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Baltimore Orioles (Norris) vs. Tampa Bay Rays (Ramos) – Preview May 7th, 2014

Baltimore Orioles
Baltimore Orioles 
O/U :7.54.79
Vs.Date: 2014-05-07
Time: 18:10:00Generated from 51 Previous Games
Tampa Bay Devil Rays
Tampa Bay Devil Rays
SIDE :-122
3.81 = 8.6

 

PITCHING

Starting on the bump today for the Orioles is Bud Norris:

  • Norris has given up 37AB vs 4/11 TBR hitters over .300AVG.
  • Norris has given up 41AB vs 7/11 TBR hitters under .300AVG.
  • Norris is 3.94ERA all games this season.
  • Norris is 6.23ERA on the road this season.
  • Norris is 4.08ERA L3G.

Starting on the bump today for the Rays is Cesar Ramos:

  • Ramos has given up 17AB vs 2/7 BAL hitters over .300AVG.
  • Ramos has given up 22AB vs 5/7 BAL hitters under .300AVG.
  • Ramos is 2.91ERA all games this season.
  • Ramos is 1.80ERA at home this season.
  • Ramos is 1.23ERA L3G.

Did you know:

  • NORRIS is 1-1 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 4.24 and a WHIP of 1.588.His team’s record is 1-2 (-0.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-2. (-1.5 units)
  • BALTIMORE have frigid bats when facing lefties. They average only 2.5 runs/game when facing LH pitchers.

It’s extremely tough to see where Baltimore can find an advantage in today’s contest.

From what we’ve seen and the games we’ve picked, this is just about one of the strongest ‘real-time’ positions that we’ve even gotten to analyze. Tampa is absolutely a steal at -120.

 

 

BATTING

  • Baltimore are 15th in the league with a .710OPS.
  • Baltimore is 5.4 runs/game on the road.
  • Baltimore is 2.5 runs/game against LH pitchers.
  • Tampa Bay is 11th in the league with a .725OPS.
  • Tampa Bay is 5.5 runs/game at home.
  • Tampa Bay is 4.5 runs/game against LH pitchers.

The Rays have the stronger bats by far. It’s very difficult to see where Baltimore could find enough lumber to outdo Tampa Bay here today.

 

 

BULLPEN

  • Baltimore bullpen is 3.84ERA all games.
  • Baltimore bullpen is 4.21ERA on the road.
  • Tampa Bay bullpen is 4.13ERA allE games.
  • Tampa Bay bullpen is 3.36ERA at home.

Bullpens are even. Whatever score it is going into the 6th should be be the same spread leaving the 9th.

All indications have TBR standing far better here.

 

 

ATS STATS

ATS Stats to SUPPORT the TBR prediction:

When BALTIMORE team played as a road team – Vs. Left handed pitchers – Vs Division Opponent 51-101-0

When TAMPA BAY team played as a -120 to -140 home Favorite – Vs. Right handed pitchers – Playing on Wednesday 13-4-0

When TAMPA BAY team Played as Home team as a Favorite – Vs Conference Opponent – During the month of May – Coming off lost vs. Right handed pitcher – Coming off vs. Right handed pitcher 17-9-0

When TAMPA BAY team played as a Home team – Vs. Right handed pitchers – Playing on Wednesday – Coming off a Loss vs. AL EAST opponent – Scored 3 or more runs FOR in their last game 12-6-0

When BALTIMORE team played as a Road team – After a division game – Playing on Wednesday – Coming off 1 over – Coming off a Win vs. AL EAST opponent 3-11-0

When BALTIMORE team played as a Road team – Vs AL Conference – After a division game – Coming off a Win vs. AL EAST opponent – Coming off a 2 run win 15-30-0

When BALTIMORE team played as a Road team – During a night game – Playing on Wednesday – Scored 5 or more runs FOR in their last game – Coming off a 1 game win 10-23-0

When BALTIMORE team played as a Road team – Vs AL Conference – Before a conference game – Scored 5 or more runs FOR in their last game – Coming off a 2 run win 9-24-0

When ANY MLB Team Played as Home team as a Favorite – Vs. Right handed pitchers – After a conference game – Playing on Wednesday – Coming off a Loss vs. AL EAST opponent – Coming off vs. Right handed pitcher – Allowed 5 runs or less AGAINST in their last game 29-8-0

 

We won’t post all of them today, but ATS is clearly favouring the Rays.

 

 

RAYMOND REPORT FOR MLB

Game Date – 2014-05-07
Road Team :- (3021) BALTIMORE
Home Team :- (3022 )TAMPA BAY

 

BALTIMORETeam Name: BALTIMORE(Road Team)
Money Line: BALTIMORE +125 vs TAMPA BAY -135
Spread Line: BALTIMORE +1.5 -175 —– TAMPA BAY -1.5 +155
O/U: BALTIMORE 8 +100 —– TAMPA BAY 8 -120
Pitchers: BALTIMORE – B Norris (R) vs TAMPA BAY – C Ramos (L)
Game Date: Wednesday,May 07 2014 6:10 PM
Last Game: win 5 – 3 vs Tampa Bay Devil Rays
Current Game: Tampa Bay Devil Rays
Next Game: At TAMPA BAY
Stats & Trends: BALTIMORE vs. TAMPA BAY
PVI Rating on Winning: 51.72%
PVI Rating on game going UNDER: 53.57%
Road Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 36.74%
Streaks: 1 SU Win – 1 Over
Road Teams % of winning this game: 48%
Road Teams % of this game going UNDER: 42%
Road Teams Predicted Runs For: 3.42
Road Teams Predicted Runs Against: 3.75
Road Team
(BALTIMORE)
When BALTIMORE is a Road Team When Any MLB Team is a Road Team Differential % When BALTIMORE is a Road Team,the O/U When Any MLB Team is a Road Team,the O/U Differential % on game going UNDER
Situations Current Season Current Season Differential % Current Season Current Season Differential %
SU SU O/U/P O/U/P
Total is 8 2-4 34-44 38.46 4-2-0 35-39-4 43.02
vs Division opponent 7-4 134-165 54.23 9-2-0 140-137-22 33.82
vs Conference opponent 2-4 66-77 39.74 2-4-0 59-75-9 61.32
Playing in the month of May 2-2 41-49 47.78 1-3-0 39-45-6 64.29
Playing on Wednesday 2-0 35-49 70.84 2-0-0 31-49-4 30.63
Played as road Underdog 9-7 153-227 48.26 11-5-0 159-194-27 43.11
After a Division Game 6-4 125-165 51.55 9-1-0 138-132-20 29.45
After a Conference Game 1-4 68-86 32.08 2-3-0 60-84-10 59.17
vs AL EAST Division Opponent 7-4 38-47 54.18 9-2-0 36-46-3 37.14
vs AL Conference Opponent 9-8 104-141 47.7 11-6-0 110-125-10 44.24
Coming off vs AL EAST Division Opponent 6-4 32-45 50.78 9-1-0 33-42-2 33
Coming off vs American Conference Opponent 8-8 102-140 46.08 11-5-0 107-125-10 42.57
Coming off 1 over 2-2 47-66 45.8 3-1-0 54-48-11 36.03
Coming off a win 4-4 95-123 46.79 4-4-0 110-97-11 48.43
Coming off a Road Win as a Underdog 2-4 47-67 37.28 3-3-0 55-52-7 49.3
During a night game 6-2 157-197 59.68 7-1-0 163-166-25 31.48
Coming off a 4 road trip (since 1996) 9-10 2-7 34.8 11-7-1 2-6-1 56.95
Coming off a 2 runs win 1-1 22-22 50 1-1-0 24-19-1 47.1
Coming off a score 5 runs FOR in last game 2-0 21-23 73.87 1-1-0 19-20-5 50.64
Coming off a score 3 runs AGAINST in last game (since 1996) 72-114 25-33 40.91 97-77-12 28-25-5 45.71
vs. opponent with a 41% to 50% winning % 5-5 71-117 43.89 5-5-0 80-97-11 52.4
vs TAMPA BAY (since 1996) 65-76 8-7 49.72 66-70-5 11-4-0 39.07
Coming off a Win over AL EAST division opponent 3-2 12-21 48.18 4-1-0 16-17-0 35.76
Coming off a game that went over 2-2 47-66 45.8 3-1-0 54-48-11 36.03
Coming off a night game 3-3 149-181 47.58 4-2-0 142-165-23 43.54
Coming off a game 1 of a series 2-3 73-86 42.96 3-2-0 74-73-12 44.83
Coming off a win in game 1 of a series 0-2 31-34 23.85 0-2-0 30-31-4 75.41
Last 30 days 8-6 186-257 49.57 9-5-0 194-220-29 44.43
Last 45 days 9-8 235-303 48.31 11-6-0 237-267-34 44.14
Last 60 days 9-8 237-303 48.42 11-6-0 238-268-34 44.13
Last 90 days 9-8 237-303 48.42 11-6-0 238-268-34 44.13
Vs. Left handed pitchers 0-1 76-72 25.68 0-1-0 69-69-10 75
Coming off vs. Right handed pitcher 6-7 174-212 45.62 8-5-0 166-194-26 46.18
Coming off win vs. Right handed pitcher 4-4 65-85 46.67 4-4-0 73-68-9 49.12
TEAM: BALTIMORE
Offensive Stats Defensive Stats
All Games Avg 3.76 3.91
Home Games Avg 2.06 2.69
Road Games Avg 5.35 5.06
Last 3 Games Avg 2.67 4.67
Last 5 Games Avg 2.2 2.8
Last 10 Games Avg 2.2 2.6
vs. Division Games Avg 4.7 4.15
vs. Conference Games Avg 4.1 4.41
vs. Non Conference Games Avg 1.25 0.25
vs. Top Ranked Games Avg 4.33 6
vs. Middle Ranked Games Avg 3.95 4.05
vs. Bottom Ranked Games Avg 3.2 3
After a Win Games Avg 3.07 4.86
After a Lost Games Avg 5.07 4.21
After a SU Road Win Games Avg 3 4.75
After a SU Road Lost Games Avg 6.5 5.13
After a SU Home Win Games Avg 3.17 5
After a SU Home Lost Games Avg 3.17 3
After an Over Games Avg 4.5 4.25
After an Under Games Avg 3.58 4.05
After a Push Games Avg 0 0
3.42 3.75
TAMPA BAYTeam Name: TAMPA BAY(Home Team)
Money Line: TAMPA BAY -135 vs BALTIMORE +125
Spread Line: TAMPA BAY -1.5 +155 —– BALTIMORE +1.5 -175
O/U: TAMPA BAY 8 -120 —– BALTIMORE 8 +100
Pitchers: TAMPA BAY – C Ramos (L) vs BALTIMORE – B Norris (R)
Game Date: Wednesday,May 07 2014 6:10 PM
Last Game: lost 5 – 3 vs Baltimore Orioles
Current Game: Baltimore Orioles
Next Game: Vs. BALTIMORE
Stats & Trends: TAMPA BAY vs. BALTIMORE
PVI Rating on Winning: 41.94%
PVI Rating on game going UNDER: 36.67%
Road Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 42.86%
Streaks: 1 SU Lost – 1 Over
Home Teams % of winning this game: 47%
Home Teams % of this game going UNDER: 47%
Home Teams Predicted Runs For: 3.6
Home Teams Predicted Runs Against: 4.18
Home Team
(TAMPA BAY)
When TAMPA BAY is a Home Team When Any MLB Team is a Home Team Differential % When TAMPA BAY is a Home Team,the O/U When Any MLB Team is a Home Team,the O/U Differential % on game going UNDER
Situations Current Season Current Season Differential % Current Season Current Season Differential %
SU SU O/U/P O/U/P
Total is 8 1-1 37-41 48.72 2-0-0 35-39-4 26.35
vs Division opponent 4-5 134-165 44.63 6-3-0 140-137-22 41.4
vs Conference opponent 3-3 69-74 49.13 5-1-0 59-75-9 36.32
Playing in the month of May 0-1 40-50 22.22 1-0-0 39-45-6 26.79
Playing on Wednesday 0-2 37-47 22.03 1-1-0 31-49-4 55.63
Played as home Favorite 7-7 183-183 50 11-3-0 159-180-27 37.27
After a Division Game 5-5 138-156 48.47 7-3-0 136-136-22 40
After a Conference Game 3-3 79-79 50 5-1-0 62-86-10 37.39
vs AL EAST Division Opponent 4-5 41-45 46.06 6-3-0 41-43-2 42.26
vs AL Conference Opponent 7-8 113-138 45.85 11-4-0 121-121-9 38.34
Coming off vs AL EAST Division Opponent 5-5 39-50 46.91 7-3-0 43-44-2 40.29
Coming off vs American Conference Opponent 6-8 104-136 43.1 10-4-0 118-113-9 38.75
Coming off 1 over 2-2 57-65 48.36 3-1-0 59-53-10 36.16
Coming off a lost 4-3 155-155 53.57 6-1-0 141-152-17 33.09
Coming off a Home Lost as a Favorite 3-2 73-69 55.71 4-1-0 64-71-7 36.3
During a night game 6-5 154-200 49.03 9-2-0 163-166-25 34.32
Coming off a 2 runs loss 0-2 19-27 20.65 1-1-0 26-19-1 46.11
Coming off a score 3 runs FOR in last game (since 1996) 93-69 21-37 46.81 65-95-2 26-26-6 54.69
Coming off a score 5 runs AGAINST in last game 2-0 23-19 77.38 2-0-0 20-19-3 24.36
vs. opponent with a 51% to 60% winning % 1-2 52-57 40.52 2-1-0 42-57-10 45.46
vs BALTIMORE (since 1996) 76-65 8-9 50.48 66-70-5 11-6-0 43.38
Coming off a Lost over AL EAST division opponent 3-2 26-19 58.89 4-1-0 23-20-2 33.26
Coming off a game that went over 2-2 57-65 48.36 3-1-0 59-53-10 36.16
Coming off a night game 5-5 155-194 47.21 7-3-0 154-172-23 41.38
Coming off a game 1 of a series 2-2 72-87 47.64 3-1-0 74-73-12 37.33
Coming off a lost in game 1 of a series 1-0 34-41 72.67 1-0-0 34-36-5 25.72
Last 30 days 3-5 205-238 41.89 7-1-0 194-220-29 32.82
Last 45 days 7-8 247-291 46.29 11-4-0 237-267-34 39.83
Last 60 days 7-8 247-293 46.21 11-4-0 238-268-34 39.82
Last 90 days 7-8 247-293 46.21 11-4-0 238-268-34 39.82
Vs. Right handed pitchers 6-5 176-211 50.02 9-2-0 177-187-23 34.78
Coming off vs. Right handed pitcher 3-5 169-203 41.47 6-2-0 161-190-21 39.57
Coming off lost vs. Right handed pitcher 0-3 106-117 23.77 2-1-0 95-116-12 44.16
TEAM: TAMPA BAY
Offensive Stats Defensive Stats
All Games Avg 3.91 4.24
Home Games Avg 5.47 4.2
Road Games Avg 2.68 4.26
Last 3 Games Avg 3.67 5
Last 5 Games Avg 4.2 4
Last 10 Games Avg 3.4 4.3
vs. Division Games Avg 4.11 3.83
vs. Conference Games Avg 4.06 4.23
vs. Non Conference Games Avg 2.33 4.33
vs. Top Ranked Games Avg 2.33 4.33
vs. Middle Ranked Games Avg 3.28 4.22
vs. Bottom Ranked Games Avg 5.15 4.23
After a Win Games Avg 4 5.08
After a Lost Games Avg 3.65 4
After a SU Road Win Games Avg 2.67 7
After a SU Road Lost Games Avg 2.2 3.3
After a SU Home Win Games Avg 5.14 3.43
After a SU Home Lost Games Avg 5.71 5
After an Over Games Avg 4.56 4.39
After an Under Games Avg 3 4.5
After a Push Games Avg 0 0
3.6 4.18

 

Despite the Report showing evenish strength, we’re confident that there will prove to be more than enough real-time firepower to see the Rays into the win column.

Tonight will be the FIRST TIME that we suggest a double unit play.
At this price, we need to get it while it’s hot.
The value is insane, and what’s more, TBR batters happen to like facing RH pitchers, in night games, while playing at home.

 

 

Tonight’s Prediction: TAMPA BAY to win 7-3.

 

 

 

 

 

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