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Calgary Stampeders vs. Hamilton Tiger Cats – Preview for August 16th, 2014.

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Calgary Stampeders
Calgary Stampeders 
SIDE :325.87
Vs.Date: 2014-08-16
Time: 14:05:00Generated from 23 Previous Games
Hamilton Tigercats
Hamilton Tigercats
O/U :51.5
28.74 = 54.61

 

Pick: Hamilton Tiger Cats +3 (optional)

 

Why Hamilton?

3 reasons.

1. The market is showing game-day action with Hamilton. Out of the 15 market positions we’ve tracked so far this season, teams that show this kind of gameday action are 3-0 so far.

2. ATS Forecast is no joke. Forecast gives Hamilton almost 3 points and Vegas gives them another 3. Nowhere else on this card do we find +6 points. Speaking in Forecast terms, this is just about the strongest we ever find.

3. This pick is for those of us that just have to bet us some CFL and can’t wait for a better bet.

 

ATS MATCHUPS

Just about perfectly even. Calgary with some strong stats, but Hamilton with more considerations over all.

 

ATS RAYMOND REPORT

The Raymond Report has Calgary at a massive advantage. It’s the reason that we take pause and only offer Hamilton as an optional bet.

CALGARYTeam Name: CALGARY(Road Team)
Line: CALGARY -3 —– HAMILTON +3
O/U: CALGARY 51.5 (OVER -110) —– HAMILTON 51.5 (UNDER -110)
Game Date: Saturday , August 16 2014 2:05 PM
Last Game: win 17 – 38 vs Ottawa Red Blacks
Current Game: Hamilton Tigercats
Next Game: At OTTAWA
Stats & Trends: CALGARY vs. HAMILTON
PVI Rating on Winning: 33.33%
PVI Rating on game going UNDER: 50%
Road Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 38.89%
Streaks: 1 SU Win – 1 ATS Win – 2 Over
Road Teams % covering the spread: 61%
Road Teams % of this game going UNDER: 53%
Road Teams Predicted Points For: 28.14
Road Teams Predicted Points Against: 17.58

 

Road Team
(CALGARY)
When CALGARY is a Road Team When Any CFL Team is a Road Team Differential % When CALGARY is a Road Team,the O/U When Any CFL Team is a Road Team,the O/U Differential % on game going UNDER
Situations Last 3 season Last 3 season Differential % Last 3 season Last 3 season Differential %
ATS ATS O/U/P O/U/P
Total is 51.50 (since 1996) 4-2-0 9-2-0 0.74 4-2-0 5-6-0 0.44
vs Non-Division opponent 10-4-0 61-61-1 0.61 7-7-0 58-64-1 0.51
vs Non-Conference opponent 10-4-0 61-61-1 0.61 7-7-0 58-64-1 0.51
Playing in the month of August (since 1996) 22-14-0 31-20-0 0.61 22-13-1 24-27-0 0.45
Playing on Saturday (since 1996) 20-18-0 41-46-3 0.49 15-21-2 36-53-1 0.59
Played as Road Favorite 22-10-0 145-121-4 0.61 15-17-0 122-146-2 0.54
After a Non-Division Game 8-3-0 64-50-0 0.64 7-4-0 50-64-0 0.46
After a Non-Conference Game 8-3-0 64-50-0 0.64 7-4-0 50-64-0 0.46
Before a Non-Division Game 12-4-0 62-52-0 0.65 7-9-0 56-58-0 0.54
Before a Non-Conference Game 12-4-0 62-52-0 0.65 7-9-0 56-58-0 0.54
vs Eastern Conference Opponent (since 1996) 0-0-0 72-63-2 0.26 0-0-0 64-73-0 0.27
Coming off 1 under (since 1996) 34-19-1 30-28-1 0.57 28-24-2 25-33-1 0.52
Coming off a win 12-8-0 64-58-2 0.56 10-10-0 59-63-2 0.51
Coming off a Home Win as a Favorite 11-7-0 38-32-2 0.57 10-8-0 36-35-1 0.47
With 6 days off 11-1-0 42-36-1 0.72 6-6-0 39-39-1 0.5
Coming off a 3 home stand (since 1996) 3-1-1 6-2-0 0.68 1-4-0 4-4-0 0.65
Coming off a 21 points win (since 1996) 2-4-0 1-2-1 0.29 3-3-0 2-1-1 0.42
Coming off a score 38 points FOR in last game (since 1996) 2-2-0 2-1-0 0.58 2-2-0 2-1-0 0.42
Coming off a score 17 points AGAINST in last game (since 1996) 4-2-0 1-2-0 0.5 3-3-0 2-1-0 0.42
vs HAMILTON (since 1996) 10-8-0 18-13-0 0.57 7-11-0 16-15-0 0.55
Last 30 days (since 1996) 1-0-0 14-8-0 0.82 0-1-0 8-14-0 0.82
Last 45 days (since 1996) 2-0-0 18-12-0 0.8 0-2-0 11-19-0 0.82
Last 60 days (since 1996) 2-0-0 19-15-0 0.78 0-2-0 12-22-0 0.82
Last 90 days (since 1996) 2-0-0 19-15-0 0.78 0-2-0 12-22-0 0.82
Coming off a 1 ATS Lost 11-0-0 38-36-1 0.75 4-7-0 32-43-0 0.6
Coming off a Home ATS lost 10-1-0 56-44-1 0.73 3-8-0 42-59-0 0.66
During week 8 (since 1996) 4-5-0 6-5-0 0.49 6-3-0 4-7-0 0.48
Coming off Back to Back ATS Lost (since 1996) 28-32-1 58-37-2 0.53 30-30-1 37-59-1 0.56
Coming off Back to Back ATS Home Lost (since 1996) 6-5-1 11-8-1 0.53 7-4-1 5-14-1 0.55
TEAM: CALGARY
Offensive Stats Defensive Stats
All Games Avg 26.83 15.67
Home Games Avg 25.25 14.25
Road Games Avg 30 18.5
Last 3 Games Avg 29.33 21.33
Last 5 Games Avg 26.4 17.2
Last 10 Games Avg N/A N/A
vs. Division Games Avg 25 23.5
vs. Conference Games Avg N/A N/A
vs. Non Conference Games Avg 26.83 15.67
vs. Top Ranked Games Avg 26 22
vs. Middle Ranked Games Avg 29 20
vs. Bottom Ranked Games Avg 25.67 10.67
After a Win Games Avg 23.5 17.25
After a Lost Games Avg 38 17
After a SU Road Win Games Avg 17 16
After a SU Road Lost Games Avg N/A N/A
After a SU Home Win Games Avg 30 18.5
After a SU Home Lost Games Avg 38 17
After an Over Games Avg 38 17
After an Under Games Avg 23.5 17.25
After a Push Games Avg N/A N/A
28.14 17.58
HAMILTONTeam Name: HAMILTON(Home Team)
Line: HAMILTON +3 —– CALGARY -3
O/U: HAMILTON 51.5 (UNDER -110) —– CALGARY 51.5 (OVER -110)
Game Date: Saturday , August 16 2014 2:05 PM
Last Game: lost 29 – 36 vs British Columbia Lions
Current Game: Calgary Stampeders
Next Game: Vs. TORONTO
Stats & Trends: HAMILTON vs. CALGARY
PVI Rating on Winning: 58.34%
PVI Rating on game going UNDER: 75%
Home Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 60.71%
Streaks: 2 SU Lost – 2 ATS Lost – 3 Over
Home Teams % covering the spread: 46%
Home Teams % of this game going UNDER: 53%
Home Teams Predicted Points For: 24.78
Home Teams Predicted Points Against: 26.19
Home Team
(HAMILTON)
When HAMILTON is a Home Team When Any CFL Team is a Home Team Differential % When HAMILTON is a Home Team,the O/U When Any CFL Team is a Home Team,the O/U Differential % on game going UNDER
Situations Last 3 season Last 3 season Differential % Last 3 season Last 3 season Differential %
ATS ATS O/U/P O/U/P
Total is 51.50 (since 1996) 5-5-0 2-9-0 0.34 5-5-0 5-6-0 0.52
vs Non-Division opponent 5-8-0 61-61-1 0.44 6-7-0 58-64-1 0.53
vs Non-Conference opponent 5-8-0 61-61-1 0.44 6-7-0 58-64-1 0.53
Playing in the month of August (since 1996) 12-17-0 20-31-0 0.4 14-14-1 24-27-0 0.51
Playing on Saturday 9-6-0 46-41-3 0.56 7-8-0 36-53-1 0.56
Played as Home Underdog 13-18-0 121-145-4 0.43 16-15-0 122-146-2 0.51
After a Non-Division Game 7-6-0 53-57-1 0.51 7-6-0 52-59-0 0.5
After a Non-Conference Game 7-6-0 53-57-1 0.51 7-6-0 52-59-0 0.5
Before a Division Game 6-8-0 56-66-2 0.44 7-7-0 53-69-2 0.53
Before a Conference Game 6-8-0 56-66-2 0.44 7-7-0 53-69-2 0.53
vs Western Conference Opponent (since 1996) 0-0-0 65-68-3 0.24 0-0-0 60-75-1 0.28
Coming off 1 under (since 1996) 16-26-0 25-34-1 0.4 15-24-3 22-36-2 0.62
Coming off a lost 10-10-0 56-63-1 0.48 12-8-0 61-58-1 0.44
Coming off a Road Lost as a Underdog 8-8-0 39-40-1 0.49 10-6-0 38-41-1 0.45
With 7 days off (since 1996) 17-13-0 22-25-2 0.51 8-22-0 23-24-2 0.62
Coming off a 2 road stand (since 1996) 18-14-0 22-25-1 0.51 17-14-1 17-31-0 0.55
Coming off a 7 points loss (since 1996) 2-3-0 1-1-0 0.45 5-0-0 2-0-0 0
Coming off a score 29 points FOR in last game (since 1996) 1-4-0 3-2-0 0.4 2-3-0 1-4-0 0.7
Coming off a score 36 points AGAINST in last game (since 1996) 2-3-0 1-3-0 0.33 1-4-0 1-3-0 0.78
vs CALGARY (since 1996) 8-10-0 10-22-0 0.38 7-11-0 15-17-0 0.57
Last 30 days (since 1996) 1-1-0 8-14-0 0.43 2-0-0 8-14-0 0.32
Last 45 days (since 1996) 1-1-0 12-18-0 0.45 2-0-0 11-19-0 0.32
Last 60 days (since 1996) 1-1-0 15-19-0 0.47 2-0-0 12-22-0 0.32
Last 90 days (since 1996) 1-1-0 15-19-0 0.47 2-0-0 12-22-0 0.32
Coming off a 1 ATS Win (since 1996) 23-19-2 35-43-1 0.48 18-25-1 35-43-1 0.57
Coming off a Road ATS win 8-6-0 44-54-3 0.5 7-7-0 45-54-2 0.52
During week 8 (since 1996) 0-1-0 5-6-0 0.23 1-0-0 4-7-0 0.32
Coming off Back to Back SU Lost (since 1996) 27-29-1 31-24-1 0.51 23-32-2 25-30-1 0.56
Coming off Back to Back ATS Lost (since 1996) 18-20-0 24-22-0 0.5 15-21-2 20-26-0 0.57
TEAM: HAMILTON
Offensive Stats Defensive Stats
All Games Avg 21.5 25.83
Home Games Avg 29.5 25
Road Games Avg 17.5 26.25
Last 3 Games Avg 29.33 28.67
Last 5 Games Avg 23.8 24.8
Last 10 Games Avg N/A N/A
vs. Division Games Avg 29.5 25
vs. Conference Games Avg N/A N/A
vs. Non Conference Games Avg 21.5 25.83
vs. Top Ranked Games Avg 13.67 23
vs. Middle Ranked Games Avg 27.5 31.5
vs. Bottom Ranked Games Avg 33 23
After a Win Games Avg 26 27
After a Lost Games Avg 23.25 24.25
After a SU Road Win Games Avg N/A N/A
After a SU Road Lost Games Avg 21.33 20.33
After a SU Home Win Games Avg 26 27
After a SU Home Lost Games Avg 29 36
After an Over Games Avg 27.5 31.5
After an Under Games Avg 21.33 20.33
After a Push Games Avg N/A N/A
24.78 26.19

 

MARKET ASSESSMENT

At the end of the day, given how strong Calgary is this seasons, it’s tough to understand the Calgary line at -3. CGY at -7 would make sense. CGY at -3 makes me think that the sharps are banking on Hamilton.

 

 

 

 

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