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Cleveland Indians (Carrasco) vs. San Francisco (Hudson) – Preview April 25th, 2014

Cleveland Indians vs. San Francisco

Preview April 25th, 2014

Cleveland Indians
Cleveland Indians 
O/U :7.5

3.21

Vs.

Date: 2014-04-25
Time: 21:15:00

Generated from 48 Previous Games

San Francisco Giants
San Francisco Giants
SIDE :-143

4.33 = 7.54

PITCHING

Starting the bump for Cleveland today is Carlos Carrasco:

  • Historically, Carrasco is basically untested vs these SFG batters.

Starting on the mound for San Francisco today is Tim Hudson:

  • Historically, Hudson is basically untested vs theseCLE batters.

So without a good historical sample, we can only assess these two on how they’ve been performing lately.

  • Carrasco is throwing a bottom barrel 7.31ERA
  • Carrasco is throwing particularly bad on the road witha 9.64ERA
  • Carrasco is throwing 7.31ERA L3G
  • Hudson is throwing a rock-solid 2.40ERA this season.
  • Hudson throws a little less at 3.52ERA
  • Hudson is 3.22ERA L3G

 

  • In Carrasco’s L3G he hasn’t yet lasted 6 innings and has allowed 4.33ER per game.
  • In Hudson’s L3G he hasn’t lasted less than 7 innings and has allowed 2.66ER per gam

 

 

BATTING

  • CLE is batting 20th in the league with a .704OPS in the Regular Season so far.
    CLE is averaging 4.6 runs on the road this season.
    CLE is averaging 5.2 runs vs Righty Starters.

 

  • SFG is batting 17th in the league with a .706OPS in the Regular Season so far.
    SFG is averaging 3.6 runs at home this season.
    SFG is averaging 5.2 runs vs Righty Starters.

 

These is a small advantage with CLE on the road…but basically, these are equally competent bats so this is basically all up to the pitching and the pen where SFG should completely dominate CLE.

 

BULLPEN

  • The Indians have a solid 2.74ERA in the pen so far this season.
    They are 2.90ERA on the road.
  • The Giants have a solid 2.25ERA in the pen so far this season.
    They are the league’s best with a 0.54ERA at home.

Hudson is a Ground-Out pitcher that is on his game. This is always a bonus because it means that singles won’t get it done for Cleveland due to Hudson’s propensity to elicit ground-out double plays. Given the fact that the SFG bullpen is throwing a 0.54ERA at home, this should be an open shut case and Cleveland will be lucky to accidentally score so much as 1-2 runs.

 

 

ATSSTATS

When C CARRASCO ‘s Team played as Underdog- With Total between 7.5 and 8.0: SU 3-7-0

When CLEVELAND Played as road team as a Underdog – During Last 3 Years – Won Last Game by 4 Runs: SU 3 – 11 – 0

When CLEVELAND team Played as road team as a Underdog – Vs NL Conference – Before a non division game: SU 32-64-0

When ANY MLB Team Played as Road team as a Underdog – Vs Non Conference Opponent – 1st game of a series – Before a non conference game – Coming off a day game – Coming off a 2 game winning streak: SU 17-43-0

When CLEVELAND team Played as Road team as a Underdog – During a night game – Playing on Friday – Scored 5 or less runs FOR in their last game – Coming off a Win vs. AL CENTRAL opponent: SU 2-8-0

When HUDSON TIM ‘s Team played as Home or Away Team- With Total between 7.5 and 8.0: SU 12-3-0

When HUDSON TIM ‘s Team played as Favourite- With Total between 7.5 and 8.0: SU 36-14-0

When HUDSON TIM ‘s Team played as Home Favourite- in the month of April: SU 25-8-0

When SAN FRANCISCO team Played as home team as a Favorite – Playing on Friday – Vs Non Division Opponent: SU 63-38-0

When ANY MLB Team played as a Home team – Last 2 years – Vs Non Division Opponent – 1st game of a series – Coming off a 2 run win – Coming off 1 over : SU 11-4-0

When SAN FRANCISCO team Played as home team as a Favorite – Vs Non Conference Opponent – Playing on Friday: SU 14-6-0

When SAN FRANCISCO team played as a Home team – Vs. Right handed pitchers – Before a non division game – Coming off a Win vs. NL WEST opponent – Coming off 1 over: SU 9-4-0

When ANY MLB Team Played as Home team as a Favorite – Last 2 years – Total is between 7.5 to 8.0 – During a night game – Coming off a Win vs. NL WEST opponent – Coming off vs. Right handed pitcher: SU 34-19-0

When SAN FRANCISCO played as a home team – During Last 3 Years – With 1 Over or Less: SU 37 – 23 – 0

 

This is a very strong comment from ATSStats. Historically, SFG has dominated in this position, and meanwhile, CLE has suffered in this position. With Hudson on his game and the #1 Pen in the league, I gotta like SFG’s chances here tonight.

 

 

RAYMOND REPORT FOR MLB
Game Date – 2014-04-25
Road Team :- (3033) CLEVELAND
Home Team :- (3034 )SAN FRANCISCO

 

CLEVELANDTeam Name: CLEVELAND(Road Team)
Money Line: CLEVELAND +137 vs SAN FRANCISCO -147
Spread Line: CLEVELAND +1.5 -165 —– SAN FRANCISCO -1.5 +145
O/U: CLEVELAND 7.5 +100 —– SAN FRANCISCO 7.5 -120
Pitchers: CLEVELAND – C Carrasco (R) vs SAN FRANCISCO – T Hudson (R)
Game Date: Friday,April 25 2014 9:15 PM
Last Game: win 1 – 5 vs Kansas City Royals
Current Game: San Francisco Giants
Next Game: At SAN FRANCISCO
Stats & Trends: CLEVELAND vs. SAN FRANCISCO
PVI Rating on Winning: 52.38%
PVI Rating on game going UNDER: 42.86%
Road Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 42.86%
Streaks: 2 SU Win – 1 Under
Road Teams % of winning this game: 42%
Road Teams % of this game going UNDER: 53%
Road Teams Predicted Runs For: 3.72
Road Teams Predicted Runs Against: 3.78
Road Team
(CLEVELAND)
When CLEVELAND is a Road Team When Any MLB Team is a Road Team Differential % When CLEVELAND is a Road Team,the O/U When Any MLB Team is a Road Team,the O/U Differential % on game going UNDER
Situations Current Season Current Season Differential % Current Season Current Season Differential %
SU SU O/U/P O/U/P
Total is 7.5 1-2 35-42 39.39 2-1-0 46-31-0 36.8
vs Non-Division opponent 2-2 67-83 47.34 1-3-0 60-81-9 66.23
vs Non-Conference opponent (since 1996) 74-92 25-38 42.13 60-97-9 24-37-2 61.22
Playing in the month of April 3-7 155-192 37.34 5-5-0 155-176-16 51.59
Playing on Friday 0-1 18-29 19.15 1-0-0 26-19-2 21.11
Played as road Underdog 3-6 105-151 37.18 3-6-0 114-129-13 59.88
After a Division Game 2-4 88-111 38.78 3-3-0 100-92-7 48.96
After a Conference Game 1-2 45-48 40.86 1-2-0 37-48-8 61.57
vs AL CENTRAL Division Opponent 2-5 22-37 32.93 4-3-0 31-27-1 44.71
vs AL Conference Opponent 4-7 70-100 38.77 5-6-0 80-86-4 53.18
Coming off vs AL CENTRAL Division Opponent 2-4 23-34 36.84 3-3-0 29-28-0 49.56
Coming off vs American Conference Opponent 3-6 71-97 37.8 4-5-0 75-89-4 54.92
Coming off a 2 winning streak 0-1 18-20 23.69 1-0-0 18-19-1 25.68
Coming off 1 under 0-2 30-51 18.52 0-2-0 26-52-3 83.34
Coming off a win 0-4 61-82 21.33 2-2-0 75-65-3 48.22
Coming off a Home Win as a Favorite 0-1 6-4 30 1-0-0 8-2-0 10
During a night game 3-4 102-121 44.3 3-4-0 103-108-12 54.16
Coming off a 4 runs win (since 1996) 36-47 10-10 46.69 35-43-5 9-10-1 53.88
Coming off a score 5 runs FOR in last game (since 1996) 81-77 12-10 52.91 77-75-6 12-10-0 47.4
Coming off a score 1 runs AGAINST in last game (since 1996) 55-76 12-20 39.74 52-75-4 15-16-1 55.34
vs. opponent with a 51% to 60% winning % 2-2 27-37 46.1 2-2-0 34-26-4 46.67
vs SAN FRANCISCO (since 1996) 3-3 4-5 47.22 2-3-1 5-4-0 52.22
Coming off a Win over AL Central division opponent 0-2 5-15 12.5 1-1-0 12-8-0 45
Coming off a game that went under 0-1 32-43 21.34 1-0-0 37-32-6 23.19
Coming off a day game 0-3 56-78 20.9 1-2-0 65-63-6 57.95
Coming off a series loss 0-2 22-48 15.72 0-2-0 33-33-4 75
Last 30 days 4-7 161-200 40.48 5-6-0 162-182-17 53.73
Last 45 days 4-7 163-200 40.63 5-6-0 163-183-17 53.72
Last 60 days 4-7 163-200 40.63 5-6-0 163-183-17 53.72
Last 90 days 4-7 163-200 40.63 5-6-0 163-183-17 53.72
Vs. Right handed pitchers 4-2 116-147 55.39 3-3-0 119-132-12 51.3
Coming off vs. Left handed pitcher (since 1996) 190-215 34-59 41.74 190-188-27 44-45-4 50.15
Coming off win vs. Left handed pitcher 0-1 16-24 20 1-0-0 22-18-0 22.5
TEAM: CLEVELAND
Offensive Stats Defensive Stats
All Games Avg 3.68 3.72
Home Games Avg 3.71 3.86
Road Games Avg 3.64 3.55
Last 3 Games Avg 4 4
Last 5 Games Avg 4.4 3.8
Last 10 Games Avg 3.2 3.6
vs. Division Games Avg 4.64 4.93
vs. Conference Games Avg 3.86 4.05
vs. Non Conference Games Avg 2.75 2
vs. Top Ranked Games Avg 3.57 3.29
vs. Middle Ranked Games Avg 4 4.7
vs. Bottom Ranked Games Avg 3.38 2.88
After a Win Games Avg 3.3 4.1
After a Lost Games Avg 4 4
After a SU Road Win Games Avg 3.75 3.25
After a SU Road Lost Games Avg 4 2.25
After a SU Home Win Games Avg 3 4.67
After a SU Home Lost Games Avg 4 5.17
After an Over Games Avg 4.42 3.83
After an Under Games Avg 3.08 3.92
After a Push Games Avg N/A N/A
3.72 3.78
SAN FRANCISCOTeam Name: SAN FRANCISCO(Home Team)
Money Line: SAN FRANCISCO -147 vs CLEVELAND +137
Spread Line: SAN FRANCISCO -1.5 +145 —– CLEVELAND +1.5 -165
O/U: SAN FRANCISCO 7.5 -120 —– CLEVELAND 7.5 +100
Pitchers: SAN FRANCISCO – T Hudson (R) vs CLEVELAND – C Carrasco (R)
Game Date: Friday,April 25 2014 9:15 PM
Last Game: win 12 – 10 vs Colorado Rockies
Current Game: Cleveland Indians
Next Game: Vs. CLEVELAND
Stats & Trends: SAN FRANCISCO vs. CLEVELAND
PVI Rating on Winning: 54.55%
PVI Rating on game going UNDER: 42.86%
Road Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 61.22%
Streaks: 1 SU Win – 1 Over
Home Teams % of winning this game: 53%
Home Teams % of this game going UNDER: 53%
Home Teams Predicted Runs For: 3.98
Home Teams Predicted Runs Against: 4.32
Home Team
(SAN FRANCISCO)
When SAN FRANCISCO is a Home Team When Any MLB Team is a Home Team Differential % When SAN FRANCISCO is a Home Team,the O/U When Any MLB Team is a Home Team,the O/U Differential % on game going UNDER
Situations Current Season Current Season Differential % Current Season Current Season Differential %
SU SU O/U/P O/U/P
Total is 7.5 2-2 38-39 49.68 3-1-0 46-31-0 32.63
vs Non-Division opponent (since 1996) 478-356 67-83 50.99 382-411-41 60-81-9 54.64
vs Non-Conference opponent (since 1996) 88-62 29-34 52.35 59-77-14 24-37-2 58.64
Playing in the month of April 5-4 158-189 50.55 5-4-0 155-176-16 48.81
Playing on Friday 1-0 26-21 77.66 1-0-0 26-19-2 21.11
Played as home Favorite 5-4 124-120 53.19 5-4-0 114-117-13 47.55
After a Division Game 5-4 98-110 51.34 5-4-0 100-98-10 46.97
After a Conference Game (since 1996) 395-300 42-52 50.76 326-339-30 38-49-7 53.65
vs AL CENTRAL Division Opponent (since 1996) 13-13 29-25 51.85 10-12-4 31-21-2 47.47
vs AL Conference Opponent (since 1996) 88-62 76-91 52.09 59-77-14 82-81-4 53.16
Coming off vs NL WEST Division Opponent 5-4 26-31 50.59 5-4-0 25-29-3 49.07
Coming off vs National Conference Opponent 5-4 87-104 50.56 5-4-0 76-102-13 50.87
Coming off 1 over 1-0 37-42 73.42 0-1-0 39-34-6 73.29
Coming off a win 2-3 60-94 39.48 1-4-0 68-78-8 66.71
Coming off a Road Win as a Favorite (since 1996) 31-16 3-5 51.73 23-21-3 3-5-0 55.12
With 1 days off 2-0 20-19 75.64 1-1-0 15-22-2 54.73
During a night game 3-2 97-126 51.75 3-2-0 103-108-12 45.59
Coming off a 6 road trip (since 1996) 43-21 5-11 49.22 33-26-5 6-10-0 53.29
Coming off a 2 runs win (since 1996) 92-70 14-18 50.27 65-85-12 12-18-2 58.34
Coming off a score 12 runs FOR in last game (since 1996) 8-3 3-2 66.37 6-5-0 2-1-2 39.39
Coming off a score 10 runs AGAINST in last game (since 1996) 26-17 4-4 55.24 19-20-4 6-2-0 38.14
vs. opponent with a 51% to 60% winning % 0-1 29-28 25.44 0-1-0 22-32-3 79.63
vs CLEVELAND (since 1996) 3-3 4-7 43.18 2-3-1 5-6-0 57.28
Coming off a Win over NL WEST division opponent 2-3 13-21 39.12 1-4-0 9-22-3 75.49
Coming off a game that went over 1-0 37-42 73.42 0-1-0 39-34-6 73.29
Coming off a day game 2-1 57-66 56.51 2-1-0 59-59-5 41.67
Coming off a series loss 1-0 27-28 74.55 1-0-0 28-22-5 22
Last 30 days 5-4 166-195 50.77 5-4-0 162-182-17 48.68
Last 45 days 5-4 166-197 50.65 5-4-0 163-183-17 48.67
Last 60 days 5-4 166-197 50.65 5-4-0 163-183-17 48.67
Last 90 days 5-4 166-197 50.65 5-4-0 163-183-17 48.67
Vs. Right handed pitchers 3-2 118-138 53.05 4-1-0 122-122-12 35
Coming off vs. Right handed pitcher 4-3 110-138 50.75 4-3-0 109-130-9 48.63
Coming off win vs. Right handed pitcher 2-1 43-66 53.06 1-2-0 51-51-7 58.34
TEAM: SAN FRANCISCO
Offensive Stats Defensive Stats
All Games Avg 4.23 4.05
Home Games Avg 3.56 3.44
Road Games Avg 4.69 4.46
Last 3 Games Avg 5 6.67
Last 5 Games Avg 4 5.2
Last 10 Games Avg 3.2 3.7
vs. Division Games Avg 4.23 4.05
vs. Conference Games Avg 4.23 4.05
vs. Non Conference Games Avg N/A N/A
vs. Top Ranked Games Avg 4.08 3.92
vs. Middle Ranked Games Avg N/A N/A
vs. Bottom Ranked Games Avg 4.4 4.2
After a Win Games Avg 3.64 3.91
After a Lost Games Avg 4.4 3.8
After a SU Road Win Games Avg 5.17 5
After a SU Road Lost Games Avg 4.5 3.5
After a SU Home Win Games Avg 1.8 2.6
After a SU Home Lost Games Avg 4.25 4.25
After an Over Games Avg 4.27 3.73
After an Under Games Avg 3.89 3.56
After a Push Games Avg 2 8
3.98 4.32

 

The Giants might have some of the coldest bats in the league, but their defense is world class and it’s where their strength lies.

 

 

Tonight’s Prediction: SAN FRANCISCO to win 4-3.

 

 

 

 

 

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