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New York Mets (Niese) vs. Miami Marlins (DeSclafani) – Preview June 22nd, 2014

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New York Mets
New York Mets 
O/U :7.5

4.11

Vs.

Date: 2014-06-22
Time: 12:10:00

Generated from 57 Previous Games

Miami Marlins
Miami Marlins
SIDE :-105

3.87 = 7.98

 

HITTING

Today’s game is between 2 teams that are definitely struggling at the plate of late.

  • Both teams are averaging 2.4RPG Last 7 Games.
  • *Miami are a league elite hitting a walloping 5.8RPG all season vs. LHP*
  • New York are hitting a common 3.6RPG all season vs RHP.

 

PITCHING

  • Jon Niese, in for the Mets, is pitching on his par lately boasting a 2.61ERA L3G.
  • Anthony DeSclafani, in for the Marlins, on his par lately with a coolish 5.60ERA L3G.
  • All of Niese’s splits are in the mid-2.00ERA.
  • All of DeSclafani’s splits are in the mid-5.00ERA.
    (Sclafani has only pitched 16 innings this season.)

BULLPENS

  • Pens are perfectly even today

 

UMPIRE

Pat Hoberg is the blue at the plate today.
He’s got 13 games under his belt in 2014, and has no ’13 stats to compare with.

So far, although being a simple 5-8 for the home team isn’t a huge deal, it’s a little bit concerning that when the home team was a small favourite his record is 2-2 and when the home team was clear chalk, he’s 0-2 for the home team.

Although rare, Hoberg might have a slight bias for the visiting teams.

 
RAYMOND REPORT

RAYMOND REPORT FOR MLB

Game Date – 2014-06-22
Road Team :- (3005) NY METS
Home Team :- (3006 )MIAMI

 

NY METSTeam Name: NY METS(Road Team)
Money Line: NY METS -106 vs MIAMI -104
Spread Line: NY METS -1.5 +157 —– MIAMI +1.5 -177
O/U: NY METS 7.5 -110 —– MIAMI 7.5 -110
Pitchers: NY METS – J Niese (L) vs MIAMI – A DeSclafani (R)
Game Date: Sunday,June 22 2014 12:10 PM
Last Game: 0 – 0 vs Miami Marlins
Current Game: Miami Marlins
Next Game: Vs. OAKLAND
Stats & Trends: NY METS vs. MIAMI
PVI Rating on Winning: 45.21%
PVI Rating on game going UNDER: 51.61%
Road Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 51.02%
Streaks: 1 SU Win – 5 Under
Road Teams % of winning this game: 38%
Road Teams % of this game going UNDER: 56%
Road Teams Predicted Runs For: 2.97
Road Teams Predicted Runs Against: 2.95
Road Team
(NY METS)
When NY METS is a Road Team When Any MLB Team is a Road Team Differential % When NY METS is a Road Team,the O/U When Any MLB Team is a Road Team,the O/U Differential % on game going UNDER
Situations Current Season Current Season Differential % Current Season Current Season Differential %
SU SU O/U/P O/U/P
Total is 7.5 7-10 139-141 45.41 8-9-0 143-137-0 50.94
vs Division opponent 10-19 222-274 39.62 5-15-9 230-230-36 62.5
vs Conference opponent 5-12 219-257 37.71 8-6-3 193-245-38 49.4
Playing in the month of June 5-14 140-168 35.89 5-9-5 131-157-20 59.4
Playing on Sunday 2-3 79-93 42.97 3-1-1 69-92-11 41.07
Played as road Favorite 1-3 182-174 38.06 1-2-1 157-177-22 59.83
After a Division Game 8-18 212-270 37.38 8-11-7 227-221-34 53.61
After a Conference Game 5-13 229-268 36.93 9-6-3 202-258-37 48.05
vs NL EAST Division Opponent 10-19 92-132 37.78 5-15-9 85-110-29 65.71
vs NL Conference Opponent 15-31 293-355 38.92 13-21-12 285-308-55 56.85
Coming off vs NL EAST Division Opponent 8-18 84-118 36.18 8-11-7 81-99-22 56.45
Coming off vs National Conference Opponent 15-31 276-350 38.35 14-21-11 276-301-49 56.09
Coming off 2 under 2-5 71-82 37.49 0-3-4 61-80-12 78.37
Coming off a lost 9-23 303-390 35.93 12-15-5 273-369-51 56.52
Coming off a Road Lost as a Favorite 0-5 72-83 23.23 0-4-1 56-88-11 80.56
During a day game 7-6 183-228 49.19 4-6-3 169-214-28 57.94
Coming off a 10 road trip 0-2 4-9 15.39 0-1-1 3-8-2 86.37
vs. opponent with a 41% to 50% winning % 5-7 206-291 41.56 6-4-2 210-257-30 47.52
vs MIAMI (since 1996) 74-84 17-40 38.33 80-68-10 22-23-12 48.53
Coming off a Lost over NL EAST division opponent 4-13 52-70 33.08 4-9-4 41-66-15 65.46
Coming off a Road double header 1-12 21-72 15.14 3-7-3 25-57-11 69.76
Coming off a day game 8-6 190-225 51.46 4-5-5 184-208-23 54.31
Coming off back to back Shutouts offense 2-6 19-47 26.9 2-4-2 17-41-8 68.68
Last 30 days 7-15 198-243 38.36 7-10-5 193-221-27 56.1
Last 45 days 10-17 292-362 40.85 10-10-7 280-327-47 51.94
Last 60 days 12-27 390-488 37.6 13-16-10 377-433-68 54.32
Last 90 days 18-33 536-675 39.78 18-21-12 525-603-83 53.66
Vs. Right handed pitchers 13-25 374-506 38.36 12-18-8 383-440-57 56.73
Coming off vs. Right handed pitcher 15-25 393-486 41.11 14-17-9 370-448-61 54.81
Coming off lost vs. Right handed pitcher 6-18 228-277 35.08 8-11-5 194-277-34 58.35

 

MIAMITeam Name: MIAMI(Home Team)
Money Line: MIAMI -104 vs NY METS -106
Spread Line: MIAMI +1.5 -177 —– NY METS -1.5 +157
O/U: MIAMI 7.5 -110 —– NY METS 7.5 -110
Pitchers: MIAMI – A DeSclafani (R) vs NY METS – J Niese (L)
Game Date: Sunday,June 22 2014 12:10 PM
Last Game: 0 – 0 vs New York Mets
Current Game: New York Mets
Next Game: At PHILADELPHIA
Stats & Trends: MIAMI vs. NY METS
PVI Rating on Winning: 50%
PVI Rating on game going UNDER: 39.71%
Road Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 55.1%
Streaks: 1 SU Lost – 3 Under
Home Teams % of winning this game: 44%
Home Teams % of this game going UNDER: 44%
Home Teams Predicted Runs For: 2.87
Home Teams Predicted Runs Against: 2.97

 

Home Team
(MIAMI)
When MIAMI is a Home Team When Any MLB Team is a Home Team Differential % When MIAMI is a Home Team,the O/U When Any MLB Team is a Home Team,the O/U Differential % on game going UNDER
Situations Current Season Current Season Differential % Current Season Current Season Differential %
SU SU O/U/P O/U/P
Total is 7.5 11-11 130-150 48.22 12-10-0 143-137-0 47.19
vs Division opponent 10-19 232-264 40.63 9-13-7 230-230-36 54.55
vs Conference opponent 10-11 228-248 47.76 12-5-4 193-245-38 42.68
Playing in the month of June 5-14 147-161 37.03 4-10-5 131-157-20 62.97
Playing on Sunday 3-5 84-88 43.17 1-5-2 69-92-11 70.24
Played as home Underdog 12-17 148-232 40.17 12-10-7 157-199-24 50.68
After a Division Game 12-17 231-258 44.31 11-12-6 222-231-36 51.58
After a Conference Game 11-11 244-252 49.6 11-6-5 200-259-37 45.86
vs NL EAST Division Opponent 10-19 95-110 40.41 9-13-7 85-93-27 55.67
vs NL Conference Opponent 20-30 311-336 44.04 21-18-11 268-321-58 50.33
Coming off vs NL EAST Division Opponent 12-17 100-112 44.28 11-12-6 97-95-20 50.83
Coming off vs National Conference Opponent 21-30 311-339 44.52 20-19-12 268-324-58 51.73
Coming off 2 under 0-1 60-75 22.22 1-0-0 56-72-7 28.13
Coming off a lost 18-19 328-349 48.55 16-15-6 299-337-41 50.69
Coming off a Home Lost as a Underdog 9-10 107-110 48.34 6-9-4 87-112-18 58.14
During a day game 7-12 201-210 42.88 4-10-5 169-214-28 63.65
vs. opponent with a 41% to 50% winning % 9-16 238-256 42.09 7-11-7 212-244-38 57.31
vs NY METS (since 1996) 77-81 21-30 44.96 80-68-10 18-21-12 49.9
Coming off a Lost over NL EAST division opponent 11-14 55-74 43.32 9-11-5 50-67-12 56.13
Coming off a Home double header 9-8 40-61 46.27 4-9-4 30-61-10 68.13
Coming off a day game 5-12 181-206 38.09 6-6-5 165-196-26 52.15
Coming off back to back Shutouts offense 6-9 28-56 36.67 5-7-3 28-49-7 60.99
Last 30 days 6-18 216-225 36.99 6-12-6 193-221-27 60.03
Last 45 days 8-19 317-337 39.05 8-12-7 280-327-47 56.94
Last 60 days 16-26 418-460 42.86 14-18-10 377-433-68 54.86
Last 90 days 25-32 573-638 45.59 22-23-12 525-603-83 52.29
Vs. Left handed pitchers 8-6 152-160 52.93 6-3-5 126-160-26 44.64
Coming off vs. Left handed pitcher 8-3 164-154 62.15 4-6-1 154-140-24 53.81
Coming off lost vs. Left handed pitcher 4-3 90-78 55.36 3-3-1 85-73-10 48.1

 

  • NYM is marked at 38% to win.
  • MIA is marked at 44% to win.

Obviously neither team is stacking up anywhere near to league average…but with the Raymond Report highlighting Miami as standing better in this position, and considering that Miami has tallied extremely strong vs LHP…Miami seems like it might hold some value.

It needs to also be noted that with the Mets tallying over 70% of the action on this game, the line is acting very funny. Despite the amount of the steam on the Mets, the line is not deflating as we would expect.

 

 

Today’s Prediction: MIAMI MARLINS to win 4-3.

 

 

 

 

 

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