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Washington Nationals (Zimmerman) vs. Miami Marlins (Eovaldi) – Preview July 28th, 2014

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Washington Nationals
Washington Nationals 
SIDE :-147

4.43

Vs.

Date: 2014-07-28
Time: 18:10:00

Generated from 55 Previous Games

Miami Marlins
Miami Marlins
O/U :7.5

2.83 = 7.26

 

Pick: Washington -147

 

Today’s pick focuses on Nathan Eovaldi’s established tendencies over 68.2 innings. He looks like a broad target here tonight, and it’s his case to prove he’s not.

HITTING

  • Washington is hitting 5.0 RPG L7G.
  • Washington is hitting 4.0 RPG vs RHP.
  • Miami is hitting 3.6 RPG L7G.
  • Miami is hitting 3.8 RPG vs RHP.

 

PITCHING

  • Zimmerman is 3.20 ERA all season.
  • Zimmerman is 5.02 ERA last 3 starts.
  • Eovaldi is 4.34 ERA all season.
  • Eovaldi is 7.00 ERA last 3 starts.

 

BULLPEN

  • National’s pen is throwing a 2.59 ERA all season.
  • Marlins’ pen is throwing a 3.62 ERA all season.

 

HISTORY

  • Zimmerman is 5-3 vs the Marlins with a 3.93 ERA and a WHIP of 1.178
  • Eovaldi is 2-2 vs the Nationals with a 5.06 ERA and a WHIP of 1.360

 

ATS FORECAST

Washington has a massive +1.6 run advantage as predicted by ATS Forecast.

 

ATS RAYMOND REPORT

Washington with a clear advantage in Raymond Report.

WASHINGTONTeam Name: WASHINGTON(Road Team)
Money Line: WASHINGTON -137 vs MIAMI +127
Spread Line: WASHINGTON -1.5 +120 —– MIAMI +1.5 -140
O/U: WASHINGTON 7.5 +110 —– MIAMI 7.5 -130
Pitchers: WASHINGTON – J Zimmermann (R) vs MIAMI – N Eovaldi (R)
Game Date: Monday,July 28 2014 6:10 PM
Last Game: win 4 – 2 vs Cincinnati Reds
Current Game: Miami Marlins
Next Game: At MIAMI
Stats & Trends: WASHINGTON vs. MIAMI
PVI Rating on Winning: 55.88%
PVI Rating on game going UNDER: 47.31%
Road Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 34.7%
Streaks: 1 SU Win – 3 Under
Road Teams % of winning this game: 49%
Road Teams % of this game going UNDER: 52%
Road Teams Predicted Runs For: 4.01
Road Teams Predicted Runs Against: 3.25

 

Road Team
(WASHINGTON)
When WASHINGTON is a Road Team When Any MLB Team is a Road Team Differential % When WASHINGTON is a Road Team,the O/U When Any MLB Team is a Road Team,the O/U Differential % on game going UNDER
Situations Current Season Current Season Differential % Current Season Current Season Differential %
SU SU O/U/P O/U/P
Total is 7.5 5-9 194-212 41.75 7-7-0 205-201-0 49.76
vs Division opponent 8-7 308-366 49.52 13-2-0 302-323-49 32.51
vs Conference opponent 18-15 316-391 49.63 10-19-4 283-370-54 61.09
Playing in the month of July 7-4 153-204 53.25 4-6-1 148-185-24 57.78
Playing on Monday 6-0 86-102 72.87 4-2-0 77-95-16 44.28
Played as road Favorite 16-14 273-247 52.92 15-13-2 219-262-39 50.45
After a Non-Division Game 18-20 450-581 45.51 14-19-5 414-545-72 57.21
After a Conference Game 17-16 331-411 48.07 10-19-4 297-391-54 61.18
vs NL EAST Division Opponent 8-7 124-182 46.93 13-2-0 125-142-39 33.26
vs NL Conference Opponent 26-22 413-504 49.61 23-21-4 396-442-79 50.24
Coming off vs NL CENTRAL Division Opponent 8-10 154-184 45 5-10-3 144-172-22 60.55
Coming off vs National Conference Opponent 24-22 392-494 48.21 21-21-4 382-432-72 51.54
Coming off 3 under 2-1 47-58 55.72 1-2-0 45-51-9 59.9
Coming off a win 13-11 337-389 50.3 13-10-1 345-333-48 46.3
Coming off a Road Win as a Favorite 8-4 107-120 56.91 6-5-1 103-105-19 47.97
During a night game 19-17 500-627 48.58 17-16-3 491-557-79 50.82
Coming off a 6 road trip 2-0 17-28 68.89 1-1-0 17-23-5 53.75
Coming off a 2 runs win 3-2 68-69 54.82 3-2-0 63-68-6 45.96
Coming off a score 4 runs FOR in last game 4-2 105-114 57.31 1-5-0 97-112-10 68.46
Coming off a score 2 runs AGAINST in last game 3-6 91-108 39.53 5-4-0 86-100-13 49.1
vs. opponent with a 41% to 50% winning % 9-10 317-401 45.76 9-7-3 303-372-43 49.43
vs MIAMI (since 1996) 58-89 24-43 37.64 61-75-11 29-26-12 51.21
Coming off a Win over NL CENTRAL division opponent 4-2 64-78 55.87 2-4-0 67-69-6 58.71
Coming off a day game 12-6 266-329 55.69 7-10-1 257-304-34 56.51
Coming off a series win 1-1 55-65 47.92 2-0-0 62-50-8 22.32
Last 30 days 9-4 179-223 56.88 5-7-1 164-212-26 57.36
Last 45 days 11-11 280-346 47.37 8-12-2 255-327-44 58.1
Last 60 days 16-13 381-459 50.27 12-15-2 351-433-56 55.4
Last 90 days 22-22 575-715 47.29 17-22-5 539-656-95 55.66
Vs. Right handed pitchers 18-18 544-690 47.04 17-17-2 526-625-83 52.15
Coming off vs. Right handed pitcher 18-25 553-692 43.14 23-15-5 512-647-86 47.65
Coming off win vs. Right handed pitcher 8-8 246-281 48.34 6-10-0 236-259-32 57.41
MIAMITeam Name: MIAMI(Home Team)
Money Line: MIAMI +127 vs WASHINGTON -137
Spread Line: MIAMI +1.5 -140 —– WASHINGTON -1.5 +120
O/U: MIAMI 7.5 -130 —– WASHINGTON 7.5 +110
Pitchers: MIAMI – N Eovaldi (R) vs WASHINGTON – J Zimmermann (R)
Game Date: Monday,July 28 2014 6:10 PM
Last Game: 0 – 0 vs Houston Astros
Current Game: Washington Nationals
Next Game: Vs. WASHINGTON
Stats & Trends: MIAMI vs. WASHINGTON
PVI Rating on Winning: 49.04%
PVI Rating on game going UNDER: 40.21%
Road Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 36.74%
Streaks: 4 SU Win – 1 Under
Home Teams % of winning this game: 43%
Home Teams % of this game going UNDER: 43%
Home Teams Predicted Runs For: 2.91
Home Teams Predicted Runs Against: 2.93

 

Home Team
(MIAMI)
When MIAMI is a Home Team When Any MLB Team is a Home Team Differential % When MIAMI is a Home Team,the O/U When Any MLB Team is a Home Team,the O/U Differential % on game going UNDER
Situations Current Season Current Season Differential % Current Season Current Season Differential %
SU SU O/U/P O/U/P
Total is 7.5 13-15 200-206 47.85 16-12-0 205-201-0 46.19
vs Division opponent 12-21 313-361 41.4 12-14-7 302-323-49 52.77
vs Conference opponent 11-13 344-363 47.25 14-6-4 283-370-54 43.33
Playing in the month of July 3-3 176-181 49.65 4-2-0 148-185-24 44.45
Playing on Monday 3-4 80-108 42.71 3-2-2 77-95-16 47.62
Played as home Underdog 14-22 203-354 37.67 16-13-7 219-297-41 51.2
After a Non-Division Game 14-18 484-532 45.7 13-13-6 425-525-66 52.63
After a Conference Game 12-14 368-369 48.04 14-7-5 295-389-53 45.1
vs NL EAST Division Opponent 12-21 136-176 39.98 12-14-7 122-151-39 54.58
vs NL Conference Opponent 23-34 443-472 44.39 26-20-11 375-461-79 49.31
Coming off vs NL CENTRAL Division Opponent 3-8 175-164 39.45 3-4-4 142-173-24 56.03
Coming off vs National Conference Opponent 23-35 443-479 43.86 25-21-12 385-457-80 49.97
Coming off 2 push 4-0 18-27 70 2-2-0 15-25-5 56.25
Coming off a lost 20-25 447-501 45.8 22-17-6 408-475-65 48.69
Coming off a Road Lost as a Favorite (since 1996) 27-33 18-21 45.58 25-31-4 16-21-2 56.06
During a night game 20-24 519-608 45.75 23-14-7 491-557-79 45.5
Coming off a 13 road trip (since 1996) 2-1 1-4 43.34 1-2-0 3-2-0 53.34
vs. opponent with a 51% to 60% winning % 6-13 284-326 39.07 9-7-3 257-315-38 49.41
vs WASHINGTON (since 1996) 89-58 25-28 53.86 61-75-11 25-23-5 51.54
Coming off a Lost over NL CENTRAL division opponent 3-3 98-83 52.07 2-3-1 78-92-11 57.06
Coming off a Road double header 0-2 14-17 22.58 2-0-0 14-15-2 25.86
Coming off a day game 6-15 263-293 37.94 9-7-5 227-292-37 50.01
Coming off a series loss 7-13 153-181 40.41 9-5-6 148-154-32 43.35
Coming off back to back Shutouts offense 6-10 39-74 36.01 6-7-3 39-64-10 58
Last 30 days 3-5 191-211 42.51 5-3-0 164-212-26 46.94
Last 45 days 6-19 296-330 35.64 11-10-4 255-327-44 51.91
Last 60 days 8-23 396-444 36.48 12-14-5 351-433-56 54.54
Last 90 days 19-33 610-680 41.92 21-21-10 539-656-95 52.45
Vs. Right handed pitchers 19-30 590-674 42.73 21-21-7 551-631-82 51.69
Coming off vs. Right handed pitcher 19-35 569-662 40.71 23-20-11 505-646-80 51.32
Coming off lost vs. Right handed pitcher 14-19 317-374 44.15 14-14-5 281-364-46 53.22

 

ATS MATCHUPS

Matchups show no real advantage one way or the other.

Stats that support the Washington pick:

 

When WASHINGTON played as Home or Away Team- With a spread between 120 and 140 9-4-2
When WASHINGTON played as Road Favourite- in the month of July 7-3-0
When WASHINGTON team played as a Road team – During a night game – Last 2 years – Coming off a Win vs. NL CENTRAL opponent – Coming off a Road win as a Favorite 10-0-0
When ANY MLB Team Played as Road team as a Favorite – Total is between 7.5 to 8.0 – Coming off vs. National League opponent – Vs NL Conference – Allowed 2 runs AGAINST in their last game – Coming off a Road win as a Favorite 57-34-0
When ANY MLB Team played as a Road team – Coming off vs. National League opponent – Last 3 years – Vs. Right handed pitchers – Coming off a series win – Coming off a 3 game under 11-6-0
When WASHINGTON played as any home/road team – During Last 2 Years – With 3 Under or Less – Won Last Game by 2 Runs or More – With SU Record of 5 Win 2 Lost in L7G 12 – 6 – 0
When N Eovaldi ‘s Team played as Home or Away Team- With Total between 7.5 and 8.0 6-14-0
When MIAMI team played as a 120 to 140 Home Underdog – Vs Conference Opponent – During a night game – Coming off a series loss – Coming off vs. Right handed pitcher 4-8-0
When MIAMI team played as a 120 to 140 home Underdog – Total is 7.5 – During a night game 5-15-0
When MIAMI team played as a 120 to 140 home Underdog – Total is between 7.5 to 8.0 – Total is 7.5 9-17-0
When MIAMI team played as a 120 to 140 home Underdog – Vs. Right handed pitchers – Total is 7.5 5-11-0
When MIAMI team Played as home team as a Underdog – Total is 7.5 – Vs. Right handed pitchers 19-43-0
When MIAMI team played as a 120 to 140 home Underdog – Vs NL Conference – Total is 7.5 7-16-0

 

Stats that threaten the Washington pick:

When MIAMI team played as a Home team – During a night game – Total is between 7.5 to 8.0 – Coming off a 2 run win – Coming off vs. Right handed pitcher 9-6-0
When MIAMI team Played as Home team as a Underdog – Total is between 7.5 to 8.0 – Vs Division Opponent – Coming off vs. Right handed pitcher – Coming off a series loss 13-5-0
When MIAMI team Played as Home team as a Underdog – Vs. Right handed pitchers – Vs NL EAST opponent – Coming off a series loss – Coming off vs. Right handed pitcher 23-13-0
When MIAMI team played as a Home team – Before a division game – Vs NL EAST opponent – Coming off a 2 run win – Coming off vs. Right handed pitcher 15-9-0
When ANY MLB Team Played as Home team as a Underdog – Last 3 years – During a night game – 1st game of a series – Coming off vs. Right handed pitcher – Coming off a series loss – Coming off a 2 run win 12-7-0

 

When MIAMI team played as a 120 to 140 home Underdog – After a non division game – During the month of July 8-3-0
When WASHINGTON team played as a Road team – During a night game – Total is between 7.5 to 8.0 – Coming off a Road win – Coming off a 2 run win 6-15-0
When WASHINGTON team played as a -120 to -140 road Favorite – Total is between 7.5 to 8.0 – Vs NL EAST opponent 7-14-0

 

 

 

 

 

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