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LAK@PIT

Los Angeles Kings
Los Angeles Kings 
O/U :52.49
Vs.Date: 2014-03-27
Time: 18:05:00Generated from 90 Previous Games
Pittsburgh Penguins
Pittsburgh Penguins
SIDE :-125
2.23 = 4.72

 

First and foremost, PIT is 2-5 L7G. I was hoping that this stat would qualify PIT as an underdog…but unfortunately, with PIT playing at home, there is plenty of whale blubber dumped on the PIT ML making the value somewhat questionable.

With that said, here at Capper’s Corner we focus on value; therefore, at even money, if we can find an edge, then that’s where we’ll focus our attention.

So far the forecast shows LAK with a slight edge tonight, but ultimately, it’s nothing conclusive.
As dismal as 2-5 seems, PIT lost twice to a desperate and red hot Philly squad.
They were edged by a desperate DET squad, and then edged to STL and then edged by PHX.

There is nothing about that 2-5 L7G that seems like a failing team judging by their gameplay. They are playing fighting hockey and they will be motivated to give their home crowd fans a “W” before they hit the road for a 1 day stay road trip to Columbus.

 

 

 

LEAGUE :NHL
DATE :2014-03-27
Time Teams SU-L3-Record Value Season SU Record Value SU Result
W-L % W-L %
18:05:00 LAK

PIT

3 – 0

1 – 2

0

66.67

42 – 31

46 – 26

42.47

36.11

0.21

0.51

 

PVI shows LAK as performing better recently. If we were betting negative progression systems, PIT might be a consideration, but in terms of sniping winners, LAK looks to be hotter. With that said, P.V.I. does not factor in GF/GA or the strength or quality of the L3 Wins/Losses. This means that if a team played strong but still lost by an edge, a win is a win and a loss is a loss. With that consideration, I wouldn’t give PVI too much weight in today’s decision because we’ve already established that PIT is playing some fighting hockey out there.

 

 

 

LEAGUE : NHL

PR :- Power Rating ,W-L :-Win Loss
TeamName Current Season Last 7 Games Last 14 Games
TeamName W-L Win % Loss % SOS % P R W-L Win % Loss % SOS % P R W-L Win % Loss % SOS % P R
LOS ANGELES 42 – 31 57.53 42.47 50.15 0.54 4 – 3 57.14 42.86 51.02 0.54 11 – 3 78.57 21.43 47.96 0.63
PITTSBURGH 46 – 26 63.89 36.11 48.76 0.56 2 – 5 28.57 71.43 61.22 0.45 6 – 8 42.86 57.14 55.1 0.49

 

L7G, the SOS is showing that in terms of W/L, PIT has been underperforming, but interestingly enough, LAK has been having troubles of their own between L14G and L7G. With that said, LAK has only lost to red hot teams and not by a lot.

 

 

 

ATS MATCHUP

When LOS ANGELES team Played as Road team as a Underdog – Vs Non Conference Opponent – After a non conference game – Coming off a Road win as a Underdog – Coming off a 1 goal win SU: 8-3-1
When LOS ANGELES team Played as Road team as a Underdog – With 1 day off – Total is 5.0 – 3 games in 4 nights SU: 6-12-2

 

When PITTSBURGH team Played as Home team as a Favorite – During the month of March – After a non division game – Allowed 3 or more goals AGAINST in their last game SU: 21-8-3
When PITTSBURGH team Played as Home team as a Favorite – playing on Thursday – Coming off 2 unders SU: 7-3-0
When PITTSBURGH team played as a home team – During the month of March – Coming off 2 unders SU: 11-3-2
When PITTSBURGH team played as a home team – Last 5 years – Allowed 3 goals AGAINST in their last game – Coming off 2 unders SU: 6-4-0
When PITTSBURGH team played as a home team – Last 5 years – After a non division game – Coming off a 2 game losing streak SU: 11-5-0
When PITTSBURGH team played as a home team – Before a non conference game – With 1 day off – Allowed 3 or more goals AGAINST in their last game SU: 13-8-1

 

Edge: PITTSBURGH

 

 

TEAM TRENDS

When LOS ANGELES team Played as Road team as a Underdog – Total is 5.0 – playing on Thursday SU: 8-20-0
When LOS ANGELES team played as a Road team – During the month of March – Last 4 years SU: 21-14-0

 

When PITTSBURGH team Played as Home team as a Favorite – Last 2 years – After a non division game SU: 37-13-0
When PITTSBURGH team Played as Home team as a Favorite – Vs Non Division Opponent – playing on Thursday SU: 24-11-2
When PITTSBURGH team Played as Home team as a Favorite – Last 3 years – Vs Non Conference Opponent SU: 16-7-1
When PITTSBURGH team played as a home team – During the month of March – Vs Non Conference Opponent SU: 16-10-6
When PITTSBURGH team Played as Home team as a Favorite – With 1 day off – playing on Thursday SU: 24-13-0
When PITTSBURGH team Played as Home team as a Favorite – Last 3 years – With 1 day off SU: 55-20-1
When PITTSBURGH team played as a home team – Last 3 years – With 1 day off SU: 56-22-1
When PITTSBURGH team Played as Home team as a Favorite – During the month of March – Vs Non Conference Opponent SU: 14-6-4
When PITTSBURGH team Played as Home team as a Favorite – With 1 day off – Vs Western conference opponent SU: 35-17-3
When PITTSBURGH team Played as Home team as a Favorite – playing on Thursday – Vs Non Conference Opponent SU: 9-1-1
When PITTSBURGH team played as a home team – Before a non conference game – After a non conference game SU: 5-11-1
When PITTSBURGH team Played as Home team as a Favorite – Last 5 years – After a non conference game SU: 23-11-1
When PITTSBURGH team Played as Home team as a Favorite – Before a non division game – Vs Western conference opponent SU: 40-22-5

 

Massive Edge: PITTSBURGH

 

 

SUPER STATS

When ANY NHL Team Played as Road team as a Underdog – Vs Non Conference Opponent – Last 4 years – Coming off a 4 game winning streak – Allowed 4 or less goals AGAINST in their last game SU: 5-16-0
When ANY NHL Team played as a Road team – Before a non conference game – playing on Thursday – Before a non division game – Coming off vs Eastern Conference opponent – Coming off a 2 game Road stand SU: 6-12-2
When ANY NHL Team played as a Road team – Vs Non Conference Opponent – Total is 5.0 – Scored 5 or more goals FOR in their last game – 3 games in 4 nights SU: 12-24-6

 

When ANY NHL Team played as a home team – Vs Non Conference Opponent – After a non division game – Total is 5.0 – Coming off a 2 game losing streak – Coming off a Home loss as a Favorite – Coming off 2 unders SU: 8-5-2
When ANY NHL Team Played as Home team as a Favorite – During the month of March – Last 5 years – Coming off a 3 game Home stand – Coming off a Home loss as a Favorite SU: 12-6-0
When ANY NHL Team Played as Home team as a Favorite – playing on Thursday – During the month of March – Total is 5.0 – Coming off a Home loss as a Favorite SU: 19-12-1
When ANY NHL Team played as a home team – Before a non conference game – playing on Thursday – Total is 5.0 – Coming off 2 unders SU: 5-12-2

 

Edge: PITTSBURGH

 

 

SMART STATS

When LOS ANGELES Played as road team as a Underdog – During Last 4 Years – With SU Record of 4 Win 1 Lost in L5G SU: 5 – 11 – 0

 

When PITTSBURGH played as any home/road team – During Last 5 Years – With SU Record of 2 Win 3 Lost in L5G SU: 52 – 31 – 0
When PITTSBURGH Played as home team as a Favorite – During Last 5 Years – With SU Record of 2 Win 5 Lost in L7G SU: 7 – 3 – 0
When PITTSBURGH Played as home team as a Favorite – During Last 5 Years – Lost Last Game by 1 Goals – With SU Record of 1 Win 2 Lost in L3G SU: 11 – 6 – 0
When PITTSBURGH Played as home team as a Favorite – During Last 3 Years – With SU Record of 2 Win 3 Lost in L5G SU: 16 – 4 – 0

 

Big Edge: PITTSBURGH

 

The stars are speaking loud and clear. Where many many many people are thinking LAK is bringing all the value to this matchup, ATSSTATS shows us exactly why PIT is priced as chalk instead of as dog.

  • Before consulting ATSSTATS? LAK to win with big value.
  • After consulting ATSSTATS? PIT to win with very small value.

 

 

RAYMOND REPORT

Road Team
(LOS ANGELES)
When LOS ANGELES is a Road Team When Any NHL Team is a Road Team Differential % When LOS ANGELES is a Road Team,the O/U When Any NHL Team is a Road Team,the O/U Differential % on game going UNDER
Situations Current Season Current Season Differential % Current Season Current Season Differential %
SU SU O/U/P O/U/P
Total is 5 18-11-0 174-199-0 54.36 6-10-13 141-132-100 55.43
vs Non-Division opponent 15-11-0 322-385-1 51.59 7-10-9 316-324-68 54.73
vs Non-Conference opponent 10-5-0 188-223-1 56.15 5-6-4 180-194-38 53.21
Playing in the month of March 5-0-0 96-93-1 75.27 2-1-2 89-92-9 42.08
Playing on Thursday 6-2-0 81-123-0 57.36 0-5-3 88-92-24 75.56
Weekdays game 17-12-0 335-395-2 52.2 6-12-11 316-348-68 59.54
Played as road Team 21-15-0 505-585-2 52.29 8-15-13 483-507-102 58.22
After a Non-Division Game 17-11-0 365-390-2 54.47 8-12-8 332-352-73 55.73
After a Non-Conference Game 13-5-0 225-247-1 59.9 6-10-2 209-222-42 57.01
Before a Non-Division Game 18-11-0 401-492-1 53.46 7-10-12 402-405-87 54.51
Before a Non-Conference Game 13-5-0 232-262-0 59.59 3-8-7 218-228-48 61.93
vs Southeast Division Opponent 6-1-0 139-152-1 66.66 2-4-1 129-141-22 59.45
vs Eastern Conference Opponent 10-5-0 281-297-1 57.6 5-6-4 256-263-60 52.61
Coming off vs Southeast Division Opponent 6-1-0 137-141-0 67.5 3-4-0 124-128-26 53.97
Coming off vs Eastern Conference Opponent 13-5-0 272-300-1 59.85 6-10-2 253-265-55 56.83
Coming off a 4 winning streak 1-0-0 13-17-0 71.67 0-1-0 19-10-1 67.24
Coming off 1 over 5-4-0 122-157-1 49.57 0-6-3 121-126-33 75.51
Coming off a win 16-8-0 264-289-1 57.16 7-10-7 247-255-52 54.81
Coming off a Road Win as a Underdog 4-3-0 64-97-1 48.33 1-4-2 70-77-15 66.19
With 1 days off 8-8-0 255-302-2 47.81 1-9-6 253-255-51 70.1
3 games in 4 nights 4-5-0 105-128-1 44.66 2-4-3 100-117-17 60.3
Coming off two 1-goal game wins 1-0-0 29-32-0 73.77 0-1-0 24-32-5 78.57
Coming off a 2 road stand 1-1-0 56-75-1 46.21 0-0-2 52-65-15 27.78
Coming off a 1 goals win 8-4-0 130-135-1 57.77 3-6-3 115-128-23 59.67
Coming off a score 5 goals FOR in last game 0-2-0 48-49-0 24.74 0-1-1 48-35-14 71.09
Coming off a score 4 goals AGAINST in last game 1-0-0 70-100-0 70.59 0-1-0 72-79-19 76.16
Before Playing WINNIPEG (last 3 years) 1-0-0 12-21-0 68.18 0-0-1 14-16-3 26.67
After Playing WASHINGTON (since 1996) 6-5-0 20-20-0 52.28 5-4-2 17-17-6 47.22
Coming off 2 non-division games 14-9-0 242-295-2 52.89 6-11-6 237-247-55 57.87
Coming off 2 non-conference games 10-4-0 114-154-1 56.91 4-9-1 120-128-21 60.42
vs. opponent with a 61% to 70% winning % 4-5-0 60-107-0 40.19 2-3-4 77-73-17 54.34
vs PITTSBURGH (since 1996) 5-4-2 9-26-0 35.58 3-6-2 19-15-1 55.4
Last 30 days 7-0-0 105-105-1 74.88 3-2-2 99-102-10 45.38
Last 45 days 7-0-0 105-105-1 74.88 3-2-2 99-102-10 45.38
Last 60 days 8-1-0 145-163-1 67.91 3-4-2 139-154-16 54.85
Last 90 days 9-9-0 245-279-2 48.29 4-6-8 243-245-38 55.1

 

 

Home Team
(PITTSBURGH)
When PITTSBURGH is a Home Team When Any NHL Team is a Home Team Differential % When PITTSBURGH is a Home Team,the O/U When Any NHL Team is a Home Team,the O/U Differential % on game going UNDER
Situations Current Season Current Season Differential % Current Season Current Season Differential %
SU SU O/U/P O/U/P
Total is 5 2-0-0 199-174-0 76.68 1-0-1 141-132-100 24.18
vs Non-Division opponent 17-5-0 385-322-1 65.83 11-11-0 316-324-68 50.32
vs Non-Conference opponent 9-3-0 223-188-1 64.57 6-6-0 180-194-38 50.94
Playing in the month of March 3-3-0 93-96-1 49.48 3-3-0 89-92-9 50.42
Playing on Thursday 3-1-0 123-81-0 67.65 3-1-0 88-92-24 38.06
Weekdays game 21-7-0 395-335-2 64.48 14-13-1 316-348-68 50.28
Played as home Team 26-9-0 585-505-2 63.93 19-15-1 483-507-102 47.67
After a Non-Division Game 12-6-0 338-310-0 59.42 9-9-0 285-309-54 51.01
After a Non-Conference Game 4-4-0 179-167-0 50.87 3-5-0 145-173-28 58.45
Before a Non-Division Game 20-8-0 437-402-2 61.7 18-9-1 386-385-70 41.64
Before a Non-Conference Game 9-5-0 234-230-2 57.25 8-5-1 219-211-36 43.77
vs Northwest Division Opponent 5-1-0 140-119-0 68.69 3-3-0 112-121-26 50.97
vs Western Conference Opponent 9-3-0 267-242-0 63.73 6-6-0 217-240-52 51.26
Coming off vs Northwest Division Opponent 2-1-0 129-94-0 62.26 1-2-0 104-100-19 57.85
Coming off vs Western Conference Opponent 4-4-0 282-219-1 53.09 3-5-0 216-231-55 57.09
Coming off a 2 losing streak 2-1-0 58-65-0 56.91 2-1-0 59-48-16 39.1
Coming off 2 under 6-0-0 65-53-0 77.54 3-3-0 42-61-15 54.61
Coming off a lost 11-5-0 306-265-1 61.13 8-8-0 259-254-59 49.76
Coming off a Home Lost as a Favorite 3-3-0 98-82-0 52.22 4-2-0 92-73-15 38.79
With 1 days off 18-3-0 341-287-1 69.96 11-10-0 276-290-63 49.43
Coming off two 1-goal game lost 4-3-0 112-100-0 54.99 3-3-1 92-107-13 51.89
Coming off a 3 home stand (since 1996) 12-11-1 31-26-0 52.2 14-10-0 28-26-3 44.91
Coming off a 1 goals loss 6-4-0 147-132-1 56.25 6-4-0 119-133-28 46.39
Coming off a score 2 goals FOR in last game 3-0-0 143-106-0 78.72 1-1-1 124-98-27 47.07
Coming off a score 3 goals AGAINST in last game 4-3-0 122-119-1 53.78 2-5-0 116-110-16 60.05
Before Playing COLUMBUS (last 3 years) 2-0-0 22-21-1 75 1-1-0 23-18-3 46.95
After Playing PHOENIX (last 3 years) 2-0-0 26-16-0 80.95 0-2-0 21-18-3 73.08
Coming off 2 non-division games 6-4-0 212-216-0 54.77 5-5-0 181-207-40 51.68
Coming off 2 non-conference games 2-1-0 89-80-0 59.67 2-1-0 74-82-13 42.95
vs. opponent with a 51% to 60% winning % 8-5-0 150-141-1 56.46 8-5-0 117-142-33 46.65
vs LOS ANGELES (since 1996) 4-5-2 15-21-0 39.02 3-6-2 8-15-13 65.95
Last 30 days 3-4-0 105-105-1 46.31 4-3-0 99-102-10 46.81
Last 45 days 3-4-0 105-105-1 46.31 4-3-0 99-102-10 46.81
Last 60 days 5-5-0 163-145-1 51.38 5-5-0 139-154-16 51.28
Last 90 days 9-6-0 279-245-2 56.52 10-5-0 243-245-38 41.77

 

Sometimes the Raymond Report can do a fantastic job of highlighting when we’ve missed something. It limits it’s stats to THIS SEASON meaning that it can often highlight injuries and other subtle differences between this season and past seasons. In tonight matchup, we see that there is nothing particularly surprising regarding PITTSBURGH’s chances.

After looking at everything all-in, PITTSBURGH looks like it has at least a small amount of value as tonight’s pick.

Did you know:

  • When LOS ANGELES team Played as road team as a Underdog 3 games in 4 nights: SU 44-77-7
  • When LOS ANGELES team Played as road team as a Underdog 3 games in 4 nights Coming off a road win:
    SU 12-24-2
  • When PITTSBURGH team Played as home team as a Favorite Coming off two 1-goal game lost: 28-16-1

 

 

Tonight’s Prediction: Pittsburgh to win, 4-2, with small value.

 

 

 

 

 

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