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Texas Rangers (Lewis) vs. New York Mets (Colon) – Preview July 5th, 2014

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Texas Rangers
Texas Rangers 
O/U :7.5

4.1

Vs.

Date: 2014-07-05
Time: 18:15:00

Generated from 54 Previous Games

New York Mets
New York Mets
SIDE :-131

4.45 = 8.55

Pick: New York Mets -131 (Full Unit Play)

 

  • New York has a better WL record L12G than Texas does and they were playing as chalk in 100% of those games while Texas was priced as chalk in 6 of their last 12, losing 4 of those.
  • This is the first time the books had to price the Mets as chalk in at least 12 games.
  • Not only is Lewis one of the consistently poorest in the league, but he’s particularly weak when facing left-handed hitters (6.75 ERA) of which the Mets have plenty. It’s for this reason that we don’t think Lewis’ dismal first showing vs the Mets was a fluke.
  • Lewis is 0-1 vs the Mets with an ERA of 23.18 and a WHIP of 3.433.

  • Colon is 20-8 vs the Rangers with an ERA of 3.47 and a WHIP of 1.112.

  • NYM are only 3.3 RPG L7G, but TEX is no better marking 3.1 RPG L7G.

 

 

ATS MATCHUPS

Stats to SUPPORT the Mets pick:

When COLON BARTOLO ‘s Team played as Home or Away Team- Vs OAKLAND 9-6-0
When NY METS played as Home or Away Team- Vs TEXAS 7-3-1
When COLON BARTOLO ‘s Team played as Favourite- With Total between 7.5 and 8.0 7-3-0
When NY METS team played as a Home team – 3rd game of a series – During a night game – Coming off vs. Right handed pitcher – Allowed 0 runs AGAINST in their last game 12-7-0
When NY METS team played as a Home team – After a non conference game – Vs Non Division Opponent – Coming off vs. Right handed pitcher – Allowed 0 runs AGAINST in their last game 7-3-0
When NY METS team played as a -140 to -160 home Favorite – Vs AL Conference – Vs. Right handed pitchers 10-4-0
When NY METS team played as a home team – During the month of July – Playing on Saturday 21-14-0
When NY METS team Played as home team as a Favorite – After a non division game – Playing on Saturday 67-41-0
When NY METS team Played as home team as a Favorite – 3rd game of a series – During the month of July 25-15-0
When NY METS team played as a -140 to -160 home Favorite – After a non conference game – During a night game 13-2-0
When ANY MLB Team Played as Home team as a Favorite – Last 3 years – During a night game – Coming off a 2 game push – Coming off a night game 10-6-0
When ANY MLB Team Played as Home team as a Favorite – 3rd game of a series – Vs Non Division Opponent – Allowed 0 runs AGAINST in their last game – Coming off a night game 182-108-0
When ANY MLB Team Played as Home team as a Favorite – Playing on Saturday – During a night game – During the month of July – Coming off a 1 run win – Coming off a night game 44-29-0
When ANY MLB Team played as a Home team – Last 3 years – During the month of July – Coming off a 2 game push – Allowed 0 runs AGAINST in their last game 14-3-0

 

When TEXAS played as Underdog- in the month of July 5-14-1
When LEWIS COLBY ‘s Team played as Road Team- Vs LOS ANGELES ANGELS 3-3-0
When TEXAS played as Road Team- in the month of July 8-21-1
When TEXAS team played as a Road team – After a non division game – Vs Non Division Opponent – Allowed 0 runs AGAINST in their last game – Coming off a Road double header 4-10-0
When TEXAS team Played as road team as a Underdog – During a night game – During the month of July 37-69-0
When TEXAS team Played as road team as a Underdog – During a night game – Before a non conference game 13-28-0
When ANY MLB Team played as a 120 to 140 Road Underdog – After a non division game – Vs NL EAST opponent – Before a non conference game – Coming off vs. Left handed pitcher 8-15-0

 

 

Stats to THREATEN the Mets pick:

When TEXAS team played as a Road team – Vs. Right handed pitchers – After a non division game – Coming off a Home win – Coming off a Home win as a Underdog 10-4-0
When TEXAS team played as a Road team – During a night game – After a non division game – Coming off a Home win – Coming off a Home win as a Underdog 12-5-0
When TEXAS team Played as road team as a Underdog – During a night game – Total is 7.5 11-5-0
When TEXAS team Played as road team as a Underdog – Total is 7.5 – During a night game 11-5-0
When TEXAS team played as a road team – Total is 7.5 – During a night game 24-14-0
When TEXAS team played as a road team – During a night game – Total is 7.5 24-14-0
When TEXAS team played as a 120 to 140 road Underdog – After a non division game – Total is between 7.5 to 8.0 6-4-0

 

When NY METS team played as a Home team – During the month of July – Total is between 7.5 to 8.0 – Coming off a 1 run win – Coming off vs. Right handed pitcher 2-9-0

 

Obviously Texas is not without threat, but Texas has had a reasonably good team every second year or so, but the Mets are aka “the most terrible team in baseball” and have been year in and year out. So for us to this kind of a historical consideration to speak for the Mets’ chances…the point is not to be taken lightly. 

 

RAYMOND REPORT

Game Date – 2014-07-05
Road Team :- (3433) TEXAS
Home Team :- (3434 )NY METS

 

TEXASTeam Name: TEXAS(Road Team)
Money Line: TEXAS +129 vs NY METS -139
Spread Line: TEXAS +1.5 -160 —– NY METS -1.5 +140
O/U: TEXAS 7.5 -110 —– NY METS 7.5 -110
Pitchers: TEXAS – C Lewis (R) vs NY METS – B Colon (R)
Game Date: Saturday,July 05 2014 6:15 PM
Last Game: 0 – 0 vs New York Mets
Current Game: New York Mets
Next Game: At NY METS
Stats & Trends: TEXAS vs. NY METS
PVI Rating on Winning: 44.32%
PVI Rating on game going UNDER: 46.99%
Road Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 53.06%
Streaks: 6 SU Lost – 1 Over
Road Teams % of winning this game: 37%
Road Teams % of this game going UNDER: 52%
Road Teams Predicted Runs For: 3.09
Road Teams Predicted Runs Against: 3.94
Road Team
(TEXAS)
When TEXAS is a Road Team When Any MLB Team is a Road Team Differential % When TEXAS is a Road Team,the O/U When Any MLB Team is a Road Team,the O/U Differential % on game going UNDER
Situations Current Season Current Season Differential % Current Season Current Season Differential %
SU SU O/U/P O/U/P
Total is 7.5 5-4 160-164 52.47 6-3-0 166-158-0 41.05
vs Non-Division opponent 11-26 373-486 36.58 16-18-3 355-444-60 54.26
vs Non-Conference opponent 3-11 116-163 31.51 6-6-2 122-145-12 52.16
Playing in the month of July 0-5 21-38 17.8 3-1-1 26-27-6 37.97
Playing on Saturday 4-5 93-117 44.37 5-2-2 101-98-11 38.91
Played as road Underdog 12-26 402-578 36.3 16-20-2 421-488-71 54.63
After a Non-Division Game 12-24 375-478 38.65 16-17-3 343-450-60 54.14
After a Non-Conference Game 3-7 117-155 36.51 5-4-1 115-142-15 49.85
vs AL WEST Division Opponent 9-10 74-121 42.66 9-7-3 77-103-15 50.49
vs AL Conference Opponent 17-25 282-369 41.9 19-19-4 279-338-34 52.39
Coming off vs NL EAST Division Opponent 2-2 100-133 46.46 2-2-0 92-115-26 52.78
Coming off vs National Conference Opponent 3-7 326-404 37.33 5-4-1 315-355-60 48.72
Coming off 2 push 1-2 7-22 28.74 2-1-0 9-18-2 50
Coming off a lost 13-26 347-460 38.17 17-18-4 314-432-61 54.67
Coming off a Road Lost as a Underdog 7-18 204-294 34.48 13-10-2 198-261-39 50.17
During a night game 10-29 410-527 34.7 17-17-5 412-457-68 51.3
Coming off a 6 road trip 0-1 15-24 19.23 1-0-0 16-18-5 26.47
vs. opponent with a 41% to 50% winning % 8-10 253-331 43.88 8-6-4 242-303-39 49.23
vs NY METS (since 1996) 1-4 21-23 33.87 2-2-1 15-23-6 55.27
Coming off a Lost over NL EAST division opponent 2-1 59-80 54.56 1-2-0 46-75-18 64.33
Coming off a Road double header 2-10 32-89 21.56 5-6-1 33-74-14 61.86
Coming off a night game 12-24 399-505 38.74 16-15-5 382-452-70 51.3
Coming off a game 1 of a series 3-9 193-209 36.51 7-3-2 187-190-25 40.2
Coming off a lost in game 1 of a series 1-6 104-125 29.85 5-1-1 100-112-17 34.75
Last 30 days 4-12 197-248 34.64 7-7-2 182-231-32 52.97
Last 45 days 11-18 299-369 41.35 14-12-3 279-339-50 50.5
Last 60 days 12-24 396-489 39.04 16-16-4 371-447-67 52.33
Last 90 days 20-34 585-742 40.56 23-25-6 566-665-96 53.05
Vs. Right handed pitchers 13-27 443-579 37.93 14-22-4 437-516-69 57.63
Coming off vs. Left handed pitcher 6-10 159-208 40.41 9-5-2 171-169-27 42.71
Coming off lost vs. Left handed pitcher 2-7 80-122 30.91 4-3-2 80-102-20 49.45
TEAM: TEXAS
Offensive Stats Defensive Stats
All Games Avg 3.19 3.8
Home Games Avg 2.95 3.75
Road Games Avg 3.45 3.84
Last 3 Games Avg 2.33 3.67
Last 5 Games Avg 2.8 5
Last 10 Games Avg 2.7 3.9
vs. Division Games Avg 2.87 3.13
vs. Conference Games Avg 3.22 3.59
vs. Non Conference Games Avg 3.06 5.06
vs. Top Ranked Games Avg 3.25 3.65
vs. Middle Ranked Games Avg 4 5.55
vs. Bottom Ranked Games Avg 2.73 3.12
After a Win Games Avg 2.95 3.62
After a Lost Games Avg 2.82 3.76
After a SU Road Win Games Avg 3.2 4
After a SU Road Lost Games Avg 2.88 4.08
After a SU Home Win Games Avg 2.68 3.21
After a SU Home Lost Games Avg 2.74 3.39
After an Over Games Avg 2.89 3.3
After an Under Games Avg 3.1 3.79
After a Push Games Avg 5 5.57
3.09 3.94
NY METSTeam Name: NY METS(Home Team)
Money Line: NY METS -139 vs TEXAS +129
Spread Line: NY METS -1.5 +140 —– TEXAS +1.5 -160
O/U: NY METS 7.5 -110 —– TEXAS 7.5 -110
Pitchers: NY METS – B Colon (R) vs TEXAS – C Lewis (R)
Game Date: Saturday,July 05 2014 6:15 PM
Last Game: 0 – 0 vs Texas Rangers
Current Game: Texas Rangers
Next Game: Vs. TEXAS
Stats & Trends: NY METS vs. TEXAS
PVI Rating on Winning: 44.19%
PVI Rating on game going UNDER: 50.67%
Road Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 75.51%
Streaks: 1 SU Win – 1 Over
Home Teams % of winning this game: 44%
Home Teams % of this game going UNDER: 44%
Home Teams Predicted Runs For: 3.14
Home Teams Predicted Runs Against: 3.2
Home Team
(NY METS)
When NY METS is a Home Team When Any MLB Team is a Home Team Differential % When NY METS is a Home Team,the O/U When Any MLB Team is a Home Team,the O/U Differential % on game going UNDER
Situations Current Season Current Season Differential % Current Season Current Season Differential %
SU SU O/U/P O/U/P
Total is 7.5 4-7 154-170 41.95 4-7-0 166-158-0 56.21
vs Non-Division opponent 14-15 410-449 48.01 9-17-3 355-444-60 60.48
vs Non-Conference opponent 2-4 128-151 39.61 3-2-1 122-145-12 47.16
Playing in the month of July 1-1 32-27 52.12 1-0-1 26-27-6 25.47
Playing on Saturday 1-6 107-103 32.62 4-2-1 101-98-11 41.29
Played as home Favorite 4-9 491-458 41.26 3-7-3 421-459-69 61.08
After a Non-Division Game 11-15 396-446 44.67 6-18-2 351-435-56 65.17
After a Non-Conference Game 0-3 119-156 21.64 1-2-0 122-139-14 59.97
vs AL WEST Division Opponent 2-2 83-121 45.35 3-0-1 90-102-12 26.57
vs AL Conference Opponent 2-4 301-359 39.47 3-2-1 299-327-34 46.12
Coming off vs AL WEST Division Opponent 0-1 86-105 22.52 1-0-0 87-94-10 25.97
Coming off vs American Conference Opponent 0-3 290-347 22.77 1-2-0 287-319-31 59.66
Coming off 2 push 1-1 17-18 49.29 0-2-0 11-22-2 83.34
Coming off a lost 13-14 371-418 47.59 10-13-4 342-393-54 55
Coming off a Home Lost as a Favorite 4-3 184-197 52.72 2-5-0 170-193-18 62.3
During a night game 10-18 435-502 41.07 10-13-5 412-457-68 54.56
Coming off a 2 home stand 1-0 12-16 71.43 1-0-0 11-15-2 28.85
vs. opponent with a 41% to 50% winning % 8-8 287-300 49.45 6-7-3 251-289-47 53.69
vs TEXAS (since 1996) 3-2 26-30 53.22 2-2-1 25-25-6 50
Coming off a Lost over AL WEST division opponent (since 1996) 5-3 50-72 51.74 5-2-1 56-62-4 40.56
Coming off a Home double header 2-2 49-83 43.56 2-2-0 40-79-13 58.2
Coming off a night game 10-17 439-502 41.85 10-13-4 409-465-67 54.86
Coming off a game 1 of a series 2-11 187-215 30.95 4-7-2 187-191-24 57.09
Coming off a lost in game 1 of a series 1-5 86-111 30.16 1-4-1 95-92-10 64.6
Last 30 days 5-5 211-234 48.71 5-4-1 182-231-32 50.19
Last 45 days 9-10 318-350 47.49 7-10-2 279-339-50 56.84
Last 60 days 10-15 420-465 43.73 10-13-2 371-447-67 55.59
Last 90 days 16-23 625-702 44.07 12-22-5 566-665-96 59.37
Vs. Right handed pitchers 15-22 484-560 43.45 12-20-5 456-516-72 57.8
Coming off vs. Right handed pitcher 12-23 466-555 39.97 10-21-4 422-532-67 61.76
Coming off lost vs. Right handed pitcher 12-10 260-320 49.69 6-12-4 239-302-39 61.25
TEAM: NY METS
Offensive Stats Defensive Stats
All Games Avg 3.18 3.23
Home Games Avg 3.02 3.2
Road Games Avg 3.3 3.25
Last 3 Games Avg 2.33 2.67
Last 5 Games Avg 2.2 2.6
Last 10 Games Avg 2.3 2.9
vs. Division Games Avg 2.62 2.54
vs. Conference Games Avg 2.97 2.99
vs. Non Conference Games Avg 5 5.27
vs. Top Ranked Games Avg 3.48 4.78
vs. Middle Ranked Games Avg 2.25 2.25
vs. Bottom Ranked Games Avg 4.4 3.4
After a Win Games Avg 3.39 2.92
After a Lost Games Avg 2.98 3.31
After a SU Road Win Games Avg 3.4 2.8
After a SU Road Lost Games Avg 3.04 3.33
After a SU Home Win Games Avg 3.39 3.06
After a SU Home Lost Games Avg 2.9 3.29
After an Over Games Avg 3.57 3.97
After an Under Games Avg 2.67 2.78
After a Push Games Avg 3.56 2.61
3.14 3.2

 

STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE

The SOS shows that the Mets are not the ones to be toyed with at the moment. The fact that both teams are 2-5 yet we have the Mets 18 SOS points ahead of the Rangers, it only confirms the very first consideration at the top of this preview.

MIAMI 41 – 45 47.67 52.33 49.29 0.48 2 – 5 28.57 71.43 38.78 0.34 5 – 9 35.71 64.29 37.76 0.37
NY METS 38 – 48 44.19 55.81 50.23 0.47 2 – 5 28.57 71.43 75.51 0.52 6 – 8 42.86 57.14 57.65 0.50

 

Big game tonight for the Mets. Let’s get it done New York!

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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