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OTT@TBL

Ottawa Senators
Ottawa Senators 
O/U :5.52.86
Vs.Date: 2014-03-24
Time: 18:35:00

Generated from 165 Previous Games

Tampa Bay Lightning
Tampa Bay Lightning
SIDE :-200
3.11 = 5.97

 

Let’s look at the O/U here and see if we can’t improve our record to 3-2.

All in all, we have a few things to look at here.

First is obviously the Forecast which has this to go well over 5.5

Also, most notably, is the fact that we’re got a few goalies who both are allowing +3 goals per game as their norm. Now many times this will cause a rivalry where both goalies stand on their heads so as not to be “the worst in the league”.

While that might happen tonight, both OTT and TBL have red hot offense at the moment and they are finding the back of the net with predictable frequency. The last 3 times these teams faced each other, the totals were: 7, 8 and 9. So at this rate, we’re on pace for 10 tonight.

I feel solid in the o5.5 pick and I’m surprised they didn’t bump it to o6.0.

 

 

PARITY VALUE INDEX

LEAGUE :NHL
DATE :2014-03-24
Teams OU-L3-Record Value Season OU Record Value OU Result Final Result
O-U % O-U %
(4409)OTTAWA(4410)TAMPA BAY 2 – 13 – 0 66.67100 41 – 2836 – 32 59.4252.94 0.630.76 0.7

 

So playing negative progression systems will mean that the UNDER would be the bet of the day.
But if we’re sniping for value, then it’s clear that both teams have been especially porous on one end and especially effective on the other, so if we were to snipe 1 pick, then the OVER should be the play, according to PVI.

Did you know:

L5G

  • OTT 2.8GF 4.8GA L5G
  • TBL 4.0GF 2.8GA L5G

 

L3S

  • OTT after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game: OU 33-12
  • OTT after scoring 1 or less in their previous game: OU 24-12
  • TBL in March games: OU 20-7
  • TBL after allowing 4 or more goals: OU 32-23
  • TBL in the second half of the season: OU 49-27

 

 

 

Head To Head
Team System Trends

OTTAWA Team Trends
O/U
Description Over-Under-Push
Click on description to see Predictions on next game Click on records
When OTTAWA played as Underdog- With Total between 5.5 and 6.0 7-3-0
When OTTAWA played as Road Underdog- With Total between 5.5 and 6.0 7-3-0
When OTTAWA played as Road Team- Vs TAMPA BAY 19-9-2

 

Team System Trends
TAMPA BAY Team Trends
O/U
Description Over-Under-Push
Click on description to see Predictions on next game Click on records
When TAMPA BAY played as Home Favourite- in the month of March 4-6-0
When TAMPA BAY played as Home Favourite- Vs ATLANTIC Division 4-6-0
When TAMPA BAY played as Home or Away Team- Vs ATLANTIC Division 25-13-2
When TAMPA BAY played as Home Team- Vs OTTAWA 22-10-3

OVER is 5-2

 

ATS MATCHUP
20 Team Trends

OTTAWA 20 Team Trends
O/U
Description Over-Under-Push
Click on description to see Predictions on next game Click on records
When OTTAWA team played as a Road team – Total is 5.5 – Last 2 years – Allowed 3 goals AGAINST in their last game 7-3-0
When OTTAWA team Played as Road team as a Underdog – With 1 day off – During the month of March – Coming off a Road loss as a Underdog 3-8-3
20 Team Trends
TAMPA BAY 20 Team Trends
O/U
Description Over-Under-Push
Click on description to see Predictions on next game Click on records
When TAMPA BAY team played as a home team – Vs Conference Opponent – Total is 5.5 – Allowed 4 goals AGAINST in their last game 9-14-0
When TAMPA BAY team played as a home team – During the month of March – After a conference game – Coming off a 1 game loss 5-8-1
When TAMPA BAY team played as a home team – Vs Conference Opponent – With 1 day off – Allowed 4 goals AGAINST in their last game 9-17-2
When TAMPA BAY team Played as Home team as a Favorite – Vs Atlantic opponent – With 1 day off – Allowed 4 or more goals AGAINST in their last game 5-9-2
When TAMPA BAY team played as a home team – Vs Division Opponent – Total is 5.5 – Scored 3 goals FOR in their last game 12-5-0
When TAMPA BAY team played as a home team – Vs Eastern conference opponent – With 1 day off – Allowed 4 goals AGAINST in their last game – Coming off a Road loss as a Underdog 6-13-1

 

UNDER is 6-2

 

 

TEAM TRENDS
20 Random Team Trends

OTTAWA 20 Random Team Trends
O/U
Description Over-Under-Push
Click on description to see Predictions on next game Click on records
When OTTAWA team Played as Road team as a Underdog – During the month of March – Vs Division Opponent 11-5-0
When OTTAWA team Played as Road team as a Underdog – Before a conference game – Vs Conference Opponent 40-67-9

 

 

20 Random Team Trends
TAMPA BAY 20 Random Team Trends
O/U
Description Over-Under-Push
Click on description to see Predictions on next game Click on records
When TAMPA BAY team played as a home team – Last 4 years – Total is 5.5 78-51-0
When TAMPA BAY team played as a home team – Vs Atlantic opponent – playing on Monday 8-4-3
When TAMPA BAY team played as a home team – Last 2 years – Vs Conference Opponent 18-11-5
When TAMPA BAY team played as a home team – Last 2 years – Total is 5.5 39-23-0

 

OVER is 5-1

 

 

SUPER STATS
10 Super League Trends

OTTAWA 10 Super League Trends
O/U
Description Over-Under-Push
Click on description to see Predictions on next game Click on records
When ANY NHL Team Played as Road team as a Underdog – Vs Conference Opponent – After a non conference game – With 1 day off – Coming off vs Northeast division opponent – Coming off a Road loss as a Underdog – Scored 1 or less goals FOR in their last game 13-3-1
When ANY NHL Team Played as Road team as a Underdog – Vs Division Opponent – Last 4 years – Coming off a 2 goal loss – Scored 1 or less goals FOR in their last game 27-18-6
10 Super League Trends
TAMPA BAY 10 Super League Trends
O/U
Description Over-Under-Push
Click on description to see Predictions on next game Click on records
When ANY NHL Team Played as Home team as a Favorite – Before a non division game – During the month of March – With 1 day off – Coming off vs Southeast division opponent – Coming off a 1 game loss 8-15-2
When ANY NHL Team Played as Home team as a Favorite – Vs Division Opponent – Last 3 years – playing on Monday – Coming off vs Eastern Conference opponent – Coming off a Road loss as a Underdog – Coming off a 1 game loss 33-19-0
When ANY NHL Team Played as Home team as a Favorite – Before a non division game – playing on Monday – With 1 day off – Allowed 4 or more goals AGAINST in their last game – Coming off a 3 game Road stand 11-6-0
When ANY NHL Team played as a home team – Vs Atlantic opponent – Last 4 years – With 1 day off – Coming off vs Southeast division opponent – Coming off a Road loss as a Underdog 8-12-2

 

OVER is 4-2

 

SMART STATS
Team System Trends

Team Trends
O/U
Description Over-Under-Push
When OTTAWA Played as road team as a Underdog – During Last 5 Years – Lost Last Game by 2 Goals or More – With SU Record of 0 Win 3 Lost in L3G 11 – 5 – 2
When OTTAWA played as any home/road team – During Last 5 Years – Lost Last Game by 2 Goals or More – With SU Record of 0 Win 3 Lost in L3G 17 – 10 – 2
When OTTAWA played as a road team – During Last 4 Years – Lost Last Game by 2 Goals 10 – 5 – 1
When OTTAWA played as any home/road team – During Last 2 Years – Lost Last Game by 2 Goals 6 – 4 – 0
Team System Trends
Team Trends
O/U
Description Over-Under-Push
When TAMPA BAY played as any home/road team – During Last 4 Years – Lost Last Game by 1 Goals or More – With SU Record of 5 Win 2 Lost in L7G 13 – 4 – 0
When TAMPA BAY Played as home team as a Favorite – During Last 3 Years – Lost Last Game by 1 Goals 12 – 5 – 0
When TAMPA BAY played as a home team – During Last 3 Years – Lost Last Game by 1 Goals or More 29 – 16 – 1

 

OVER is 7-0
OVER is 4-2
OVER is 5-1
OVER is 5-2

UNDER is 2-6

So in terms of Green Stars, the O/U totals combined are:
O/U 23-11

All in all, there should be a scoring onslaught with little defense and even less netminding to stop it.

On top of it all, sometimes when you get that gut feeling, all that’s left is the ticket window.

 

Tonight’s Prediction: OTT@TBL to go o5.5

 

 

 

 

 

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