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Atlanta Braves (Minor) vs. New York Mets (Matsuzaka) – Preview July 7th, 2014

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Atlanta Braves
Atlanta Braves 
SIDE :-125

4.4

Vs.

Date: 2014-07-07
Time: 18:10:00

Generated from 56 Previous Games

New York Mets
New York Mets
O/U :7.5

3.33 = 7.73


Pick: New York Mets +115

Minor has thrown a 6.60 ERA vs Left Handed Hitters all season. It happens that the Mets have no shortage of strong Left Handed Hitters. Nieuwenhuis, Duda, Granderson, Murphy, Abreu, Davis…all of these LH sluggers will promise to test Minor through the first 6 innings.

  • ATL hits 3.7 RPG vs RHP.
  • NYM hits 4.7 RPG vs LHP.

Considering that the Mets do their best work vs LHP, they will have a “capitalize now because it gets no easier than this” type of a mindset.

There must be an advantage any time that we see a L/R handed pitcher who is:

  • particularly weak vs a particular handed hitter
  • facing a team with many strong hitters of the hand that the pitcher is weak against
  • a team that hits particularly strong against that type of handedness.

 

Did you know:

  • Atlanta does their worst work, in terms of WL, when playing at away.
  • New York does their best work, in terms of WL, when playing at home.

 

 

RAYMOND REPORT

SOS and Matchups all show ATL ahead by a mile, but since our main consideration for this pick is focused on the specific aspect of pitching and hitting “handedness”, historical considerations might not have the same relevance as they would when thinking about more general considerations.

RAYMOND REPORT FOR MLB

Game Date – 2014-07-07
Road Team :- (3405) ATLANTA
Home Team :- (3406 )NY METS

 

ATLANTATeam Name: ATLANTA(Road Team)
Money Line: ATLANTA -132 vs NY METS +122
Spread Line: ATLANTA -1.5 +125 —– NY METS +1.5 -145
O/U: ATLANTA 7.5 -105 —– NY METS 7.5 -115
Pitchers: ATLANTA – M Minor (L) vs NY METS – D Matsuzaka (R)
Game Date: Monday,July 07 2014 6:10 PM
Last Game: lost 3 – 1 vs Arizona Diamondbacks
Current Game: New York Mets
Next Game: At NY METS
Stats & Trends: ATLANTA vs. NY METS
PVI Rating on Winning: 55.68%
PVI Rating on game going UNDER: 60.98%
Road Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 26.53%
Streaks: 1 SU Lost – 1 Under
Road Teams % of winning this game: 45%
Road Teams % of this game going UNDER: 62%
Road Teams Predicted Runs For: 3.09
Road Teams Predicted Runs Against: 2.73
Road Team
(ATLANTA)
When ATLANTA is a Road Team When Any MLB Team is a Road Team Differential % When ATLANTA is a Road Team,the O/U When Any MLB Team is a Road Team,the O/U Differential % on game going UNDER
Situations Current Season Current Season Differential % Current Season Current Season Differential %
SU SU O/U/P O/U/P
Total is 7.5 5-2 163-174 59.9 2-5-0 173-164-0 60.05
vs Division opponent 15-15 260-301 48.18 9-18-3 255-265-41 58.82
vs Conference opponent 9-13 263-333 42.52 5-13-4 240-308-48 64.21
Playing in the month of July (since 1996) 129-88 34-57 48.41 111-98-8 42-43-6 48.74
Playing on Monday 2-2 71-87 47.47 1-3-0 71-74-13 63.02
Played as road Favorite 15-13 226-207 52.88 8-16-4 185-218-30 60.38
After a Non-Division Game 11-15 382-492 43.01 6-17-3 353-461-60 65.27
After a Conference Game 8-12 275-349 42.04 5-11-4 253-323-48 62.42
vs NL EAST Division Opponent 15-15 108-155 45.53 9-18-3 104-126-33 60.73
vs NL Conference Opponent 24-28 353-422 45.85 14-31-7 335-373-67 60.79
Coming off vs NL WEST Division Opponent 3-6 106-117 40.43 4-3-2 108-100-15 45.47
Coming off vs National Conference Opponent 22-27 334-413 44.81 14-28-7 325-362-60 59.68
Coming off 1 under 7-6 155-200 48.76 5-7-1 141-187-27 57.67
Coming off a lost 13-17 357-472 43.2 6-20-4 324-444-61 67.37
Coming off a Home Lost as a Favorite 2-1 32-42 54.96 0-3-0 29-42-3 79.58
During a night game 17-17 413-532 46.85 8-21-5 417-460-68 62.43
Coming off a 8 home stand (since 1996) 3-8 5-9 31.49 5-6-0 5-8-1 58.05
Coming off a 2 runs loss 3-0 58-43 78.72 0-3-0 41-55-5 78.65
Coming off a score 1 runs FOR in last game 3-4 61-84 42.47 2-4-1 58-76-11 61.7
Coming off a score 3 runs AGAINST in last game 0-1 78-88 23.5 0-1-0 72-82-12 76.63
vs. opponent with a 41% to 50% winning % 13-20 261-339 41.45 9-19-5 251-310-39 61.56
vs NY METS (since 1996) 78-77 22-25 48.57 73-78-4 17-24-6 55.1
Coming off a Lost over NL WEST division opponent 2-3 53-52 45.24 2-2-1 49-53-3 50.98
Coming off a game that went under 3-7 152-174 38.32 0-6-4 153-147-26 74.5
Coming off a day game 12-7 226-278 54 4-12-3 220-254-30 64.3
Coming off a series win 0-1 44-52 22.92 0-1-0 46-41-9 73.57
Last 30 days 10-10 198-250 47.1 5-12-3 184-235-29 63.34
Last 45 days 14-13 300-369 48.35 6-17-4 286-338-45 64.04
Last 60 days 16-17 394-488 46.58 8-20-5 373-444-65 62.89
Last 90 days 20-28 587-747 42.84 13-28-7 573-665-96 61.01
Vs. Right handed pitchers 21-22 452-590 46.11 12-27-4 447-526-69 61.65
Coming off vs. Left handed pitcher 4-5 161-211 43.86 2-5-2 174-171-27 60.5
Coming off lost vs. Left handed pitcher 4-4 86-131 44.82 3-3-2 86-111-20 53.18

 

NY METSTeam Name: NY METS(Home Team)
Money Line: NY METS +122 vs ATLANTA -132
Spread Line: NY METS +1.5 -145 —– ATLANTA -1.5 +125
O/U: NY METS 7.5 -115 —– ATLANTA 7.5 -105
Pitchers: NY METS – D Matsuzaka (R) vs ATLANTA – M Minor (L)
Game Date: Monday,July 07 2014 6:10 PM
Last Game: win 4 – 8 vs Texas Rangers
Current Game: Atlanta Braves
Next Game: Vs. ATLANTA
Stats & Trends: NY METS vs. ATLANTA
PVI Rating on Winning: 44.32%
PVI Rating on game going UNDER: 49.35%
Road Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 55.1%
Streaks: 1 SU Win – 3 Over
Home Teams % of winning this game: 44%
Home Teams % of this game going UNDER: 44%
Home Teams Predicted Runs For: 3.27
Home Teams Predicted Runs Against: 3.22

 

Home Team
(NY METS)
When NY METS is a Home Team When Any MLB Team is a Home Team Differential % When NY METS is a Home Team,the O/U When Any MLB Team is a Home Team,the O/U Differential % on game going UNDER
Situations Current Season Current Season Differential % Current Season Current Season Differential %
SU SU O/U/P O/U/P
Total is 7.5 5-8 163-174 43.42 6-7-0 173-164-0 51.26
vs Division opponent 4-11 256-305 36.15 6-6-3 255-265-41 50.48
vs Conference opponent 12-11 291-305 50.5 6-15-2 240-308-48 63.82
Playing in the month of July 2-3 49-42 46.93 3-1-1 42-43-6 37.8
Playing on Monday 1-2 69-89 38.5 2-1-0 71-74-13 42.18
Played as home Underdog 13-17 171-293 40.09 12-15-3 185-247-32 56.37
After a Non-Division Game 12-17 408-455 44.33 8-19-2 361-446-56 62.82
After a Non-Conference Game 1-5 122-158 30.12 3-3-0 125-141-14 51.51
vs NL EAST Division Opponent 4-11 115-133 36.52 6-6-3 102-114-32 51.39
vs NL Conference Opponent 16-22 369-396 45.18 12-21-5 314-384-67 59.33
Coming off vs AL WEST Division Opponent 1-3 88-108 34.95 3-1-0 89-97-10 38.58
Coming off vs American Conference Opponent 1-5 298-355 31.16 3-3-0 294-328-31 51.37
Coming off 1 over 5-6 147-178 45.34 3-6-2 152-154-19 58.5
Coming off a win 5-12 299-338 38.18 5-10-2 269-321-47 60.54
Coming off a Home Win as a Favorite 0-2 206-196 25.62 1-0-1 176-193-33 26.15
During a night game 10-20 438-507 39.84 11-14-5 417-460-68 54.23
Coming off a 5 home stand 1-1 35-35 50 0-2-0 29-33-8 76.62
Coming off a 4 runs win 0-2 36-38 24.33 0-2-0 33-37-4 76.43
Coming off a score 8 runs FOR in last game (since 1996) 35-23 26-27 54.7 31-23-4 31-19-3 40.3
Coming off a score 4 runs AGAINST in last game 1-1 85-97 48.35 1-1-0 81-90-11 51.32
vs. opponent with a 51% to 60% winning % 5-6 222-256 45.95 3-7-1 200-246-32 62.58
vs ATLANTA (since 1996) 74-81 20-34 42.39 73-78-4 14-33-7 60.94
Coming off a Win over AL WEST division opponent 0-1 36-34 25.72 1-0-0 31-33-6 25.78
Coming off a game that went over 5-6 147-178 45.34 3-6-2 152-154-19 58.5
Coming off a day game 8-8 221-246 48.66 4-10-2 194-240-33 63.37
Coming off a series loss 3-4 104-130 43.65 2-3-2 95-118-21 57.7
Last 30 days 6-7 213-235 46.85 7-5-1 184-235-29 48.88
Last 45 days 9-11 320-349 46.42 8-11-1 286-338-45 56.03
Last 60 days 11-17 421-461 43.51 12-14-2 373-444-65 54.1
Last 90 days 17-24 631-703 44.38 14-22-5 573-665-96 57.42
Vs. Left handed pitchers 3-4 179-191 45.62 3-3-1 149-192-29 53.15
Coming off vs. Right handed pitcher 12-23 474-562 40.02 10-21-4 431-538-67 61.63
Coming off win vs. Right handed pitcher 5-9 219-241 41.66 4-8-2 193-233-34 60.68

 

The Raymond Report shows us that we see a whole lot of room for both of these teams to lose. So if in a general “compared to the rest of the league” consideration these teams appear completely even, then, the handedness argument should be more than convincing in favour of a Mets win.

 

 

 

 

 

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