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Houston Astros (Feldman) vs. Kansas City Royals (Ventura) – Preview May 26th, 2014

WorldSeriesOfHandicapping.com

 

Houston Astros
Houston Astros 
O/U :72.91
Vs.Date: 2014-05-26
Time: 19:10:00

Generated from 31 Previous Games

Kansas City Royals
Kansas City Royals
SIDE :-153
4.13 = 7.04

 

This is an ATS Stats no-brainer. Today’s board looks tough, but with ATS Stats we can find where the Royals show to have some significant headway.

Let’s take a look:

PITCHING

In for Houston tonight is Scott Feldman:

  • All Games 3.02ERA
  • @Road 2.65ERA
  • L3G 5.40ERA
  • FELDMAN is 4-3 vs KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 3.24 and a WHIP of 1.114.

 

 

In for Kansas City tonight is Yordano Ventura:

  • All Games 2.80ERA
  • @Home 3.29ERA
  • L3G 4.34ERA
  • VENTURA is 1-0 vs HOUSTON with an ERA of 1.29 and a WHIP of 1.000.

 

BULLPEN

With Houston recently losing Cisnero, Bass, and Crain earlier this month, their pen has remained stable and is in a ‘best case scenario’. That said, the Houston pen has a case to prove tonight as their pen is not producing the close-outs that it needs to if they want to win close games headed into the back stretch. With Feldman lasting only 5 innings on average across his last 3 starts, Houston needs to depend on their bullpen, which is a tedious proposition.

Houston Bullpen:

  • 5.17ERA all games.
  • 5.40ERA @Road.

Kansas Bullpen:

  • 3.48ERA all games.
  • 4.92 @Home.

 

 

BATTING

Houston hitting has it’s work cut out. They are averaging 3.6 runs per game in all games, 3.7 vs RH starters, but are marking a sub-standard 3.3 on the road. Houston is 23rd in the league at .685OPS.

Kansas City hitting is barely mediocre. They are averaging 3.9 in all games, 3.9 at home, 4.1 vs RH starters. After all the splits, KCR is on an even keel making their hitting somewhat more predictable than Houston’s and apparently slightly more productive. Aoki, is rumoured to return today. He marks a .333AVG across 9 at bats vs Feldman and could prove to be a key component to the Royals’ chances tonight.

The combined hitting vs these pitchers’ last 3 starts:

  • Astros marked 20H with 9ER and 15K.
  • Royals tallied 24H marking 9ER and 13K.

 

Ultimately, both teams have a case to prove tonight, but with that said, the Astros have tallied an average of 3.4 runs per game L7G, while the Royals have tallied some of their best hitting with a 4.9 runs/game average across their last 7 contests.

 

UMPIRE

Fresh series make it unclear who will be behind the plate.

 

ATS STATS

Historical considerations that SUPPORT the Royals pick:

When KANSAS CITY played as Home Favourite- Vs AL West Division 20-10-0
When KANSAS CITY played as Home or Away Team- Vs AL West Division 12-8-0
When KANSAS CITY played as Favourite- Vs HOUSTON 13-3-0
When KANSAS CITY team Played as Home team as a Favorite – During a night game – Vs. Right handed pitchers – Coming off a lost in game 3 of a series – Coming off a Road loss 12-7-0
When KANSAS CITY team played as a -140 to -160 home Favorite – Last 2 years – Vs. Right handed pitchers 12-6-0
When ANY MLB Team played as a -140 to -160 Home Favorite – 1st game of a series – Vs AL WEST opponent – Coming off a Road loss – Coming off a day game 24-15-0
When ANY MLB Team played as a -140 to -160 Home Favorite – Last 4 years – After a conference game – Before a conference game – Coming off a day game – Coming off a lost in game 3 of a series – Allowed 4 runs or more AGAINST in their last game 27-12-0
When ANY MLB Team played as a -140 to -160 Home Favorite – Coming off vs. American League opponent – After a non division game – Vs Non Division Opponent – Coming off a day game – Coming off a series loss – Coming off a 1 game loss 16-7-0
When ANY MLB Team played as a -140 to -160 Home Favorite – During a night game – Vs Non Division Opponent – Before a non division game – Coming off a series loss – Coming off lost vs. Right handed pitcher – Coming off 1 under 44-26-0
When KANSAS CITY played as any home/road team – During Current Season – Lost Last Game by 1 Runs 7 – 3 – 0
When HOUSTON played as Road Team- Vs AL Central Division 4-17-4
When FELDMAN SCOTT \’s Team played as Road Team- in the month of May 3-10-0
When HOUSTON played as Underdog- in the month of May 33-58-9
When HOUSTON played as Road Team- With Total between 6 and 7 3-10-2
When HOUSTON played as Home or Away Team- With Total between 6 and 7 3-14-3
When HOUSTON played as Road Team- With a spread between 140 and 160 32-68-0
When HOUSTON team played as a Road team – Before a non division game – Vs. Right handed pitchers – Allowed 1 runs or less AGAINST in their last game – Coming off 1 under 15-29-0
When HOUSTON team played as a Road team – During a night game – Last 4 years – Allowed 1 runs or less AGAINST in their last game – Coming off a Road win as a Underdog 6-13-0
When HOUSTON team played as a Road team – Vs. Right handed pitchers – Vs Non Division Opponent – Allowed 1 runs AGAINST in their last game – Coming off 1 under 10-23-0
When HOUSTON team played as a 140 to 160 road Underdog – Vs. Right handed pitchers – During the month of May 8-16-0
When HOUSTON team played as a 140 to 160 road Underdog – During a night game – Before a conference game 14-32-0
When HOUSTON team Played as road team as a Underdog – Vs AL Conference – Last 3 years 37-81-0
When HOUSTON team played as a road team – During a night game – Last 2 years 42-96-0
When HOUSTON team Played as road team as a Underdog – During a night game – During the month of May 42-81-0
When HOUSTON team Played as road team as a Underdog – During the month of May – Last 2 years 12-29-0
When HOUSTON team played as a road team – Vs. Right handed pitchers – Last 4 years 83-179-0
When ANY MLB Team played as a 140 to 160 Road Underdog – During the month of May – Vs AL CENTRAL opponent – During a night game – Scored 4 or more runs FOR in their last game 8-32-0
When ANY MLB Team played as a 140 to 160 Road Underdog – After a non conference game – Last 5 years – Coming off a day game – Coming off 1 under 4-13-0
When HOUSTON played as a road team – During Last 4 Years – With 1 Under or Less 24 – 64 – 0
When HOUSTON played as a road team – During Last 3 Years – Won Last Game by 3 Runs 3 – 8 – 0
When HOUSTON Played as road team as a Underdog – During Last 4 Years – With SU Record of 2 Win 1 Lost in L3G 26 – 50 – 0
When HOUSTON Played as road team as a Underdog – During Last 3 Years – With SU Record of 2 Win 1 Lost in L3G 13 – 38 – 0
When HOUSTON Played as road team as a Underdog – During Last 4 Years – With 1 Under or More 57 – 108 – 0

 

 

Historical considerations that THREATEN the Royals pick:

When HOUSTON team played as a Road team – Vs. Right handed pitchers – During a night game – Coming off 1 under – Coming off a 3 run win 9-4-0
When HOUSTON team played as a Road team – Vs Conference Opponent – During the month of May – Scored 4 or more runs FOR in their last game – Coming off a Road win as a Underdog 13-4-0

 

When KANSAS CITY team played as a Home team – After a non division game – During the month of May – Coming off a Loss vs. AL WEST opponent – Scored 3 or less runs FOR in their last game 8-15-0 10-12-1

 

ATS Matchups shows one of the stronger cases in terms of historical positioning.

 

RAYMOND REPORT

 

RAYMOND REPORT FOR MLB
Game Date – 2014-05-26
Road Team :- (3427) HOUSTON
Home Team :- (3428 )KANSAS CITY

 

HOUSTONTeam Name: HOUSTON(Road Team)
Money Line: HOUSTON +147 vs KANSAS CITY -160
Spread Line: HOUSTON +1.5 -150 —– KANSAS CITY -1.5 +130
O/U: HOUSTON 7 -125 —– KANSAS CITY 7 +105
Pitchers: HOUSTON – S Feldman (R) vs KANSAS CITY – Y Ventura (R)
Game Date: Monday,May 26 2014 7:10 PM
Last Game: win 4 – 1 vs Seattle Mariners
Current Game: Kansas City Royals
Next Game: At KANSAS CITY
Stats & Trends: HOUSTON vs. KANSAS CITY
PVI Rating on Winning: 37.25%
PVI Rating on game going UNDER: 52.08%
Road Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 63.26%
Streaks: 2 SU Win – 1 Under
Road Teams % of winning this game: 36%
Road Teams % of this game going UNDER: 63%
Road Teams Predicted Runs For: 2.73
Road Teams Predicted Runs Against: 3.42
Road Team
(HOUSTON)
When HOUSTON is a Road Team When Any MLB Team is a Road Team Differential % When HOUSTON is a Road Team,the O/U When Any MLB Team is a Road Team,the O/U Differential % on game going UNDER
Situations Current Season Current Season Differential % Current Season Current Season Differential %
SU SU O/U/P O/U/P
Total is 7 0-2 72-99 21.06 1-0-1 71-67-33 24.28
vs Non-Division opponent 9-28 195-258 33.69 9-25-3 180-241-32 65.39
vs Non-Conference opponent 9-28 61-100 31.11 9-25-3 65-90-6 65.8
Playing in the month of May 5-15 162-206 34.51 4-14-2 152-183-33 66.21
Playing on Monday 2-3 38-48 42.1 1-3-1 38-42-6 63.75
Played as road Underdog 9-26 227-346 32.67 9-23-3 240-287-46 63.17
After a Non-Division Game 9-28 197-251 34.15 9-25-3 175-240-33 65.68
After a Non-Conference Game 9-28 60-98 31.15 9-25-3 63-85-10 65.48
vs NL CENTRAL Division Opponent (since 1996) 291-323 69-87 45.81 288-308-18 66-79-11 53.08
vs NL Conference Opponent (since 1996) 545-660 189-244 44.44 587-578-40 183-209-41 51.47
Coming off vs AL WEST Division Opponent 5-18 53-66 33.14 4-16-3 46-60-13 68.3
Coming off vs American Conference Opponent 9-28 174-211 34.76 9-25-3 165-197-23 63.98
Coming off a 2 winning streak 1-0 41-49 72.78 0-1-0 45-42-3 74.14
Coming off 1 under 3-12 81-109 31.32 5-9-1 71-103-16 61.75
Coming off a win 2-2 143-191 46.41 1-3-0 163-152-19 61.63
Coming off a Road Win as a Underdog 1-1 70-106 44.89 0-2-0 84-81-11 74.55
During a night game 6-21 238-301 33.19 9-16-2 238-259-42 58.06
Coming off a 9 road trip (since 1996) 6-6 4-5 47.22 6-6-0 2-6-1 62.5
Coming off a 3 runs win 0-1 20-22 23.81 1-0-0 19-20-3 25.64
Coming off a score 4 runs FOR in last game 1-0 50-48 75.51 0-1-0 45-49-4 76.07
Coming off a score 1 runs AGAINST in last game 1-1 32-45 45.78 1-1-0 35-37-5 50.7
vs. opponent with a 41% to 50% winning % 2-10 130-183 29.1 2-9-1 134-158-21 67.97
vs KANSAS CITY (since 1996) 10-8 11-13 50.7 9-9-0 12-12-0 50
Coming off a Win over AL WEST division opponent 1-1 22-21 50.58 1-1-0 22-20-1 48.81
Coming off a game that went under 4-5 78-96 44.64 1-8-0 80-77-17 68.97
Coming off a day game 2-6 119-155 34.22 1-6-1 124-136-14 69.01
Coming off a series win 1-0 22-25 73.41 0-1-0 23-17-7 71.25
Last 30 days 5-15 189-251 33.98 4-14-2 180-219-41 66.34
Last 45 days 8-26 284-383 33.06 7-24-3 278-334-55 66
Last 60 days 9-28 356-460 33.98 9-25-3 350-405-61 63.59
Last 90 days 9-28 358-460 34.05 9-25-3 351-406-61 63.58
Vs. Right handed pitchers 8-17 243-345 36.67 7-16-2 245-300-43 62.31
Coming off vs. Right handed pitcher 6-16 261-324 35.95 5-16-1 243-296-46 65.56
Coming off win vs. Right handed pitcher 1-2 96-138 37.18 1-2-0 104-116-14 59.7
TEAM: HOUSTON
Offensive Stats Defensive Stats
All Games Avg 2.76 3.6
Home Games Avg 3.27 4.47
Road Games Avg 2.35 2.89
Last 3 Games Avg 4.33 1.67
Last 5 Games Avg 2.8 2.2
Last 10 Games Avg 3.2 2.9
vs. Division Games Avg 2.69 3.55
vs. Conference Games Avg 2.8 3.54
vs. Non Conference Games Avg 1.5 5.5
vs. Top Ranked Games Avg 2.68 4.96
vs. Middle Ranked Games Avg 2.62 2.64
vs. Bottom Ranked Games Avg 5.33 4.67
After a Win Games Avg 2.33 2.61
After a Lost Games Avg 2.53 3.84
After a SU Road Win Games Avg 0.88 1.88
After a SU Road Lost Games Avg 2.29 2.47
After a SU Home Win Games Avg 3.5 3.2
After a SU Home Lost Games Avg 2.8 5.4
After an Over Games Avg 2.96 3.26
After an Under Games Avg 2.74 3.92
After a Push Games Avg 1 2.75
2.73 3.42
KANSAS CITYTeam Name: KANSAS CITY(Home Team)
Money Line: KANSAS CITY -160 vs HOUSTON +147
Spread Line: KANSAS CITY -1.5 +130 —– HOUSTON +1.5 -150
O/U: KANSAS CITY 7 +105 —– HOUSTON 7 -125
Pitchers: KANSAS CITY – Y Ventura (R) vs HOUSTON – S Feldman (R)
Game Date: Monday,May 26 2014 7:10 PM
Last Game: lost 3 – 4 vs Los Angeles Angels
Current Game: Houston Astros
Next Game: Vs. HOUSTON
Stats & Trends: KANSAS CITY vs. HOUSTON
PVI Rating on Winning: 48.98%
PVI Rating on game going UNDER: 52.17%
Road Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 61.22%
Streaks: 1 SU Lost – 1 Under
Home Teams % of winning this game: 50%
Home Teams % of this game going UNDER: 50%
Home Teams Predicted Runs For: 3.79
Home Teams Predicted Runs Against: 3.84
Home Team
(KANSAS CITY)
When KANSAS CITY is a Home Team When Any MLB Team is a Home Team Differential % When KANSAS CITY is a Home Team,the O/U When Any MLB Team is a Home Team,the O/U Differential % on game going UNDER
Situations Current Season Current Season Differential % Current Season Current Season Differential %
SU SU O/U/P O/U/P
Total is 7 3-3 94-77 52.49 1-5-0 71-67-33 65.94
vs Non-Division opponent 8-4 215-238 57.07 4-8-0 180-241-32 61.96
vs Non-Conference opponent 2-0 75-86 73.29 0-2-0 65-90-6 79.03
Playing in the month of May 5-8 175-193 43.01 7-6-0 152-183-33 50.39
Playing on Monday 1-1 37-49 46.51 1-1-0 38-42-6 51.25
Played as home Favorite 12-6 287-265 59.33 8-10-0 240-267-45 54.11
After a Non-Division Game 8-6 197-238 51.22 6-8-0 173-230-32 57.11
After a Conference Game 7-3 150-152 59.84 4-6-0 118-159-25 58.7
vs NL CENTRAL Division Opponent (since 1996) 47-55 87-85 48.33 53-47-2 62-96-14 53.88
vs NL Conference Opponent 2-0 215-223 74.55 0-2-0 172-223-43 78.23
Coming off vs AL WEST Division Opponent 1-0 48-63 71.62 0-1-0 49-54-8 76.22
Coming off vs American Conference Opponent 11-10 160-207 47.99 12-9-0 172-176-19 46.72
Coming off 1 under 2-2 89-117 46.6 1-3-0 78-115-13 67.3
Coming off a lost 5-5 224-240 49.14 6-4-0 202-233-29 46.78
Coming off a Road Lost as a Underdog 1-0 20-19 75.64 1-0-0 22-16-1 21.06
During a night game 7-8 241-298 45.69 6-9-0 238-259-42 56.06
Coming off a 3 road trip 1-0 3-5 68.75 1-0-0 4-4-0 25
Coming off a 1 runs loss 2-2 51-44 51.84 2-2-0 41-49-5 52.22
Coming off a score 3 runs FOR in last game 0-2 38-59 19.59 1-1-0 41-45-11 51.17
Coming off a score 4 runs AGAINST in last game 1-1 42-58 46 1-1-0 43-51-6 52.13
vs. opponent with a 31% to 40% winning % 0-1 47-54 23.27 0-1-0 38-54-9 79.35
vs HOUSTON (since 1996) 8-10 17-20 45.2 9-9-0 9-25-3 61.77
Coming off a Lost over AL WEST division opponent (since 1996) 74-112 32-46 40.41 98-77-11 38-36-4 46.33
Coming off a game that went under 3-3 90-91 49.86 4-2-0 88-80-13 40.48
Coming off a day game 5-4 119-135 51.21 4-5-0 111-128-15 54.56
Coming off a series loss 3-1 59-72 60.02 3-1-0 65-54-12 35.19
Last 30 days 7-8 207-233 46.86 8-7-0 180-219-41 50.78
Last 45 days 9-9 317-350 48.77 10-8-0 278-334-55 49.51
Last 60 days 13-11 382-434 50.49 12-12-0 350-405-61 51.82
Last 90 days 13-11 382-436 50.44 12-12-0 351-406-61 51.82
Vs. Right handed pitchers 9-7 277-319 51.37 10-6-0 264-290-42 44.93
Coming off vs. Right handed pitcher 9-6 268-309 53.23 6-9-0 234-303-40 58.21
Coming off lost vs. Right handed pitcher 4-2 152-180 56.23 4-2-0 136-175-21 44.8
TEAM: KANSAS CITY
Offensive Stats Defensive Stats
All Games Avg 3.84 3.84
Home Games Avg 3.92 4.29
Road Games Avg 3.77 3.42
Last 3 Games Avg 3.67 4.67
Last 5 Games Avg 4 4.4
Last 10 Games Avg 3.6 4.1
vs. Division Games Avg 3.27 4.95
vs. Conference Games Avg 3.73 4.04
vs. Non Conference Games Avg 4.8 2
vs. Top Ranked Games Avg 3.43 4.64
vs. Middle Ranked Games Avg 3.82 2.73
vs. Bottom Ranked Games Avg 4.08 3.88
After a Win Games Avg 3.67 3.83
After a Lost Games Avg 3.92 3.79
After a SU Road Win Games Avg 4.36 2.64
After a SU Road Lost Games Avg 4.38 2.92
After a SU Home Win Games Avg 3.08 4.85
After a SU Home Lost Games Avg 3.36 4.82
After an Over Games Avg 3.5 5
After an Under Games Avg 4.29 2.88
After a Push Games Avg 3 3
3.79 3.84

 

The Report shows that in terms of how these teams stack up with each other in comparison to the rest of the league, Kansas City gets the nod.

 

Barring an extreme umpire, this contest should be all Kansas City’s to win.

 

 

Tonight’s Prediction: KANSAS CITY to win 5-3.

 

 

 

 

 

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