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Los Angeles Dodgers (Ryu) vs. Detroit Tigers (Verlander) – Preview July 8th, 2014

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Los Angeles Dodgers
Los Angeles Dodgers 
O/U :8.5

5.22

Vs.

Date: 2014-07-08
Time: 18:05:00

Generated from 39 Previous Games

Detroit Tigers
Detroit Tigers
SIDE :-120

4.51 = 9.73

 

Pick: Los Angeles Dodgers +110 (1/2 unit)

 

For all intents and purposes, this is a ‘pick ’em’ but at dog prices.
It’s the main reason for this pick and it’s the reason that we’d only recommend a 1/2 unit play.

 

First and foremost, we have to point out that Verlander has thrown a dismal 7.40 ERA vs RHH.
So although the Tigers have been on a rip of late, Verlander should be a static weakness in their chances. Besides Verlander, Detroit will also have to finish out their game with their 4.45 ERA bullpen.

Verlander will have to answer to the likes all of these season long +.700OPS hitters:
Van Slyke: .267AVG .961OPS
Puig: .307AVG .908OPS
Ramirez: .273AVG .838OPS
Kemp: .268AVG .768OPS
Uribe: .302AVG .762OPS

Last 7 Games:
Van Slyke: .278AVG .982OPS
Puig: .269AVG .796OPS
Ramirez: .300AVG 1.000OPS
Kemp: .190AVG .482OPS
Uribe: .391AVG .851OPS

Aside from anticipating a static weakness in Verlander and their bullpen, these teams are almost perfectly even in terms of hitting in terms of which hander they’re facing and L7G performance.

It should be a total slobberknocker and we wouldn’t be surprised to see this go over the total.

 

ATS MATCHUPS

Detroit completely dominates Los Angeles in terms of historical WL in this position, but it’s the Raymond Report that will shed light on how these teams presently face up against each other.

 

RAYMOND REPORT

 

RAYMOND REPORT FOR MLB
Game Date – 2014-07-08
Road Team :- (3031) LOS ANGELES
Home Team :- (3032 )DETROIT

 

LOS ANGELESTeam Name: LOS ANGELES(Road Team)
Money Line: LOS ANGELES +108 vs DETROIT -118
Spread Line: LOS ANGELES +1.5 -185 —– DETROIT -1.5 +165
O/U: LOS ANGELES 8.5 -105 —– DETROIT 8.5 -115
Pitchers: LOS ANGELES – H J Ryu (L) vs DETROIT – J Verlander (R)
Game Date: Tuesday,July 08 2014 6:05 PM
Last Game: win 8 – 2 vs Colorado Rockies
Current Game: Detroit Tigers
Next Game: At DETROIT
Stats & Trends: LOS ANGELES vs. DETROIT
PVI Rating on Winning: 56.04%
PVI Rating on game going UNDER: 48.84%
Road Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 32.65%
Streaks: 1 SU Win – 1 Under
Road Teams % of winning this game: 50%
Road Teams % of this game going UNDER: 55%
Road Teams Predicted Runs For: 4.42
Road Teams Predicted Runs Against: 3.5
Road Team
(LOS ANGELES)
When LOS ANGELES is a Road Team When Any MLB Team is a Road Team Differential % When LOS ANGELES is a Road Team,the O/U When Any MLB Team is a Road Team,the O/U Differential % on game going UNDER
Situations Current Season Current Season Differential % Current Season Current Season Differential %
SU SU O/U/P O/U/P
Total is 8.5 5-1 99-115 64.8 2-4-0 97-117-0 60.67
vs Non-Division opponent 13-10 386-505 49.92 11-11-1 368-462-61 52.83
vs Non-Conference opponent 5-2 119-169 56.38 4-3-0 127-148-13 48.34
Playing in the month of July 3-1 41-66 56.66 1-2-1 46-53-8 60.11
Playing on Tuesday 5-2 98-127 57.5 2-5-0 96-115-14 62.97
Played as road Underdog 6-7 418-600 43.61 5-8-0 438-508-72 57.62
After a Division Game 12-10 253-302 50.07 8-13-1 260-255-40 55.71
After a Conference Game 8-9 280-353 45.65 7-9-1 255-330-48 56.33
vs NL WEST Division Opponent 16-8 124-109 59.95 6-17-1 111-110-12 61.84
vs NL Conference Opponent 24-16 356-427 52.74 13-25-2 338-377-68 59.26
Coming off vs NL WEST Division Opponent 12-10 107-120 50.85 8-13-1 108-103-16 55.36
Coming off vs National Conference Opponent 19-17 336-419 48.64 12-22-2 327-367-61 58.8
Coming off 1 under 8-4 157-204 55.08 6-5-1 143-189-29 51.19
Coming off a win 11-13 286-332 46.06 12-10-2 298-280-40 46.95
Coming off a Road Win as a Favorite 10-10 90-104 48.2 10-8-2 89-90-15 47.36
With 1 days off 5-3 66-81 53.7 2-6-0 62-75-10 64.87
During a night game 21-11 420-541 54.67 13-17-2 421-470-70 54.71
Coming off a 4 road trip 1-0 11-13 72.92 0-1-0 7-15-2 84.09
Coming off a 6 runs win 1-0 13-20 69.7 1-0-0 23-10-0 15.15
Coming off a score 8 runs FOR in last game 1-3 21-24 35.84 2-2-0 29-14-2 41.28
Coming off a score 2 runs AGAINST in last game 6-1 77-81 67.22 0-6-1 68-78-12 76.71
vs. opponent with a 51% to 60% winning % 5-4 231-278 50.47 5-4-0 224-243-42 48.24
vs DETROIT (since 1996) 3-3 21-34 44.09 1-5-0 24-27-4 68.14
Coming off a Win over NL WEST division opponent 6-7 53-66 45.35 7-5-1 59-48-12 43.27
Coming off a game that went under 9-4 155-176 58.03 3-9-1 154-151-26 62.26
Coming off a day game 6-5 233-287 49.68 3-8-0 224-264-32 63.42
Coming off a series win 4-5 47-52 45.96 4-5-0 46-44-9 52.23
Last 30 days 10-5 200-246 55.76 5-9-1 177-238-31 60.82
Last 45 days 12-7 305-363 54.41 5-13-1 283-341-44 63.44
Last 60 days 16-10 396-492 53.07 8-16-2 374-447-67 60.56
Last 90 days 25-17 587-747 51.76 16-24-2 568-668-98 57.03
Vs. Right handed pitchers 18-16 458-599 48.14 13-19-2 451-535-71 56.82
Coming off vs. Left handed pitcher 4-9 162-212 37.05 6-7-0 175-172-27 51.71
Coming off win vs. Left handed pitcher 5-5 79-94 47.83 7-2-1 96-64-13 31.11

 

 

DETROITTeam Name: DETROIT(Home Team)
Money Line: DETROIT -118 vs LOS ANGELES +108
Spread Line: DETROIT -1.5 +165 —– LOS ANGELES +1.5 -185
O/U: DETROIT 8.5 -115 —– LOS ANGELES 8.5 -105
Pitchers: DETROIT – J Verlander (R) vs LOS ANGELES – H J Ryu (L)
Game Date: Tuesday,July 08 2014 6:05 PM
Last Game: 0 – 0 vs Tampa Bay Devil Rays
Current Game: Los Angeles Dodgers
Next Game: Vs. LOS ANGELES
Stats & Trends: DETROIT vs. LOS ANGELES
PVI Rating on Winning: 57.14%
PVI Rating on game going UNDER: 42.5%
Road Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 57.14%
Streaks: 2 SU Lost – 4 Over
Home Teams % of winning this game: 44%
Home Teams % of this game going UNDER: 44%
Home Teams Predicted Runs For: 3.62
Home Teams Predicted Runs Against: 3.48

 

Home Team
(DETROIT)
When DETROIT is a Home Team When Any MLB Team is a Home Team Differential % When DETROIT is a Home Team,the O/U When Any MLB Team is a Home Team,the O/U Differential % on game going UNDER
Situations Current Season Current Season Differential % Current Season Current Season Differential %
SU SU O/U/P O/U/P
Total is 8.5 4-8 103-111 40.73 7-5-0 97-117-0 48.17
vs Non-Division opponent 14-21 426-465 43.91 16-16-3 368-462-61 52.83
vs Non-Conference opponent 3-5 132-156 41.67 1-6-1 127-148-13 69.77
Playing in the month of July 3-3 56-51 51.17 4-2-0 46-53-8 43.44
Playing on Tuesday 3-4 96-129 42.77 3-4-0 96-115-14 55.82
Played as home Favorite 23-27 512-475 48.94 23-23-4 438-479-70 51.12
After a Non-Division Game 12-20 414-460 42.44 13-17-2 364-452-58 56.03
After a Conference Game 11-17 314-316 44.57 15-11-2 253-330-47 49.46
vs NL WEST Division Opponent (since 1996) 24-20 112-112 52.28 20-23-1 91-116-17 54.77
vs NL Conference Opponent 3-5 374-401 42.88 1-6-1 317-389-69 70.41
Coming off vs AL EAST Division Opponent 3-9 112-129 35.74 7-4-1 105-127-9 45.55
Coming off vs American Conference Opponent 19-26 301-359 43.92 23-20-2 294-334-32 49.85
Coming off 1 under 5-9 173-217 40.04 6-8-0 159-205-26 56.73
Coming off a lost 15-22 381-431 43.73 17-17-3 352-405-55 51.75
Coming off a Home Lost as a Underdog 1-3 125-153 34.98 2-2-0 112-139-27 52.69
With 1 days off 1-2 76-69 42.87 0-3-0 62-71-12 76.69
During a night game 10-20 445-516 39.82 12-15-3 421-470-70 54.16
Coming off a 7 home stand 0-1 7-8 23.34 1-0-0 5-9-1 32.15
vs. opponent with a 51% to 60% winning % 2-6 226-260 35.75 5-3-0 201-252-33 46.57
vs LOS ANGELES (since 1996) 3-3 17-30 43.09 1-5-0 17-28-2 72.78
Coming off a Lost over AL EAST division opponent 2-7 59-65 34.9 5-3-1 57-60-7 44.39
Coming off a game that went under 3-6 148-182 39.09 7-2-0 153-156-21 36.36
Coming off a night game 11-16 448-511 43.73 16-11-0 419-473-67 46.89
Coming off a series loss 6-12 108-138 38.62 6-10-2 98-125-23 59.28
Last 30 days 7-8 209-237 46.77 8-6-1 177-238-31 50.11
Last 45 days 9-15 315-353 42.33 13-9-2 283-341-44 47.78
Last 60 days 11-20 424-464 41.62 16-13-2 374-447-67 49.64
Last 90 days 19-30 631-703 43.04 22-24-3 568-668-98 53.11
Vs. Left handed pitchers 11-7 181-192 54.82 7-10-1 149-195-29 57.76
Coming off vs. Left handed pitcher 9-8 198-195 51.66 8-8-1 182-177-34 49.65
Coming off lost vs. Left handed pitcher 4-5 103-92 48.63 3-4-2 98-83-14 51.5

 

 

 

 

 

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