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San Diego Padres (Stults) vs. San Francisco Giants (Cain) – Preview April 29th, 2014

San Diego Padres
San Diego Padres 
O/U :73.49
Vs.Date: 2014-04-29
Time: 21:15:00Generated from 29 Previous Games
San Francisco Giants
San Francisco Giants
SIDE :-160
3.23 = 6.72

 

You know what? We would be remiss not to cover this game as well.
In our travels through ATS STATS we noticed something that is worth a consideration.

Instead of breaking down the bump, the plate, the pen, and the history…instead we’ll just look at the ATS STATS as well as the Raymond Report. The case is strong enough that the Red, Green, and Blue stars should speak for themselves.

It’s very rare to see a case this strong for any team or any matchup, and when we see this kind of strength from ATS STATS, the wins hit hard, real hard.

Let’s get into it!

 

 

ATS STATS to support SFG:

 

ATS STATS to threaten SFG:

 

 

 

RAYMOND REPORT

RAYMOND REPORT FOR MLB

Game Date – 2014-04-29
Road Team :- (3015) SAN DIEGO
Home Team :- (3016 )SAN FRANCISCO

 

SAN DIEGOTeam Name: SAN DIEGO(Road Team)
Money Line: SAN DIEGO +147 vs SAN FRANCISCO -160
Spread Line: SAN DIEGO +1.5 -160 —– SAN FRANCISCO -1.5 +140
O/U: SAN DIEGO 6.5 -130 —– SAN FRANCISCO 6.5 +110
Pitchers: SAN DIEGO – E Stults (L) vs SAN FRANCISCO – M Cain (R)
Game Date: Tuesday,April 29 2014 9:15 PM
Last Game: 0 – 0 vs San Francisco Giants
Current Game: San Francisco Giants
Next Game: At SAN FRANCISCO
Stats & Trends: SAN DIEGO vs. SAN FRANCISCO
PVI Rating on Winning: 46.15%
PVI Rating on game going UNDER: 79.17%
Road Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 55.1%
Streaks: 1 SU Win – 2 Under
Road Teams % of winning this game: 41%
Road Teams % of this game going UNDER: 58%
Road Teams Predicted Runs For: 2.27
Road Teams Predicted Runs Against: 3.3
Road Team
(SAN DIEGO)
When SAN DIEGO is a Road Team When Any MLB Team is a Road Team Differential % When SAN DIEGO is a Road Team,the O/U When Any MLB Team is a Road Team,the O/U Differential % on game going UNDER
Situations Current Season Current Season Differential % Current Season Current Season Differential %
SU SU O/U/P O/U/P
Total is 6.5 1-1 20-21 49.39 1-1-0 18-23-0 53.05
vs Division opponent 1-0 109-132 72.62 1-0-0 115-112-14 24.67
vs Conference opponent 4-6 49-58 42.9 2-7-1 45-54-8 66.17
Playing in the month of April 6-9 176-225 41.95 4-10-1 179-199-23 62.04
Playing on Tuesday 1-1 27-31 48.28 1-1-0 23-33-2 54.47
Played as road Underdog 6-8 121-172 42.08 3-10-1 128-147-18 65.19
After a Division Game 0-2 100-127 22.03 1-1-0 112-102-13 48.83
After a Conference Game 4-7 51-61 40.95 2-8-1 44-59-9 68.64
vs NL WEST Division Opponent 1-0 38-31 77.54 1-0-0 34-30-5 23.44
vs NL Conference Opponent 5-6 105-120 46.06 3-7-1 96-112-17 61.93
Coming off vs NL WEST Division Opponent 0-2 31-33 24.22 1-1-0 31-28-5 48.73
Coming off vs National Conference Opponent 5-7 98-115 43.84 3-8-1 95-102-16 62.26
Coming off a 2 winning streak (since 1996) 68-86 18-24 43.51 71-78-5 19-21-2 52.43
Coming off 1 over 1-3 38-51 33.85 0-4-0 42-39-8 74.08
Coming off a win 1-3 67-96 33.05 2-2-0 86-72-5 47.79
Coming off a Road Win as a Underdog 1-2 26-45 34.98 2-1-0 38-30-3 38.73
During a night game 3-7 116-141 37.57 4-5-1 122-118-17 52.37
Coming off a 8 road trip (since 1996) 7-8 0-4 23.34 10-4-1 1-3-0 51.79
Coming off a 2 runs win 1-1 15-17 48.44 1-1-0 16-15-1 49.2
Coming off a score 6 runs FOR in last game 1-1 17-15 51.57 0-2-0 13-18-1 79.03
Coming off a score 4 runs AGAINST in last game 2-1 27-22 60.89 0-3-0 21-27-1 78.13
vs. opponent with a 51% to 60% winning % 4-3 39-51 50.24 2-4-1 44-39-7 56.83
vs SAN FRANCISCO (since 1996) 59-84 5-8 39.86 79-60-4 7-6-0 44.66
Coming off a Win over NL WEST division opponent (since 1996) 108-146 13-16 43.68 130-113-11 16-10-3 42.48
Coming off a game that went over 1-3 38-51 33.85 0-4-0 42-39-8 74.08
Coming off a night game 4-7 112-132 41.13 3-7-1 104-124-16 62.2
Coming off a game 1 of a series 1-3 54-63 35.58 2-2-0 57-52-8 48.86
Coming off a win in game 1 of a series 0-1 20-24 22.73 1-0-0 22-20-2 23.81
Last 30 days 6-9 182-233 41.93 4-10-1 186-205-24 61.93
Last 45 days 6-9 184-233 42.06 4-10-1 187-206-24 61.93
Last 60 days 6-9 184-233 42.06 4-10-1 187-206-24 61.93
Last 90 days 6-9 184-233 42.06 4-10-1 187-206-24 61.93
Vs. Right handed pitchers 5-9 131-174 39.33 3-10-1 137-151-17 64.68
Coming off vs. Left handed pitcher 0-5 40-67 18.69 3-2-0 51-51-5 45
Coming off win vs. Left handed pitcher (since 1996) 71-101 20-27 41.92 85-79-8 27-20-0 45.36
TEAM: SAN DIEGO
Offensive Stats Defensive Stats
All Games Avg 2.68 3.36
Home Games Avg 3 2.62
Road Games Avg 2.4 4
Last 3 Games Avg 3.33 3.33
Last 5 Games Avg 3 4.8
Last 10 Games Avg 2.8 3.9
vs. Division Games Avg 2.91 2.82
vs. Conference Games Avg 2.57 3.62
vs. Non Conference Games Avg 3 2.57
vs. Top Ranked Games Avg 2.8 3.47
vs. Middle Ranked Games Avg 2.78 3.44
vs. Bottom Ranked Games Avg 2 2.75
After a Win Games Avg 2.75 3.67
After a Lost Games Avg 2.36 2.93
After a SU Road Win Games Avg 3 4
After a SU Road Lost Games Avg 2 2.5
After a SU Home Win Games Avg 2.57 3.43
After a SU Home Lost Games Avg 2.83 3.5
After an Over Games Avg 1.4 3
After an Under Games Avg 3.05 3.15
After a Push Games Avg 2 7.5
2.27 3.3
SAN FRANCISCOTeam Name: SAN FRANCISCO(Home Team)
Money Line: SAN FRANCISCO -160 vs SAN DIEGO +147
Spread Line: SAN FRANCISCO -1.5 +140 —– SAN DIEGO +1.5 -160
O/U: SAN FRANCISCO 6.5 +110 —– SAN DIEGO 6.5 -130
Pitchers: SAN FRANCISCO – M Cain (R) vs SAN DIEGO – E Stults (L)
Game Date: Tuesday,April 29 2014 9:15 PM
Last Game: 0 – 0 vs San Diego Padres
Current Game: San Diego Padres
Next Game: Vs. SAN DIEGO
Stats & Trends: SAN FRANCISCO vs. SAN DIEGO
PVI Rating on Winning: 60%
PVI Rating on game going UNDER: 45.83%
Road Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 48.98%
Streaks: 4 SU Win – 1 Under
Home Teams % of winning this game: 52%
Home Teams % of this game going UNDER: 52%
Home Teams Predicted Runs For: 3.96
Home Teams Predicted Runs Against: 3.57
Home Team
(SAN FRANCISCO)
When SAN FRANCISCO is a Home Team When Any MLB Team is a Home Team Differential % When SAN FRANCISCO is a Home Team,the O/U When Any MLB Team is a Home Team,the O/U Differential % on game going UNDER
Situations Current Season Current Season Differential % Current Season Current Season Differential %
SU SU O/U/P O/U/P
Total is 6.5 1-1 19-22 48.17 2-0-0 18-23-0 28.05
vs Division opponent 5-5 110-131 47.82 6-4-0 115-112-14 44.67
vs Conference opponent (since 1996) 390-294 51-56 52.34 323-334-27 45-54-8 52.7
Playing in the month of April 8-5 187-214 54.09 7-6-0 179-199-23 49.4
Playing on Tuesday 2-0 21-37 68.11 1-1-0 23-33-2 54.47
Played as home Favorite 7-5 143-138 54.61 7-5-0 128-135-18 46.5
After a Division Game 6-4 108-124 53.28 5-5-0 110-107-15 49.66
After a Conference Game 1-0 56-59 74.35 0-1-0 47-60-8 78.04
vs NL WEST Division Opponent 5-5 32-35 48.88 6-4-0 31-32-4 45.4
vs NL Conference Opponent 5-5 103-119 48.2 6-4-0 91-114-17 47.81
Coming off vs NL WEST Division Opponent 6-4 31-33 54.22 5-5-0 27-33-4 52.5
Coming off vs National Conference Opponent 6-4 102-116 53.4 5-5-0 86-115-17 53.61
Coming off 1 over 3-0 45-49 73.94 0-3-0 44-43-7 74.72
Coming off a lost 3-1 122-111 63.68 4-0-0 108-114-11 25.68
Coming off a Home Lost as a Favorite 2-1 60-45 61.91 3-0-0 50-52-3 25.49
During a night game 4-3 114-143 50.75 4-3-0 122-118-17 46.02
Coming off a 4 home stand (since 1996) 10-5 2-4 50 5-10-0 1-4-1 73.34
Coming off a 2 runs loss (since 1996) 57-51 15-19 48.45 54-51-3 18-15-1 47.01
Coming off a score 4 runs FOR in last game 0-1 19-30 19.39 1-0-0 21-24-4 26.67
Coming off a score 6 runs AGAINST in last game 2-0 21-15 79.17 2-0-0 17-18-1 25.72
vs. opponent with a 41% to 50% winning % 4-2 73-78 57.51 4-2-0 66-73-12 42.93
vs SAN DIEGO (since 1996) 84-59 8-7 56.04 79-60-4 4-10-1 57.3
Coming off a Lost over NL WEST division opponent 3-1 15-10 67.5 4-0-0 18-7-0 14
Coming off a game that went over 3-0 45-49 73.94 0-3-0 44-43-7 74.72
Coming off a night game 4-3 117-141 51.25 4-3-0 113-129-16 48.09
Coming off a game 1 of a series 2-2 55-62 48.51 2-2-0 57-52-8 48.86
Coming off a lost in game 1 of a series (since 1996) 104-83 25-25 52.81 85-91-11 25-23-2 49.81
Last 30 days 8-5 195-220 54.27 7-6-0 186-205-24 49.29
Last 45 days 8-5 195-222 54.15 7-6-0 187-206-24 49.29
Last 60 days 8-5 195-222 54.15 7-6-0 187-206-24 49.29
Last 90 days 8-5 195-222 54.15 7-6-0 187-206-24 49.29
Vs. Left handed pitchers 2-2 56-62 48.73 1-3-0 49-64-5 65.82
Coming off vs. Right handed pitcher 6-4 132-153 53.16 6-4-0 125-148-12 47.11
Coming off lost vs. Right handed pitcher 2-1 77-82 57.55 3-0-0 69-83-7 27.31
TEAM: SAN FRANCISCO
Offensive Stats Defensive Stats
All Games Avg 4.27 3.85
Home Games Avg 3.85 3.23
Road Games Avg 4.69 4.46
Last 3 Games Avg 4.33 3.33
Last 5 Games Avg 6 4.2
Last 10 Games Avg 3.9 3.9
vs. Division Games Avg 4.22 4.13
vs. Conference Games Avg 4.22 4.13
vs. Non Conference Games Avg 4.67 1.67
vs. Top Ranked Games Avg 4.33 5
vs. Middle Ranked Games Avg 3.83 2.83
vs. Bottom Ranked Games Avg 4.43 3.79
After a Win Games Avg 3.87 3.6
After a Lost Games Avg 4.4 3.8
After a SU Road Win Games Avg 5.14 4.43
After a SU Road Lost Games Avg 4.5 3.5
After a SU Home Win Games Avg 2.75 2.88
After a SU Home Lost Games Avg 4.25 4.25
After an Over Games Avg 4.31 3.31
After an Under Games Avg 4 3.73
After a Push Games Avg 2 8
3.96 3.57

 

With a case on ATS that is this strong…we almost don’t have to mention:

  • how the GIANTS have the best home-pen in the league, w/ a mind-blowing 0.79ERA.
  • how MATT CAIN is throwing a 1.29ERA at home.
  • how the GIANTS are 13-6 L3S when playing at San Francisco.
  • how the PADRES average 2.8r/g or less across all games, road games and vs RHs

Yes, the Padres also have a good pen, but at the end of the day, when so much goes so wrong even with 4:1 considerations in favour of a pick, there is no reason to think that this 1:4 consideration should affect the result of this contest.

 

 

Tonight’s Prediction: SAN FRANCISCO to win 4-3.

 

 

 

 

 

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