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Boston Red Sox (Lackey) vs. Detroit Tigers (Sanchez) – Preview June 8th, 2014

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Boston Red Sox
Boston Red Sox 
O/U :7.5

3.3

Vs.

Date: 2014-06-08
Time: 19:05:00

Generated from 40 Previous Games

Detroit Tigers
Detroit Tigers
SIDE :-124

4.41 = 7.71

 

  • The ATS Forecast has Detroit ahead by 1.11 runs.

 

 

 

RAYMOND REPORT FOR MLB
Game Date – 2014-06-08
Road Team :- (3019) BOSTON
Home Team :- (3020 )DETROIT

 

BOSTONTeam Name: BOSTON(Road Team)
Money Line: BOSTON +142 vs DETROIT -153
Spread Line: BOSTON +1.5 -160 —– DETROIT -1.5 +140
O/U: BOSTON 7.5 -110 —– DETROIT 7.5 -110
Pitchers: BOSTON – J Lackey (R) vs DETROIT – A Sanchez (R)
Game Date: Sunday,June 08 2014 7:05 PM
Last Game: 0 – 0 vs Detroit Tigers
Current Game: Detroit Tigers
Next Game: At BALTIMORE
Stats & Trends: BOSTON vs. DETROIT
PVI Rating on Winning: 44.26%
PVI Rating on game going UNDER: 58.62%
Road Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 48.98%
Streaks: 5 SU Lost – 1 Over
Road Teams % of winning this game: 39%
Road Teams % of this game going UNDER: 57%
Road Teams Predicted Runs For: 3.23
Road Teams Predicted Runs Against: 3.65
Road Team
(BOSTON)
When BOSTON is a Road Team When Any MLB Team is a Road Team Differential % When BOSTON is a Road Team,the O/U When Any MLB Team is a Road Team,the O/U Differential % on game going UNDER
Situations Current Season Current Season Differential % Current Season Current Season Differential %
SU SU O/U/P O/U/P
Total is 7.5 1-5 113-115 33.12 4-2-0 122-106-0 39.91
vs Non-Division opponent 7-15 265-335 38 8-13-1 253-306-41 58.32
vs Conference opponent 5-13 176-208 36.81 6-11-1 161-190-33 59.42
Playing in the month of June 0-7 48-56 23.08 2-4-1 51-44-9 56.5
Playing on Sunday 1-3 63-79 34.69 1-3-0 57-74-11 65.75
Played as road Underdog 6-16 289-423 33.93 8-12-2 317-343-52 55.99
After a Non-Division Game 6-13 267-326 38.31 7-11-1 247-305-41 58.18
After a Conference Game 6-12 186-217 39.74 7-10-1 169-202-32 56.64
vs AL EAST Division Opponent 5-8 77-84 43.15 4-8-1 67-87-7 61.58
vs AL Conference Opponent 10-21 204-265 37.88 10-19-2 209-236-24 59.28
Coming off vs AL CENTRAL Division Opponent 3-7 79-95 37.7 4-5-1 84-84-6 52.78
Coming off vs American Conference Opponent 11-19 214-266 40.63 11-17-2 211-240-29 56.97
Coming off 1 under 3-6 101-134 38.16 4-5-0 90-127-18 57.05
Coming off a lost 9-16 261-322 40.39 9-14-2 234-303-46 58.65
Coming off a Road Lost as a Underdog 4-12 159-207 34.22 7-8-1 152-183-31 53.98
During a night game 9-16 295-374 40.05 7-16-2 303-319-47 60.43
Coming off a 7 road trip 0-1 3-9 12.5 0-1-0 4-6-2 80
vs. opponent with a 51% to 60% winning % 6-10 144-158 42.59 5-10-1 141-136-25 57.89
vs DETROIT (since 1996) 40-39 14-26 42.82 37-35-7 16-21-3 52.69
Coming off a Lost over AL Central division opponent 2-6 43-58 33.79 4-3-1 47-52-2 47.7
Coming off a game that went under 3-5 101-123 41.3 2-4-2 108-94-22 56.6
Coming off a Road double header 3-4 19-66 32.61 3-4-0 22-53-10 63.91
Coming off a night game 9-13 283-367 42.23 8-12-2 281-317-52 56.51
Coming off a series loss 2-5 75-105 35.12 2-4-1 81-85-14 58.94
Coming off back to back Shutouts offense 1-1 15-46 37.3 0-2-0 15-38-8 85.85
Last 30 days 5-17 195-245 33.53 9-12-1 197-207-36 54.19
Last 45 days 7-18 291-366 36.15 10-13-2 289-312-56 54.22
Last 60 days 10-22 386-500 37.41 12-18-2 390-429-67 56.19
Last 90 days 12-23 446-563 39.25 12-21-2 446-491-72 58.02
Vs. Right handed pitchers 5-19 308-423 31.48 9-15-0 322-360-49 57.65
Coming off vs. Right handed pitcher 10-14 327-398 43.39 9-14-1 309-363-53 57.45
Coming off lost vs. Right handed pitcher 7-11 191-231 42.08 6-11-1 167-225-30 61.06
TEAM: BOSTON
Offensive Stats Defensive Stats
All Games Avg 3.4 3.64
Home Games Avg 3.37 3.68
Road Games Avg 3.43 3.6
Last 3 Games Avg 2 2.67
Last 5 Games Avg 2.4 4.2
Last 10 Games Avg 3.1 3.2
vs. Division Games Avg 3.93 4.43
vs. Conference Games Avg 3.39 3.73
vs. Non Conference Games Avg 3.45 3.18
vs. Top Ranked Games Avg 4.08 4.83
vs. Middle Ranked Games Avg 3.3 3.5
vs. Bottom Ranked Games Avg 3.23 3.32
After a Win Games Avg 3.11 3.93
After a Lost Games Avg 3.38 3.29
After a SU Road Win Games Avg 2.83 4.17
After a SU Road Lost Games Avg 3.65 3.53
After a SU Home Win Games Avg 3.33 3.73
After a SU Home Lost Games Avg 3.12 3.06
After an Over Games Avg 3 3.25
After an Under Games Avg 3.75 3.89
After a Push Games Avg 2.5 3.75
3.23 3.65
DETROITTeam Name: DETROIT(Home Team)
Money Line: DETROIT -153 vs BOSTON +142
Spread Line: DETROIT -1.5 +140 —– BOSTON +1.5 -160
O/U: DETROIT 7.5 -110 —– BOSTON 7.5 -110
Pitchers: DETROIT – A Sanchez (R) vs BOSTON – J Lackey (R)
Game Date: Sunday,June 08 2014 7:05 PM
Last Game: 0 – 0 vs Boston Red Sox
Current Game: Boston Red Sox
Next Game: At CHI WHITE SOX
Stats & Trends: DETROIT vs. BOSTON
PVI Rating on Winning: 56.9%
PVI Rating on game going UNDER: 45.45%
Road Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 69.38%
Streaks: 2 SU Win – 1 Over
Home Teams % of winning this game: 43%
Home Teams % of this game going UNDER: 43%
Home Teams Predicted Runs For: 3.48
Home Teams Predicted Runs Against: 3.41
Home Team
(DETROIT)
When DETROIT is a Home Team When Any MLB Team is a Home Team Differential % When DETROIT is a Home Team,the O/U When Any MLB Team is a Home Team,the O/U Differential % on game going UNDER
Situations Current Season Current Season Differential % Current Season Current Season Differential %
SU SU O/U/P O/U/P
Total is 7.5 6-3 107-121 56.8 4-5-0 122-106-0 51.03
vs Non-Division opponent 10-17 283-317 42.11 11-14-2 253-306-41 55.37
vs Conference opponent 7-12 184-200 42.38 10-8-1 161-190-33 49.29
Playing in the month of June 2-5 48-56 37.36 3-3-1 51-44-9 48.16
Playing on Sunday 1-3 72-70 37.85 1-3-0 57-74-11 65.75
Played as home Favorite 16-20 354-335 47.91 15-18-3 317-322-50 52.47
After a Non-Division Game 8-16 268-312 39.77 8-15-1 246-295-39 59.88
After a Conference Game 8-13 198-201 43.86 10-9-2 166-201-32 51.07
vs AL EAST Division Opponent 4-6 80-88 43.81 5-4-1 79-85-4 48.14
vs AL Conference Opponent 13-19 215-260 42.95 15-15-2 227-226-22 49.95
Coming off vs AL EAST Division Opponent 3-5 78-91 41.83 4-3-1 82-81-6 46.28
Coming off vs American Conference Opponent 13-18 204-248 43.54 15-14-2 217-214-21 48.97
Coming off 1 under 3-6 110-145 38.24 3-6-0 103-137-15 61.88
Coming off a lost 12-17 273-295 44.72 13-14-2 252-280-36 52.24
Coming off a Home Lost as a Favorite 10-10 138-142 49.65 10-9-1 131-134-15 48.97
During a night game 7-14 308-361 39.69 7-12-2 303-319-47 57.23
Coming off a 7 home stand (since 1996) 6-5 4-5 49.5 5-5-1 3-6-0 58.34
vs. opponent with a 41% to 50% winning % 8-14 187-211 41.67 10-11-1 178-191-29 52.07
vs BOSTON (since 1996) 37-42 17-18 47.71 37-35-7 12-21-2 56.13
Coming off a Lost over AL EAST division opponent 2-4 42-44 41.09 3-2-1 45-37-4 42.56
Coming off a game that went under 1-5 111-117 32.68 5-1-0 112-100-16 31.92
Coming off a Home double header 4-8 37-54 37 4-8-0 27-56-8 67.07
Coming off a night game 8-10 315-360 45.56 10-8-0 300-326-49 48.26
Coming off a series loss 3-4 70-87 43.73 4-3-0 81-63-13 43.31
Coming off back to back Shutouts offense 1-5 25-48 25.46 1-5-0 24-43-6 73.76
Last 30 days 4-12 214-226 36.82 8-7-1 197-207-36 48.96
Last 45 days 8-17 311-346 39.67 10-13-2 289-312-56 54.22
Last 60 days 12-22 420-466 41.35 14-18-2 390-429-67 54.32
Last 90 days 16-24 474-535 43.49 16-21-3 446-491-72 54.58
Vs. Right handed pitchers 9-19 345-397 39.32 11-14-3 340-353-49 53.47
Coming off vs. Right handed pitcher 10-17 335-389 41.66 11-14-2 307-367-50 55.23
Coming off lost vs. Right handed pitcher 8-13 187-224 41.8 11-10-0 171-214-26 51.6
TEAM: DETROIT
Offensive Stats Defensive Stats
All Games Avg 3.64 3.49
Home Games Avg 3.35 3.55
Road Games Avg 4 3.41
Last 3 Games Avg 2.67 2
Last 5 Games Avg 3.4 3
Last 10 Games Avg 2.4 3.5
vs. Division Games Avg 4.67 3.54
vs. Conference Games Avg 3.67 3.42
vs. Non Conference Games Avg 3.2 4.4
vs. Top Ranked Games Avg 3.13 4.69
vs. Middle Ranked Games Avg 4.11 3
vs. Bottom Ranked Games Avg 3.48 3.28
After a Win Games Avg 2.97 2.61
After a Lost Games Avg 3.8 4.4
After a SU Road Win Games Avg 3.65 2.65
After a SU Road Lost Games Avg 3.45 4.27
After a SU Home Win Games Avg 2.25 2.56
After a SU Home Lost Games Avg 4.07 4.5
After an Over Games Avg 3.67 4.5
After an Under Games Avg 3.6 2.91
After a Push Games Avg 3.67 1.83
3.48 3.41

 

  • Anytime a team is completely red, that is a good time to fade.

 

 

STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE

BOSTON 27 – 34 44.26 55.74 51.21 0.48 2 – 5 28.57 71.43 48.98 0.39 7 – 7 50 50 37.25 0.44
DETROIT 33 – 25 56.90 43.10 50.17 0.54 2 – 5 28.57 71.43 69.38 0.49 5 – 9 35.71 64.29 60.71 0.48

 

A team like Detroit that is 2-5 L7G, but has a SOS rating of 0.49, must be a team that’s had some great competition. A team like Boston, on the other hand, has the same 2-5 L7G record, yet is 0.39.

  • Detroit has been sharpening their claws against better opponents.
  • Boston has been losing to lower tiered team they should be winning against.

 

ATS MATCHUPS

Historical Stats that SUPPORT the Detroit pick:

When DETROIT played as Favourite- With Total between 7.5 and 8.0 21-12-2
When DETROIT played as Home Favourite- Vs BOSTON 21-12-2
When DETROIT played as Home Team- With Total between 7.5 and 8.0 9-4-2
When DETROIT played as Home or Away Team- With Total between 7.5 and 8.0 30-17-3
When DETROIT team Played as Home team as a Favorite – During a night game – Total is between 7.5 to 8.0 – Coming off 1 under – Coming off vs. Right handed pitcher 12-7-0
When DETROIT team Played as Home team as a Favorite – Vs. Right handed pitchers – Vs Non Division Opponent – Coming off 1 under – Coming off a 1 run win 11-6-0
When DETROIT team played as a home team – During the month of June – Total is 7.5 7-4-0
When DETROIT team Played as home team as a Favorite – Vs. Right handed pitchers – Total is between 7.5 to 8.0 54-32-0
When DETROIT team played as a -140 to -160 home Favorite – Vs. Right handed pitchers – During the month of June 17-9-0
When DETROIT team Played as home team as a Favorite – Total is between 7.5 to 8.0 – Total is 7.5 42-14-0
When DETROIT team played as a -140 to -160 home Favorite – After a non division game – Total is between 7.5 to 8.0 13-6-0
When DETROIT team played as a -140 to -160 home Favorite – Total is 7.5 – Total is between 7.5 to 8.0 9-3-0
When DETROIT team Played as home team as a Favorite – Vs Conference Opponent – Total is 7.5 15-4-0
When ANY MLB Team Played as Home team as a Favorite – Coming off vs. American League opponent – 3rd game of a series – Total is between 7.5 to 8.0 – Coming off a series loss 21-14-0
When ANY MLB Team played as a -140 to -160 Home Favorite – Playing on Sunday – Total is between 7.5 to 8.0 – Vs. Right handed pitchers – Coming off vs. Right handed pitcher – Coming off 1 under 17-5-0
When ANY MLB Team played as a -140 to -160 Home Favorite – Vs Conference Opponent – 3rd game of a series – Playing on Sunday – Coming off a night game 152-92-0
When ANY MLB Team played as a -140 to -160 Home Favorite – Last 4 years – During the month of June – Coming off a 1 run win – Coming off a night game 23-15-0
When DETROIT Played as a Favorite – During Last 2 Years – With SU Record of 1 Win 2 Lost in L3G 62 – 41 – 0
When DETROIT Played as a Favorite – During Last 3 Years – With SU Record of 1 Win 2 Lost in L3G 92 – 53 – 0
When DETROIT played as a home team – During Last 5 Years – With 1 Under – With SU Record of 2 Win 5 Lost in L7G 6 – 4 – 0
When DETROIT played as any home/road team – During Last 4 Years – With 1 Under 109 – 70 – 0
When DETROIT played as any home/road team – During Last 2 Years – With 1 Under or Less – With SU Record of 1 Win 2 Lost in L3G 24 – 12 – 0
When DETROIT Played as home team as a Favorite – During Last 5 Years – With SU Record of 2 Win 5 Lost in L7G 25 – 14 – 0
When BOSTON played as Road Team- Vs DETROIT 4-9-2
When BOSTON team Played as road team as a Underdog – Total is between 7.5 to 8.0 – Total is 7.5 14-29-0
When BOSTON team played as a 140 to 160 road Underdog – Vs. Right handed pitchers – Playing on Sunday 4-8-0
When BOSTON team Played as road team as a Underdog – Total is between 7.5 to 8.0 – Vs AL CENTRAL opponent 2-9-0
When BOSTON team played as a 140 to 160 road Underdog – After a non division game – Vs. Right handed pitchers 6-22-0
When BOSTON team played as a 140 to 160 road Underdog – During a night game – Vs AL CENTRAL opponent 3-7-0
When BOSTON team Played as road team as a Underdog – Playing on Sunday – Total is between 7.5 to 8.0 6-12-0
When ANY MLB Team (Red Sox) played as a 140 to 160 Road Underdog – Vs. Right handed pitchers – Last 4 years – Before a conference game – Coming off a series loss 11-32-0
When BOSTON Played as road team as a Underdog – During Last 4 Years – With SU Record of 0 Win 3 Lost in L3G 9 – 18 – 0

 

Historical Stats that THREATEN the Detroit pick:

When BOSTON team played as a Road team – Vs. Right handed pitchers – Coming off vs. American League opponent – Coming off a series loss – Coming off a 1 run win 6-4-0

 

When SANCHEZ ANIBAL \’s Team played as Favourite- With a spread between 140 and 160 6-12-2

 

 

REALTIME MATCHUPS

  • Lackey is 7-4 vs Detroit with an ERA of 3.84 and a WHIP of 1.313.
  • Sanchez is 2-1 vs BOSTON with an ERA of 2.12 and a WHIP of 1.353.
  • Lackey is 2.80ERA at night and 3.48ERA when playing at away.
  • Sanchez is 2.06ERA at night and 2.76ERA When playing at home.
  • Lackey is 1.27ERA L3G
  • Sanchez is 1.21ERA L3G
  • BOSTON has 0 hitters batting over .300 vs Sanchez.
  • DETROIT has 6 hitters batting over .300 vs Lackey.

 

  • BOSTON averages 3.7RPG all season and 3.5 L7G.
  • DETROIT averages 4.6RPG all season and 3.1 L7G.

 

  • BOSTON’s pen is 2.96ERA all games.
  • BOSTON’s pen is 3.03ERA on the road.
  • DETROIT’s pen is 4.70ERA all games.
  • DETROIT’s pen is 6.00ERA at home.

 

The bottom line here is that with the L7G and L3G stats, things look to even out, but in combination with the SOS report, Detroit has had much better competition and therefore although BOS is tallying comparable numbers, it doesn’t account for the handicap.

That’s our job.

 

Given all the above factors, Detroit is paying handsomely at -125 and that will be our recommendation for tonight’s contest.

 

Tonight’s Prediction: DETROIT to win 5-2.

 

 

 

 

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