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Baltimore Orioles (Norris) vs. Boston Red Sox (Doubront) – Preview for April 19th, 2014

Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox

Preview for April 19th, 2014

Baltimore Orioles
Baltimore Orioles 
O/U :9

4.42

Vs.

Date: 2014-04-19
Time: 12:35:00

Generated from 64 Previous Games

Boston Red Sox
Boston Red Sox
SIDE :-142

6.11 = 10.53

Today we’ll be bringing you the rock solid value that we found in this BAL@BOS contest here in the early afternoon. Let’s get right into it:

PITCHING

Starting the bump for Baltimore today is Bud Norris:

  • Historically, Norris has 13 at bats vs BOS batters over a .300 avg (vs 4 batters)
  • Historically, Norris has 32 at bats vs BOS batters under a .300 avg (vs 6 batters)

Starting on the mound for Boston today is Felix Doubront:

  • Historically, Doubront has 39 at bats vs BAL batters over a .300 avg (vs 7 batters)
  • Historically, Doubront has 51 at bats vs BAL batters under a .300 avg (vs 4 batters)

 

  • Norris threw a rough 2.65ERA in Spring Training across an established 17.0IP
  • Norris has generally maintained his solidity with a 3.75ERA in the Regular Season.
  • Doubront threw a rotten 7.11ERA in Spring Training across 19.0IP
  • Doubront has not improved and is currently at 6.75ERA in the Regular Season.

 

In his last outing, Norris threw 7IP giving up no runs against Toronto bats. He’s depended equally on his infield and outfield and has achieved only 6 Strikeouts across 12IP so far in the 2014 season.

In his last outing, Doubront threw 6.7IP giving up 3ER against Yankee bats. Likewise, Doubtont is depended equally on his infield and outfield and has achieved only 8 Strikeouts across 14.7IP so far in the 2014 season.

Did you know:

  • BALTIMORE is 13-6 (+10.2 Units) against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons

 

 

  • BATTING
  • BAL batted 11th with a .763OPS in Spring Training.
  • BOS batted 27th with a .674OPS in Spring Training.
  • BAL is batting 17th in the league with a .706OPS in the Regular Season so far.
  • BOS is batting 25th in the league with a .670OPS in the Regular Season so far.

In short, Boston hitting has been horrible while Baltimore has at least scored reasonably at the plate. Edge is wholly with Baltimore when it comes to the timber in today’s game.

 

BULLPEN

  • The Orioles have a respectable 3.10ERA in the pen so far this season.
  • The Sox have a solid 2.55ERA in the pen so far this season.

If Boston has an edge today, it would be with their bullpen. Looking at the big picture, however, we see that while Baltimore is weak on this specific front, Boston is weak across all others.

 

 

RAYMOND REPORT
RAYMOND REPORT FOR MLB

 

Game Date – 2014-04-19
Road Team :- (3023) BALTIMORE
Home Team :- (3024 )BOSTON

 

BALTIMORETeam Name: BALTIMORE(Road Team)
Money Line: BALTIMORE +125 vs BOSTON -135
Spread Line: BALTIMORE +1.5 -160 —– BOSTON -1.5 +140
O/U: BALTIMORE 9 -110 —– BOSTON 9 -110
Pitchers: BALTIMORE – B Norris (R) vs BOSTON – F Doubront (L)
Game Date: Saturday,April 19 2014 12:35 PM
Last Game: win 8 – 4 vs Boston Red Sox
Current Game: Boston Red Sox
Next Game: At BOSTON
Stats & Trends: BALTIMORE vs. BOSTON
PVI Rating on Winning: 53.33%
PVI Rating on game going UNDER: 57.14%
Road Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 53.06%
Streaks: 3 SU Win – 1 Over
Road Teams % of winning this game: 50%
Road Teams % of this game going UNDER: 50%
Road Teams Predicted Runs For: 3.96
Road Teams Predicted Runs Against: 3.58
Road Team
(BALTIMORE)
When BALTIMORE is a Road Team When Any MLB Team is a Road Team Differential % When BALTIMORE is a Road Team,the O/U When Any MLB Team is a Road Team,the O/U Differential % on game going UNDER
Situations Current Season Current Season Differential % Current Season Current Season Differential %
SU SU O/U/P O/U/P
Total is 9 (since 1996) 131-167 12-9 50.55 132-134-32 9-11-1 52.69
vs Division opponent 3-1 73-92 59.62 3-1-0 79-81-5 37.82
vs Conference opponent 1-2 28-30 40.81 2-1-0 26-29-3 43.03
Playing in the month of April 4-3 113-142 50.73 5-2-0 117-130-8 40.6
Playing on Saturday 0-1 18-15 27.28 1-0-0 19-13-1 20.32
Played as road Underdog 4-3 71-113 47.87 5-2-0 84-94-6 40.69
After a Division Game 3-1 66-85 59.36 4-0-0 75-71-5 24.32
After a Conference Game 1-2 29-33 40.05 2-1-0 26-32-4 44.25
vs AL EAST Division Opponent 3-1 19-25 59.09 3-1-0 17-26-1 42.74
vs AL Conference Opponent 4-3 51-78 48.34 5-2-0 57-70-2 41.85
Coming off vs AL EAST Division Opponent 3-1 16-25 57.01 4-0-0 17-24-0 29.27
Coming off vs American Conference Opponent 4-3 50-73 48.9 5-2-0 51-71-1 43.39
Coming off a 2 winning streak (since 1996) 73-62 14-12 53.96 62-68-5 15-11-0 47.31
Coming off 1 over 1-1 21-33 44.45 2-0-0 28-23-3 22.55
Coming off a win 2-1 46-62 54.63 2-1-0 58-49-1 39.56
Coming off a Road Win as a Underdog 1-1 18-27 45 1-1-0 23-21-1 48.87
During a day game 2-3 45-58 41.85 3-2-0 48-54-1 46.47
Coming off a 4 runs win (since 1996) 42-34 9-9 52.63 42-31-3 8-9-1 47.71
Coming off a score 8 runs FOR in last game (since 1996) 20-37 5-3 48.8 30-25-2 5-3-0 41.48
Coming off a score 4 runs AGAINST in last game 1-1 18-10 57.15 2-0-0 11-17-0 30.36
vs. opponent with a 41% to 50% winning % 2-1 38-50 54.93 2-1-0 39-48-1 44.25
vs BOSTON (since 1996) 66-78 5-5 47.92 73-66-5 3-7-0 58.74
Coming off a Win over AL EAST division opponent 2-0 7-11 69.45 2-0-0 8-10-0 27.78
Coming off a game that went over 1-1 21-33 44.45 2-0-0 28-23-3 22.55
Coming off a night game 0-1 67-81 22.64 1-0-0 64-80-4 27.78
Coming off a game 1 of a series 1-1 37-40 49.03 2-0-0 38-35-4 23.98
Coming off a win in game 1 of a series (since 1996) 89-101 14-13 49.35 94-88-8 13-13-1 49.18
Last 30 days 4-3 121-150 50.9 5-2-0 125-137-9 40.43
Last 45 days 4-3 121-150 50.9 5-2-0 125-137-9 40.43
Last 60 days 4-3 121-150 50.9 5-2-0 125-137-9 40.43
Last 90 days 4-3 121-150 50.9 5-2-0 125-137-9 40.43
Vs. Left handed pitchers (since 1996) 158-245 34-37 43.55 200-187-16 32-37-2 50.97
Coming off vs. Right handed pitcher 2-3 91-96 44.33 3-2-0 86-96-5 46.38
Coming off win vs. Right handed pitcher 2-1 35-43 55.77 2-1-0 39-38-1 41.34

 

 

TEAM: BALTIMORE
Offensive Stats Defensive Stats
All Games Avg 4 3.81
Home Games Avg 2.44 2.89
Road Games Avg 6 5
Last 3 Games Avg 3.67 1.33
Last 5 Games Avg 4.2 3.2
Last 10 Games Avg 4.4 3.2
vs. Division Games Avg 3.92 3.31
vs. Conference Games Avg 4 3.81
vs. Non Conference Games Avg N/A N/A
vs. Top Ranked Games Avg N/A N/A
vs. Middle Ranked Games Avg 4.33 4.5
vs. Bottom Ranked Games Avg 3.8 3.4
After a Win Games Avg 2.86 4.43
After a Lost Games Avg 5.57 4.14
After a SU Road Win Games Avg 2.33 3.33
After a SU Road Lost Games Avg 7.67 4.33
After a SU Home Win Games Avg 3.25 5.25
After a SU Home Lost Games Avg 4 4
After an Over Games Avg 4.2 3
After an Under Games Avg 4.56 5
After a Push Games Avg 0 0
3.96 3.58

 

 

BOSTONTeam Name: BOSTON(Home Team)
Money Line: BOSTON -135 vs BALTIMORE +125
Spread Line: BOSTON -1.5 +140 —– BALTIMORE +1.5 -160
O/U: BOSTON 9 -110 —– BALTIMORE 9 -110
Pitchers: BOSTON – F Doubront (L) vs BALTIMORE – B Norris (R)
Game Date: Saturday,April 19 2014 12:35 PM
Last Game: lost 8 – 4 vs Baltimore Orioles
Current Game: Baltimore Orioles
Next Game: Vs. BALTIMORE
Stats & Trends: BOSTON vs. BALTIMORE
PVI Rating on Winning: 41.18%
PVI Rating on game going UNDER: 70.59%
Road Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 59.19%
Streaks: 1 SU Lost – 1 Over
Home Teams % of winning this game: 39%
Home Teams % of this game going UNDER: 39%
Home Teams Predicted Runs For: 2.93
Home Teams Predicted Runs Against: 3.53
Home Team
(BOSTON)
When BOSTON is a Home Team When Any MLB Team is a Home Team Differential % When BOSTON is a Home Team,the O/U When Any MLB Team is a Home Team,the O/U Differential % on game going UNDER
Situations Current Season Current Season Differential % Current Season Current Season Differential %
SU SU O/U/P O/U/P
Total is 9 1-0 9-12 71.43 0-1-0 9-11-1 77.5
vs Division opponent 0-1 78-87 23.64 1-0-0 79-81-5 25.32
vs Conference opponent 2-4 23-35 36.5 1-5-0 26-29-3 68.03
Playing in the month of April 2-8 116-139 32.75 3-7-0 117-130-8 61.32
Playing on Saturday 0-1 14-19 21.21 1-0-0 19-13-1 20.32
Played as home Favorite 2-7 90-84 36.97 3-6-0 84-84-6 58.34
After a Division Game 0-1 76-84 23.75 0-1-0 77-77-6 75
After a Conference Game 1-4 27-38 30.77 1-4-0 28-33-4 67.05
vs AL EAST Division Opponent 0-1 22-24 23.92 1-0-0 18-27-1 30
vs AL Conference Opponent 2-5 57-70 36.73 2-5-0 57-67-3 62.73
Coming off vs AL EAST Division Opponent 0-1 19-25 21.59 0-1-0 17-26-1 80.24
Coming off vs American Conference Opponent 1-5 51-66 30.13 2-4-0 56-60-1 59.2
Coming off 1 over 0-1 27-30 23.69 0-1-0 28-25-4 73.59
Coming off a lost 2-6 81-78 37.97 2-6-0 75-78-6 62.99
Coming off a Home Lost as a Favorite 1-5 33-28 35.39 2-4-0 28-31-2 59.61
During a day game 1-3 52-51 37.75 0-4-0 48-54-1 76.47
Coming off a 4 runs loss 1-2 10-11 40.48 1-2-0 10-10-1 58.34
Coming off a score 4 runs FOR in last game 0-1 9-19 16.07 0-1-0 11-17-0 80.36
Coming off a score 8 runs AGAINST in last game (since 1996) 50-27 3-6 49.14 42-35-0 6-2-1 35.23
vs. opponent with a 51% to 60% winning % 0-1 17-17 25 0-1-0 13-20-1 80.31
vs BALTIMORE (since 1996) 78-66 3-4 48.52 73-66-5 5-2-0 38.03
Coming off a Lost over AL EAST division opponent (since 1996) 159-109 14-10 58.83 123-136-9 10-13-1 54.52
Coming off a game that went over 0-1 27-30 23.69 0-1-0 28-25-4 73.59
Coming off a night game 1-6 73-86 30.1 2-5-0 71-83-5 62.67
Coming off a game 1 of a series 0-1 34-43 22.08 1-0-0 38-35-4 23.98
Coming off a lost in game 1 of a series 0-1 14-19 21.21 1-0-0 16-16-1 25
Last 30 days 2-8 124-147 32.88 3-7-0 125-137-9 61.15
Last 45 days 2-8 124-147 32.88 3-7-0 125-137-9 61.15
Last 60 days 2-8 124-147 32.88 3-7-0 125-137-9 61.15
Last 90 days 2-8 124-147 32.88 3-7-0 125-137-9 61.15
Vs. Right handed pitchers 1-6 89-104 30.2 2-5-0 95-91-7 60.18
Coming off vs. Right handed pitcher 2-8 83-102 32.43 3-7-0 83-97-5 61.95
Coming off lost vs. Right handed pitcher 1-5 48-60 30.56 2-4-0 48-57-3 60.48

 

 

TEAM: BOSTON
Offensive Stats Defensive Stats
All Games Avg 3 3.4
Home Games Avg 2.8 3.8
Road Games Avg 3.2 3
Last 3 Games Avg 4.33 4.33
Last 5 Games Avg 3.2 3.6
Last 10 Games Avg 2.9 3.3
vs. Division Games Avg 3.25 3.88
vs. Conference Games Avg 3.06 3
vs. Non Conference Games Avg 2.67 5.67
vs. Top Ranked Games Avg 2.67 5.67
vs. Middle Ranked Games Avg 3 3.14
vs. Bottom Ranked Games Avg 3.33 2.33
After a Win Games Avg 2.57 4.14
After a Lost Games Avg 3.33 2.78
After a SU Road Win Games Avg 3.4 5
After a SU Road Lost Games Avg 3.8 2.6
After a SU Home Win Games Avg 0.5 2
After a SU Home Lost Games Avg 2.75 3
After an Over Games Avg 1.25 2
After an Under Games Avg 3.6 3.87
After a Push Games Avg N/A N/A
2.93 3.53

 

 

 

We;ve had great effect selecting our winners with these practical considerations when backed up by the ATSSTATS RAYMOND REPORT.

 

 

Today’s Prediction: BALTIMORE to win 6-4.

 

 

 

 

 

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