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San Diego Padres (Cashner) vs. Washington Nationals (Tanner Roark) – Preview April 26th, 2014

San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals
Preview April 26th, 2014

San Diego Padres
San Diego Padres 
O/U :74.58
Vs.Date: 2014-04-26
Time: 12:05:00Generated from 47 Previous Games
Washington Nationals
Washington Nationals
SIDE :-110
4.06 = 8.64

PITCHING

Starting the bump for San Diego today is Andrew Cashner:

  • Historically, Cashner is basically untested vs these WSH batters.

Starting on the mound for Washington today is Tanner Roark:

  • Historically, Roark is completely untested vs these SDP batters.

So without a good historical sample, we can only assess these two on how they’ve been performing lately.

  • Cashner is throwing a strong 2.10ERA
  • Cashner is throwing questionable on the road 4.50ERA
  • Cashner is throwing 2.02ERA L3G
  • Roark is throwing a solid 3.80ERA this season.
  • Roark is throwing a flawless 0.00ERA across 6.7IP.
  • Roark is 3.22ERA L3G

 

  • Cashner threw a mind-boggling 11SO vs DET on the 11th, but has been cooling down to where he gave up 4ER in 6IP in his last outing.
  • Roark has been the opposite of Cashner. Roark gave up 5ER three games ago, 3ER two games ago, 0ER last game.

The conclusion is simple. Roark has been dialing in while Cashner is tuning out.

 

 

BATTING

  • SDP is batting 29th in the league with a .616OPS in the Regular Season so far.
    SDP is averaging 2.4 runs on the road this season.
    SDP is averaging 2.7 runs vs Righty Starters.

 

  • WSH is batting 9th in the league with a .742OPS in the Regular Season so far.
    WSH is averaging 3.9 runs at home this season.
    WSH is averaging 4.1 runs vs Righty Starters.

 

So Washington has an reasonable advantage at the plate, but it should be noted that it’s not that they’re so mighty, but more to the point is that the Padres have been struggling hard at bat so things should be a little more forgiving for Washington if they get in a tight spot with Padres’ runners on.

 

BULLPEN

  • The Padres have a rock-solid 2.02ERA in the pen so far this season.
    They have a deadly 2.97ERA on the road as well.
  • The Nationals have an elite 2.09ERA in the pen so far this season.
    They are the league’s best with a 1.36ERA at home.

Both teams have solid pens to shut down scoring late in the game, but with that said, we could argue a small advantage for Washington on the point of bullpens.

 

 

ATS STATS

When SAN DIEGO team played as a Road team – During a day game – Before a conference game – Scored 1 or less runs FOR in their last game – Coming off a Loss vs. NL EAST opponent: SU 6-12-0

 

When WASHINGTON team Played as Home team as a Favorite – Vs Conference Opponent – Vs Non Division Opponent – Coming off 1 over – Coming off a 1 game win: SU 13-4-0

When WASHINGTON team played as a Home team – Last 2 years – During the month of April – Coming off a Home win as a Favorite – Coming off a Home win: SU 13-5-0

When WASHINGTON team Played as Home team as a Favorite – Vs Conference Opponent – Vs. Right handed pitchers – Coming off vs. Left handed pitcher – Coming off a Home win: SU 26-13-0

When WASHINGTON team Played as home team as a Favorite – 3rd game of a series – Vs Non Division Opponent: SU 83-49-0

When WASHINGTON Played as a Favorite – During Last 4 Years – With 1 Over or More: SU99 – 65 – 0

 

ATS Stats makes a case for Washington, albeit, it’s not the strongest case we’ve see, but in combination with everything else, I think that WSH is justifying a small wager considering that the WSH ML is paying even odds.

 

 

RAYMOND REPORT

SAN DIEGOTeam Name: SAN DIEGO(Road Team)
Money Line: SAN DIEGO +100 vs WASHINGTON -110
Spread Line: SAN DIEGO +1.5 -220 —– WASHINGTON -1.5 +180
O/U: SAN DIEGO 7 -120 —– WASHINGTON 7 +100
Pitchers: SAN DIEGO – A Cashner (R) vs WASHINGTON – T Roark (R)
Game Date: Saturday,April 26 2014 12:05 PM
Last Game: lost 1 – 11 vs Washington Nationals
Current Game: Washington Nationals
Next Game: At WASHINGTON
Stats & Trends: SAN DIEGO vs. WASHINGTON
PVI Rating on Winning: 45.83%
PVI Rating on game going UNDER: 77.27%
Road Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 61.22%
Streaks: 1 SU Lost – 1 Over
Road Teams % of winning this game: 43%
Road Teams % of this game going UNDER: 56%
Road Teams Predicted Runs For: 2.47
Road Teams Predicted Runs Against: 3.67
WASHINGTONTeam Name: WASHINGTON(Home Team)
Money Line: WASHINGTON -110 vs SAN DIEGO +100
Spread Line: WASHINGTON -1.5 +180 —– SAN DIEGO +1.5 -220
O/U: WASHINGTON 7 +100 —– SAN DIEGO 7 -120
Pitchers: WASHINGTON – T Roark (R) vs SAN DIEGO – A Cashner (R)
Game Date: Saturday,April 26 2014 12:05 PM
Last Game: win 1 – 11 vs San Diego Padres
Current Game: San Diego Padres
Next Game: Vs. SAN DIEGO
Stats & Trends: WASHINGTON vs. SAN DIEGO
PVI Rating on Winning: 54.17%
PVI Rating on game going UNDER: 31.82%
Road Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 48.98%
Streaks: 1 SU Win – 1 Over
Home Teams % of winning this game: 50%
Home Teams % of this game going UNDER: 50%
Home Teams Predicted Runs For: 4.82
Home Teams Predicted Runs Against: 3.96

 

 

 

Today’s Prediction: WASHINGTON to win 5-3.

 

 

 

 

 

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