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PHI@NYR

Philadelphia Flyers
Philadelphia Flyers 
O/U :5

2.29

Vs.

Date: 2014-03-26
Time: 19:05:00

Generated from 99 Previous Games

New York Rangers
New York Rangers
SIDE :-150

2.75 = 5.04

 

Obviously the first thing that we should talk about is VALUE.
When betting massive populace centers, like NY and LA,  when their teams are playing at home, is almost always a negative value proposition. Add to the fact that this game has these teams playing for their spot in the playoffs, and it’s all the more so.

NYR is powerrated at EVEN chances to win, yet, they’re paying out a measly -150.

Considering they’re fighting for a playoff spot, to me, they are at even chances to win.
Both teams are red hot. Both teams will be bringing the kitchen sink.

Both teams are excellent defenders and this will likely be U5.0

Did you know:

  • NYR are 6-0 vs PHI @NYR L3S. Something about their styles leaves PHI coming up short.

 

 

PARITY VALUE INDEX
Parity Calculator For NHL

LEAGUE :NHL
DATE :2014-03-26
Time Teams SU-L3-Record Value Season SU Record Value SU Result
W-L % W-L %
19:05:00 PHI

NYR

2 – 1

3 – 0

33.33

0

38 – 33

40 – 33

46.48

45.21

0.4

0.23

 

 

  • So the PVI shows negative-progression bettors that NYR might be a good team to fade.
  • On the flip side, PVI is showing SU snipers that NYR is a little hotter than PHI at the moment .

It should be noted that PHI has had the stiffer competition L3G, so I don’t think that the PVI tells us too much about this matchup.

 

 

 

STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE

LEAGUE : NHL
PR :- Power Rating ,W-L :-Win Loss
TeamName Current Season Last 7 Games Last 14 Games
TeamName W-L Win % Loss % SOS % P R W-L Win % Loss % SOS % P R W-L Win % Loss % SOS % P R
NY RANGERS 40 – 33 54.79 45.21 49.69 0.52 5 – 2 71.43 28.57 40.82 0.56 8 – 6 57.14 42.86 48.98 0.53
PHILADELPHIA 38 – 33 53.52 46.48 49.01 0.51 5 – 2 71.43 28.57 44.9 0.58 10 – 4 71.43 28.57 53.57 0.63

 

While both teams appear to be completely even, SOS shows that PHI is on a downgrade from their L14G to their L7G. This would be an indication that they’re not playing their best hockey, but more importantly, that they’re not playing consistent hockey. Against a team like NYR, anything less than their best won’t get it done. But at the end of the day, their SOS ratings are equal and it’s tough to say who should stand better from such a minimal variance.

 

 

 

BLUE, GREEN + RED STAR REPORT
HEAD TO HEAD

When PHILADELPHIA played as Home or Away Team- in the month of March 10-5-0 10-5-0
When PHILADELPHIA played as Underdog- With Total between 5.0 and 5.5 8-2-0 7-3-0
When NY RANGERS played as Favourite- With Total between 5.0 and 5.5 6-4-0 7-3-0
When NY RANGERS played as Home Favourite- Vs METROPOLITAN Division 13-27-0 25-15-0
When NY RANGERS played as Home Favourite- in the month of March 13-27-0 24-16-0
When NY RANGERS played as Home or Away Team- Vs PHILADELPHIA 12-3-0 11-4-0
When NY RANGERS played as Favourite- Vs METROPOLITAN Division 15-30-0 28-17-0
When NY RANGERS played as Home Team- Vs METROPOLITAN Division 8-17-0 15-10-0

 

Edge NYR

 

 

SUPER STATS

PHILADELPHIA

When ANY NHL Team played as a Road team – Total is 5.0 – After a non division game – playing on Wednesday – Coming off a Home loss as a Favorite – Coming off a 1 game loss – Coming off a 4 game Home stand 12-22-1 9-23-3
When ANY NHL Team played as a Road team – With 1 day off – Last 3 years – Total is 5.0 – Coming off a Home loss as a Favorite – Scored 2 or less goals FOR in their last game – Coming off a 4 game Home stand 6-10-0 4-12-0
When ANY NHL Team Played as Road team as a Underdog – Total is 5.0 – playing on Wednesday – With 1 day off – Coming off a Home loss as a Favorite – Coming off a 1 game loss – Allowed 3 or more goals AGAINST in their last game 15-18-0 10-22-1
When ANY NHL Team played as a Road team – Before a conference game – Total is 5.0 – playing on Wednesday – Coming off vs Western Conference opponent – Coming off a 4 game Home stand – Scored 2 or less goals FOR in their last game 9-15-0 5-17-2

 

NEW YORK RANGERS

When ANY NHL Team played as a home team – playing on Wednesday – Last 5 years – During the month of March – Coming off vs Northwest division opponent 11-7-0 13-5-0
When ANY NHL Team played as a home team – During the month of March – Total is 5.0 – Coming off a 4 game winning streak – Coming off a Home win as a Favorite 7-9-2 11-5-2
When ANY NHL Team Played as Home team as a Favorite – Vs Division Opponent – Last 4 years – Coming off a 4 game winning streak – Coming off a 1 goal win 8-12-0 14-6-0
When ANY NHL Team played as a home team – playing on Wednesday – Last 5 years – Total is 5.0 – Allowed 3 or less goals AGAINST in their last game – Coming off 1 over – Coming off a Home win as a Favorite 16-9-1 22-4-0

Strong Edge NYR

 

 

RAYMOND REPORT
PHILADELPHIA

Road Team
(PHILADELPHIA)
When PHILADELPHIA is a Road Team When Any NHL Team is a Road Team Differential % When PHILADELPHIA is a Road Team,the O/U When Any NHL Team is a Road Team,the O/U Differential % on game going UNDER
Situations Current Season Current Season Differential % Current Season Current Season Differential %
SU SU O/U/P O/U/P
Total is 5 7-5-0 173-198-0 52.48 4-4-4 140-131-100 49.17
vs Division opponent 6-7-0 182-199-1 46.9 7-4-2 167-181-34 44.19
vs Conference opponent 3-6-0 133-162-0 39.21 6-3-0 135-130-30 41.2
Playing in the month of March 2-1-0 94-92-1 58.47 3-0-0 88-90-9 25.28
Playing on Wednesday 2-2-0 41-39-0 50.63 3-1-0 38-39-3 37.83
Weekdays game 8-11-0 333-394-2 43.9 10-7-2 315-346-68 46.76
Played as road Team 16-19-0 503-584-2 45.95 20-11-4 482-505-102 43.33
After a Non-Division Game 11-12-0 363-389-2 47.99 12-8-3 331-350-73 45.7
After a Non-Conference Game 10-4-0 223-246-1 59.44 7-5-2 208-220-42 46.54
Before a Non-Division Game 14-17-0 400-491-1 45 18-9-4 402-403-87 41.7
Before a Conference Game 6-13-0 247-308-2 37.96 9-7-3 252-257-48 47.12
vs Southeast Division Opponent 6-7-0 139-151-1 46.96 7-4-2 129-140-22 44.2
vs Eastern Conference Opponent 9-13-0 281-296-1 44.77 13-7-2 256-262-60 42.79
Coming off vs Northwest Division Opponent 6-2-0 125-156-0 59.74 3-4-1 130-135-16 54.04
Coming off vs Western Conference Opponent 10-4-0 227-275-1 58.28 7-5-2 222-237-44 46.65
Coming off 1 push 2-1-0 49-44-0 59.68 2-1-0 44-37-12 39.51
Coming off a lost 5-8-0 241-295-1 41.67 8-4-1 236-251-50 42.44
Coming off a Home Lost as a Favorite 1-4-0 71-61-1 36.69 2-2-1 65-54-14 47.69
With 1 days off 7-10-0 255-301-2 43.44 12-4-1 253-254-51 37.55
Coming off a 4 home stand 1-0-0 15-19-0 72.06 1-0-0 18-11-5 18.97
Coming off a 1 goals loss 1-3-0 111-128-0 35.72 4-0-0 112-104-23 24.08
Coming off a score 2 goals FOR in last game 3-3-0 127-137-0 49.06 4-0-2 118-122-24 25.42
Coming off a score 3 goals AGAINST in last game 3-4-0 113-117-0 46 4-2-1 101-112-17 42.96
Before Playing TORONTO (since 1996) 10-17-3 15-14-0 42.53 15-14-1 12-15-2 51.92
After Playing LOS ANGELES (last 3 years) 2-0-0 15-24-0 69.23 2-0-0 21-17-1 22.37
Coming off 2 non-division games 9-10-0 241-294-2 46.13 10-6-3 236-246-55 44.27
Coming off 2 non-conference games 6-2-0 114-153-1 58.77 4-3-1 120-127-21 47.14
vs. opponent with a 51% to 60% winning % 6-4-0 138-155-0 53.55 5-5-0 109-149-35 53.88
vs NY RANGERS (last 3 years) 0-6-0 20-17-0 27.03 3-2-1 15-18-4 47.28
Last 30 days 2-1-0 103-104-1 58.1 3-0-0 98-100-10 25.26
Last 45 days 2-1-0 103-104-1 58.1 3-0-0 98-100-10 25.26
Last 60 days 4-2-0 148-167-1 56.76 5-1-0 144-155-17 34.26
Last 90 days 10-6-0 243-278-2 54.48 11-3-2 242-243-38 35.77

 

NEW YORK

Home Team
(NY RANGERS)
When NY RANGERS is a Home Team When Any NHL Team is a Home Team Differential % When NY RANGERS is a Home Team,the O/U When Any NHL Team is a Home Team,the O/U Differential % on game going UNDER
Situations Current Season Current Season Differential % Current Season Current Season Differential %
SU SU O/U/P O/U/P
Total is 5 11-14-0 198-173-0 48.69 12-9-4 140-131-100 45.6
vs Division opponent 5-8-0 199-182-1 45.28 8-3-2 167-181-34 39.64
vs Conference opponent 5-5-0 162-133-0 52.46 2-8-0 135-130-30 64.53
Playing in the month of March 2-3-0 92-94-1 44.6 2-3-0 88-90-9 55.28
Playing on Wednesday 1-2-0 39-41-0 41.04 2-1-0 38-39-3 41.99
Weekdays game 9-15-0 394-333-2 45.78 9-13-2 315-346-68 55.72
Played as home Team 17-20-0 584-503-2 49.79 15-18-4 482-505-102 52.86
After a Non-Division Game 8-12-0 337-309-0 46.09 8-10-2 284-308-54 53.8
After a Non-Conference Game 4-6-0 178-166-0 45.87 4-5-1 144-172-28 55
Before a Non-Division Game 11-15-0 436-400-2 47.17 11-11-4 385-383-70 49.94
Before a Non-Conference Game 4-8-0 233-228-2 41.83 7-4-1 218-209-36 42.66
vs Southeast Division Opponent 5-8-0 152-134-2 45.62 8-3-2 133-127-28 38.06
vs Eastern Conference Opponent 10-13-0 317-263-2 48.98 10-11-2 266-266-50 51.19
Coming off vs Northwest Division Opponent 1-3-0 128-93-0 41.46 3-1-0 104-98-19 36.76
Coming off vs Western Conference Opponent 4-6-0 281-218-1 48.1 4-5-1 216-229-55 53.51
Coming off a 4 winning streak 0-1-0 16-15-0 25.81 0-1-0 13-15-3 76.79
Coming off 1 over 3-7-0 129-121-0 40.8 3-7-0 120-112-18 59.14
Coming off a win 12-12-0 278-238-1 51.89 9-13-2 223-251-43 56.02
Coming off a Home Win as a Favorite 4-5-0 132-106-1 49.84 4-3-2 103-112-24 47.48
With 1 days off 10-15-0 340-286-1 47.12 9-12-4 276-288-63 54.1
Coming off a 1 goals win 5-4-0 134-116-1 54.48 1-6-2 104-123-24 69.95
Coming off a score 4 goals FOR in last game 6-5-0 94-83-1 53.68 4-6-1 79-90-9 56.63
Coming off a score 3 goals AGAINST in last game 2-2-0 121-118-1 50.21 2-1-1 115-109-16 41
Before Playing CALGARY (last 3 years) 0-1-0 14-14-0 25 1-0-0 14-14-0 25
After Playing PHOENIX (last 3 years) 0-1-0 25-16-0 30.49 0-1-0 21-17-3 72.37
vs. opponent with a 51% to 60% winning % 5-5-0 149-141-1 50.6 1-6-3 117-141-33 70.18
vs PHILADELPHIA (last 3 years) 6-0-0 19-16-0 77.15 3-2-1 20-11-4 37.74
Last 30 days 3-3-0 104-103-1 50 2-4-0 98-100-10 58.59
Last 45 days 3-3-0 104-103-1 50 2-4-0 98-100-10 58.59
Last 60 days 5-4-0 167-148-1 54.21 3-6-0 144-155-17 59.26
Last 90 days 9-8-0 278-243-2 53.05 5-11-1 242-243-38 59.43

 

So here we can really see the value within the Raymond Report.

Often times, even thought everything looks to be favouring one team, when we look at how the teams are performing this season in comparison to the rest of the league, we often see a little bit of a different and bigger picture.

If the value on the NYR pick wasn’t skimpy enough, this should definitely turn off that pick.
I was hoping that I found a pick but I’ll have to look elsewhere.
I think NYR take it down at home with the playoff atmosphere, but I don’t expect PHI to roll over either.

Today’s Prediction: NYR to win 3-2. (negative value)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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