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Cleveland Indians (Masterson) vs. Chicago White Sox (Sale) – Preview May 27th, 2014

WorldSeriesOfHandicapping.com

 

Cleveland Indians
Cleveland Indians 
O/U :7.5

2.65

Vs.

Date: 2014-05-27
Time: 19:10:00

Generated from 11 Previous Games

Chicago White Sox
Chicago White Sox
SIDE :-154

4.25 = 6.9

 

  • Cleveland has 2 RH batters over 100AB
  • Cleveland has 9 LH batters over 100AB
  • Although Sale is only 33.1IP this season, he marks a perfect 0.00ERA vs LH batters
  • Cleveland marks a cold 3.4 runs per game vs LH starters.

 

Masterson has been consistently awful this season.
He’s amassed a 5.32ERA all starts, he’s tallied 6.00 on the road, and a rough 9.98 L3G.
Given the hitting matchup, it could be said that Cleveland is “sluffing” this matchup so look for the Indians to play with a sense of hopelessness and look for the Sox to cover the runline with ease.

Sale has been consistently awesome this season.
He’s chalked up a 1.89ERA all starts, 2.49 at home, and 2.00 L3G.

Historical record between these pitchers and teams shows an opposite picture:

  • Masterson is 9-5 vs Chicago White Sox with an ERA of 2.40 and a WHIP of 1.252.
  • Sale is 3-4 vs Cleveland with an ERA of 5.66 and a WHIP of 1.447.

Ultimately, Masterson should be looking at the White Sox and thinking about using this game to turn things back around; however, even if this has validity, they’ll still have to overcome how their lackluster-lefties are going to fare vs a Sale who has typically dominated for handed-hitters, but especially LH ones at that.

Some other information that might be relevant:

  • Cleveland are 11th in league with a .723OPS marking
  • White Sox are 8th in league with a .733OPS
  • Cleveland average 6.0RPG L7G
  • White Sox average 3.9RPG L7G
  • Historically, Cleveland has dominated the Sox (27-18) L3S, and that will account for much of Masterson’s success vs the White Sox; however, Chicago has made it clear that they have the Indians’ number this season (4-1).

 

Cleveland Bullpens are slightly better than the Sox’s:

  • Cleveland 3.04ERA all games
  • Cleveland 3.22ERA on the road
  • Chicago 3.98ERA all games
  • Chicago 4.28ERA at home

 

Today’s umpire is Ed Hickox. Although he’s marked a 3-6 record for the home team this season, he was 63% to the home team in ’13. Likewise, although he’s marked a 3-5-1 on the total this season, he marked 64% to the OVER last season. Hickox should be considered an even keel and not to have an influence on this game. That said, if last year’s tendency to go OVER has any bearing on his strike-zone today, Masterson who’s only score 7Ks L3G, will have his work cut out for him compared to Chris Sale who’s tabbed 25K in his L3G.

To add to the umpire consideration, Masterson’s #1 pitch is the Sinker, and if Hickox doesn’t allow him that bottom 3″ to work with, then he could be in trouble as he’ll have to rely on his Slider or risk choosing between walking batters or throwing a sinker up in the zone.

Sale, on the other hand, should have absolutely no problems with a smaller strike zone because Sale’s #1 and #2 pitch are the 2-seamer and the Change up. These pitchers are easier to aim and to have a solid ERA such as Sale has, throwing a 93.2mph 2-seamer followed by Changeup that suckers a whopping 27.3% whiff percentage…Sale doesn’t rely so much on pitch location and movement as he does on speed flux. That said, a 2-seamer thrown at 92mph will almost ‘whip’ more so than ‘break’. With batters accustomed to seeing 2-seamers at under 90mph, this could account for Sale’s success so far this season.

 

ATS MATCHUPS

A few trends to note:

 

When CHI WHITE SOX played as Favourite- With a spread between 160 and 180 15-5-0

When CHI WHITE SOX team played as a -160 to -180 home Favorite – Vs Conference Opponent – During the month of May 14-2-0

 

When CLEVELAND played as Underdog- With a spread between 140 and 160 12-23-0

When CLEVELAND team Played as road team as a Underdog – Playing on Tuesday – Vs. Left handed pitchers 16-31-0

 

RAYMOND REPORT

 

RAYMOND REPORT FOR MLB
Game Date – 2014-05-27
Road Team :- (3019) CLEVELAND
Home Team :- (3020 )CHI WHITE SOX

 

CLEVELANDTeam Name: CLEVELAND(Road Team)
Money Line: CLEVELAND +152 vs CHI WHITE SOX -165
Spread Line: CLEVELAND +1.5 -150 —– CHI WHITE SOX -1.5 +130
O/U: CLEVELAND 7.5 -115 —– CHI WHITE SOX 7.5 -105
Pitchers: CLEVELAND – J Masterson (R) vs CHI WHITE SOX – C Sale (L)
Game Date: Tuesday,May 27 2014 7:10 PM
Last Game: lost 2 – 6 vs Chicago White Sox
Current Game: Chicago White Sox
Next Game: At CHI WHITE SOX
Stats & Trends: CLEVELAND vs. CHI WHITE SOX
PVI Rating on Winning: 47.06%
PVI Rating on game going UNDER: 40.82%
Road Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 44.9%
Streaks: 2 SU Lost – 2 Under
Road Teams % of winning this game: 39%
Road Teams % of this game going UNDER: 49%
Road Teams Predicted Runs For: 4.46
Road Teams Predicted Runs Against: 4.49
Road Team
(CLEVELAND)
When CLEVELAND is a Road Team When Any MLB Team is a Road Team Differential % When CLEVELAND is a Road Team,the O/U When Any MLB Team is a Road Team,the O/U Differential % on game going UNDER
Situations Current Season Current Season Differential % Current Season Current Season Differential %
SU SU O/U/P O/U/P
Total is 7.5 3-4 95-91 46.97 5-2-0 96-90-0 38.48
vs Division opponent 2-6 164-206 34.66 4-4-0 173-168-29 49.64
vs Conference opponent 7-10 137-161 43.58 9-6-2 119-151-28 47.97
Playing in the month of May 5-6 170-214 44.86 6-3-2 162-187-35 43.46
Playing on Tuesday 0-4 56-68 22.58 1-2-1 50-65-9 61.6
Played as road Underdog 6-17 233-352 32.96 10-11-2 249-290-46 53.09
After a Division Game 4-5 154-204 43.73 5-4-0 171-160-27 46.39
After a Conference Game 6-10 147-168 42.09 8-6-2 128-160-27 49.21
vs AL CENTRAL Division Opponent 2-6 58-80 33.52 4-4-0 69-65-4 49.26
vs AL Conference Opponent 9-16 171-220 39.87 13-10-2 171-199-21 48.63
Coming off vs AL CENTRAL Division Opponent 4-5 67-77 45.49 5-4-0 70-70-4 47.22
Coming off vs American Conference Opponent 8-15 179-216 40.05 11-10-2 171-200-24 50.77
Coming off a 2 losing streak 1-2 50-48 42.18 2-1-0 48-47-3 41.4
Coming off 2 under 2-3 44-58 41.57 3-2-0 38-56-8 49.79
Coming off a lost 7-9 219-274 44.09 9-7-0 193-257-43 50.43
Coming off a Road Lost as a Underdog 6-7 132-174 44.65 7-6-0 119-157-30 51.52
During a night game 6-12 239-305 38.63 9-7-2 242-259-43 47.73
Coming off a 5 road trip 0-2 19-16 27.15 0-2-0 13-20-2 80.31
Coming off a 4 runs loss 1-2 18-16 43.14 3-0-0 24-10-0 14.71
Coming off a score 2 runs FOR in last game 0-3 46-50 23.96 1-2-0 43-49-4 59.97
Coming off a score 6 runs AGAINST in last game 0-3 23-35 19.83 1-2-0 25-28-5 59.75
vs. opponent with a 41% to 50% winning % 3-12 134-186 30.94 8-5-2 136-161-23 46.34
vs CHI WHITE SOX (since 1996) 76-75 12-14 48.24 90-57-4 15-11-0 40.55
Coming off a Lost over AL Central division opponent 2-2 38-46 47.62 2-2-0 40-44-0 51.19
Coming off a day game 2-9 127-161 31.14 4-6-1 133-140-15 55.64
Coming off a game 1 of a series 2-6 108-127 35.48 5-2-1 106-109-20 39.64
Coming off a lost in game 1 of a series 2-3 61-73 42.76 4-1-0 59-62-13 35.62
Last 30 days 5-10 191-248 38.42 8-5-2 182-217-40 46.43
Last 45 days 7-15 287-381 37.39 11-9-2 280-331-57 49.59
Last 60 days 9-19 364-468 37.95 14-12-2 360-409-63 49.67
Last 90 days 9-19 366-468 38.01 14-12-2 361-410-63 49.67
Vs. Left handed pitchers 1-10 115-118 29.23 4-6-1 108-107-18 54.89
Coming off vs. Left handed pitcher 2-1 94-131 54.23 2-0-1 105-105-15 25
Coming off lost vs. Left handed pitcher 3-4 53-72 42.63 5-2-0 50-60-15 41.56
TEAM: CLEVELAND
Offensive Stats Defensive Stats
All Games Avg 4.11 4.44
Home Games Avg 4.22 4.41
Road Games Avg 4 4.46
Last 3 Games Avg 4.33 3.33
Last 5 Games Avg 5 5
Last 10 Games Avg 5.2 6
vs. Division Games Avg 4.92 4.4
vs. Conference Games Avg 4.38 4.63
vs. Non Conference Games Avg 2.29 3.14
vs. Top Ranked Games Avg 3.44 4.68
vs. Middle Ranked Games Avg 5.13 4.69
vs. Bottom Ranked Games Avg 4.14 3.71
After a Win Games Avg 4 4.46
After a Lost Games Avg 4.27 4.81
After a SU Road Win Games Avg 3.11 4.56
After a SU Road Lost Games Avg 4.87 4.53
After a SU Home Win Games Avg 4.53 4.4
After a SU Home Lost Games Avg 3.45 5.18
After an Over Games Avg 4.28 4.69
After an Under Games Avg 3.43 4.3
After a Push Games Avg 10.5 4.5
4.46 4.49
CHI WHITE SOXTeam Name: CHI WHITE SOX(Home Team)
Money Line: CHI WHITE SOX -165 vs CLEVELAND +152
Spread Line: CHI WHITE SOX -1.5 +130 —– CLEVELAND +1.5 -150
O/U: CHI WHITE SOX 7.5 -105 —– CLEVELAND 7.5 -115
Pitchers: CHI WHITE SOX – C Sale (L) vs CLEVELAND – J Masterson (R)
Game Date: Tuesday,May 27 2014 7:10 PM
Last Game: win 2 – 6 vs Cleveland Indians
Current Game: Cleveland Indians
Next Game: Vs. CLEVELAND
Stats & Trends: CHI WHITE SOX vs. CLEVELAND
PVI Rating on Winning: 49.06%
PVI Rating on game going UNDER: 40.38%
Road Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 48.98%
Streaks: 1 SU Win – 1 Under
Home Teams % of winning this game: 50%
Home Teams % of this game going UNDER: 50%
Home Teams Predicted Runs For: 5.14
Home Teams Predicted Runs Against: 4.81
Home Team
(CHI WHITE SOX)
When CHI WHITE SOX is a Home Team When Any MLB Team is a Home Team Differential % When CHI WHITE SOX is a Home Team,the O/U When Any MLB Team is a Home Team,the O/U Differential % on game going UNDER
Situations Current Season Current Season Differential % Current Season Current Season Differential %
SU SU O/U/P O/U/P
Total is 7.5 2-3 83-103 42.31 4-1-0 96-90-0 34.2
vs Division opponent 6-4 171-199 53.11 6-4-0 173-168-29 44.64
vs Conference opponent 6-5 143-155 51.27 6-5-0 119-151-28 50.69
Playing in the month of May 5-5 182-202 48.7 5-5-0 162-187-35 51.79
Playing on Tuesday 1-1 50-74 45.16 0-2-0 50-65-9 78.26
Played as home Favorite 6-4 292-272 55.89 5-5-0 249-270-45 51.01
After a Division Game 6-3 176-192 57.25 5-4-0 172-168-28 46.93
After a Conference Game 6-5 153-158 51.88 6-5-0 125-160-26 50.8
vs AL CENTRAL Division Opponent 6-4 66-64 55.39 6-4-0 67-55-8 42.54
vs AL Conference Opponent 12-9 171-218 50.55 12-9-0 184-186-19 46.57
Coming off vs AL CENTRAL Division Opponent 6-3 55-66 56.06 5-4-0 62-53-6 45.27
Coming off vs American Conference Opponent 10-9 163-209 48.23 10-9-0 176-177-19 48.76
Coming off 1 under 3-3 90-119 46.53 2-4-0 80-116-13 62.93
Coming off a win 6-8 161-202 43.61 9-5-0 156-175-32 44.29
Coming off a Home Win as a Favorite 3-2 105-120 53.34 4-1-0 95-107-23 36.49
During a night game 9-6 245-299 52.52 9-6-0 242-259-43 45.85
Coming off a 5 home stand 0-1 25-23 26.04 0-1-0 21-23-4 76.14
Coming off a 4 runs win 2-1 15-20 54.77 2-1-0 19-14-2 37.88
Coming off a score 6 runs FOR in last game 1-1 33-32 50.39 0-2-0 29-31-5 75.84
Coming off a score 2 runs AGAINST in last game 2-0 47-50 74.23 2-0-0 31-62-4 33.34
vs. opponent with a 41% to 50% winning % 6-2 147-170 60.69 5-3-0 144-148-25 44.09
vs CLEVELAND (since 1996) 75-76 16-12 53.41 90-57-4 14-12-2 42.47
Coming off a Win over AL Central division opponent 3-2 26-34 51.67 4-1-0 38-19-3 26.67
Coming off a game that went under 3-3 91-93 49.73 3-3-0 89-81-14 48.83
Coming off a day game 7-2 126-141 62.49 6-3-0 119-131-17 42.87
Coming off a game 1 of a series 3-5 111-124 42.37 5-3-0 106-109-20 44.1
Coming off a win in game 1 of a series 3-4 56-64 44.77 5-2-0 55-54-11 39.06
Last 30 days 7-7 205-234 48.35 7-7-0 182-217-40 52.2
Last 45 days 10-11 314-354 47.32 10-11-0 280-331-57 53.28
Last 60 days 14-12 389-443 50.3 15-11-0 360-409-63 47.75
Last 90 days 14-12 389-445 50.25 15-11-0 361-410-63 47.75
Vs. Right handed pitchers 12-8 281-328 53.07 13-7-0 272-293-44 43.43
Coming off vs. Right handed pitcher 8-6 274-318 51.71 6-8-0 244-306-42 56.39
Coming off win vs. Right handed pitcher 5-7 115-142 43.21 7-5-0 111-121-25 46.92
TEAM: CHI WHITE SOX
Offensive Stats Defensive Stats
All Games Avg 4.77 5
Home Games Avg 4.92 4.77
Road Games Avg 4.63 5.22
Last 3 Games Avg 3.33 4.33
Last 5 Games Avg 3.8 4
Last 10 Games Avg 4.1 4.9
vs. Division Games Avg 4.91 5.13
vs. Conference Games Avg 4.63 5
vs. Non Conference Games Avg 5.4 5
vs. Top Ranked Games Avg 4.25 5.67
vs. Middle Ranked Games Avg 4.76 4.82
vs. Bottom Ranked Games Avg 5.04 4.79
After a Win Games Avg 4.72 5.32
After a Lost Games Avg 4.81 4.78
After a SU Road Win Games Avg 4.5 4.67
After a SU Road Lost Games Avg 5.6 4.2
After a SU Home Win Games Avg 4.92 5.92
After a SU Home Lost Games Avg 3.83 5.5
After an Over Games Avg 4.58 5.42
After an Under Games Avg 4.5 4.6
After a Push Games Avg 16 2
5.14 4.81

 

The Raymond Report makes a very strong and obvious case for the Sox.
Considering that Cleveland is 24-28 and Chicago is 26-27, in terms of “W/L”, these teams are identical. When we look to the Raymond report, we see that “equally matched” couldn’t be further from the truth.

If this consideration and contest doesn’t result in a CWS ML win, then bettors need to ask themselves, “where can I buy a win and how much do they cost?” Good luck Chicago.

 

Tonight’s Prediction: CHICAGO WHITE SOX to win 6-2.

 

 

 

 

 

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