New York Rangers
Generated from 44 Previous Games
2.26 = 5.08
The New York Rangers are barely 6 points into the Playoff ladder. If they lost twice and others win twice, they are outside looking in. There is a massive battle for playoff spots in the Eastern Conference including a 4 way tie on the bubble. Vicious.
The first question we need to know the answer to is simply, “are NYR playing for their PO lives?”
- 4 out of their last 6 games they’ve allowed 1 or less
- NYR have are 6-1 L7G
- NYR are averaging a mindblowing 4GF L5G
That said, Calgary has not been a pushover all year long. They are ending this season the way they began it…with pure fire. CGY are playing high-contention, high-energy hockey and there is no reason to think they won’t bring it again here tonight.
I would expect a tight, low-scoring game, with NYR simply outworking CGY.
With the NYR rated at 0.22 and CGY rated at 0.46, the Parity Value Index suggests that NYR have to lose sooner than later, but it also suggests that they’re playing some of their hottest hockey all season.
STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE
LEAGUE : NHL
|TeamName||Current Season||Last 7 Games||Last 14 Games|
|TeamName||W-L||Win %||Loss %||SOS %||P R||W-L||Win %||Loss %||SOS %||P R||W-L||Win %||Loss %||SOS %||P R|
|CALGARY||30 – 43||41.10||58.90||51.26||0.46||4 – 3||57.14||42.86||40.82||0.49||8 – 6||57.14||42.86||45.41||0.51|
|NY RANGERS||41 – 33||55.41||44.59||49.63||0.53||6 – 1||85.71||14.29||44.9||0.65||8 – 6||57.14||42.86||50.51||0.54|
STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE really comes through for us here. We can see that NYR have been over-performing against equal competition in comparison to CGY and barring strong contention from the ATSStats and/ the Raymond Report, this should be what motivates us to pull the trigger on this pick.
Head to Head: EVEN
ATS Matchup: EVEN
Team Trends: EVEN
Super Stats: EVEN
Smart Stats: EVEN
Across the board these teams look just about even to show up tonight and so once again, the SOS should be our most accurate predictor regarding the outcome tonight.
Both teams are healthy and despite the prediction of a low scoring clash, this should be a barn burner nonetheless.
Did you know:
- NYR vs. opponent with a 41% to 50% winning % 12-5-0
- CGY vs. opponent with a 51% to 60% winning % 3-7-0
- NYR do their best work on the road! (23-13-0)
When NY RANGERS team played as any home/road team Coming off a 5 winning streak With 1 day off: 3-15-0
When NY RANGERS team played as any home/road team Coming off a 5 winning streak With 1 day off vs. opponent with a 41% to 50% winning %: 0-5-0
When NY RANGERS team Played as road team as a Favorite During the 2013 season During the month of March: 5-2-0
When CALGARY team played as a home team During the 2013 season With no Situations vs. opponent with a 51% to 60% winning %: 3-7-0
When CALGARY team played as a home team During the month of March During the 2013 season: 5-3-0
So there are some giant holes poked into this NYR narrative all of a sudden…
CGY shouldn’t win this, but ATS has shown where they very well might have an ‘in’ to the ‘win’.
The playoff spot is a strong consideration and I don’t see NYR shirking their responsibility.
With that said, something about that 5 game streak has NYR historically shook up and being that CGY has been taking big bites out of big chalk lately…and that they’re facing NYR at home…
Tonight’s prediction: New York to win 3-2. (absolutely no value)