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Edmonton Eskimos vs. Winnipeg Blue Bombers – Preview – July 17th, 2014

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WINNIPEG BLUE BOMBERS: -2

 

Edmonton Eskimos
Edmonton Eskimos 
O/U :55

22.55

Vs.

Date: 2014-07-17
Time: 19:35:00

Generated from 14 Previous Games

Winnipeg Blue Bombers
Winnipeg Blue Bombers
SIDE :2

30.02 = 52.57

 

EDMONTON: 3-0 for the season.
WINNIPEG: 3-0 for the season.

So this is a ‘Pick ‘Em’ right off the pop.

 

EDMONTON with mediocre scoring but awesome defense.
WINNIPEG with awesome scoring but mediocre defense.

Another Pick Em consideration.

 

Ultimately, all PF/PA aside, these teams have very comparable numbers in terms of passing yards for/against and rushing yards for/against.

There were 2 points that stuck out however:

1. Edmonton has thrown 8 picks which is by far the league high.

2. Winnipeg has performed awesomely offensively, but how will they do vs a team like Edmonton who has the least points scored against them in the league?

 

When a quarterback like Willy has time to think and move, he can put up the league’s best offensive. That’s undisputed. But today, he’s up against his first real test in the Edmonton defense. He’s a great QB, but how will he perform against the leagues strongest defense?
Will he stand up or crumble under the pressure? That’s the question.

When a team like Edmonton has such a high percentage of interceptions, it speaks of poor communication and/ a bad throwing arm. Whatever the case, with that many interceptions, Edmonton could be up 20 points in the last 10 minutes and still lose this game. Interceptions to that magnitude are a static weakness and they are a wild-card leaving Edmonton vulnerable no matter how hard they play.

 

ATS FORECAST has Winnipeg ahead by 7.5 points. Considering the books are only asking for 2 points, according to Forecast, we are 5.5 points ahead of the game giving the Bombers some excellent value in this position.

 

RAYMOND REPORT give Edmonton a slight edge in the percentage to win, but in terms of the Green/Red and the Points Calculator, these teams are both +9 points and effectively perfectly even.

 

ATS MATCHUP

Here are a few of the Matchups:

20 Team Trends

EDMONTON 20 Team Trends
ATS SU O/U
Description Win-Loss-Push Win-Loss-Push Over-Under-Push
Click on description to see Predictions on next game Click on records Click on records Click on records
When EDMONTON team played as a 0 to 3 Road Underdog -Vs Non Division Opponent – Allowed scored 13 points or less against 2-1-1 2-2-0 2-2-0
When EDMONTON team played as Road team as a Underdog – Coming off a 14-17 point Home win 3-3-0 3-3-0 2-4-0
When EDMONTON team played as a pk to 3 Underdog -Vs Non Division Opponent – Coming off a 2 Home stand 2-2-0 2-2-0 0-4-0
When EDMONTON team played as a pk to 3 Underdog -Total is 54.5 or more – Coming off a game scored 27 points or more 3-2-0 3-2-0 3-2-0
When EDMONTON team played as a Road team -During Week 1 to 4 – Coming off a 1 ATS win 3-3-0 1-5-0 2-4-0
When EDMONTON team played as a Road team -Vs Non Division Opponent – Coming off a Home win as a Favorite 12-11-2 12-13-0 13-12-0
When EDMONTON team played as a Road team -With 5 day off – Coming off back to back SU Home wins 1-3-0 1-3-0 3-1-0
When EDMONTON team played as Road team as a Underdog – Coming off a Score 11 – 13 AGAINST in last game 4-3-0 1-6-0 4-3-0
When EDMONTON team played as a Road team -Vs Non Conference Opponent – Coming off a 14-17 point Home win 1-3-0 1-3-0 3-1-0
When EDMONTON team played as Road team as a Underdog -Before a division game – Coming off a Score 25 – 27 POINTS FOR in last game 6-1-1 4-4-0 4-4-0
When EDMONTON team played as a Road team -Before a division game – Coming off a Home win as a Favorite 2-2-0 1-3-0 4-0-0
When EDMONTON team played as a 0 to 3 Road Underdog – Allowed scored 13 points or less against 3-3-1 3-4-0 3-4-0
When EDMONTON team played as Road team as a Underdog -During Week 1 to 4 – Coming off a 2 Home stand 4-1-1 2-4-0 2-4-0
When EDMONTON team played as Road team as a Underdog -Before a conference game -Vs Non Division Opponent – Coming off a 2 Home stand 4-2-0 4-2-0 3-3-0
When EDMONTON team played as a pk to 3 Underdog – After a non division game – Coming off a game scored 27 points or more 3-1-0 3-1-0 3-1-0
When EDMONTON team played as Road team as a Underdog -Total is 54.5 or more – Allowed scored 13 points or less against 3-1-1 2-3-0 3-2-0
When EDMONTON team played as a pk to 3 Underdog -Before a division game – Coming off a 1 ATS win 3-1-1 3-2-0 2-3-0
When EDMONTON team played as Road team as a Underdog -Playing on Thursday – Coming off a 2 Home stand 3-3-0 2-4-0 4-2-0
When EDMONTON team played as a Road team -After a non conference game -Vs Non Division Opponent – Coming off a Home win as a Favorite 6-3-2 6-5-0 5-6-0
When EDMONTON team played as Road team as a Underdog -Before a conference game -Vs Non Conference Opponent – Coming off a Home win as a Favorite 5-2-0 3-4-0 3-4-0
20 Team Trends
WINNIPEG 20 Team Trends
ATS SU O/U
Description Win-Loss-Push Win-Loss-Push Over-Under-Push
Click on description to see Predictions on next game Click on records Click on records Click on records
When WINNIPEG team played as a pk to -3.0 Favorite – Coming off a Score 32 – 35 AGAINST in last game 4-0-0 4-0-0 1-3-0
When WINNIPEG team played as Home team as a Favorite – Coming off a 3 game over 3-3-0 5-1-0 2-4-0
When WINNIPEG team played as a pk to -3.0 Home Favorite – Coming off a Score 32 – 35 AGAINST in last game 4-0-0 4-0-0 1-3-0
When WINNIPEG team played as a Home team – Coming off a 3 game winning streak 1-4-0 2-3-0 2-3-0
When WINNIPEG team played as a Home team -Before a non conference game – Coming off a game scored 34 points or more 7-2-0 6-3-0 6-3-0
When WINNIPEG team played as Home team as a Favorite – Coming off a Score 32 – 35 AGAINST in last game 7-3-0 10-0-0 3-7-0
When WINNIPEG team played as a pk to -3.0 Home Favorite – Allowed scored 34 points or less against 14-4-0 14-4-0 4-14-0
When WINNIPEG team played as Home team as a Favorite – Coming off a 3 ATS win 2-3-0 3-2-0 1-4-0
When WINNIPEG team played as a pk to -3.0 Home Favorite – Coming off a game scored 34 points or more 3-2-0 3-2-0 1-4-0
When WINNIPEG team played as a Home team -Vs Non Conference Opponent – Coming off a game scored 34 points or more 7-6-1 8-6-0 8-6-0
When WINNIPEG team played as a pk to -3.0 Favorite – Coming off a Score 32 – 35 POINTS FOR in last game 4-0-0 4-0-0 2-2-0
When WINNIPEG team played as Home team as a Favorite -Before a non conference game – Allowed scored 34 points or less against 15-12-0 21-6-0 11-16-0
When WINNIPEG team played as Home team as a Favorite -Before a non conference game – Coming off a game scored 34 points or more 4-1-0 4-1-0 3-2-0
When WINNIPEG team played as Home team as a Favorite – Coming off a Win over Montreal opponent 2-5-0 4-3-0 3-4-0
When WINNIPEG team played as a Home team -After a division game – Coming off a 3 game winning streak 0-4-0 1-3-0 2-2-0
When WINNIPEG team played as Home team as a Favorite – Coming off a 3 game winning streak 0-4-0 1-3-0 2-2-0
When WINNIPEG team played as a Home team – Coming off a Score 32 – 35 POINTS FOR in last game 8-6-0 9-5-0 6-8-0
When WINNIPEG team played as Home team as a Favorite – Coming off a Score 32 – 35 POINTS FOR in last game 7-5-0 9-3-0 5-7-0
When WINNIPEG team played as Home team as a Favorite -Vs Non Division Opponent – Allowed scored 34 points or less against 16-7-0 18-5-0 10-13-0
When WINNIPEG team played as a Home team -After a conference game – Coming off a Score 32 – 35 AGAINST in last game 2-2-0 2-2-0 1-3-0

 

20 Random Team Trends

EDMONTON 20 Random Team Trends
ATS SU O/U
Description Win-Loss-Push Win-Loss-Push Over-Under-Push
Click on description to see Predictions on next game Click on records Click on records Click on records
When EDMONTON team played as Road team as a Underdog -Vs Non Division Opponent -Before a division game 15-10-1 9-17-0 11-15-0
When EDMONTON team played as a Road team -Vs Non Conference Opponent -Total is 54.5 or more 3-9-1 4-9-0 7-6-0
When EDMONTON team played as a Road team -Total is 54.5 or more -Vs Non Division Opponent 3-9-1 4-9-0 7-6-0
When EDMONTON team played as a pk to 3 Underdog -Vs Non Conference Opponent 2-2-1 2-3-0 3-2-0
When EDMONTON team played as a pk to 3 Underdog -During Week 1 to 4 -Before a conference game 1-1-1 1-2-0 2-1-0
When EDMONTON team played as Road team as a Underdog -During Week 1 to 4 13-10-2 10-15-0 12-13-0
When EDMONTON team played as a pk to 3 Underdog -After a non conference game 2-1-0 2-1-0 1-2-0
When EDMONTON team played as a pk to 3 Underdog -Before a division game 2-2-1 2-3-0 3-2-0
When EDMONTON team played as a Road team -Playing on Thursday -Before a division game 4-4-0 3-5-0 2-5-1
When EDMONTON team played as a 0 to 3 Road Underdog -During Week 1 to 4 -Vs Non Division Opponent 1-1-1 1-2-0 3-0-0
When EDMONTON team played as a pk to 3 Underdog -Total is 54.5 or more -After a non conference game 1-4-0 1-4-0 2-3-0
When EDMONTON team played as a Road team -Before a conference game -During Week 1 to 4 2-4-1 2-5-0 4-3-0
When EDMONTON team played as a Road team -After a non conference game 6-5-1 4-8-0 5-7-0
When EDMONTON team played as a Road team -During Week 1 to 4 -Vs Non Division Opponent 4-7-2 4-9-0 9-4-0
When EDMONTON team played as Road team as a Underdog -Before a conference game -Total is 54.5 or more 1-4-1 1-5-0 4-2-0
When EDMONTON team played as a pk to 3 Underdog -Vs Non Conference Opponent -Before a conference game 5-7-1 5-8-0 6-7-0
When EDMONTON team played as a 0 to 3 Road Underdog -Vs Non Conference Opponent -After a non conference game 2-3-0 2-3-0 0-5-0
When EDMONTON team played as a pk to 3 Underdog -Vs Non Division Opponent – After a non division game 5-6-0 5-6-0 4-7-0
When EDMONTON team played as a pk to 3 Underdog -Vs Non Conference Opponent -Vs Non Division Opponent 12-11-1 12-12-0 11-13-0
When EDMONTON team played as a pk to 3 Underdog -Vs Non Conference Opponent -Total is 54.5 or more 2-5-1 2-6-0 5-3-0
20 Random Team Trends
WINNIPEG 20 Random Team Trends
ATS SU O/U
Description Win-Loss-Push Win-Loss-Push Over-Under-Push
Click on description to see Predictions on next game Click on records Click on records Click on records
When WINNIPEG team played as Home team as a Favorite -After a conference game -With 5 day off 3-4-0 4-3-0 2-5-0
When WINNIPEG team played as a Home team -Vs Edmonton opponent -Playing on Thursday 2-1-0 2-1-0 0-2-1
When WINNIPEG team played as a pk to -3.0 Favorite -With 5 day off -Before a non conference game 1-2-0 1-2-0 2-1-0
When WINNIPEG team played as a Home team -After a division game -With 5 day off 10-16-2 11-17-0 12-16-0
When WINNIPEG team played as a pk to -3.0 Favorite -After a conference game -Vs Non Conference Opponent 6-4-0 6-4-0 3-7-0
When WINNIPEG team played as Home team as a Favorite -Vs Non Division Opponent -With 5 day off 4-4-0 5-3-0 3-5-0
When WINNIPEG team played as Home team as a Favorite -With 5 day off 1-2-0 1-2-0 2-1-0
When WINNIPEG team played as a pk to -3.0 Favorite -Playing on Thursday 3-2-0 3-2-0 2-3-0
When WINNIPEG team played as Home team as a Favorite -During Week 1 to 4 -Vs Non Conference Opponent 4-3-0 4-3-0 5-2-0
When WINNIPEG team played as a pk to -3.0 Favorite -Before a non conference game 4-5-0 5-4-0 4-4-1
When WINNIPEG team played as a Home team -During Week 1 to 4 -With 5 day off 3-2-0 1-4-0 2-3-0
When WINNIPEG team played as a pk to -3.0 Home Favorite -Vs Non Division Opponent -Before a non division game 6-2-0 6-2-0 4-4-0
When WINNIPEG team played as a Home team -Vs Edmonton opponent 3-2-0 4-1-0 2-2-1
When WINNIPEG team played as a pk to -3.0 Home Favorite -Total is 54.5 or more -Before a non division game 4-0-0 4-0-0 0-4-0
When WINNIPEG team played as a pk to -3.0 Home Favorite -Vs Non Division Opponent -Total is 54.5 or more 3-0-0 3-0-0 1-2-0
When WINNIPEG team played as a pk to -3.0 Favorite -Vs Non Division Opponent 2-2-0 2-2-0 3-1-0
When WINNIPEG team played as a pk to -3.0 Favorite -With 5 day off -Before a non division game 1-2-0 1-2-0 2-1-0
When WINNIPEG team played as Home team as a Favorite -Vs Non Division Opponent -Vs Non Conference Opponent 22-13-0 26-9-0 15-20-0
When WINNIPEG team played as Home team as a Favorite -After a conference game -Before a non conference game 6-3-0 6-3-0 5-4-0
When WINNIPEG team played as Home team as a Favorite -Total is 54.5 or more 1-2-0 2-1-0 1-2-0

 

At the end of the day, Winnipeg typically trounces their opponent in this position STRAIGHT UP.
But when talking about AT THE SPREAD, they are just in and around ‘even’ w/l in this position.

Once again, “PICK ‘EM.”

Tonight should be a dinger, and despite the pick’em philosophy which tells us that we should take the points, instead, we’re going to give the 2 points and back the Bombers with our wagers for a half unit.

 

 

 

 

 

 

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