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Atlanta Braves (Minor) vs. Houston Astros (Cosart) – Preview June 26th, 2014

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Atlanta Braves
Atlanta Braves 
SIDE :-115

3.55

Vs.

Date: 2014-06-26
Time: 13:10:00

Generated from 80 Previous Games

Houston Astros
Houston Astros
O/U :8

4.02 = 7.57

 

Atlanta Braves -115

PITCHING SPLITS

Minor is particularly strong in day games marking 2.70ERA.
Cosart is mediocre in day games marking 4.04ERA.

Minor is vulnerable vs LHH with a 4.26ERA vs LHH.
Minor is strong vs RHH with a 2.18ERA vs RHH.

Cosart is strong vs LHH with a 2.91ERA vs LHH.
Cosart is vulnerable vs RHH 4.75ERA vs LHH.

 

All Season, Houston’s strongest left-handed threats are:

Fowler – .245 AVG and .721 OPS
Gonzalez – .253 AVG and .712 OPS
Singleton – .192 AVG and .666 OPS
Castro – .219 AVG and .651 OPS

Last 7 Games, Houston’s strongest LHH are:

Fowler – .136 AVG and .614 OPS
Castro – .167 AVG and .433 OPS
Singleton – .053 AVG and .205 OPS
Gonzalez – .000 AVG and .000 OPS

Even at their best, Minor’s strongest threats in the Astros’ lineup are less than mediocre. Considering that all 4 are particularly cool lately, Minor is headed into a ‘best case scenario’ this afternoon.

 

All Season, Atlanta’s strongest right-handed threats are:

Gattis – .292 AVG and .906 OPS
J. Upton – .272 AVG and .855 OPS
Pena – .316 AVG and .789 OPS
Johnson – .280 AVG and .661 OPS
Simmons – .251 AVG and .650 Gatt
B. Upton – .204 and .611 OPS

Last 7 Games, Atlanta’s strongest RHH are:

Johnson – .400 AVG and 1.044 OPS
J. Upton – .188 AVG and .739 OPS
Gattis – .280 AVG and .693 OPS
Simmons – .227 AVG and .488 OPS
B. Upton – .115 AVG and .417 OPS
Pena – .000 AVG and .000 OPS

So at their best, Cosart’s strongest threats in the Braves’ lineup are at least average. Unlike Minor, it’s Cosart who will have a case to prove.

 

STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE

ATLANTA 40 – 37 51.95 48.05 50.51 0.51 4 – 3 57.14 42.86 42.86 0.50 6 – 8 42.86 57.14 51.53 0.47
HOUSTON 33 – 47 41.25 58.75 51.42 0.46 1 – 6 14.29 85.71 57.14 0.36 5 – 9 35.71 64.29 42.86 0.39

 

Atlanta is looking perfectly consistent while Houston’s W/L performance continues to dwindle.
A 14 point SOS advantage is nothing to sneeze at and only confirms that in addition to the pitching matchup, Atlanta is poised to strike in terms of winning-competency vs. comparable opposition, as well.

 

RAYMOND REPORT

RAYMOND REPORT FOR MLB

Game Date – 2014-06-26
Road Team :- (3023) ATLANTA
Home Team :- (3024 )HOUSTON

 

ATLANTATeam Name: ATLANTA(Road Team)
Money Line: ATLANTA -130 vs HOUSTON +120
Spread Line: ATLANTA -1.5 +125 —– HOUSTON +1.5 -145
O/U: ATLANTA 8 -105 —– HOUSTON 8 -115
Pitchers: ATLANTA – M Minor (L) vs HOUSTON – J Cosart (R)
Game Date: Thursday,June 26 2014 1:10 PM
Last Game: 0 – 0 vs Houston Astros
Current Game: Houston Astros
Next Game: At PHILADELPHIA
Stats & Trends: ATLANTA vs. HOUSTON
PVI Rating on Winning: 51.95%
PVI Rating on game going UNDER: 61.11%
Road Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 42.86%
Streaks: 2 SU Win – 4 Under
Road Teams % of winning this game: 44%
Road Teams % of this game going UNDER: 60%
Road Teams Predicted Runs For: 2.62
Road Teams Predicted Runs Against: 2.67
Road Team
(ATLANTA)
When ATLANTA is a Road Team When Any MLB Team is a Road Team Differential % When ATLANTA is a Road Team,the O/U When Any MLB Team is a Road Team,the O/U Differential % on game going UNDER
Situations Current Season Current Season Differential % Current Season Current Season Differential %
SU SU O/U/P O/U/P
Total is 8 2-4 76-105 37.66 0-6-0 74-92-15 77.71
vs Non-Division opponent 9-13 335-423 42.56 5-13-4 314-391-53 63.84
vs Conference opponent 9-11 232-273 45.47 5-11-4 204-257-44 62.25
Playing in the month of June 8-9 172-198 46.78 4-9-4 157-185-28 61.66
Playing on Thursday 1-5 64-74 31.53 2-3-1 62-70-6 56.52
Played as road Favorite 11-12 196-184 49.71 7-12-4 167-187-26 57.99
After a Non-Division Game 10-13 334-413 44.1 6-14-3 303-391-53 63.17
After a Conference Game 8-10 243-287 45.15 5-9-4 217-270-43 59.87
vs NL EAST Division Opponent 11-15 96-135 41.94 8-15-3 89-113-29 60.58
vs NL Conference Opponent 20-26 312-367 44.72 13-26-7 295-325-59 59.55
Coming off vs NL CENTRAL Division Opponent 5-5 111-135 47.56 2-7-1 104-126-16 66.28
Coming off vs National Conference Opponent 18-25 295-361 43.42 13-23-7 286-317-53 58.23
Coming off 2 push 1-1 7-18 39 0-1-1 8-15-2 82.61
Coming off a lost 12-15 319-408 44.16 6-17-4 286-385-56 65.65
Coming off a Road Lost as a Favorite 4-4 77-84 48.92 2-5-1 58-91-12 66.25
During a day game 5-11 193-236 38.12 5-9-2 175-223-31 60.16
Coming off a 8 road trip (since 1996) 10-10 6-10 43.75 15-5-0 5-9-2 44.65
vs. opponent with a 41% to 50% winning % 9-18 224-300 38.04 8-14-5 221-270-33 59.32
vs HOUSTON (since 1996) 41-30 22-25 52.28 34-32-5 20-24-3 51.52
Coming off a Lost over NL CENTRAL division opponent 3-2 61-74 52.6 1-3-1 51-71-13 66.6
Coming off a Road double header 2-5 25-77 26.54 3-2-2 29-61-12 53.89
Coming off a night game 9-20 359-458 37.49 9-16-4 348-406-63 58.93
Coming off a series loss 4-5 99-129 43.93 1-5-3 102-109-17 67.5
Coming off back to back Shutouts offense 2-4 21-48 31.88 2-3-1 19-42-8 64.43
Last 30 days 10-11 204-237 46.94 5-12-4 191-222-28 62.17
Last 45 days 12-15 298-359 44.9 7-15-5 280-328-49 61.07
Last 60 days 12-21 395-485 40.63 10-17-6 373-439-68 58.51
Last 90 days 20-28 568-705 43.15 13-28-7 551-631-91 60.84
Vs. Right handed pitchers 17-21 400-526 43.97 11-23-4 401-462-63 60.59
Coming off vs. Right handed pitcher 16-22 416-509 43.54 11-22-5 390-469-66 60.64
Coming off lost vs. Right handed pitcher 9-10 235-290 46.07 3-14-2 203-285-37 70.38

 

 

HOUSTONTeam Name: HOUSTON(Home Team)
Money Line: HOUSTON +120 vs ATLANTA -130
Spread Line: HOUSTON +1.5 -145 —– ATLANTA -1.5 +125
O/U: HOUSTON 8 -115 —– ATLANTA 8 -105
Pitchers: HOUSTON – J Cosart (R) vs ATLANTA – M Minor (L)
Game Date: Thursday,June 26 2014 1:10 PM
Last Game: 0 – 0 vs Atlanta Braves
Current Game: Atlanta Braves
Next Game: Vs. DETROIT
Stats & Trends: HOUSTON vs. ATLANTA
PVI Rating on Winning: 41.25%
PVI Rating on game going UNDER: 51.95%
Road Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 57.14%
Streaks: 4 SU Lost – 3 Under
Home Teams % of winning this game: 41%
Home Teams % of this game going UNDER: 41%
Home Teams Predicted Runs For: 2.48
Home Teams Predicted Runs Against: 3.33
Home Team
(HOUSTON)
When HOUSTON is a Home Team When Any MLB Team is a Home Team Differential % When HOUSTON is a Home Team,the O/U When Any MLB Team is a Home Team,the O/U Differential % on game going UNDER
Situations Current Season Current Season Differential % Current Season Current Season Differential %
SU SU O/U/P O/U/P
Total is 8 4-8 95-86 42.91 5-6-1 74-92-15 54.99
vs Non-Division opponent 17-30 356-402 41.57 20-24-3 314-391-53 55.01
vs Conference opponent 2-6 237-268 35.97 1-5-2 204-257-44 69.54
Playing in the month of June 5-9 170-200 40.83 6-6-2 157-185-28 52.05
Playing on Thursday 3-3 64-74 48.19 3-3-0 62-70-6 51.52
Played as home Underdog 14-26 154-253 36.42 16-21-3 167-212-28 56.35
After a Non-Division Game 16-30 345-400 40.55 20-23-3 311-382-52 54.31
After a Conference Game 3-4 256-270 45.77 2-4-1 214-270-42 61.23
vs NL EAST Division Opponent 0-6 99-119 22.71 0-4-2 88-100-30 76.6
vs NL Conference Opponent 2-6 321-359 36.11 1-5-2 279-339-62 69.09
Coming off vs NL EAST Division Opponent 1-3 105-117 36.15 1-2-1 101-99-22 58.09
Coming off vs National Conference Opponent 3-4 323-360 45.08 2-4-1 281-341-61 60.75
Coming off 2 push 0-2 13-14 24.08 0-1-1 9-17-1 82.69
Coming off a lost 11-19 339-375 42.08 16-11-3 315-353-46 46.79
Coming off a Home Lost as a Underdog 8-11 110-125 44.46 11-6-2 95-119-21 45.45
During a day game 5-9 209-220 42.22 9-5-0 175-223-31 45.87
Coming off a 4 home stand 0-1 3-12 10 0-1-0 5-10-0 83.34
vs. opponent with a 51% to 60% winning % 3-10 191-216 35.01 4-6-3 176-203-28 56.78
vs ATLANTA (since 1996) 28-43 19-29 39.51 34-32-5 13-28-7 58.39
Coming off a Lost over NL EAST division opponent 1-3 57-78 33.61 1-2-1 53-69-13 61.62
Coming off a Home double header 2-7 41-69 29.75 3-4-2 34-65-11 61.4
Coming off a night game 12-17 396-452 44.04 13-14-2 370-418-60 52.45
Coming off a series loss 3-10 87-113 33.29 5-7-1 100-84-16 51.99
Coming off back to back Shutouts offense 1-4 28-59 26.09 3-2-0 30-50-7 51.25
Last 30 days 7-10 207-234 44.06 6-9-2 191-222-28 56.88
Last 45 days 11-15 312-345 44.9 10-13-3 280-328-49 55.24
Last 60 days 13-21 412-468 42.53 13-18-3 373-439-68 56.06
Last 90 days 17-30 596-677 41.5 20-24-3 551-631-91 53.97
Vs. Left handed pitchers 7-10 157-173 44.38 8-8-1 136-168-26 52.63
Coming off vs. Right handed pitcher 13-19 419-499 43.14 12-18-2 382-474-62 57.69
Coming off lost vs. Right handed pitcher 6-12 236-285 39.32 9-7-2 219-269-33 49.44

 

The Report shows us that in these position, when we compare their performance against a league average, Atlanta might have their work cut out for them today. The catch is, no matter how much we can say that about Atlanta, it’s all the more true for the Astros!

 

 

 

The only real threat here is the L3G stats. But as with Feldman vs Harang, and Miller vs De La Rosa, we see that L3G matchups are not the be all end all. This is undoubtedly where the value with Atlanta is coming from so let’s hope that the L3G consideration does not come into play here.

L7G Atlanta has hit a somewhat shaky 3.1 RPG.
L7G Houston has hit sub-zero temperatures of 1.7 RPG.

 

ATS MATCHUPS:

ATLANTA:

When ATLANTA Played as a Favorite – During Last 2 Years 169 – 110 – 1
When ATLANTA Played as a Favorite – During Current Season or More – With SU Record of 2 Win 3 Lost in L5G 15 – 7 – 0
When ATLANTA Played as a Favorite – During Last 2 Years or More – With SU Record of 1 Win 2 Lost in L3G 53 – 31 – 0
When ATLANTA Played as a Favorite – During Last 3 Years or More – With SU Record of 1 Win 2 Lost in L3G 75 – 46 – 0
When ATLANTA team Played as road team as a Favorite – During a day game – During the month of June 20-13-0
When ATLANTA team Played as road team as a Favorite – Vs. Right handed pitchers – Playing on Thursday 40-26-0
When ATLANTA team Played as road team as a Favorite – Vs Non Conference Opponent – Vs. Right handed pitchers 28-16-0
When ATLANTA team Played as road team as a Favorite – During a day game – Vs. Right handed pitchers 125-81-0
When ATLANTA team played as a -120 to -140 road Favorite – Vs AL Conference – Vs. Right handed pitchers 11-6-0
When ATLANTA played as Favourite- Vs HOUSTON 62-31-2
When ATLANTA played as Road Team- Vs AL West Division 16-10-2
When ATLANTA played as Home or Away Team- Vs HOUSTON 20-8-2
When ATLANTA played as Road Team- With a spread between 120 and 140 8-2-0
When M Minor ‘s Team played as Favourite- in the month of June 8-3-0
When ATLANTA team Played as Road team as a Favorite – During the month of June – Vs. Right handed pitchers – Coming off vs. Right handed pitcher – Coming off a 2 run lost 7-3-0
When ATLANTA team played as a Road team – After a non division game – Vs Non Division Opponent – Coming off a series loss – Coming off a 2 run lost 9-1-0
When ATLANTA team Played as Road team as a Favorite – Vs. Right handed pitchers – Before a conference game – Coming off vs. Right handed pitcher – Coming off a series loss 24-16-0
When HOUSTON played as Home Team- With Total between 7.5 and 8.0 6-13-1
When HOUSTON played as Home Underdog- With Total between 7.5 and 8.0 7-17-1
When HOUSTON team played as a Home team – Vs Non Conference Opponent – Before a non division game – Coming off a 2 run lost – Coming off vs. Right handed pitcher 3-12-0
When HOUSTON team played as a 100 to 120 Home Underdog – Vs NL Conference – After a non division game – Coming off vs. Right handed pitcher – Coming off a series loss 4-8-0
When HOUSTON team played as a 100 to 120 home Underdog – During a day game – Before a non division game 10-21-0
When ANY MLB Team Played as Home team as a Underdog – Last 3 years – Vs NL EAST opponent – Allowed 0 runs AGAINST in their last game – Coming off a Home double header 7-15-0
When HOUSTON Played as home team as a Underdog – During Last 3 Years or More – With SU Record of 1 Win 6 Lost in L7G 16 – 37 – 0
When HOUSTON Played as a Underdog – During Last 2 Years 121 – 253 – 0
When HOUSTON played as a home team – During Last 2 Years or More – With SU Record of 0 Win 3 Lost in L3G 21 – 42 – 0
When HOUSTON played as a home team – During Last 3 Years 107 – 175 – 0
When HOUSTON Played as a Underdog – During Current Season 30 – 44 – 0
When HOUSTON Played as a Underdog – During Last 4 Years 215 – 411 – 0
When HOUSTON Played as home team as a Underdog – During Last 2 Years – With SU Record of 1 Win 6 Lost in L7G 12 – 26 – 0
When HOUSTON played as any home/road team – During Last 2 Years or More – With SU Record of 0 Win 5 Lost in L5G 19 – 39 – 0
When HOUSTON Played as a Underdog – During Last 2 Years – With SU Record of 0 Win 5 Lost in L5G 16 – 34 – 0

 

 

HOUSTON:

When HOUSTON team played as a Home team – Coming off vs. National League opponent – Vs. Left handed pitchers – Coming off a 2 run lost – Coming off vs. Right handed pitcher 11-6-0

 

After looking at the ATS Matchups, it’s fair to think that we might be throwing money away NOT to bet a x2 unit play on this.

 

 

This Afternoon’s Prediction: ATLANTA to win 3-1.

 

 

 

 

 

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