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Philadelphia Eagles vs. Chicago Bears – Preview for August 8th, 2014.

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Philadelphia Eagles
Philadelphia Eagles 
O/U :42

23.01

Vs.

Date: 2014-08-08
Time: 19:00:00

Generated from 26 Previous Games

Chicago Bears
Chicago Bears
SIDE :1

24.81 = 47.82

 

Pick: Philadelphia Eagles +1

 

This is preseason ball. Trying to understand who should win/lose is a tedious proposition.

ALL GAMES so far this year, have been won by the HOME team. So to pick Philly to win as a visitor is a risky proposition.

Our primary reason for liking the Eagles tonight is the market movement.

Not only has there been a ton of action shift with the Eagles in the last few hours (approx. 10%), but the line has also moved 1.5 points in respect of that action. As far as the books are concerned, Philly has chances to win or they wouldn’t have steamed the line. Indeed, we have every reason to think that the sharp money is with Philadelphia and we’ll gladly piggy-back the action for tonight’s wager.

 

ATS Raymond Report

The Raymond Report definitely helps support the Philly pick.

PHILADELPHIA EAGLESTeam Name: PHILADELPHIA EAGLES(Road Team)
Line: PHILADELPHIA EAGLES —– CHICAGO BEARS
O/U: PHILADELPHIA EAGLES (OVER ) —– CHICAGO BEARS (UNDER )
Game Date: Friday,August 08 2014 7:00 PM
Last Game: 0 – 0 vs
Current Game: Chicago Bears
Next Game: Vs. JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS
Stats & Trends: PHILADELPHIA EAGLES vs. CHICAGO BEARS
PVI Rating on Winning: 0%
PVI Rating on game going UNDER: 0%
Road Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 0%
Streaks: – – 0 Push
Road Teams % covering the spread: 50%
Road Teams % of this game going UNDER: 51%
Road Teams Predicted Points For: 0
Road Teams Predicted Points Against: 0

 

Road Team
(PHILADELPHIA EAGLES)
When PHILADELPHIA EAGLES is a Road Team When Any NFL Team is a Road Team Differential % When PHILADELPHIA EAGLES is a Road Team,the O/U When Any NFL Team is a Road Team,the O/U Differential % on game going UNDER
Situations Last 3 season Last 3 season Differential % Last 3 season Last 3 season Differential %
ATS ATS O/U/P O/U/P
Total is 40.5 (since 1996) 3-3-0 10-12-1 0.47 1-5-0 12-11-0 0.66
vs Non-Division opponent 5-5-0 168-155-18 0.5 4-6-0 183-154-4 0.53
vs Conference opponent 6-6-0 181-201-16 0.48 6-6-0 177-215-6 0.52
Playing in the month of August (since 1996) 0-1-0 1-0-6 0.07 1-0-0 0-7-0 0.5
Playing on Friday (since 1996) 0-0-0 0-0-0 0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0
Played as road Team 8-8-0 249-257-24 0.48 8-8-0 261-263-6 0.5
Before a Non-Division Game (since 1996) 115-77-14 146-138-13 0.52 99-103-4 147-147-3 0.5
Before a Non-Conference Game (since 1996) 5-2-1 64-51-4 0.58 2-6-0 64-55-0 0.61
vs NFC North Division Opponent (since 1996) 17-13-1 32-28-5 0.52 14-17-0 34-30-1 0.51
vs National Conference Opponent 6-6-0 124-123-11 0.49 6-6-0 133-124-1 0.49
Before Playing JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS (since 1996) 1-0-0 8-6-0 0.79 0-1-0 7-7-0 0.75
vs CHICAGO BEARS (since 1996) 5-7-0 10-4-2 0.52 4-8-0 9-7-0 0.55
During week 1 (since 1996) 10-9-1 15-16-7 0.45 11-8-1 16-22-0 0.5

 

CHICAGO BEARSTeam Name: CHICAGO BEARS(Home Team)
Line: CHICAGO BEARS —– PHILADELPHIA EAGLES
O/U: CHICAGO BEARS (UNDER ) —– PHILADELPHIA EAGLES (OVER )
Game Date: Friday,August 08 2014 7:00 PM
Last Game: 0 – 0 vs
Current Game: Philadelphia Eagles
Next Game: Vs. BUFFALO BILLS
Stats & Trends: CHICAGO BEARS vs. PHILADELPHIA EAGLES
PVI Rating on Winning: 0%
PVI Rating on game going UNDER: 0%
Home Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 0%
Streaks: – – 0 Push
Home Teams % covering the spread: 41%
Home Teams % of this game going UNDER: 51%
Home Teams Predicted Points For: 0
Home Teams Predicted Points Against: 0

 

Home Team
(CHICAGO BEARS)
When CHICAGO BEARS is a Home Team When Any NFL Team is a Home Team Differential % When CHICAGO BEARS is a Home Team,the O/U When Any NFL Team is a Home Team,the O/U Differential % on game going UNDER
Situations Last 3 season Last 3 season Differential % Last 3 season Last 3 season Differential %
ATS ATS O/U/P O/U/P
Total is 40.5 (since 1996) 5-2-1 12-11-1 0.56 5-3-0 13-11-0 0.42
vs Non-Division opponent 3-5-2 151-169-21 0.37 7-3-0 180-156-5 0.38
vs Conference opponent 3-9-0 199-181-18 0.38 6-6-0 177-215-6 0.52
Played as home Team 4-10-2 254-249-27 0.36 9-7-0 259-264-7 0.47
Before a Non-Division Game 3-8-1 139-147-14 0.36 5-7-0 153-143-4 0.53
Before a Non-Conference Game (since 1996) 3-8-0 69-62-5 0.39 5-6-0 75-58-3 0.49
vs NFC East Division Opponent (since 1996) 15-20-0 31-33-1 0.45 14-21-0 29-36-0 0.58
vs National Conference Opponent 3-9-0 119-129-14 0.35 6-6-0Chess 126-134-2 0.51
Before Playing CHICAGO BEARS (since 1996) 3-4-1 6-9-1 0.38 2-6-0 7-9-0 0.66
vs PHILADELPHIA EAGLES (since 1996) 7-5-0 7-8-0 0.53 4-8-0 8-7-0 0.57
During week 1 (since 1996) 12-8-2 15-16-7 0.47 12-10-0 17-21-0 0.5

 

Tonight’s QB matchup is Foles (2891 yds) vs Cutler (2621 yds).

Not only does Foles have +200yds on Cutler, but he’s done it in 203 completions where Cutler did it in 224 completions. This means that the Bears should be using plenty of slants to score small yardage, while Philly is hitting the posts.

 

Tonight’s matchup in rushing is McCoy and Brown for Philly (1921 yds combined) and Forte and Bush for the Bears (1536 yds combined).

 

Tonight’s matchup in receiving definitely edges with Chicago.

Philly was 3208 yds receiving.
Chicago was 4096 yds receiving.

 

So at the end of the day, in terms of real-time stats, this could play out about equally.

However when we factor in the Raymond report and gain some positional understanding of how these teams play in these instances, the Eagles seem to stand out a head above the rest.

Can the Eagles be the first visiting team to win in the 2014 NFL pre-season?

We don’t see why not!

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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