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New York Yankees (Capuano) vs. Baltimore Orioles (Norris) – Preview for August 11th, 2014.

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New York Yankees
New York Yankees 
O/U :8.54.03
Vs.Date: 2014-08-11
Time: 18:05:00

Generated from 66 Previous Games

Baltimore Orioles
Baltimore Orioles
SIDE :-122
4.92 = 8.95

 

Pick: Baltimore Orioles ML @ -122 (Full Unit)

 

Today we are checking for value and we think we found it in Baltimore.

Our consideration here is a Strength of Schedule consideration.

BAL is scoring hard not only their last 7 games but their last 14 as well.

  • BAL is scoring a PR of 60 L7G.
  • BAL is scoring a PR of 59 L14G.
  • NYY is scoring a PR of 46 L7G. 
  • NYY is scoring a PR of 47 L14G.

Q: Why are these numbers significant?

A: NYY’s L7 they scored 4-3 WL record, where others with the same 4-3 L7G record scored much higher. In STL’s case, as high as 57.

Same with the L14G consideration.

Per WL record, NYY scored the lowest in their category.

This is the only game on today’s card where a team that is rock solid L7 and L14 games is up against a team that is under performing in both the L7 and L14 categories.

 

ATS FORECAST

Baltimore Orioes have a +0.89 evaluation which is definitely strong omen.

 

ATS RAYMOND REPORT

Baltimore gets added confidence according to the Raymond Report as well.

 

NY YANKEESTeam Name: NY YANKEES(Road Team)
Money Line: NY YANKEES +125 vs BALTIMORE -135
Spread Line: NY YANKEES +1.5 -180 —– BALTIMORE -1.5 +160
O/U: NY YANKEES 8.5 -115 —– BALTIMORE 8.5 -105
Pitchers: NY YANKEES – C Capuano (L) vs BALTIMORE – B Norris (R)
Game Date: Monday,August 11 2014 6:05 PM
Last Game: lost 4 – 1 vs Cleveland Indians
Current Game: Baltimore Orioles
Next Game: At BALTIMORE
Stats & Trends: NY YANKEES vs. BALTIMORE
PVI Rating on Winning: 52.14%
PVI Rating on game going UNDER: 57.89%
Road Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 34.69%
Streaks: 2 SU Lost – 2 Under
Road Teams % of winning this game: 49%
Road Teams % of this game going UNDER: 54%
Road Teams Predicted Runs For: 3.88
Road Teams Predicted Runs Against: 4.08

 

Road Team
(NY YANKEES)
When NY YANKEES is a Road Team When Any MLB Team is a Road Team Differential % When NY YANKEES is a Road Team,the O/U When Any MLB Team is a Road Team,the O/U Differential % on game going UNDER
Situations Current Season Current Season Differential % Current Season Current Season Differential %
SU SU O/U/P O/U/P
Total is 8.5 9-11 137-155 45.96 11-9-0 133-159-0 49.73
vs Division opponent 10-9 330-387 49.33 11-8-0 326-339-52 46.55
vs Conference opponent 15-13 361-450 49.04 13-15-0 327-426-58 55.07
Playing in the month of August 2-1 61-83 54.52 2-1-0 64-70-10 42.79
Playing on Monday 2-4 92-113 39.11 2-4-0 83-105-17 61.26
Played as road Underdog 19-22 541-780 43.65 20-21-0 563-670-88 52.78
After a Non-Division Game 23-18 513-671 49.72 19-22-0 479-624-81 55.12
After a Conference Game 17-12 380-475 51.53 15-14-0 344-452-59 52.53
vs AL EAST Division Opponent 10-9 142-162 49.67 11-8-0 120-170-14 50.37
vs AL Conference Opponent 25-22 384-493 48.49 24-23-0 368-467-42 52.44
Coming off vs AL CENTRAL Division Opponent 8-8 146-168 48.25 9-7-0 145-160-9 48.11
Coming off vs American Conference Opponent 25-21 401-492 49.63 24-22-0 377-469-47 51.64
Coming off a 2 losing streak 6-4 105-122 53.13 2-8-0 100-118-9 67.07
Coming off 2 under 4-3 109-132 51.19 3-4-0 98-126-17 56.7
Coming off a lost 17-15 472-617 48.24 14-18-0 430-582-77 56.88
Coming off a Home Lost as a Favorite 1-3 38-51 33.85 1-3-0 32-52-5 68.45
During a night game 22-23 556-711 46.39 21-24-0 553-629-85 53.27
Coming off a 7 home stand 1-0 20-22 73.81 0-1-0 17-23-2 78.75
Coming off a 3 runs loss 2-0 58-70 72.66 1-1-0 51-69-8 53.75
Coming off a score 1 runs FOR in last game 6-3 90-119 54.87 3-6-0 81-114-14 62.57
Coming off a score 4 runs AGAINST in last game 6-2 122-117 63.03 6-2-0 106-120-13 39.05
vs. opponent with a 51% to 60% winning % 9-7 327-406 50.43 6-10-0 312-364-57 58.18
vs BALTIMORE (since 1996) 91-58 25-34 51.72 78-64-7 20-37-2 54.99
Coming off a Lost over AL Central division opponent 4-4 71-99 45.88 3-5-0 76-90-4 58.36
Coming off a day game 10-9 292-358 48.78 9-10-0 279-333-38 53.52
Coming off a series loss 7-7 149-234 44.45 6-8-0 164-189-30 55.34
Last 30 days 4-4 169-212 47.18 3-5-0 159-200-22 59.11
Last 45 days 9-8 269-343 48.45 9-8-0 256-319-37 51.27
Last 60 days 12-12 367-465 47.06 13-11-0 347-431-54 50.62
Last 90 days 22-19 566-707 49.06 18-23-0 533-653-87 55.58
Vs. Right handed pitchers 23-21 601-776 47.96 20-24-0 592-696-89 54.3
Coming off vs. Right handed pitcher 24-21 610-771 48.75 23-22-0 571-716-94 52.26
Coming off lost vs. Right handed pitcher 15-7 353-437 56.43 11-11-0 308-429-53 54.11
TEAM: NY YANKEES
Offensive Stats Defensive Stats
All Games Avg 3.87 4.07
Home Games Avg 3.39 3.93
Road Games Avg 4.35 4.22
Last 3 Games Avg 3.67 4.33
Last 5 Games Avg 3.4 2.8
Last 10 Games Avg 3.9 3.4
vs. Division Games Avg 4.41 4.66
vs. Conference Games Avg 3.88 4.25
vs. Non Conference Games Avg 3.82 3.27
vs. Top Ranked Games Avg 3.68 4.08
vs. Middle Ranked Games Avg 3.91 4.69
vs. Bottom Ranked Games Avg 4.08 3.56
After a Win Games Avg 3.7 3.77
After a Lost Games Avg 4.11 4.55
After a SU Road Win Games Avg 3.78 3.97
After a SU Road Lost Games Avg 4.85 4.56
After a SU Home Win Games Avg 3.62 3.55
After a SU Home Lost Games Avg 3.39 4.54
After an Over Games Avg 3.58 4.54
After an Under Games Avg 4.09 3.67
After a Push Games Avg 4 5.33
3.88 4.08
BALTIMORETeam Name: BALTIMORE(Home Team)
Money Line: BALTIMORE -135 vs NY YANKEES +125
Spread Line: BALTIMORE -1.5 +160 —– NY YANKEES +1.5 -180
O/U: BALTIMORE 8.5 -105 —– NY YANKEES 8.5 -115
Pitchers: BALTIMORE – B Norris (R) vs NY YANKEES – C Capuano (L)
Game Date: Monday,August 11 2014 6:05 PM
Last Game: lost 8 – 3 vs St Louis Cardinals
Current Game: New York Yankees
Next Game: Vs. NY YANKEES
Stats & Trends: BALTIMORE vs. NY YANKEES
PVI Rating on Winning: 57.39%
PVI Rating on game going UNDER: 54.46%
Road Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 48.98%
Streaks: 1 SU Lost – 3 Over
Home Teams % of winning this game: 52%
Home Teams % of this game going UNDER: 52%
Home Teams Predicted Runs For: 4.49
Home Teams Predicted Runs Against: 3.71
Home Team
(BALTIMORE)
When BALTIMORE is a Home Team When Any MLB Team is a Home Team Differential % When BALTIMORE is a Home Team,the O/U When Any MLB Team is a Home Team,the O/U Differential % on game going UNDER
Situations Current Season Current Season Differential % Current Season Current Season Differential %
SU SU O/U/P O/U/P
Total is 8.5 15-15 143-149 49.49 11-19-0 133-159-0 58.89
vs Division opponent 10-11 334-383 47.1 3-17-1 326-339-52 67.99
vs Conference opponent 14-12 403-408 51.77 12-13-1 327-426-58 54.29
Playing in the month of August 4-2 79-65 60.77 4-2-0 64-70-10 42.79
Playing on Monday 5-1 91-114 63.86 1-4-1 83-105-17 67.93
Played as home Favorite 22-17 678-604 54.65 11-27-1 563-633-86 61.99
After a Non-Division Game 19-17 562-597 50.64 16-19-1 491-593-75 54.5
After a Non-Conference Game 6-6 162-207 46.95 5-7-0 161-185-23 55.9
vs AL EAST Division Opponent 10-11 142-168 46.72 3-17-1 137-163-10 69.67
vs AL Conference Opponent 24-23 409-476 48.64 15-30-2 390-452-43 60.18
Coming off vs NL CENTRAL Division Opponent 4-5 194-181 48.09 5-4-0 164-185-26 48.73
Coming off vs National Conference Opponent 6-6 499-526 49.34 5-7-0 435-506-84 56.05
Coming off 3 over 0-1 45-47 24.46 1-0-0 38-46-8 27.38
Coming off a lost 19-10 503-539 56.9 6-21-2 440-529-73 66.19
Coming off a Home Lost as a Favorite 11-4 254-253 61.72 3-11-1 225-256-26 65.9
During a night game 24-17 600-667 52.95 11-28-2 553-629-85 62.5
Coming off a 3 home stand 1-0 9-5 82.15 0-1-0 4-10-0 85.72
Coming off a 5 runs loss 2-0 48-30 80.77 0-2-0 36-37-5 75.34
Coming off a score 3 runs FOR in last game 5-4 114-133 50.86 3-5-1 106-121-20 57.9
Coming off a score 8 runs AGAINST in last game 1-1 26-37 45.64 1-1-0 34-24-5 45.69
vs. opponent with a 51% to 60% winning % 13-6 338-371 58.05 5-13-1 301-367-41 63.58
vs NY YANKEES (since 1996) 58-91 27-33 41.97 78-64-7 29-31-0 48.37
Coming off a Lost over NL CENTRAL division opponent 2-3 108-90 47.28 2-3-0 86-99-13 56.76
Coming off a day game 7-6 289-319 50.69 4-8-1 253-316-39 61.11
Coming off a series win 2-2 101-91 51.3 1-3-0 77-102-13 65.99
Last 30 days 7-4 196-185 57.54 5-6-0 159-200-22 55.13
Last 45 days 13-7 306-306 57.5 9-11-0 256-319-37 55.24
Last 60 days 17-10 411-421 56.18 10-16-1 347-431-54 58.47
Last 90 days 22-17 622-651 52.64 16-22-1 533-653-87 56.48
Vs. Left handed pitchers 7-10 249-249 45.59 6-11-0 197-260-41 60.8
Coming off vs. Right handed pitcher 24-22 650-730 49.64 13-32-1 572-719-89 63.4
Coming off lost vs. Right handed pitcher 12-7 359-402 55.17 2-17-0 304-404-53 73.27
TEAM: BALTIMORE
Offensive Stats Defensive Stats
All Games Avg 4.13 3.73
Home Games Avg 3.54 3.63
Road Games Avg 4.7 3.84
Last 3 Games Avg 8.33 4.33
Last 5 Games Avg 5.6 3.8
Last 10 Games Avg 5 3.2
vs. Division Games Avg 4.15 3.45
vs. Conference Games Avg 3.94 3.72
vs. Non Conference Games Avg 5.29 3.82
vs. Top Ranked Games Avg 3.7 4.2
vs. Middle Ranked Games Avg 4.5 3.48
vs. Bottom Ranked Games Avg 4.29 3.41
After a Win Games Avg 3.89 3.97
After a Lost Games Avg 4.56 3.54
After a SU Road Win Games Avg 4.37 3.77
After a SU Road Lost Games Avg 5.29 4.08
After a SU Home Win Games Avg 3.35 4.19
After a SU Home Lost Games Avg 3.83 3
After an Over Games Avg 4.58 4.3
After an Under Games Avg 3.86 3.38
After a Push Games Avg 3.33 3
4.49 3.71

 

ATS MATCHUPS

Baltimore with a very slight possible advantage.

 

Practical Chances:

NYY is 3.1 RPG L7G.
BAL is 6.3 RPG L7G.

NYY is 3.9 RPG vs RHP
BAL is 3.8 RPG vs LHP

NYY bullpen is 3.74 ERA
BAL bullpen is 3.28 ERA

Capuano is 3.91ERA all season.
Norris is 3.68 ERA all season.

Capuano is 2.84 ERA L3G.
Norris is 3.12 ERA L3G.

 

 

 

 

 

 

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