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Oakland A’s (Kazmir) vs. New York Mets (Colon) – Preview June 24th, 2014

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Oakland Athletics
Oakland Athletics 
SIDE :-1374.26
Vs.Date: 2014-06-24
Time: 18:10:00

Generated from 69 Previous Games

New York Mets
New York Mets
O/U :7
3.14 = 7.4

 

We had 2 locks today. The Angels and the A’s. Based on the pricing, Oakland is where the value is at so this is the game we’ll cover.

PITCHING

What’s so hot about the O’s? What’s NOT!

  • Kazmir, who is 0.90ERA L3G also struck out 12 time in 6 innings the last time he faces the Mets.
  • Colon has seriously picked up his act in the last few weeks where he is now marking 3.88ERA all season and 1.71ERA L3G.

So at the end of the day, Colon is better than average at the moment, but Kazmir is completely tearing it up.

HUGE BONUS CONSIDERATION:

Also, considering that the Oakland lineup worked with Colon for many years…it’s reasonable to assume that they might know exactly how he pitches. Nobody has more tape on Colon than the A’s lineup. If Colon doesn’t want to telegraph his pitches and have the labels peeled off of them, he’ll have to step out of his norm. He’ll have to do his 2nd best!

 

HITTING

Oakland all games: 5.1 RPG
Oakland on the road: 5.2 RPG
Oakland vs RHP: 5.0 RPG
Oakland L7G: 5.4 RPG

New York all games: 3.9 RPG
New York at home: 3.1 RPG
New York vs LHP: 4.4 RPG
New York L7G: 3.6 RPG

 

BULLPEN

  • A’s 2.88ERA all season
  • A’s 2.32ERA on the road.
  • Mets 3.36ERA all season.
  • Mets 3.50ERA at home.
  • Did you know that Kazmir is 9-2 this season with a WHIP of 0.95?

 

ATS Forecast

Oakland has a walloping +1.12 point difference tallied from 69 samples.
This is an established mark.
This is a significant mark.

 

ATS Matchups

Stats to SUPPORT Oakland:

When OAKLAND played as any home/road team – During Last 2 Years – With SU Record of 5 Win 2 Lost in L7G 55 – 32 – 0
When OAKLAND played as any home/road team – During Current Season – With SU Record of 5 Win 2 Lost in L7G 10 – 5 – 0
When OAKLAND played as Favourite- With Total between 6 and 7 16-8-1
When OAKLAND played as Favourite- With a spread between 120 and 140 26-13-1
When OAKLAND team Played as road team as a Favorite – Playing on Tuesday – 1st game of a series 25-13-0
When OAKLAND team played as a -120 to -140 road Favorite – Playing on Tuesday – Before a non division game 12-7-0
When OAKLAND team played as a -120 to -140 road Favorite – Vs. Right handed pitchers – Vs Non Division Opponent 53-31-0
When OAKLAND team Played as road team as a Favorite – With 1 day off – During a night game 40-21-0
When OAKLAND team Played as road team as a Favorite – Playing on Tuesday – With 1 day off 24-13-0
When OAKLAND team played as a -120 to -140 road Favorite – Vs Non Conference Opponent – Vs. Right handed pitchers 12-7-0
When OAKLAND team played as a -120 to -140 road Favorite – Vs. Right handed pitchers – With 1 day off 12-8-0
When OAKLAND team Played as road team as a Favorite – Vs. Right handed pitchers – With 1 day off 30-17-0
When NY METS played as Home Underdog- With a spread between 120 and 140 15-30-0
When NY METS played as Underdog- With Total between 6 and 7 3-7-0
When ANY MLB Team (New York) Played as Home team as a Underdog – Coming off vs. National League opponent – Playing on Tuesday – Vs. Left handed pitchers – Coming off a Win vs. NL EAST opponent – Coming off a 1 game win – Allowed 5 runs or less AGAINST in their last game 10-19-0
When ANY MLB Team (New York) Played as Home team as a Underdog – Playing on Tuesday – Vs. Left handed pitchers – Coming off a Road win – Coming off a 1 game win 8-16-0
When NY METS Played as home team as a Underdog – During Last 4 Years – With SU Record of 2 Win 1 Lost in L3G 14 – 27 – 0

Stats to THREATEN Oakland:

 

When NY METS team played as a home team – Playing on Tuesday – With 1 day off 53-35-0
When NY METS team played as a Home team – During a night game – Vs Non Division Opponent – Coming off a 1 game win – Coming off 1 over 23-11-0
When COLON BARTOLO \’s Team played as Home or Away Team- in the month of June 13-7-0
When OAKLAND team played as a Road team – During a night game – After a non division game – Coming off a 1 game loss – Coming off 1 over 10-21-0
When ANY MLB Team (Oakland) played as a Road team – During the month of June – Coming off vs. American League opponent – Before a non division game – Scored 6 or more runs FOR in their last game – Coming off lost vs. Left handed pitcher – Coming off 1 over 5-13-0

 

Is the case historically airtight? No.

Is there a comfortable advantage with the A’s? Yes.

 

Raymond Report

RAYMOND REPORT FOR MLB

Game Date – 2014-06-24
Road Team :- (3025) OAKLAND
Home Team :- (3026 )NY METS

 

OAKLANDTeam Name: OAKLAND(Road Team)
Money Line: OAKLAND -130 vs NY METS +120
Spread Line: OAKLAND -1.5 +127 —– NY METS +1.5 -147
O/U: OAKLAND 7 +105 —– NY METS 7 -125
Pitchers: OAKLAND – S Kazmir (L) vs NY METS – B Colon (R)
Game Date: Tuesday,June 24 2014 6:10 PM
Last Game: lost 7 – 6 vs Boston Red Sox
Current Game: New York Mets
Next Game: At NY METS
Stats & Trends: OAKLAND vs. NY METS
PVI Rating on Winning: 61.33%
PVI Rating on game going UNDER: 47.89%
Road Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 38.78%
Streaks: 1 SU Lost – 1 Over
Road Teams % of winning this game: 53%
Road Teams % of this game going UNDER: 56%
Road Teams Predicted Runs For: 4.91
Road Teams Predicted Runs Against: 3.24
Road Team
(OAKLAND)
When OAKLAND is a Road Team When Any MLB Team is a Road Team Differential % When OAKLAND is a Road Team,the O/U When Any MLB Team is a Road Team,the O/U Differential % on game going UNDER
Situations Current Season Current Season Differential % Current Season Current Season Differential %
SU SU O/U/P O/U/P
Total is 7 2-1 114-136 56.14 0-2-1 109-101-40 74.05
vs Non-Division opponent 15-10 322-408 52.06 11-12-2 301-380-49 53.99
vs Non-Conference opponent 2-2 98-147 45 3-1-0 105-131-9 40.26
Playing in the month of June 5-4 155-179 50.99 3-5-1 140-170-24 58.67
Playing on Tuesday 4-1 86-102 62.87 2-3-0 77-100-11 58.25
Played as road Favorite 19-7 187-175 62.37 12-14-0 158-180-24 53.55
After a Non-Division Game 13-11 323-402 49.36 10-12-2 293-382-50 55.57
After a Conference Game 14-8 235-273 54.95 9-11-2 207-262-39 55.43
vs AL WEST Division Opponent 8-4 68-104 53.1 5-6-1 70-88-14 55.13
vs AL Conference Opponent 21-12 250-328 53.45 13-17-3 249-299-30 55.62
Coming off vs AL EAST Division Opponent 5-8 88-109 41.57 3-8-2 76-110-11 65.94
Coming off vs American Conference Opponent 21-12 259-324 54.04 14-16-3 248-300-35 54.04
Coming off 1 over 6-2 129-152 60.46 6-2-0 132-125-24 36.82
Coming off a lost 8-6 307-398 50.35 3-9-2 278-374-53 66.18
Coming off a Home Lost as a Favorite 2-0 30-35 73.08 2-0-0 27-35-3 28.23
With 1 days off 4-1 59-68 63.23 2-3-0 53-65-9 57.54
During a night game 16-8 361-453 55.51 12-11-1 362-396-56 50.04
Coming off a 10 home stand 1-0 11-8 78.95 1-0-0 10-9-0 23.69
Coming off a 1 runs loss 2-2 80-100 47.22 0-3-1 67-98-15 79.7
Coming off a score 6 runs FOR in last game 3-2 44-46 54.45 3-2-0 37-49-4 48.49
Coming off a score 7 runs AGAINST in last game 0-2 24-42 18.18 0-1-1 24-37-5 80.33
vs. opponent with a 41% to 50% winning % 10-5 215-292 54.54 8-6-1 213-263-31 49.06
vs NY METS (since 1996) 1-5 19-19 33.34 3-3-0 12-21-5 56.82
Coming off a Lost over AL EAST division opponent 3-4 51-60 44.41 1-5-1 40-68-3 73.15
Coming off a game that went over 6-2 129-152 60.46 6-2-0 132-125-24 36.82
Coming off a day game 11-4 201-234 59.77 5-10-0 192-217-26 59.87
Coming off a series win 1-0 30-35 73.08 0-1-0 31-24-10 71.82
Last 30 days 5-5 202-233 48.22 3-6-1 189-218-28 60.12
Last 45 days 10-8 295-358 50.37 6-10-2 280-325-48 58.11
Last 60 days 15-12 390-486 50.04 10-14-3 372-434-70 56.09
Last 90 days 23-14 551-686 53.35 16-18-3 534-616-87 53.26
Vs. Right handed pitchers 16-9 386-515 53.42 10-13-2 390-451-60 55.08
Coming off vs. Left handed pitcher 11-6 141-183 54.12 8-7-2 152-150-22 48.17
Coming off lost vs. Left handed pitcher 3-1 69-105 57.33 1-2-1 71-87-16 60.87
TEAM: OAKLAND
Offensive Stats Defensive Stats
All Games Avg 4.91 3.24
Home Games Avg 4.66 3.32
Road Games Avg 5.19 3.16
Last 3 Games Avg 4 3.67
Last 5 Games Avg 4 3
Last 10 Games Avg 5.3 4.8
vs. Division Games Avg 5.14 3.61
vs. Conference Games Avg 4.83 3.32
vs. Non Conference Games Avg 7 1.33
vs. Top Ranked Games Avg 4.19 3.15
vs. Middle Ranked Games Avg 6.1 3
vs. Bottom Ranked Games Avg 5.07 3.36
After a Win Games Avg 5.33 3.59
After a Lost Games Avg 4.75 2.75
After a SU Road Win Games Avg 5.13 3.87
After a SU Road Lost Games Avg 4.5 2.5
After a SU Home Win Games Avg 5.52 3.3
After a SU Home Lost Games Avg 5 3
After an Over Games Avg 5.72 3.5
After an Under Games Avg 4.41 3.03
After a Push Games Avg 3.5 3.25
4.91 3.24
NY METSTeam Name: NY METS(Home Team)
Money Line: NY METS +120 vs OAKLAND -130
Spread Line: NY METS +1.5 -147 —– OAKLAND -1.5 +127
O/U: NY METS 7 -125 —– OAKLAND 7 +105
Pitchers: NY METS – B Colon (R) vs OAKLAND – S Kazmir (L)
Game Date: Tuesday,June 24 2014 6:10 PM
Last Game: win 11 – 5 vs Miami Marlins
Current Game: Oakland Athletics
Next Game: Vs. OAKLAND
Stats & Trends: NY METS vs. OAKLAND
PVI Rating on Winning: 45.95%
PVI Rating on game going UNDER: 50.79%
Road Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 48.98%
Streaks: 2 SU Win – 1 Over
Home Teams % of winning this game: 44%
Home Teams % of this game going UNDER: 44%
Home Teams Predicted Runs For: 3.34
Home Teams Predicted Runs Against: 3.09
Home Team
(NY METS)
When NY METS is a Home Team When Any MLB Team is a Home Team Differential % When NY METS is a Home Team,the O/U When Any MLB Team is a Home Team,the O/U Differential % on game going UNDER
Situations Current Season Current Season Differential % Current Season Current Season Differential %
SU SU O/U/P O/U/P
Total is 7 6-13 131-119 41.99 4-12-3 109-101-40 61.55
vs Non-Division opponent 11-12 347-383 47.68 6-15-2 301-380-49 63.62
vs Non-Conference opponent 0-2 116-129 23.68 0-2-0 105-131-9 77.76
Playing in the month of June 3-3 157-177 48.51 2-4-0 140-170-24 60.76
Playing on Tuesday 2-2 78-110 45.75 2-2-0 77-100-11 53.25
Played as home Underdog 11-15 149-238 40.41 9-14-3 158-203-26 58.55
After a Division Game 5-9 235-266 41.31 6-5-3 226-237-38 48.32
After a Conference Game 11-10 248-258 50.7 6-13-2 204-263-39 62.37
vs AL WEST Division Opponent (since 1996) 11-10 70-107 45.97 10-8-3 76-91-10 49.47
vs AL Conference Opponent 0-2 268-309 23.23 0-2-0 264-286-27 76
Coming off vs NL EAST Division Opponent 5-9 102-113 41.58 6-5-3 98-96-21 47.47
Coming off vs National Conference Opponent 15-20 315-350 45.12 11-19-5 271-334-60 59.27
Coming off 1 over 4-6 129-149 43.2 2-6-2 130-130-18 62.5
Coming off a win 4-10 253-296 37.33 2-10-2 232-273-44 68.7
Coming off a Road Win as a Underdog 0-3 25-31 22.32 0-3-0 22-30-4 78.85
With 1 days off 1-6 61-61 32.15 3-4-0 53-60-9 55.12
During a night game 8-16 377-437 39.82 7-13-4 362-396-56 58.62
Coming off a 11 road trip (since 1996) 7-4 2-8 41.82 5-6-0 5-5-0 52.28
Coming off a 6 runs win (since 1996) 21-14 23-18 58.05 16-18-1 18-21-2 53.4
Coming off a score 11 runs FOR in last game (since 1996) 13-6 5-7 55.05 10-8-1 5-7-0 51.39
Coming off a score 5 runs AGAINST in last game 4-1 55-55 65 3-2-0 52-51-7 44.76
vs. opponent with a 61% to 70% winning % 0-3 52-66 22.04 1-2-0 56-54-8 57.88
vs OAKLAND (since 1996) 5-1 14-23 60.59 3-3-0 16-18-3 51.47
Coming off a Win over NL EAST division opponent 0-2 47-38 27.65 1-0-1 47-29-9 19.08
Coming off a game that went over 4-6 129-149 43.2 2-6-2 130-130-18 62.5
Coming off a day game 6-7 189-218 46.3 3-8-2 173-205-29 63.48
Last 30 days 5-4 208-227 51.69 3-6-0 189-218-28 60.12
Last 45 days 7-11 315-338 43.57 7-10-1 280-325-48 56.27
Last 60 days 9-14 417-459 43.37 8-12-3 372-434-70 56.93
Last 90 days 15-23 583-654 43.3 12-21-5 534-616-87 58.61
Vs. Left handed pitchers 2-3 155-166 44.15 1-3-1 130-165-26 65.47
Coming off vs. Right handed pitcher 11-21 409-487 40.02 9-19-4 371-465-60 61.74
Coming off win vs. Right handed pitcher 4-8 186-209 40.21 2-8-2 167-196-32 67
TEAM: NY METS
Offensive Stats Defensive Stats
All Games Avg 3.21 3.24
Home Games Avg 2.82 3.24
Road Games Avg 3.5 3.25
Last 3 Games Avg 5 1.67
Last 5 Games Avg 3.4 1.6
Last 10 Games Avg 2.3 1.5
vs. Division Games Avg 2.73 2.53
vs. Conference Games Avg 3.07 2.99
vs. Non Conference Games Avg 4.86 6.29
vs. Top Ranked Games Avg 3.16 4.8
vs. Middle Ranked Games Avg 2.58 2.51
vs. Bottom Ranked Games Avg 4.5 2.91
After a Win Games Avg 3.21 2.79
After a Lost Games Avg 3.15 3.48
After a SU Road Win Games Avg 3.11 2.78
After a SU Road Lost Games Avg 3.38 3.67
After a SU Home Win Games Avg 3.33 2.8
After a SU Home Lost Games Avg 2.89 3.26
After an Over Games Avg 3.77 4.27
After an Under Games Avg 2.52 2.64
After a Push Games Avg 3.71 2.59
3.34 3.09

 

9% points with Oakland and a ton of green.

So when compared to the league, Oakland definitely holds it’s own in this position.

 

Strength Of Schedule

NY METS 34 – 40 45.95 54.05 50.09 0.48 4 – 3 57.14 42.86 48.98 0.53 7 – 7 50 50 51.02 0.51
0.55
OAKLAND 46 – 29 61.33 38.67 49.82 0.56 5 – 2 71.43 28.57 30.62 0.51 9 – 5 64.29 35.71 52.55 0.58

 

So the one area where Mets stand better and it’s by a measely 2 points. Effectively, this isn’t even a consideration. SOS has these guys at dead even.

All that we can say is that Oakland has faced more rubber than the Mets of late. So in terms of W/L, the Mets get done in a 4-3 record, what Oakland has done with their 5-2, L7G.

 

All in all, there is no doubt that Oakland is the way to go here and the pick of the night.

 

 

Tonight’s Prediction: OAKLAND to win 6-3.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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