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Los Angeles Dodgers (Beckett) vs. Philadelphia Phillies (Burnett) – Preview May 25th, 2014

WorldSeriesOfHandicapping.com

Los Angeles Dodgers
Los Angeles Dodgers 
SIDE :-108

4.36

Vs.

Date: 2014-05-25
Time: 12:35:00

Generated from 49 Previous Games

Philadelphia Phillies
Philadelphia Phillies
O/U :7.5

3.22 = 7.58

 

PITCHING

Beckett, in for LAD, is throwing a mediocre 4.32ERA at away games so far this season.
Burnett, in for PHI, is throwing a solid 2.42ERA at home.

That said, when we look at other splits, we see that Becket has thrown 3.28ERA across 24.2IP in the month of May, while Burnett has taken a dive to a very shaky 5.32ERA so far this month across 22IP.

  • Beckett is 2.50ERA L3G
  • Burnett is 6.75ERA L3G

LAD looks to have the better starter here today.

 

BULLPEN

Dodger’s Pen is 4.15 all games, and 4.85 on the road.
Phillies’ Pen is 4.62 all games, but only 3.62 at home.

 

BATTING

  • Dodgers are batting a solid 7th in the league with a .744OPS
  • Phillies are batting a below average 17th in the league with a .698OPS
  • Dodgers are batting 4.6 runs per game when on the road.
  • Phillies are batting 3.5 runs per game when at home.

Historically, Beckett faces only 2 threats in the Phillies lineup:

  • Brown is batting 1.000 across 2 at bats vs Beckett.
  • Howard is batting .333 across 3 at bats vs Beckett.

Historically, Burnett faces multiple  threats in the Dodgers’ lineup:

  • Ethier is .429 across 7 at bats vs Burnett.
  • Figgins is .667 across 9 at bats vs Burnett.
  • Ramirez is .600 across 5 at bats vs Burnett.
  • Turner is .333 across 3 at bats vs Burnett.

It looks like there might be a buzz in the Dodgers’ lockerroom regarding how to beat Burnett on the mound. LAD should definitely have a clear advantage hitting today.

 

UMPIRE

Brian Knight is a well balanced ‘run of mill’ blue. He’s tallied a 5-4 record for the home team and a 5-4 O/U so he shouldn’t be a factor in tonight’s decision.

 

RAYMOND REPORT

RAYMOND REPORT FOR MLB

Game Date – 2014-05-25
Road Team :- (3009) LOS ANGELES
Home Team :- (3010 )PHILADELPHIA

 

LOS ANGELESTeam Name: LOS ANGELES(Road Team)
Money Line: LOS ANGELES -117 vs PHILADELPHIA +107
Spread Line: LOS ANGELES -1.5 +145 —– PHILADELPHIA +1.5 -165
O/U: LOS ANGELES 8 -105 —– PHILADELPHIA 8 -115
Pitchers: LOS ANGELES – J Beckett (R) vs PHILADELPHIA – A J Burnett (R)
Game Date: Sunday,May 25 2014 12:35 PM
Last Game: lost 3 – 5 vs Philadelphia Phillies
Current Game: Philadelphia Phillies
Next Game: Vs. CINCINNATI
Stats & Trends: LOS ANGELES vs. PHILADELPHIA
PVI Rating on Winning: 52%
PVI Rating on game going UNDER: 44.68%
Road Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 40.82%
Streaks: 1 SU Lost – 2 Under
Road Teams % of winning this game: 50%
Road Teams % of this game going UNDER: 55%
Road Teams Predicted Runs For: 3.96
Road Teams Predicted Runs Against: 4.01
Road Team
(LOS ANGELES)
When LOS ANGELES is a Road Team When Any MLB Team is a Road Team Differential % When LOS ANGELES is a Road Team,the O/U When Any MLB Team is a Road Team,the O/U Differential % on game going UNDER
Situations Current Season Current Season Differential % Current Season Current Season Differential %
SU SU O/U/P O/U/P
Total is 8 1-3 44-66 32.5 2-2-0 49-54-7 51.22
vs Non-Division opponent 8-7 189-252 48.1 8-6-1 176-235-30 50.02
vs Conference opponent 5-6 129-153 45.6 6-4-1 112-146-24 48.3
Playing in the month of May 8-8 155-199 46.9 8-7-1 147-176-31 50.58
Playing on Sunday 1-3 48-63 34.12 2-2-0 45-60-6 53.57
Played as road Favorite 14-8 125-111 58.31 11-10-1 110-113-13 49.15
After a Non-Division Game 9-6 191-245 51.91 7-7-1 171-234-31 53.89
After a Conference Game 5-6 136-159 45.78 5-5-1 118-154-23 53.31
vs NL WEST Division Opponent 9-5 61-61 57.15 4-10-0 59-55-8 59.84
vs NL Conference Opponent 14-11 185-241 49.72 10-14-1 181-206-39 55.78
Coming off vs NL EAST Division Opponent 5-5 52-79 44.85 4-5-1 55-62-14 54.28
Coming off vs National Conference Opponent 11-11 172-238 45.98 8-13-1 176-199-35 57.49
Coming off 2 under 2-0 43-57 71.5 0-2-0 38-54-8 79.35
Coming off a lost 11-4 212-266 58.84 5-10-0 186-252-40 62.1
Coming off a Road Lost as a Favorite 5-1 50-48 67.18 3-3-0 40-52-6 53.26
During a day game 4-4 114-153 46.35 3-5-0 108-142-17 59.65
Coming off a 8 road trip (since 1996) 14-10 2-5 43.45 10-13-1 2-5-0 63.98
Coming off a 2 runs loss 3-0 37-24 80.33 1-2-0 23-35-3 63.51
Coming off a score 3 runs FOR in last game 5-1 53-55 66.2 2-4-0 51-53-4 58.82
Coming off a score 5 runs AGAINST in last game 3-1 43-51 60.37 2-2-0 43-41-10 49.41
vs. opponent with a 41% to 50% winning % 6-4 125-180 50.49 5-4-1 131-154-20 49.24
vs PHILADELPHIA (since 1996) 31-35 13-12 49.49 29-35-2 11-13-1 54.43
Coming off a Lost over NL EAST division opponent 4-1 33-46 60.89 2-3-0 26-42-11 60.88
Coming off a day game 1-4 115-151 31.62 1-4-0 121-132-13 66.09
Split 1st 2 games of a series 3-3 56-81 45.44 2-4-0 53-79-5 63.26
Coming off a lost in game 2 of a series 2-1 33.34 0-3-0 50
Last 30 days 9-9 188-253 46.32 9-8-1 183-216-42 50.6
Last 45 days 13-11 283-380 48.43 11-12-1 280-330-53 53.14
Last 60 days 15-12 349-453 49.54 11-15-1 345-398-59 55.63
Last 90 days 17-12 351-453 51.14 12-16-1 346-399-59 55.35
Vs. Right handed pitchers 12-11 238-340 46.68 10-12-1 241-294-43 54.75
Coming off vs. Right handed pitcher 12-6 257-318 55.69 8-9-1 240-291-44 53.87
Coming off lost vs. Right handed pitcher 8-3 151-187 58.7 4-7-0 129-185-24 61.28
TEAM: LOS ANGELES
Offensive Stats Defensive Stats
All Games Avg 4.18 4.16
Home Games Avg 3.82 4.73
Road Games Avg 4.45 3.72
Last 3 Games Avg 2.67 3.33
Last 5 Games Avg 4.2 3.4
Last 10 Games Avg 4.8 5.4
vs. Division Games Avg 4.15 4.04
vs. Conference Games Avg 4.11 4.27
vs. Non Conference Games Avg 4.67 3.33
vs. Top Ranked Games Avg 3.86 4.67
vs. Middle Ranked Games Avg 3.33 3.33
vs. Bottom Ranked Games Avg 4.52 3.85
After a Win Games Avg 3.96 5.15
After a Lost Games Avg 4.22 3
After a SU Road Win Games Avg 4.24 4.88
After a SU Road Lost Games Avg 3.8 3.1
After a SU Home Win Games Avg 3.44 5.67
After a SU Home Lost Games Avg 4.54 2.92
After an Over Games Avg 4.31 3.96
After an Under Games Avg 4.24 4.57
After a Push Games Avg 1.67 2.67
3.96 4.01
PHILADELPHIATeam Name: PHILADELPHIA(Home Team)
Money Line: PHILADELPHIA +107 vs LOS ANGELES -117
Spread Line: PHILADELPHIA +1.5 -165 —– LOS ANGELES -1.5 +145
O/U: PHILADELPHIA 8 -115 —– LOS ANGELES 8 -105
Pitchers: PHILADELPHIA – A J Burnett (R) vs LOS ANGELES – J Beckett (R)
Game Date: Sunday,May 25 2014 12:35 PM
Last Game: win 3 – 5 vs Los Angeles Dodgers
Current Game: Los Angeles Dodgers
Next Game: Vs. COLORADO
Stats & Trends: PHILADELPHIA vs. LOS ANGELES
PVI Rating on Winning: 45.65%
PVI Rating on game going UNDER: 42.86%
Road Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 48.98%
Streaks: 1 SU Win – 2 Under
Home Teams % of winning this game: 42%
Home Teams % of this game going UNDER: 42%
Home Teams Predicted Runs For: 3.58
Home Teams Predicted Runs Against: 4.24
Home Team
(PHILADELPHIA)
When PHILADELPHIA is a Home Team When Any MLB Team is a Home Team Differential % When PHILADELPHIA is a Home Team,the O/U When Any MLB Team is a Home Team,the O/U Differential % on game going UNDER
Situations Current Season Current Season Differential % Current Season Current Season Differential %
SU SU O/U/P O/U/P
Total is 8 1-2 58-52 43.03 1-2-0 49-54-7 59.55
vs Non-Division opponent 3-10 209-232 35.24 6-7-0 176-235-30 55.52
vs Conference opponent 3-6 135-147 40.6 5-4-0 112-146-24 50.52
Playing in the month of May 5-7 168-186 44.57 5-7-0 147-176-31 56.41
Playing on Sunday 3-0 58-53 76.13 1-2-0 45-60-6 61.91
Played as home Underdog 5-7 93-164 38.93 5-7-0 110-133-14 56.53
After a Non-Division Game 4-8 191-232 39.24 7-4-1 169-224-30 46.68
After a Conference Game 3-7 145-147 39.83 5-5-0 115-154-23 53.63
vs NL WEST Division Opponent 1-1 63-70 48.69 0-2-0 52-71-10 78.86
vs NL Conference Opponent 9-12 213-218 46.14 10-10-1 171-219-41 53.08
Coming off vs NL WEST Division Opponent 1-1 62-70 48.49 0-1-1 51-69-12 78.75
Coming off vs National Conference Opponent 9-13 211-217 45.11 10-11-1 171-218-39 54.21
Coming off 2 under 1-2 33-57 35 1-2-0 35-48-7 62.25
Coming off a win 4-3 155-193 50.84 3-3-1 147-171-30 51.89
Coming off a Home Win as a Underdog 2-1 29-51 51.46 1-2-0 35-40-5 60
During a day game 5-3 135-132 56.53 2-6-0 108-142-17 65.9
Coming off a 2 home stand (since 1996) 28-22 4-10 42.29 25-23-2 6-8-0 52.53
Coming off a 2 runs win 0-1 26-36 20.97 0-0-1 24-33-5 28.95
Coming off a score 5 runs FOR in last game 1-0 45-47 74.46 0-1-0 37-45-10 77.44
Coming off a score 3 runs AGAINST in last game 2-3 50-60 42.73 4-1-0 59-46-5 31.91
vs. opponent with a 51% to 60% winning % 3-6 100-94 42.44 2-6-1 80-97-17 64.9
vs LOS ANGELES (since 1996) 35-31 11-18 45.48 29-35-2 12-16-1 55.92
Coming off a Win over NL WEST division opponent 0-1 29-38 21.64 0-0-1 17-42-8 35.6
Coming off a day game 0-9 115-131 23.38 3-5-1 108-124-14 57.98
Split 1st 2 games of a series 2-2 64-73 48.36 2-2-0 53-79-5 54.93
Coming off a win in game 2 of a series 3-0 44-65 70.19 1-2-0 45-58-6 61.49
Last 30 days 5-9 209-232 41.55 5-8-1 183-216-42 57.84
Last 45 days 9-13 313-350 44.06 9-12-1 280-330-53 55.62
Last 60 days 9-16 375-427 41.38 11-13-1 345-398-59 53.87
Last 90 days 9-16 375-429 41.32 11-13-1 346-399-59 53.87
Vs. Right handed pitchers 6-13 273-313 39.09 10-9-0 259-287-40 49.97
Coming off vs. Right handed pitcher 6-8 263-304 44.62 7-6-1 231-298-38 51.24
Coming off win vs. Right handed pitcher 4-2 110-137 55.6 3-2-1 105-119-23 46.57
TEAM: PHILADELPHIA
Offensive Stats Defensive Stats
All Games Avg 3.73 4.35
Home Games Avg 3.08 3.44
Road Games Avg 4.42 5.29
Last 3 Games Avg 2.67 3
Last 5 Games Avg 3.8 5.6
Last 10 Games Avg 4.2 4.2
vs. Division Games Avg 3.33 3.72
vs. Conference Games Avg 3.75 3.95
vs. Non Conference Games Avg 3.67 6.11
vs. Top Ranked Games Avg 3.26 5.53
vs. Middle Ranked Games Avg 4.05 3.37
vs. Bottom Ranked Games Avg 4 4
After a Win Games Avg 3.55 4.55
After a Lost Games Avg 3.64 3.84
After a SU Road Win Games Avg 3.33 4.33
After a SU Road Lost Games Avg 4.08 4.17
After a SU Home Win Games Avg 3.88 4.88
After a SU Home Lost Games Avg 3.23 3.54
After an Over Games Avg 3.75 4.17
After an Under Games Avg 3.5 4.7
After a Push Games Avg 2.25 2.25
3.58 4.24

 

The Raymond Report for today proves that the Dodgers are a completely viable option.
LAD proves to be a better team when compared to the league average; as well, they look to have the run support.

Did you know:

  • The Los Angeles Dodgers are 7-2 vs Philadelphia over the last 3 seasons.

 

Today’s Prediction: DODGERS to win 6-4.

 

 

 

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