🏀 NBA TIPSHEET – FRIDAY, NOVEMBER 28, 2025

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📈 SBI MARKET CONDITIONS – NBA

Before diving into tonight’s matchups, let’s read the market tape like a disciplined trader instead of a lottery ticket chaser.

📊 Market Read

• Favorites are dominating in both SU and ATS markets across all time frames.
• Unders smacked the market yesterday (only 11% OVER win rate), showing a classic overreaction dip.
• The board is overbought, meaning blindly chasing favorites tonight could be a trap if you don’t pick your entry points carefully.
• When the market runs hot, books adjust. That’s where smart bettors hunt value.

Want to bet like a pro? Stop gambling with emotions and start trading with data.
This is exactly what our ATS STATS memberships deliver daily.

🏀 NBA MATCHUP SNAPSHOTS – Friday, Nov 28, 2025

No predictions, no picks — just the hard facts you need to decide whether the market or the number is lying.

Milwaukee Bucks vs New York Knicks (-7.5) – Total: 233.5

📍 Madison Square Garden – 7:30 PM

• C.O.W: MIL 24% vs NYK 74%
• Streaks: Bucks 6 SU & ATS losses in a row; Knicks 2 SU wins
• Market Cycle: MIL (C) BEARISH vs NYK (A) NEUTRAL
• Projected Score: NYK 120.5 – MIL 111.9
  💡 Knicks continue to play the role of strong home favorite; Bucks in steep decline mode.

Orlando Magic vs Detroit Pistons (-3.5) – Total: 232

📍 Little Caesars Arena – 7:30 PM

• C.O.W: ORL 43% vs DET 48%
• Streaks: Magic 6 straight Overs
• V.I: ORL +5.5 (value side)
  💡 Both teams in BULLISH cycles; Detroit elite SU (9–1 L10).

Philadelphia 76ers (-7) vs Brooklyn Nets – Total: 223

📍 Barclays Center – 7:30 PM

• C.O.W: PHI 72% vs BKN 29%
• Streaks: Nets 3 SU wins all season, ugly 2–6–2 ATS run
  💡 One of the biggest team-strength gaps on the board.

Chicago Bulls (-2.5) vs Charlotte Hornets – Total: 247

📍 Spectrum Center – 7:30 PM

• Streaks: CHA 7 SU losses, 5 ATS losses
  💡 Two struggling teams in a game with a monster total.

Cleveland Cavaliers (-5) vs Atlanta Hawks – Total: 236.5

📍 State Farm Arena – 7:30 PM

• C.O.G.O: 68% (Over tendency indicator)
• VI Both Neutral
  💡 Two fast-paced teams; Hawks SOS extremely weak recently (38.7%).

Washington vs Indiana (-6.5) – Total: 240

📍 Gainbridge Fieldhouse – 7:30 PM

• Both teams 1–9 L10 SU
  💡 One of tonight’s ugliest statistical battles.

San Antonio vs Denver (-8) – Total: 237.5

📍 Ball Arena – 9:30 PM

• Nuggets 9–1 ATS last 10
• Both teams NEUTRAL cycles
  💡 Denver continues printing tickets.

Phoenix vs Oklahoma City (-15) – Total: 226

📍 Paycom Center – 9:30 PM

• Thunder 10-0 SU & 8-2 ATS last 10
  💡 OKC currently strongest form in NBA.

Sacramento vs Utah (-1.5) – Total: 240

📍 Delta Center – 9:30 PM

• Both teams Bearish cycles
  💡 Bad vs bad matchup – number tells the story.

Memphis vs LA Clippers (-5.5) – Total: 223

📍 Intuit Dome – 10:00 PM

• VI: Big discrepancy: MEM +4 vs LAC -8.5
  💡 Clippers still failing as favorite.

Dallas vs LA Lakers (-10.5) – Total: 231

📍 Crypto.com Arena – 10:00 PM

• Lakers 5 SU wins in a row
• Dallas 5-14 SU this season
  💡 Public could hammer LA tonight — risky spot if chasing steam.

🧠 Final Betting Tips from The Raymond Report

📍 Don’t fight the tape: NBA Favs are still bullish.
📍 Don’t overreact to yesterday’s Unders collapse — that’s how Vegas eats.
📍 Find value in Bearish → Neutral cycle shifts — biggest ROI spot historically.

If you’re tired of guessing, get on board:
👉 ATS STATS Membership gives you the tools the books pray you never learn to use.

Stop betting teams. Start betting markets.
Be the book, not the bettor.

Cheers & good luck tonight,
Ron Raymond – ATSStats.com
Since 1996 – When stats talk, we listen.