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Philadelphia Phillies (Buchanan) vs. Milwaukee Brewers (Garza) – Preview July 10th, 2014

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Philadelphia Phillies
Philadelphia Phillies 
O/U :8

2.59

Vs.

Date: 2014-07-10
Time: 13:10:00

Generated from 15 Previous Games

Milwaukee Brewers
Milwaukee Brewers
SIDE :-210

8 = 10.59

Pick: Milwaukee Brewers -210 (1/2 unit)

Buchanan is pitching 6.16 ERA vs RH hitters and will have to contend against the likes of Lucroy, Gomez, Braun, Ramirez, Davis, Maldonado, Weeks, and Reynolds.

This is a worst case scenario for the Phillies as there is arguably no other lineup that Buchanan would rather not pitch to.

This is our chief consideration so much of the positional considerations don’t have as much impact as they otherwise might.

RAYMOND REPORT

PHILADELPHIATeam Name: PHILADELPHIA(Road Team)
Money Line: PHILADELPHIA +185 vs MILWAUKEE -205
Spread Line: PHILADELPHIA +1.5 -115 —– MILWAUKEE -1.5 -105
O/U: PHILADELPHIA 8.5 -105 —– MILWAUKEE 8.5 -115
Pitchers: PHILADELPHIA – D Buchanan (R) vs MILWAUKEE – M Garza (R)
Game Date: Thursday,July 10 2014 1:10 PM
Last Game: win 4 – 1 vs Milwaukee Brewers
Current Game: Milwaukee Brewers
Next Game: Vs. WASHINGTON
Stats & Trends: PHILADELPHIA vs. MILWAUKEE
PVI Rating on Winning: 43.96%
PVI Rating on game going UNDER: 47.62%
Road Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 30.62%
Streaks: 3 SU Win – 1 Under
Road Teams % of winning this game: 46%
Road Teams % of this game going UNDER: 51%
Road Teams Predicted Runs For: 3.67
Road Teams Predicted Runs Against: 4.22

Road Team
(PHILADELPHIA)
When PHILADELPHIA is a Road Team When Any MLB Team is a Road Team Differential % When PHILADELPHIA is a Road Team,the O/U When Any MLB Team is a Road Team,the O/U Differential % on game going UNDER
Situations Current Season Current Season Differential % Current Season Current Season Differential %
SU SU O/U/P O/U/P
Total is 8.5 2-1 103-116 56.85 1-2-0 99-120-0 60.73
vs Non-Division opponent 15-16 399-515 46.02 14-14-3 380-470-64 52.65
vs Conference opponent 14-12 277-340 49.37 11-12-3 250-318-49 54.08
Playing in the month of July 4-5 54-86 41.51 5-4-0 61-68-11 48.58
Playing on Thursday 3-3 71-89 47.19 3-2-1 72-81-7 46.47
Played as road Underdog 20-21 431-613 45.03 21-17-3 449-522-73 49.25
After a Non-Division Game 15-14 399-509 47.83 12-14-3 367-476-65 55.16
After a Conference Game 13-12 290-358 48.38 11-11-3 265-334-49 52.88
vs NL EAST Division Opponent 7-8 109-161 43.52 9-5-1 106-130-34 45.4
vs NL Conference Opponent 21-20 359-440 48.08 20-17-4 342-388-69 49.55
Coming off vs NL CENTRAL Division Opponent 7-7 129-164 47.02 6-7-1 125-149-19 54.12
Coming off vs National Conference Opponent 19-20 339-433 46.32 20-15-4 332-378-62 48.05
Coming off a 3 winning streak 1-2 36-44 39.17 2-1-0 41-34-5 39.33
Coming off 1 under 8-4 161-212 54.92 10-2-0 148-195-30 36.76
Coming off a win 12-10 291-340 50.34 11-9-2 306-283-42 46.53
Coming off a Road Win as a Underdog 10-8 153-192 49.96 8-8-2 169-153-23 48.76
During a day game 6-10 227-274 41.41 7-7-2 204-264-33 53.21
Coming off a 9 road trip 1-0 6-15 64.29 0-1-0 7-13-1 82.5
Coming off a 3 runs win 2-0 49-44 76.35 1-1-0 46-42-5 48.87
Coming off a score 4 runs FOR in last game 2-2 93-98 49.35 1-3-0 86-96-9 63.88
Coming off a score 1 runs AGAINST in last game 2-1 63-77 55.84 0-3-0 66-65-9 74.81
vs. opponent with a 51% to 60% winning % 12-8 238-290 52.54 9-9-2 233-252-43 50.98
vs MILWAUKEE (since 1996) 32-30 21-24 49.14 27-32-3 20-23-2 53.87
Coming off a Win over NL CENTRAL division opponent 5-3 55-70 53.25 4-4-0 60-60-5 50
Coming off a game that went under 7-9 157-181 45.1 5-10-1 157-155-26 58.18
Coming off a night game 14-17 418-534 44.54 15-14-2 405-474-73 51.1
Coming off a series win 3-2 52-61 53.01 2-1-2 59-46-8 38.57
Wins 1st three games of a series (since 1996) 2-9 1-3 21.59 4-7-0 2-2-0 56.82
Last 30 days 9-7 198-254 50.03 7-8-1 181-237-34 55.02
Last 45 days 10-12 301-369 45.19 10-11-1 287-338-45 53.23
Last 60 days 11-15 397-490 43.54 13-11-2 375-447-65 50.11
Last 90 days 19-21 586-753 45.63 21-15-4 566-673-100 48
Vs. Right handed pitchers 17-19 468-616 45.2 19-14-3 463-547-74 48.29
Coming off vs. Right handed pitcher 11-17 487-603 41.99 12-13-3 452-560-78 53.67
Coming off win vs. Right handed pitcher 9-6 212-241 53.4 7-6-2 208-217-28 48.61

MILWAUKEETeam Name: MILWAUKEE(Home Team)
Money Line: MILWAUKEE -205 vs PHILADELPHIA +185
Spread Line: MILWAUKEE -1.5 -105 —– PHILADELPHIA +1.5 -115
O/U: MILWAUKEE 8.5 -115 —– PHILADELPHIA 8.5 -105
Pitchers: MILWAUKEE – M Garza (R) vs PHILADELPHIA – D Buchanan (R)
Game Date: Thursday,July 10 2014 1:10 PM
Last Game: lost 4 – 1 vs Philadelphia Phillies
Current Game: Philadelphia Phillies
Next Game: Vs. ST LOUIS
Stats & Trends: MILWAUKEE vs. PHILADELPHIA
PVI Rating on Winning: 56.52%
PVI Rating on game going UNDER: 47.13%
Road Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 63.26%
Streaks: 4 SU Lost – 1 Under
Home Teams % of winning this game: 49%
Home Teams % of this game going UNDER: 49%
Home Teams Predicted Runs For: 4.07
Home Teams Predicted Runs Against: 4.24

Home Team
(MILWAUKEE)
When MILWAUKEE is a Home Team When Any MLB Team is a Home Team Differential % When MILWAUKEE is a Home Team,the O/U When Any MLB Team is a Home Team,the O/U Differential % on game going UNDER
Situations Current Season Current Season Differential % Current Season Current Season Differential %
SU SU O/U/P O/U/P
Total is 8.5 4-4 104-115 48.75 2-6-0 99-120-0 64.9
vs Non-Division opponent 13-14 435-479 47.87 14-12-1 380-470-64 50.72
vs Conference opponent 8-11 299-318 45.29 7-12-0 250-318-49 59.58
Playing in the month of July 0-3 74-66 26.43 1-2-0 61-68-11 59.69
Playing on Thursday 2-0 77-83 74.07 1-1-0 72-81-7 51.47
Played as home Favorite 21-20 523-489 51.45 18-21-2 449-492-71 53.07
After a Non-Division Game 13-14 423-474 47.66 15-11-1 376-460-61 48.67
After a Conference Game 8-13 320-325 43.86 9-11-1 263-334-48 55.48
vs NL EAST Division Opponent 2-7 120-140 34.19 2-7-0 105-122-33 65.76
vs NL Conference Opponent 19-18 387-409 49.99 13-23-1 324-402-70 59.63
Coming off vs NL EAST Division Opponent 3-7 126-141 38.6 5-5-0 119-121-27 50.21
Coming off vs National Conference Opponent 17-20 387-414 47.13 14-22-1 329-401-71 58.02
Coming off a 4 losing streak (since 1996) 20-22 19-7 60.35 22-16-4 10-9-7 44.74
Coming off 1 under 5-4 178-219 50.2 4-5-0 162-208-27 55.89
Coming off a lost 10-8 391-440 51.31 7-11-0 363-411-57 57.11
Coming off a Home Lost as a Favorite 7-7 197-210 49.2 5-9-0 184-204-19 58.44
During a day game 8-7 245-256 51.12 8-7-0 204-264-33 51.54
Coming off a 3 home stand (since 1996) 7-2 4-2 72.23 3-5-1 2-4-0 64.59
Coming off a 3 runs loss 1-2 41-50 39.19 0-3-0 41-42-8 75.3
Coming off a score 1 runs FOR in last game 3-0 73-66 76.26 0-3-0 59-71-9 77.31
Coming off a score 4 runs AGAINST in last game 5-3 88-100 54.66 4-4-0 83-93-12 51.42
vs. opponent with a 41% to 50% winning % 9-10 302-314 48.2 7-10-2 267-302-47 55.95
vs PHILADELPHIA (since 1996) 30-32 24-22 50.28 27-32-3 23-19-4 49.74
Coming off a Lost over NL EAST division opponent 1-4 70-94 31.34 2-3-0 64-83-17 58.23
Coming off a game that went under 4-4 152-186 47.49 5-3-0 156-161-21 44.15
Coming off a night game 16-14 465-526 50.13 13-17-0 433-488-70 54.83
Coming off a series loss 2-2 138-158 48.31 3-1-0 132-135-29 37.78
Lost 1st three games of a series (since 1996) 5-5 3-1 62.5 4-6-0 2-2-0 55
Last 30 days 5-8 217-235 43.24 7-6-0 181-237-34 51.43
Last 45 days 10-11 319-351 47.62 14-6-1 287-338-45 42.04
Last 60 days 13-12 424-463 49.9 15-8-2 375-447-65 44.58
Last 90 days 23-19 638-701 51.21 20-20-2 566-673-100 52.16
Vs. Right handed pitchers 16-16 515-590 48.31 14-16-2 484-546-75 53.17
Coming off vs. Right handed pitcher 21-19 491-584 49.09 18-20-2 447-558-70 54.08
Coming off lost vs. Right handed pitcher 8-5 275-339 53.17 6-7-0 254-318-42 54.72

ATS MATCHUPS

Stats to SUPPORT the Milwaukee pick:

When GARZA MATT ‘s Team played as Home Favourite- With Total between 8.5 and 9.0 7-3-0
When GARZA MATT ‘s Team played as Home Team- With a spread between 200 and 220 7-3-0
When MILWAUKEE played as Home Favourite- With a spread between 200 and 220 9-1-0
When MILWAUKEE team Played as Home team as a Favorite – During a day game – Total is between 8.5 to 9.0 – Coming off vs. Right handed pitcher – Allowed 4 runs AGAINST in their last game 12-7-0
When MILWAUKEE team Played as Home team as a Favorite – Vs. Right handed pitchers – During a day game – Coming off a Home loss as a Favorite – Allowed 4 runs or less AGAINST in their last game 9-5-0
When MILWAUKEE team played as a Home team – Vs Conference Opponent – During a day game – Coming off a lost in game 3 of a series – Coming off a Loss vs. NL EAST opponent 6-4-0
When MILWAUKEE team Played as Home team as a Favorite – Vs Conference Opponent – During a day game – Coming off a lost in game 3 of a series – Coming off a Home loss 9-3-0
When MILWAUKEE team played as a Home team – Vs. Right handed pitchers – Vs Non Division Opponent – Coming off 1 under – Allowed 4 runs or less AGAINST in their last game 61-35-0
When MILWAUKEE team played as a Home team – Vs Conference Opponent – During a day game – Coming off 1 under – Scored 1 or more runs FOR in their last game 24-14-0
When MILWAUKEE team Played as home team as a Favorite – 4th game of a series – Vs. Right handed pitchers 20-9-0
When ANY MLB Team Played as Home team as a Favorite – During a day game – Total is between 8.5 to 9.0 – Coming off a 3 Game Home Stand – Coming off a Home loss 13-8-0
When ANY MLB Team played as a -200 to -220 Home Favorite – After a conference game – Coming off a Loss vs. NL EAST opponent – Coming off a lost in game 3 of a series – Coming off lost vs. Right handed pitcher 15-5-0
When ANY MLB Team Played as Home team as a Favorite – Vs NL Conference – Vs. Right handed pitchers – 4th game of a series – Coming off lost vs. Right handed pitcher – Allowed 4 runs or less AGAINST in their last game – Coming off a series loss 16-9-0
When MILWAUKEE Played as home team as a Favorite – During Last 4 Years – With 1 Under or More 81 – 52 – 0
When PHILADELPHIA played as Home or Away Team- in the month of July 5-10-0
When PHILADELPHIA played as Home or Away Team- With a spread between 180 and 200 5-15-0
When PHILADELPHIA played as Road Underdog- With a spread between 180 and 200 8-37-0
When PHILADELPHIA played as Underdog- With Total between 8.5 and 9.0 13-32-0
When PHILADELPHIA team Played as Road team as a Underdog – Vs. Right handed pitchers – Vs Non Division Opponent – Coming off 1 under – Coming off a Road win as a Underdog 4-10-0
When PHILADELPHIA team Played as road team as a Underdog – During the month of July – Last 3 years 10-19-0
When PHILADELPHIA team played as a 180 to 200 road Underdog – Total is between 8.5 to 9.0 – Vs. Right handed pitchers 2-9-0
When PHILADELPHIA team played as a 180 to 200 road Underdog – During a day game – Vs. Right handed pitchers 3-8-0
When PHILADELPHIA team played as a 180 to 200 road Underdog – Vs NL Conference – Vs. Right handed pitchers 5-19-0
When ANY MLB Team played as a 180 to 200 Road Underdog – Vs Conference Opponent – Vs. Right handed pitchers – Coming off a Road win as a Underdog – Coming off a Win vs. NL CENTRAL opponent 4-11-0
When ANY MLB Team played as a 180 to 200 Road Underdog – Vs Conference Opponent – Vs Non Division Opponent – Playing on Thursday – Coming off a Road win – Coming off a night game 9-17-0
When ANY MLB Team played as a Road team – After a conference game – Last 3 years – Coming off a 3 run win – Coming off a series win 7-13-0
When ANY MLB Team played as a 180 to 200 Road Underdog – Vs NL Conference – During a day game – Vs Conference Opponent – Coming off a Win vs. NL CENTRAL opponent 3-15-0

Stats to THREATEN the Milwaukee pick:

When MILWAUKEE team Played as Home team as a Favorite – Before a division game – Total is between 8.5 to 9.0 – Coming off 1 under – Coming off a Home loss 6-14-0
When ANY MLB Team played as a Home team – Last 4 years – After a conference game – Vs NL EAST opponent – Coming off a night game – Coming off a Home loss – Allowed 4 runs AGAINST in their last game 15-28-0

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