The Raymond Track Report – Saturday, December 13, 2025
Welcome to Stakes Saturday at Gulfstream! With a strong card featuring two high-stakes turf marathons (Races 8 and 11), today is all about finding value on the biggest stages. Our proprietary analysis is highly focused on the sensational strike rates of M. J. Husbands (48% Win Rate) and M. A. Vasquez (45% Win Rate), who are piloting several massive longshots ready to explode the Exacta payouts.
Let’s dive into the three biggest scores we’ve uncovered on the card!
Featured Analysis: Today’s High-Value Scores
Race 5: Claiming
The Angle: Extreme Value Play on the All-Weather We start the day with a high-reward, low-risk play on the All-Weather Track. Our top pick is (1) Wineman Trax (15-1), who is severely undervalued at this M/L price, especially with M. A. Vasquez (45%) taking the ride. This jockey/horse combination is too powerful to ignore at 15-1. The favorite is nowhere to be found in our top picks, suggesting a huge payout potential.
- Betting Strategy: Box the 1/2 Exacta heavily. The 8-1 shot (2) Tapizar’s Temper with E. J. Zayas (38%) is the logical Exacta partner and locks in the massive payout if the 1 gets the win.
| Pick Order | # | Horse Name | M/L Odds | Jockey (% Win) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | (1) | Wineman Trax | 15-1 | M A Vasquez (45%) |
| PLACE | (2) | Tapizar’s Temper | 8-1 | E J Zayas (38%) |
| SHOW | (5) | Will of a Warrior | 6-1 | T Gaffalione (34%) |
Race 8: STAKES
The Angle: The Stakes Bomb – Following Husbands at 20-1 This is a Grade A opportunity for a massive stakes upset. Our top pick is the 20-1 longshot (13) Brown Sugar, piloted by M. J. Husbands (48%). In a crowded turf route, we trust the top rider to navigate traffic and find the finish line first. Husbands on a 20-1 shot in a stakes race is a rare opportunity for a huge score.
- Betting Strategy: We play the 13/8 Exacta box targeting a six-figure payout. Vasquez on (8) Souper Zonda (12-1) provides our powerful secondary choice. Both are double-digit plays! Use the shorter-priced (4) Destino d’Oro with Zayas for the Show spot.
| Pick Order | # | Horse Name | M/L Odds | Jockey (% Win) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | (13) | Brown Sugar | 20-1 | M J Husbands (48%) |
| PLACE | (8) | Souper Zonda | 12-1 | M A Vasquez (45%) |
| SHOW | (4) | Destino d’Oro | 3-1 | E J Zayas (38%) |
Race 11: STAKES
The Angle: Closing Day with Class and Value We finish the card with another major turf stakes, focusing on the strong 8-1 price of (4) Church and State, ridden by M. J. Husbands (48%). This horse is coming in fresh and is getting the best rider on the grounds. The Exacta partner is the colossal 20-1 shot, (1) Thundering, offering the potential for yet another huge exotic payout to close the day.
- Betting Strategy: We play the 4/1 Exacta box with confidence. Ensure the favorite, (7) Chapman’s Peak (5-2), is covered in your Trifectas for insurance.
| Pick Order | # | Horse Name | M/L Odds | Jockey (% Win) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | (4) | Church and State | 8-1 | M J Husbands (48%) |
| PLACE | (1) | Thundering | 20-1 | J Torres (41%) |
| SHOW | (10) | Candytown | 8-1 | E J Zayas (38%) |
The Fast Track: Quick-Pick Playbook
| Race | Race Type & Distance | Raymond Report WIN Pick (M/L) | Key Exotic Wager |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Maiden Opt. Claiming (5F Turf) | (9) Melody Man (6-1) | Box 9/5 Exacta. Gaffalione (34%) leads a competitive turf sprint. |
| R2 | Maiden Claiming (1M 70Y AWT) | (1) Goldinthesky (6-1) | Box 1/7 Exacta. Husbands (48%) provides the edge over Vasquez (45%). |
| R3 | Claiming (5F AWT) | (6) Vuela Paloma (2-1) | Box 6/1 Exacta. Zayas (38%) is tough to beat at this short sprint distance. |
| R4 | Maiden Special (7F Dirt) | (4) Municipal (4-1) | Box 4/3 Exacta. Husbands (48%) over Zayas (38%) in a tight battle. |
| R6 | Starter Opt. Claiming (1M Turf) | (4) Nate the Great (8-1) | Box 4/2 Exacta. Zayas (38%) offers great value at 8-1. |
| R7 | Starter Opt. Claiming (7F Dirt) | (5) Back Em Up (5-2) | Box 5/6 Exacta. Vasquez (45%) is the confident anchor here. |
| R9 | Maiden Special (1M Dirt) | (1) Little Georgie (3-1) | Box 1/5 Exacta. Zayas (38%) has the slight edge over Gaffalione (34%). |
| R10 | Claiming (1M 1/16 AWT) | (7) More Than Glory (9-5) | Box 7/2 Exacta. Zayas (38%) is the chalk pick and primary anchor. |
Your Winning Ticket: Exotic Wager of the Day
STAKES PICK 3 (R8-R10)
Focus your firepower on the late three races to maximize returns on today’s highest-value spots.
- Leg 1 (R8 – STAKES): 13, 8 (The two major longshots)
- Leg 2 (R9): 1, 5 (The top two favorites)
- Leg 3 (R10): 7, 2 (The two highest-percentage riders)
Total Bet: (2 x 2 x 2) = 8 combinations
Good luck and enjoy Stakes Saturday!
