Today’s Asset: Denver Nuggets ($DEN)
Next Game: Vs. Indiana Pacers (-7 / 236) – December 3, 2025
The Denver Nuggets are a high-scoring, high-volatility Premium Asset struggling with recent injuries and losses despite their dominant overall record. They face a highly compromised opponent today, making this a pivotal test of their reliability as a heavy road favorite.
| Metric | Detail | Asset Interpretation |
| Record | 14-6-0 | Elite Status. An exceptional record, though they just suffered a home loss (121-131 to DAL). |
| Current Streaks | 6 ATS W | High Financial Value. They are consistently beating market expectations against the spread. |
| Market Grade | A (Tier 1) | Blue-Chip Asset. The core value remains high, despite recent turbulence. |
| Confidence Index | 57% | Premium Grade Condition. Confidence is bordering Premium due to recent losses and a cluster of injuries. |
| Injury Factor (Key) | Jokic Probable (Wrist), Murray Questionable (Ankle), Gordon/Braun Out. This elevates risk, but they face an even more decimated Pacers team. |
The Nuggets’ betting profile is defined by dominance as a road favorite and a strong trend toward the Over, driven by high scoring and recent defensive slippage.
| Trend | Record / Detail | Asset Implication |
| O/U Record | 14-6-0 | Elite Over Trend. The vast majority of their games hit the Over (70% of games). This is the key analytical call. |
| Road Favorite (Key) | 8 Win – 1 Lost (PF 122.33 / PA 112.56) | Near-Perfect Reliability. They have an outstanding 88% SU win rate when favored on the road, with historical trends (10-0 SU coming off a home loss) reinforcing this. |
| Road Defense | PA 112.56 (Road Fav) | The defense holds up on the road, despite allowing 131 points in their recent home loss. |
| ATS Trend | 11-2-0 ATS when 5 Over or Less | Underrated ATS. They are highly profitable when the total streak isn’t overwhelming, a massive value signal. |
Confidence Index: 57% (Just qualifies for the Premium grade, thanks to high SU reliability and the ATS win streak).
Key Trend: The overwhelmingly reliable Road Favorite trend (8-1 SU) and the Elite Over Trend (14-6-0) provide two powerful avenues for value.
The Grade: Premium Asset Card (🔵).
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