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Tampa Bay Rays (Cobb) vs. Miami Marlins (Wolf) – Preview June 2nd, 2014

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Tampa Bay Devil Rays
Tampa Bay Devil Rays 
SIDE :-135

4.55

Vs.

Date: 2014-06-02
Time: 18:10:00

Generated from 49 Previous Games

Miami Marlins
Miami Marlins
O/U :7.5

3.06 = 7.61

Tonight’s pick focuses around desperation. Tampa Bay is coming off a 0-3 L3G record vs the best team in the league so they’ll be looking to stretch out their feet here.

Tampa Bay is 9-1 vs Miami over the last 3 seasons and this will play into their psyche of thinking of Miami as a target and at the same time, their last 6 straight losses will ensure that they won’t be looking past Miami so they’ll be taking this game seriously.

Although Cobb and Wolf each only have 2 games under their belts vs these teams; historically, Cobb has annihilated MIA, while Wolf has definded the word “struggle” vs TBR.

  • Cobb is 2-0 vs Miami with an ERA of 1.35 and a WHIP of 0.600.
  • Wolf is 0-2 vs Tampa Bay with an ERA of 6.58 and a WHIP of 1.756.

Cobb is throwing a completely respectable 2.93ERA all games.
Cobb is maintaining his solid trend with a 2.89ERA L3G.

Wolf only has 1 game under his belt in ’14 so far, but allowing 9H and 4ER across only 5IP is not a great start and doesn’t inspire confidence.

Tampa has had a tough time at the plate lately. They’re 3.3RPG vs LHP, they’re 2.9RPG on the grass, and they’re 2.3RPG vs inter-league teams.

Miami has some strong bats. They’re only 3.3RPG L7G but they’re 5.4RPG at night and 6.0RPG vs inter-league teams.

 

ATS MATCHUPS

ATS Stats to SUPPORT Tampa:

When TAMPA BAY played as Road Favourite- in the month of June 19-10-0
When TAMPA BAY team Played as Road team as a Favorite – Total is between 7.5 to 8.0 – Vs Non Division Opponent – Coming off a Road loss – Coming off a Road loss as a Underdog 8-5-0
When TAMPA BAY team Played as road team as a Favorite – During a night game – Total is 7.5 17-9-0
When TAMPA BAY team Played as road team as a Favorite – Total is between 7.5 to 8.0 – During a night game 37-22-0
When TAMPA BAY team Played as road team as a Favorite – Total is 7.5 – During a night game 17-9-0
When TAMPA BAY team Played as road team as a Favorite – Total is between 7.5 to 8.0 – Vs Non Division Opponent 35-22-0
When TAMPA BAY team Played as road team as a Favorite – Vs NL Conference – Total is between 7.5 to 8.0 10-5-0
When TAMPA BAY team Played as road team as a Favorite – Vs. Left handed pitchers – Before a non conference game 10-4-0
When TAMPA BAY team Played as road team as a Favorite – Vs NL Conference – Last 3 years 13-7-0
When TAMPA BAY team played as a -120 to -140 road Favorite – Total is 7.5 – Last 3 years 8-2-0
When ANY MLB Team Played as Road team as a Favorite – Coming off vs. American League opponent – Vs. Left handed pitchers – 1st game of a series – Coming off a 4 run lost 14-8-0
When ANY MLB Team played as a -120 to -140 Road Favorite – After a division game – Last 5 years – Vs. Left handed pitchers – Allowed 4 runs or more AGAINST in their last game – Coming off a day game – Coming off a lost in game 3 of a series 9-6-0
When TAMPA BAY Played as a Favorite – During Last 5 Years – With SU Record of 0 Win 3 Lost in L3G 28 – 12 – 0
When TAMPA BAY played as any home/road team – During Last 2 Years – With 4 Under or More 19 – 9 – 0
When TAMPA BAY Played as a Favorite – During Last 4 Years – With SU Record of 1 Win 6 Lost in L7G 10 – 2 – 0
When MIAMI played as Home or Away Team- Vs TAMPA BAY 6-14-0
When MIAMI team Played as Home team as a Underdog – During a night game – Vs. Right handed pitchers – Coming off a series loss – Coming off vs. Left handed pitcher 4-11-0
When MIAMI team played as a 120 to 140 home Underdog – Total is 7.5 – Total is between 7.5 to 8.0 8-16-0
When MIAMI team played as a 120 to 140 home Underdog – Total is 7.5 – Vs. Right handed pitchers 4-11-0
When MIAMI team played as a 120 to 140 home Underdog – Total is 7.5 – During a night game 5-14-0
When MIAMI Played as a Underdog – During Last 2 Years or More – With SU Record of 1 Win 4 Lost in L5G 23 – 50 – 0
When MIAMI Played as home team as a Underdog – During Last 3 Years or More – With SU Record of 1 Win 4 Lost in L5G 11 – 29 – 0

 

 

ATS Stats to THREATEN Tampa:

When MIAMI played as Home or Away Team- in the month of June 18-11-1
When MIAMI team played as a Home team – Before a non division game – Total is between 7.5 to 8.0 – Coming off a series loss – Coming off vs. Left handed pitcher 8-4-0
When MIAMI team played as a home team – Vs Non Conference Opponent – Total is between 7.5 to 8.0 34-21-0
When MIAMI team played as a 120 to 140 home Underdog – During the month of June – Vs Non Division Opponent 10-5-0
When ANY MLB Team played as a 120 to 140 Home Underdog – Last 5 years – During a night game – Coming off a 4 run lost – Coming off vs. Left handed pitcher 13-6-0
When ANY MLB Team played as a Home team – Vs. Right handed pitchers – After a division game – Total is between 7.5 to 8.0 – Coming off a 4 run lost – Coming off vs. Left handed pitcher 35-14-0

ATS Matchups makes a strong case for Tampa Bay.

STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE

MIAMI 28 – 28 50.00 50.00 51.06 0.51 3 – 4 42.86 57.14 51.02 0.47 7 – 7 50 50 53.73 0.52
TAMPA BAY 23 – 34 40.35 59.65 51.54 0.46 1 – 6 14.29 85.71 87.76 0.51 4 – 10 28.57 71.43 57.65 0.43

SOS gives Tampa a definite nod as well.

Tampa Bay is +8 SOS points L7G.
Miami is -5 SOS points L7G.

FORECAST

Tampa Bay Devil Rays
Tampa Bay Devil Rays 
SIDE :-135

4.55

Vs.

Date: 2014-06-02
Time: 18:10:00

Generated from 49 Previous Games

Miami Marlins
Miami Marlins
O/U :7.5

3.06 = 7.61

Across a 49 game sample, Forecast is showing that Tampa Bay exceeds in this spot as well.

RAYMOND REPORT

RAYMOND REPORT FOR MLB

Game Date – 2014-06-02
Road Team :- (3009) TAMPA BAY
Home Team :- (3010 )MIAMI

TAMPA BAYTeam Name: TAMPA BAY(Road Team)
Money Line: TAMPA BAY -137 vs MIAMI +127
Spread Line: TAMPA BAY -1.5 +125 —– MIAMI +1.5 -145
O/U: TAMPA BAY 7.5 -110 —– MIAMI 7.5 -110
Pitchers: TAMPA BAY – A Cobb (R) vs MIAMI – Ra Wolf (L)
Game Date: Monday,June 02 2014 6:10 PM
Last Game: lost 0 – 4 vs Boston Red Sox
Current Game: Miami Marlins
Next Game: At MIAMI
Stats & Trends: TAMPA BAY vs. MIAMI
PVI Rating on Winning: 40.35%
PVI Rating on game going UNDER: 47.17%
Road Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 87.76%
Streaks: 6 SU Lost – 4 Under
Road Teams % of winning this game: 39%
Road Teams % of this game going UNDER: 57%
Road Teams Predicted Runs For: 3.38
Road Teams Predicted Runs Against: 4.33
Road Team
(TAMPA BAY)
When TAMPA BAY is a Road Team When Any MLB Team is a Road Team Differential % When TAMPA BAY is a Road Team,the O/U When Any MLB Team is a Road Team,the O/U Differential % on game going UNDER
Situations Current Season Current Season Differential % Current Season Current Season Differential %
SU SU O/U/P O/U/P
Total is 7.5 2-1 104-104 58.34 1-2-0 109-99-0 57.14
vs Non-Division opponent 7-10 231-293 42.63 7-9-1 215-274-35 56.14
vs Non-Conference opponent 2-1 74-115 52.91 1-2-0 79-104-6 61.75
Playing in the month of June 0-1 8-9 23.53 0-1-0 7-7-3 75
Playing on Monday 0-5 46-56 22.55 3-1-1 48-46-8 36.97
Played as road Favorite 7-9 139-125 48.2 5-9-2 116-132-16 58.76
After a Division Game 4-10 164-220 35.64 5-9-0 184-171-29 56.23
After a Conference Game 6-9 167-187 43.59 6-8-1 145-181-28 56.33
vs AL EAST Division Opponent 4-12 69-80 35.66 6-9-1 61-81-7 58.52
vs AL Conference Opponent 9-21 186-245 36.58 12-16-2 187-222-22 55.71
Coming off vs AL EAST Division Opponent 4-10 61-82 35.62 5-9-0 56-80-7 61.56
Coming off vs American Conference Opponent 10-20 193-241 38.9 12-17-1 187-222-25 56.45
Coming off a 6 losing streak (since 1996) 10-13 2-4 38.41 12-11-0 2-4-0 57.25
Coming off 4 under (since 1996) 17-23 13-13 46.25 20-18-2 8-16-2 57.02
Coming off a lost 8-15 243-300 39.77 6-15-2 218-281-44 63.87
Coming off a Road Lost as a Underdog 6-6 149-192 46.85 2-8-2 140-171-30 67.49
During a night game 7-15 264-337 37.88 9-12-1 268-290-43 54.56
Coming off a 6 road trip 0-1 12-15 22.22 0-0-1 13-12-2 24
Coming off a 4 runs loss 1-1 20-20 50 1-1-0 27-13-0 41.25
Coming off a score 4 runs AGAINST in last game 1-0 59-52 76.58 0-1-0 46-60-5 78.3
vs. opponent with a 41% to 50% winning % 4-12 151-211 33.36 6-9-1 152-185-25 57.45
vs MIAMI (since 1996) 21-25 11-29 36.58 24-20-2 18-14-8 44.6
Coming off a Lost over AL EAST division opponent 3-8 36-49 34.81 2-9-0 29-53-3 73.23
Coming off a day game 3-8 142-176 35.96 7-3-1 148-153-17 40.42
Coming off a series loss 0-6 70-102 20.35 6-0-0 78-80-14 25.32
Last 30 days 4-11 196-249 35.36 5-9-1 188-220-37 59.11
Last 45 days 8-16 292-376 38.52 11-12-1 285-325-58 52.73
Last 60 days 11-22 385-496 38.52 13-18-2 388-430-63 55.32
Last 90 days 11-22 406-516 38.68 13-18-2 402-454-66 55.55
Vs. Left handed pitchers 4-8 127-132 41.18 5-6-1 116-122-21 52.91
Coming off vs. Left handed pitcher 6-11 101-145 38.18 6-9-2 119-111-16 54.13
Coming off lost vs. Left handed pitcher 4-4 57-79 45.96 1-5-2 56-65-15 68.53

TEAM: TAMPA BAY
Offensive Stats Defensive Stats
All Games Avg 3.68 4.32
Home Games Avg 4.73 3.88
Road Games Avg 2.85 4.67
Last 3 Games Avg 1 4.67
Last 5 Games Avg 2.2 5.2
Last 10 Games Avg 3.6 4.8
vs. Division Games Avg 3.9 4.27
vs. Conference Games Avg 3.75 4.32
vs. Non Conference Games Avg 2.33 4.33
vs. Top Ranked Games Avg 3.43 4.21
vs. Middle Ranked Games Avg 3.67 4.42
vs. Bottom Ranked Games Avg 4.11 4.11
After a Win Games Avg 4.09 4.87
After a Lost Games Avg 3.27 4.03
After a SU Road Win Games Avg 3 5.64
After a SU Road Lost Games Avg 2.21 3.53
After a SU Home Win Games Avg 5.08 4.17
After a SU Home Lost Games Avg 4.71 4.71
After an Over Games Avg 4.75 4.61
After an Under Games Avg 2.58 4.5
After a Push Games Avg 2 1.75
3.38 4.33

MIAMITeam Name: MIAMI(Home Team)
Money Line: MIAMI +127 vs TAMPA BAY -137
Spread Line: MIAMI +1.5 -145 —– TAMPA BAY -1.5 +125
O/U: MIAMI 7.5 -110 —– TAMPA BAY 7.5 -110
Pitchers: MIAMI – Ra Wolf (L) vs TAMPA BAY – A Cobb (R)
Game Date: Monday,June 02 2014 6:10 PM
Last Game: 0 – 0 vs Atlanta Braves
Current Game: Tampa Bay Devil Rays
Next Game: Vs. TAMPA BAY
Stats & Trends: MIAMI vs. TAMPA BAY
PVI Rating on Winning: 50%
PVI Rating on game going UNDER: 37.25%
Road Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 51.02%
Streaks: 3 SU Lost – 1 Under
Home Teams % of winning this game: 48%
Home Teams % of this game going UNDER: 48%
Home Teams Predicted Runs For: 3.43
Home Teams Predicted Runs Against: 3.51
Home Team
(MIAMI)
When MIAMI is a Home Team When Any MLB Team is a Home Team Differential % When MIAMI is a Home Team,the O/U When Any MLB Team is a Home Team,the O/U Differential % on game going UNDER
Situations Current Season Current Season Differential % Current Season Current Season Differential %
SU SU O/U/P O/U/P
Total is 7.5 9-6 96-112 53.08 10-5-0 109-99-0 40.47
vs Non-Division opponent 11-7 247-277 54.13 9-6-3 215-274-35 48.02
vs Non-Conference opponent 3-2 88-101 53.28 1-3-1 79-104-6 65.92
Playing in the month of June 0-2 7-10 20.59 0-1-1 7-7-3 75
Playing on Monday 2-2 44-58 46.57 2-1-1 48-46-8 41.14
Played as home Underdog 9-11 107-179 41.21 9-6-5 116-152-18 48.36
After a Division Game 10-13 191-207 45.74 11-7-5 187-181-30 44.04
After a Conference Game 8-6 171-178 53.07 8-3-3 142-180-27 41.59
vs AL EAST Division Opponent (since 1996) 57-40 71-80 52.89 46-48-3 71-77-3 51.55
vs AL Conference Opponent 3-2 196-236 52.69 1-3-1 204-208-20 62.75
Coming off vs NL EAST Division Opponent 10-13 73-82 45.29 11-7-5 70-69-16 44.27
Coming off vs National Conference Opponent 17-19 236-254 47.69 17-11-8 198-247-45 47.4
Coming off 2 push 2-0 9-8 76.47 1-1-0 6-11-0 57.36
Coming off a lost 14-11 249-264 52.27 13-8-4 224-256-33 45.72
Coming off a Home Lost as a Underdog 5-6 78-91 45.8 5-4-2 66-88-15 50.79
During a night game 14-13 275-326 48.81 15-8-4 268-290-43 43.38
Coming off a 4 home stand (since 1996) 11-9 2-7 38.61 11-8-1 3-6-0 54.39
vs. opponent with a 31% to 40% winning % 2-0 51-59 73.18 2-0-0 44-57-9 28.22
vs TAMPA BAY (since 1996) 25-21 20-13 57.48 24-20-2 13-18-2 51.76
Coming off a Lost over NL EAST division opponent 9-10 41-53 45.5 9-6-4 35-49-10 49.17
Coming off a Home double header 6-4 33-50 49.88 3-5-2 24-51-8 65.25
Coming off a day game 3-8 138-153 37.35 5-3-3 129-143-19 45.04
Coming off a series loss 3-3 68-83 47.52 3-1-2 76-62-13 34.97
Last 30 days 7-11 215-230 43.6 6-7-5 188-220-37 53.89
Last 45 days 14-16 317-351 47.07 11-12-7 285-325-58 52.73
Last 60 days 18-19 415-466 47.88 16-14-7 388-430-63 49.62
Last 90 days 20-20 433-489 48.48 18-14-8 402-454-66 48.4
Vs. Right handed pitchers 12-16 313-361 44.65 13-12-3 305-325-44 49.8
Coming off vs. Left handed pitcher 5-3 120-126 55.64 4-3-1 120-106-20 44.88
Coming off lost vs. Left handed pitcher 3-1 70-55 65.5 1-2-1 65-52-8 55.56

TEAM: MIAMI
Offensive Stats Defensive Stats
All Games Avg 3.64 3.4
Home Games Avg 4.13 2.93
Road Games Avg 3 4.03
Last 3 Games Avg 2.33 4.33
Last 5 Games Avg 3.4 4.2
Last 10 Games Avg 2.8 4
vs. Division Games Avg 2.98 2.98
vs. Conference Games Avg 3.65 3.57
vs. Non Conference Games Avg 3.6 1.2
vs. Top Ranked Games Avg 4.77 4.81
vs. Middle Ranked Games Avg 2.32 1.71
vs. Bottom Ranked Games Avg 4.54 4.62
After a Win Games Avg 2.5 2.82
After a Lost Games Avg 4.43 4.46
After a SU Road Win Games Avg 1.63 2.88
After a SU Road Lost Games Avg 4.35 5.18
After a SU Home Win Games Avg 2.85 2.8
After a SU Home Lost Games Avg 4.55 3.36
After an Over Games Avg 4.34 3.53
After an Under Games Avg 2.52 3.3
After a Push Games Avg 3.8 3.5
3.43 3.51

The Raymond Report is at odds with the rest of the ATS analysis and shows MIAMI to stand better.

Analysis Recap!

  • Pitching: TBR +
  • Bullpen: Even =
  • Hitting: MIA + +
  • Umpire: N/A
  • ATS Forecast: TBR + + +
  • ATS Matchups: TBR +
  • ATS SOS: TBR + +
  • ATS Raymond Report: MIA + +

Tonight’s prediction: TAMPA BAY to win 5-3.

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