 3.06
Last 3 Games Avg 3 2
Last 5 Games Avg 2.6 1.8
Last 10 Games Avg 2.7 2.1
vs. Division Games Avg 3.2 2.6
vs. Conference Games Avg 2.78 2.91
vs. Non Conference Games Avg 2.76 2.64
vs. Top Ranked Games Avg 2.77 3
vs. Middle Ranked Games Avg 2 2.81
vs. Bottom Ranked Games Avg 3.21 2.64
After a Win Games Avg 2.64 3.03
After a Lost Games Avg 2.86 2.67
After a SU Road Win Games Avg 2.85 2.92
After a SU Road Lost Games Avg 3.05 2.64
After a SU Home Win Games Avg 2.5 3.1
After a SU Home Lost Games Avg 2.57 2.71
After an Over Games Avg 2.71 2.68
After an Under Games Avg 2.88 2.88
After a Push Games Avg 2 4.33
After 0 day off Avg 2.11 2.67
After 1 day off Avg 2.83 3.02
After 2 day off Avg 2.93 2.4
After 3 day off Avg 3 2.5
After 4 or more days off Avg 2.5 3.5
2.72 2.77

 

So after consulting ATSSTAS, this isn’t going to work. It looked like BOS was with chances but after factoring the big picture, there are too many loopholes.

Based on…

  • in all games 48-22
  • when playing on back-to-back days 11-2
  • after a 3 game unbeaten streak 12-5
  • on a road game where where the total is 5.5 8-2
  • second half of the season 22-8
  • after a win by 2 goals or more 21-1

…I thought BOSTON had value but now I’m probably swinging more towards PHX having far too many chances to win here to make any kind of bet worth it. All we’re doing is paying vig here so this is not a game to bet, but it’s at least a game to watch. I’m not going to leave a prediction but I could see PHX winning this 4-2.

Today’s prediction: LAK 4-2. (no value)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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