1-YEAR MEMBERSHIP ONLY $9.99
We accept PayPal or Credit Cards!

PIT@COL

Pittsburgh Penguins
Pittsburgh Penguins 
O/U :5.52.87
Vs.Date: 2014-04-06
Time: 19:05:00

Generated from 93 Previous Games

Colorado Avalanche
Colorado Avalanche
SIDE :-125
2.63 = 5.5

 

With NSH and EDM and WPG all upsetting teams these last few days, it doesn’t make sense to start making cases for high chalk teams. I think that ‘maddog syndrome’ is back in effect.

Bottom 10 teams will have to explain why they’re nowhere near the playoffs. With every player on that team trying to prove that they’re not the reason, we are seeing some strong hockey from Bottom 10 teams who are over-performing. It’s like they see the Top 10 teams as a chance to prove themselves and therefore play their best hockey against the better opponents.

Mixed with teams who will overlook them and/ protect against injury and/ practice secondary lines and/ rest their goalies…the possibility of ‘maddog syndrome’ is not something I like to bet against.

So for today, we’ve selected an even money bout where we think there is an edge.

 

 

VALUEWISE

  • -Everyone and their dog knows the name of “Pittsburgh”.
  • -Colorado is one of the smallest states in the game.

These 2 facts mean that the home team inflation that is the general, doesn’t apply.Sure enough, COL is Powerrated at -123 and the ML is set to an appropriate -123 as well.

This is one of the rare times, with COLORADO, where a team will maintain it’s value on a weekend game when playing at home.

 

STREAKWISE

  • PIT are losing to teams they should be easily be beating.
  • COL are beating anything that gets put in front of them.

 

 

STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE

LEAGUE : NHL
PR :- Power Rating ,W-L :-Win Loss
TeamName Current Season Last 7 Games Last 14 Games
TeamName W-L Win % Loss % SOS % P R W-L Win % Loss % SOS % P R W-L Win % Loss % SOS % P R
COLORADO 50 – 27 64.94 35.06 49.91 0.57 6 – 1 85.71 14.29 57.14 0.71 9 – 5 64.29 35.71 54.59 0.59
PITTSBURGH 49 – 29 62.82 37.18 48.78 0.56 3 – 4 42.86 57.14 44.9 0.44 6 – 8 42.86 57.14 50 0.46

 

COL is playing their best hockey of the season and their SoS leads the league.
That’s always going to be a good wager because it means that a team is firing on all cylinders.

PIT is mediocre. Not on an up, not on a down, they’re standard fare.

 

 

ATSSTATS

When PITTSBURGH played as Underdog- Vs COLORADO 3-9-1
When PITTSBURGH team Played as Road team as a Underdog – Vs Non Conference Opponent – Coming off a Road loss as a Underdog – Coming off a 1 game loss 4-12-0
When PITTSBURGH team Played as Road team as a Underdog – Total is 5.5 – 3 games in 4 nights – Allowed 4 or more goals AGAINST in their last game 3-7-1
When PITTSBURGH team Played as Road team as a Underdog – Before a non conference game – Vs Non Division Opponent 25-54-5

 

When COLORADO team Played as Home team as a Favorite – Last 3 years – 3 games in 4 nights 9-2-0
When COLORADO team Played as Home team as a Favorite – After a division game – Scored 4 or more goals FOR in their last game 41-24-4
When COLORADO team Played as Home team as a Favorite – Before a conference game – Total is 5.5 92-33-9
When ANY NHL Team Played as Home team as a Favorite – before a division game – After a conference game – 3 games in 4 nights – Coming off a 4 goal win 11-2-2
When COLORADO Played as home team as a Favorite – During Current Season – With SU Record of 2 Win 1 Lost in L3G 11 – 2 – 0

 

Considering it’s PIT that we’re talking about, I was surprised to find a team like COLORADO score so highly in the ATSStats historical considerations.

All in all the COLORADO is the kind of pick that we would never regret. It’s a good pick, it’s a good bet, and it’s our pick of the night.

 

 

RAYMOND REPORT
RAYMOND REPORT FOR NHL

Game Date – 2014-04-06
Road Team :- (4013) PITTSBURGH
Home Team :- (4014 )COLORADO

 

PITTSBURGHTeam Name: PITTSBURGH(Road Team)
Money Line: PITTSBURGH +100 vs COLORADO -120
Spread Line: PITTSBURGH +1.5 -300 —– COLORADO -1.5 +250
O/U: PITTSBURGH 5.5 +100 —– COLORADO 5.5 -120
Game Date: Sunday,April 06 2014 7:05 PM
Last Game: Lost 0 – 4 vs Minnesota Wild
Current Game: Colorado Avalanche
Next Game: Vs. DETROIT
Stats & Trends: PITTSBURGH vs. COLORADO
PVI Rating on Winning: 63.64%
PVI Rating on game going UNDER: 50.7%
Road Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 48.98%
Streaks: 1 SU Win – 1 ATS Win – 1 Over
Road Teams % of winning this game: 51%
Road Teams % of this game going UNDER: 54%
Road Teams Predicted Goals For: 2.89
Road Teams Predicted Goals Against: 2.65
Road Team
(PITTSBURGH)
When PITTSBURGH is a Road Team When Any NHL Team is a Road Team Differential % When PITTSBURGH is a Road Team,the O/U When Any NHL Team is a Road Team,the O/U Differential % on game going UNDER
Situations Current Season Current Season Differential % Current Season Current Season Differential %
SU SU O/U/P O/U/P
Total is 5.5 19-11-0 357-402-2 55.12 12-18-0 365-396-0 56.02
vs Non-Division opponent 11-14-0 345-409-1 44.85 11-11-3 335-347-73 50.44
vs Non-Conference opponent 6-7-0 200-236-1 45.96 5-7-1 189-207-41 55.3
Playing in the month of April 1-1-0 21-21-0 50 1-1-0 12-27-3 59.62
Playing on Sunday 1-0-0 57-59-0 74.57 1-0-0 52-56-8 25.93
Weekend game 6-10-0 187-201-0 42.85 4-9-3 181-171-36 58.91
Played as road Team 22-18-0 543-626-2 50.69 16-20-4 515-546-110 53.51
After a Non-Division Game 18-10-0 386-416-2 56.15 12-13-3 348-376-80 51.97
After a Non-Conference Game 8-8-0 238-260-1 48.85 4-10-2 218-235-46 61.66
Before a Non-Division Game 17-15-0 438-530-1 49.17 13-15-4 434-440-95 51.96
Before a Non-Conference Game 11-7-0 256-279-0 54.48 10-5-3 240-244-51 41.87
vs Northeast Division Opponent 2-4-0 115-158-1 37.65 2-4-0 125-122-27 58.03
vs Western Conference Opponent 6-7-0 237-308-1 44.78 5-7-1 241-260-45 55.12
Coming off vs Northeast Division Opponent 2-4-0 109-127-1 39.66 3-2-1 97-111-29 46.69
Coming off vs Western Conference Opponent 8-8-0 243-294-1 47.59 4-10-2 232-258-48 62.04
Coming off 1 under 6-2-0 130-150-1 60.63 4-4-0 133-126-22 49.33
Coming off a lost 8-4-0 260-318-1 55.79 5-7-0 255-272-52 54.97
Coming off a Road Lost as a Underdog 2-0-0 102-155-0 69.85 0-2-0 111-124-22 76.39
3 games in 4 nights 6-4-0 117-139-1 52.77 3-5-2 107-129-21 58.58
Coming off a 2 road stand 3-2-0 62-79-1 51.83 1-3-1 54-70-18 65.73
Coming off a 4 goals loss 1-1-0 14-30-0 40.91 0-2-0 13-30-1 84.89
Coming off a score 4 goals AGAINST in last game 3-3-0 77-106-0 46.04 2-4-0 79-82-22 58.8
Before Playing DETROIT (since 1996) 6-6-1 10-21-1 38.7 5-5-3 18-10-4 42.86
After Playing MINNESOTA (since 1996) 3-3-1 18-17-0 47.15 3-4-0 16-16-3 53.57
Coming off 2 non-division games 14-4-0 255-310-2 61.38 7-10-1 244-264-59 55.4
Coming off 2 non-conference games 4-3-0 122-158-1 50.28 2-5-0 121-137-23 62.27
Two back to back games 8-3-0 127-162-0 58.34 3-6-2 131-137-21 58.9
vs. opponent with a 61% to 70% winning % 2-2-0 67-120-0 42.92 1-2-1 84-85-18 58.49
vs COLORADO (last 3 years) 1-0-0 14-26-0 67.5 1-0-0 19-19-2 25
Last 30 days 4-3-0 112-110-1 53.68 2-5-0 96-111-16 62.53
Last 45 days 5-5-0 143-146-1 49.66 4-6-0 131-141-18 55.92
Last 60 days 6-5-0 153-165-1 51.26 5-6-0 141-158-20 53.7
Last 90 days 10-8-0 251-276-2 51.51 8-9-1 236-256-37 52.49
TEAM: PITTSBURGH
Offensive Stats Defensive Stats
All Games Avg 3.04 2.5
Home Games Avg 3.32 2.26
Road Games Avg 2.78 2.73
Last 3 Games Avg 1.67 3.33
Last 5 Games Avg 2.2 2.4
Last 10 Games Avg 2.3 2.7
vs. Division Games Avg 3.23 2.59
vs. Conference Games Avg 3.12 2.61
vs. Non Conference Games Avg 2.9 2.31
vs. Top Ranked Games Avg 2.81 2.52
vs. Middle Ranked Games Avg 2.93 2.33
vs. Bottom Ranked Games Avg 3.33 2.67
After a Win Games Avg 3 2.59
After a Lost Games Avg 3.11 2.43
After a SU Road Win Games Avg 2.95 2.55
After a SU Road Lost Games Avg 3.12 2.18
After a SU Home Win Games Avg 3.04 2.63
After a SU Home Lost Games Avg 3.09 2.82
After an Over Games Avg 2.94 3.03
After an Under Games Avg 3.22 2.17
After a Push Games Avg 2.5 1.83
After 0 day off Avg 2.93 2.13
After 1 day off Avg 3.14 2.44
After 2 day off Avg 3.3 2.4
After 3 day off Avg 2.29 3.29
After 4 or more days off Avg 3 5.5
2.89 2.65
COLORADOTeam Name: COLORADO(Home Team)
Money Line: COLORADO -120 vs PITTSBURGH +100
Spread Line: COLORADO -1.5 +250 —– PITTSBURGH +1.5 -300
O/U: COLORADO 5.5 -120 —– PITTSBURGH 5.5 +100
Game Date: Sunday,April 06 2014 7:05 PM
Last Game: Won 4 – 0 vs St Louis Blues
Current Game: Pittsburgh Penguins
Next Game: At EDMONTON
Stats & Trends: COLORADO vs. PITTSBURGH
PVI Rating on Winning: 64.47%
PVI Rating on game going UNDER: 49.32%
Road Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 51.02%
Streaks: 5 SU Win – 1 ATS Lost – 4 Under
Home Teams % of winning this game: 59%
Home Teams % of this game going UNDER: 59%
Home Teams Predicted Goals For: 3.1
Home Teams Predicted Goals Against: 2.87
Home Team
(COLORADO)
When COLORADO is a Home Team When Any NHL Team is a Home Team Differential % When COLORADO is a Home Team,the O/U When Any NHL Team is a Home Team,the O/U Differential % on game going UNDER
Situations Current Season Current Season Differential % Current Season Current Season Differential %
SU SU O/U/P O/U/P
Total is 5.5 22-11-0 402-357-2 59.75 16-17-0 365-396-0 51.78
vs Non-Division opponent 17-9-0 409-345-1 59.78 15-10-1 335-347-73 45.44
vs Non-Conference opponent 10-5-0 236-200-1 60.34 7-7-1 189-207-41 51.14
Playing in the month of April 1-0-0 21-21-0 75 0-1-0 12-27-3 84.62
Playing on Sunday 3-1-0 59-57-0 62.93 1-3-0 52-56-8 63.43
Weekend game 8-4-0 201-187-0 59.24 3-7-2 181-171-36 59.29
Played as home Team 26-14-0 626-543-2 59.23 19-19-2 515-546-110 50.73
After a Division Game 12-7-0 265-200-2 59.96 9-8-2 208-211-48 48.71
After a Conference Game 18-10-0 430-358-2 59.36 13-13-2 356-357-77 50.04
Before a Division Game 2-3-0 127-99-0 48.1 2-2-1 79-114-33 54.54
Before a Conference Game 16-8-0 351-289-0 60.76 8-14-2 262-309-69 58.88
vs Southeast Division Opponent 6-1-0 164-145-2 69.22 2-5-0 138-143-30 61.16
vs Eastern Conference Opponent 10-5-0 340-282-2 60.58 7-7-1 283-287-54 50.18
Coming off vs Northeast Division Opponent 12-7-0 163-135-1 58.84 9-8-2 120-142-37 50.63
Coming off vs Western Conference Opponent 18-10-0 299-239-1 59.88 13-13-2 233-248-58 50.78
Coming off a 6 winning streak 1-1-0 7-5-0 54.17 1-1-0 5-6-1 52.28
Coming off 5 under (since 1996) 5-4-0 11-7-0 58.34 3-6-0 7-7-4 58.34
Coming off a win 17-10-0 298-262-1 58.04 11-14-2 239-275-47 54.75
Coming off a Road Win as a Underdog 7-5-0 81-82-0 54.01 4-6-2 74-79-10 55.82
3 games in 4 nights 2-1-0 112-88-1 61.2 1-1-1 86-99-16 51.76
Coming off a 4 goals win 1-0-0 19-15-0 77.94 0-1-0 15-15-4 75
Coming off a score 4 goals FOR in last game 6-5-0 98-92-1 52.93 6-5-0 84-96-11 49.39
Before Playing EDMONTON (last 3 years) 2-1-0 15-21-0 54.17 1-0-2 17-12-7 20.69
After Playing ST LOUIS (last 3 years) 2-2-0 26-22-0 52.09 1-3-0 15-26-7 69.21
Two back to back games 3-0-0 72-57-1 77.69 1-0-2 55-63-12 26.7
vs. opponent with a 61% to 70% winning % 2-4-0 72-105-0 37.01 3-3-0 91-71-15 46.92
vs PITTSBURGH (last 3 years) 0-1-0 18-22-0 22.5 1-0-0 16-20-4 27.78
Last 30 days 5-3-0 110-112-1 55.92 1-7-0 96-111-16 70.56
Last 45 days 7-4-0 146-143-1 56.99 4-7-0 131-141-18 57.74
Last 60 days 7-4-0 165-153-1 57.68 4-7-0 141-158-20 58.24
Last 90 days 11-7-0 276-251-2 56.64 9-9-0 236-256-37 51.02
TEAM: COLORADO
Offensive Stats Defensive Stats
All Games Avg 3.08 2.68
Home Games Avg 3.23 2.55
Road Games Avg 2.92 2.81
Last 3 Games Avg 3.33 1.33
Last 5 Games Avg 3.2 1.6
Last 10 Games Avg 3.1 2.6
vs. Division Games Avg 3.2 2.48
vs. Conference Games Avg 3.22 3
vs. Non Conference Games Avg 2.87 2.19
vs. Top Ranked Games Avg 2.88 2.92
vs. Middle Ranked Games Avg 3.13 2.37
vs. Bottom Ranked Games Avg 3.22 2.83
After a Win Games Avg 2.88 2.61
After a Lost Games Avg 3.33 2.85
After a SU Road Win Games Avg 2.52 2.57
After a SU Road Lost Games Avg 2.54 3.62
After a SU Home Win Games Avg 3.19 2.65
After a SU Home Lost Games Avg 4.07 2.14
After an Over Games Avg 2.89 2.49
After an Under Games Avg 3.17 2.61
After a Push Games Avg 3.33 6.33
After 0 day off Avg 2.88 3.13
After 1 day off Avg 3.02 2.35
After 2 day off Avg 3.43 2.57
After 3 day off Avg 3 4
After 4 or more days off Avg 3 5.33
3.1 2.87

 

The Raymond Report helps confirm what we suspected.
COLORADO has every chance to win tonight’s contest and it can’t be a bad bet.

 

 

Tonight’s Prediction: COLORADO to win 3-2.

 

 

 

 

 

Be the first to comment on "PIT@COL"

Leave a comment