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Toronto Blue Jays (Dickey) vs. Oakland A’s (Gray) – Preview July 3rd, 2014

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Toronto Blue Jays
Toronto Blue Jays 
O/U :7.53.39
Vs.Date: 2014-07-03
Time: 20:05:00Generated from 58 Previous Games
Oakland Athletics
Oakland Athletics
SIDE :-149
4.52 = 7.91

 

On the surface, Oakland doesn’t look like it deserves the -149 odds evaluation.
It’s striking that even at these odds, Toronto is only seeing barely better than 30%.

Although Oakland is in California with their near 40 million people explains a large portion of the action on the A’s, Toronto’s red hot streak this season (arguably the strongest team in the MLB) should be equally attractive to most bettors…yet Oakland takes the lions share.

This is very encouraging. Let’s see if we can see why Oakland is so strong in the market today:

 

ATS FORECAST

Oakland has a stunning +1.13 run advantage.

 

STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE

Oakland with +6 points on the L7G SOS consideration.

OAKLAND 50 – 33 60.24 39.76 49.87 0.55 4 – 3 57.14 42.86 51.02 0.54 9 – 5 64.29 35.71 42.86 0.54
TORONTO 47 – 39 54.65 45.35 49.72 0.52 3 – 4 42.86 57.14 53.06 0.48 6 – 8 42.86 57.14 45.41 0.44

 

ATS MATCHUPS

If this isn’t an overwhelming case for Oakland, then I don’t know what is.

Stats to SUPPORT the Oakland pick:

When S Gray ‘s Team played as Home or Away Team- With Total between 7.5 and 8.0 10-2-0
When OAKLAND played as Home Favourite- With a spread between 160 and 180 69-31-0
When OAKLAND played as Home Team- With Total between 7.5 and 8.0 20-8-2
When OAKLAND played as Home Team- Vs AL East Division 27-13-0
When OAKLAND played as Favourite- in the month of July 14-6-0
When OAKLAND played as Home or Away Team- With a spread between 160 and 180 45-30-0
When OAKLAND team Played as Home team as a Favorite – Before a non division game – During the month of July – Coming off a Loss vs. AL CENTRAL opponent – Coming off vs. Right handed pitcher 11-5-0
When OAKLAND team played as a -140 to -160 Home Favorite – Vs Conference Opponent – Vs. Right handed pitchers – Coming off vs. Right handed pitcher – Coming off 1 over 9-4-0
When OAKLAND team Played as Home team as a Favorite – After a non division game – Total is between 7.5 to 8.0 – Coming off a Loss vs. AL CENTRAL opponent – Coming off vs. Right handed pitcher 16-10-0
When OAKLAND team played as a Home team – Vs AL Conference – Total is between 7.5 to 8.0 – Coming off 1 over – Coming off a series loss 12-6-0
When OAKLAND team Played as home team as a Favorite – Playing on Thursday – Vs. Right handed pitchers 54-29-0
When OAKLAND team played as a -140 to -160 home Favorite – Total is 7.5 – During a night game 11-6-0
When OAKLAND team Played as home team as a Favorite – Total is 7.5 – Total is between 7.5 to 8.0 97-56-0
When OAKLAND team played as a home team – Total is between 7.5 to 8.0 – Playing on Thursday 29-15-0
When OAKLAND team Played as home team as a Favorite – Playing on Thursday – Before a non division game 47-24-0
When OAKLAND team played as a -140 to -160 home Favorite – Total is between 7.5 to 8.0 – Vs. Right handed pitchers 29-15-0
When OAKLAND team played as a -140 to -160 home Favorite – Total is between 7.5 to 8.0 – Before a non division game 27-11-0
When OAKLAND team played as a -140 to -160 home Favorite – Vs. Right handed pitchers – Total is 7.5 12-7-0
When OAKLAND team Played as home team as a Favorite – Total is between 7.5 to 8.0 – During the month of July 35-18-0
When OAKLAND team played as a home team – Playing on Thursday – Vs. Right handed pitchers 71-39-0
When OAKLAND team Played as home team as a Favorite – After a non division game – Total is between 7.5 to 8.0 149-73-0
When ANY MLB Team Played as Home team as a Favorite – Last 5 years – During a night game – Vs Non Division Opponent – Coming off a lost in game 3 of a series – Coming off lost vs. Right handed pitcher – Coming off a Road loss 119-59-0
When ANY MLB Team played as a -140 to -160 Home Favorite – Coming off vs. American League opponent – 1st game of a series – Playing on Thursday – Coming off 1 over 14-8-0
When ANY MLB Team played as a -140 to -160 Home Favorite – Vs Conference Opponent – During the month of July – Coming off a day game – Coming off 1 over 27-18-0
When OAKLAND played as any home/road team – During Current Season – With 1 Over 11 – 7 – 0
When OAKLAND Played as a Favorite – During Last 3 Years – With 1 Over or More 91 – 47 – 0
When OAKLAND played as a home team – During Last 5 Years – With 1 Over or Less – Lost Last Game by 6 Runs or Less – With SU Record of 4 Win 3 Lost in L7G 6 – 4 – 0
When OAKLAND Played as a Favorite – During Current Season – With 1 Over or Less 10 – 4 – 0
When OAKLAND Played as a Favorite – During Current Season – With 1 Over or More 27 – 8 – 0
When TORONTO team Played as Road team as a Underdog – Vs AL Conference – During a night game – Coming off a Home win – Coming off 1 over 7-13-0
When TORONTO team played as a 140 to 160 road Underdog – During the month of July – Vs. Right handed pitchers 5-17-0
When ANY MLB Team played as a 140 to 160 Road Underdog – Vs AL Conference – Vs Non Division Opponent – Coming off a Home win as a Favorite – Coming off a 2 game winning streak 8-15-0
When ANY MLB Team played as a 140 to 160 Road Underdog – Total is between 7.5 to 8.0 – Playing on Thursday – Vs AL Conference – Scored 7 or less runs FOR in their last game 10-23-0

Stats to THREATEN the Oakland pick:

When TORONTO played as Underdog- Vs AL West Division 18-12-0
When TORONTO team played as a Road team – During a night game – Vs. Right handed pitchers – Scored 7 or less runs FOR in their last game – Coming off a 9 Game Home Stand 10-3-0
When TORONTO Played as road team as a Underdog – During Current Season – With 1 Over or More 8 – 5 – 0

 

 

 

RAYMOND REPORT

Again, Oakland with a strong position headed into tonight’s contest.

 

RAYMOND REPORT FOR MLB
Game Date – 2014-07-03
Road Team :- (3419) TORONTO
Home Team :- (3420 )OAKLAND

 

TORONTOTeam Name: TORONTO(Road Team)
Money Line: TORONTO +147 vs OAKLAND -160
Spread Line: TORONTO +1.5 -150 —– OAKLAND -1.5 +130
O/U: TORONTO 7.5 +100 —– OAKLAND 7.5 -120
Pitchers: TORONTO – R A Dickey (R) vs OAKLAND – S Gray (R)
Game Date: Thursday,July 03 2014 8:05 PM
Last Game:
Current Game:
Next Game:
Stats & Trends: TORONTO vs. OAKLAND
PVI Rating on Winning: 54.65%
PVI Rating on game going UNDER: 49.4%
Road Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 53.06%
Streaks: 2 SU Win – 1 Over
Road Teams % of winning this game: 49%
Road Teams % of this game going UNDER: 54%
Road Teams Predicted Runs For: 4.47
Road Teams Predicted Runs Against: 4.45
Road Team
(TORONTO)
When TORONTO is a Road Team When Any MLB Team is a Road Team Differential % When TORONTO is a Road Team,the O/U When Any MLB Team is a Road Team,the O/U Differential % on game going UNDER
Situations Current Season Current Season Differential % Current Season Current Season Differential %
SU SU O/U/P O/U/P
Total is 7.5 6-6 156-158 49.84 5-7-0 161-153-0 53.53
vs Non-Division opponent 13-11 363-474 48.77 13-11-0 342-437-58 50.97
vs Conference opponent 9-7 248-314 50.19 7-9-0 223-292-47 56.48
Playing in the month of July (since 1996) 86-135 11-23 35.63 100-112-9 13-18-3 55.45
Playing on Thursday 3-5 66-85 40.61 6-2-0 66-78-7 39.59
Played as road Underdog 17-12 394-563 49.9 15-14-0 409-480-68 51.14
After a Non-Division Game 13-11 365-466 49.05 11-13-0 333-440-58 55.55
After a Non-Conference Game 4-3 114-151 50.08 4-3-0 111-139-15 49.23
vs AL EAST Division Opponent 9-8 110-117 50.7 8-9-0 88-128-11 56.1
vs AL Conference Opponent 18-15 278-361 49.03 15-18-0 271-334-34 54.88
Coming off vs NL CENTRAL Division Opponent 3-3 119-152 46.96 3-3-0 115-138-18 52.28
Coming off vs National Conference Opponent 4-3 318-398 50.78 4-3-0 309-349-58 47.95
Coming off a 2 winning streak 4-3 78-73 54.4 4-3-0 76-69-6 45.23
Coming off 1 over 4-3 142-167 51.55 5-2-0 144-140-25 38.94
Coming off a win 12-10 275-315 50.58 11-11-0 283-269-38 49.37
Coming off a Home Win as a Favorite 2-0 36-30 77.28 0-2-0 33-31-2 74.22
During a night game 16-12 402-514 50.52 14-14-0 400-451-65 51.5
Coming off a 9 home stand 1-0 11-13 72.92 0-1-0 5-16-3 88.1
Coming off a 3 runs win 2-2 47-40 52.01 3-1-0 42-40-5 36.89
Coming off a score 7 runs FOR in last game 2-3 27-47 38.25 3-2-0 30-38-6 47.94
Coming off a score 4 runs AGAINST in last game 4-0 89-80 76.33 3-1-0 74-86-9 39.38
vs. opponent with a 51% to 60% winning % 8-7 220-256 49.78 6-9-0 208-227-41 56.09
vs OAKLAND (since 1996) 37-44 15-26 41.14 35-42-4 21-19-1 51.03
Coming off a Win over NL CENTRAL division opponent 1-1 52-65 47.22 1-1-0 56-57-4 50.22
Coming off a game that went over 4-3 142-167 51.55 5-2-0 144-140-25 38.94
Coming off a day game 7-5 214-263 51.6 4-8-0 209-238-30 59.96
Coming off a win in game 2 of a series 3-3 85-108 47.02 3-3-0 81-99-13 52.5
Last 30 days 6-7 203-247 45.63 6-7-0 183-236-31 55.09
Last 45 days 9-7 296-364 50.55 9-7-0 278-335-47 49.2
Last 60 days 14-8 398-489 54.26 11-11-0 366-454-67 52.69
Last 90 days 20-17 585-743 49.05 19-18-0 569-664-95 51.25
Vs. Right handed pitchers 17-16 433-572 47.3 15-18-0 428-510-67 54.46
Coming off vs. Right handed pitcher 15-13 452-555 49.23 13-15-0 418-519-70 54.48
Coming off win vs. Right handed pitcher 11-7 198-225 53.96 8-10-0 191-206-26 53.73
TEAM: TORONTO
Offensive Stats Defensive Stats
All Games Avg 4.63 4.22
Home Games Avg 4.83 4.43
Road Games Avg 4.41 3.98
Last 3 Games Avg 3.67 3
Last 5 Games Avg 3.6 3.6
Last 10 Games Avg 4.6 3.6
vs. Division Games Avg 4.75 4.31
vs. Conference Games Avg 4.47 4.17
vs. Non Conference Games Avg 5.4 4.47
vs. Top Ranked Games Avg 5.07 4.2
vs. Middle Ranked Games Avg 4.59 4.38
vs. Bottom Ranked Games Avg 4.51 4.12
After a Win Games Avg 4.65 4.09
After a Lost Games Avg 4.67 4.13
After a SU Road Win Games Avg 4.18 3.09
After a SU Road Lost Games Avg 5.56 4.22
After a SU Home Win Games Avg 5.08 5
After a SU Home Lost Games Avg 3.9 4.05
After an Over Games Avg 4.93 4.15
After an Under Games Avg 4.45 3.86
After a Push Games Avg 4 8.67
4.47 4.45
OAKLANDTeam Name: OAKLAND(Home Team)
Money Line: OAKLAND -160 vs TORONTO +147
Spread Line: OAKLAND -1.5 +130 —– TORONTO +1.5 -150
O/U: OAKLAND 7.5 -120 —– TORONTO 7.5 +100
Pitchers: OAKLAND – S Gray (R) vs TORONTO – R A Dickey (R)
Game Date: Thursday,July 03 2014 8:05 PM
Last Game:
Current Game:
Next Game:
Stats & Trends: OAKLAND vs. TORONTO
PVI Rating on Winning: 60.24%
PVI Rating on game going UNDER: 46.15%
Road Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 51.02%
Streaks: 3 SU Lost – 1 Over
Home Teams % of winning this game: 52%
Home Teams % of this game going UNDER: 52%
Home Teams Predicted Runs For: 5.05
Home Teams Predicted Runs Against: 3.68
Home Team
(OAKLAND)
When OAKLAND is a Home Team When Any MLB Team is a Home Team Differential % When OAKLAND is a Home Team,the O/U When Any MLB Team is a Home Team,the O/U Differential % on game going UNDER
Situations Current Season Current Season Differential % Current Season Current Season Differential %
SU SU O/U/P O/U/P
Total is 7.5 10-6 147-167 54.66 9-7-0 161-153-0 46.24
vs Non-Division opponent 15-9 397-440 54.97 11-12-1 342-437-58 54.14
vs Conference opponent 9-9 273-289 49.29 8-10-0 223-292-47 56.13
Playing in the month of July (since 1996) 137-100 19-15 56.85 96-131-10 13-18-3 57.89
Playing on Thursday 2-1 72-79 57.18 1-2-0 66-78-7 60.42
Played as home Favorite 22-15 478-448 55.54 18-18-1 409-451-66 51.22
After a Non-Division Game 14-10 383-436 52.55 12-11-1 339-424-56 51.7
After a Conference Game 10-8 291-294 52.65 9-9-0 233-307-45 53.43
vs AL EAST Division Opponent 5-2 103-117 59.13 2-5-0 98-116-6 62.82
vs AL Conference Opponent 17-18 295-353 47.05 18-17-0 292-323-33 50.55
Coming off vs AL CENTRAL Division Opponent 4-6 95-118 42.3 5-5-0 98-103-12 50.62
Coming off vs American Conference Opponent 18-16 284-344 49.08 18-16-0 282-315-31 49.91
Coming off a 3 losing streak (since 1996) 39-25 34-32 56.23 30-32-2 33-28-5 48.76
Coming off 1 over 5-4 142-168 50.69 6-2-1 144-147-19 37.76
Coming off a lost 9-9 365-412 48.49 9-9-0 338-387-52 51.69
Coming off a Road Lost as a Underdog 1-0 35-38 73.98 1-0-0 36-32-5 23.53
During a night game 14-11 422-494 51.04 13-11-1 400-451-65 49.42
Coming off a 8 road trip (since 1996) 8-2 3-9 52.5 5-5-0 4-6-2 55
Coming off a 6 runs loss 1-0 16-14 76.67 1-0-0 15-12-3 22.22
Coming off a score 3 runs FOR in last game 1-5 73-96 29.94 3-3-0 70-82-17 51.98
Coming off a score 9 runs AGAINST in last game (since 1996) 22-20 16-23 46.71 24-17-1 16-19-4 47.88
vs. opponent with a 51% to 60% winning % 12-7 208-244 54.59 13-5-1 191-230-31 41.21
vs TORONTO (since 1996) 44-37 18-23 49.11 35-42-4 21-20-0 51.67
Coming off a Lost over AL Central division opponent 3-3 47-62 46.56 2-4-0 47-56-6 60.52
Coming off a game that went over 5-4 142-168 50.69 6-2-1 144-147-19 37.76
Coming off a day game 6-5 208-234 50.81 8-3-0 185-224-33 41.02
Coming off a series loss 3-2 95-122 51.89 5-0-0 103-96-18 24.12
Last 30 days 7-3 209-241 58.22 4-6-0 183-236-31 58.16
Last 45 days 12-5 313-347 59.01 10-7-0 278-335-47 47.92
Last 60 days 18-9 418-469 56.9 16-10-1 366-454-67 46.92
Last 90 days 22-14 625-703 54.09 20-15-1 569-664-95 48.36
Vs. Right handed pitchers 15-15 473-548 48.17 14-15-1 444-507-70 52.52
Coming off vs. Right handed pitcher 13-9 455-543 52.34 13-9-0 410-522-66 48.46
Coming off lost vs. Right handed pitcher 6-7 255-316 45.41 6-7-0 236-298-37 54.83
TEAM: OAKLAND
Offensive Stats Defensive Stats
All Games Avg 4.87 3.48
Home Games Avg 4.66 3.32
Road Games Avg 5.07 3.62
Last 3 Games Avg 2.33 5.67
Last 5 Games Avg 3.6 5.2
Last 10 Games Avg 4.4 5.4
vs. Division Games Avg 5.14 3.61
vs. Conference Games Avg 4.73 3.41
vs. Non Conference Games Avg 6.25 4.13
vs. Top Ranked Games Avg 4.18 3.36
vs. Middle Ranked Games Avg 5.4 3.53
vs. Bottom Ranked Games Avg 5.26 3.55
After a Win Games Avg 5.38 3.68
After a Lost Games Avg 4.53 3.25
After a SU Road Win Games Avg 5.26 4
After a SU Road Lost Games Avg 4.35 3.06
After a SU Home Win Games Avg 5.52 3.3
After a SU Home Lost Games Avg 4.73 3.47
After an Over Games Avg 5.73 3.78
After an Under Games Avg 4.36 3.23
After a Push Games Avg 2.8 3.2
5.05 3.68

 

Did you know:

  • Dickey is a mediocre 2-3 vs Oakland with an ERA of 4.55 and a WHIP of 1.331.
  • Gray is 0-1 vs Toronto with an ERA of 3.00 and a WHIP of 1.167.
  • Dickey pitches a 5.37ERA vs RHHs and will have his work cut out for him vs the A’s formidable RHHs.
  • Toronto is hitting a coolish 4.0 RPG L7G.
  • Oakland is hitting a heated 4.7 RPG L7G.
  • Toronto’s bullpen is 4.44ERA
  • Oakland’s bullpen is 3.05ERA

 

 

 

 

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