🏇 Aqueduct Horse Racing Tipsheet

Wednesday, February 4, 2026

Raymond Track Report | Winter Dirt Edition

📍 Track: Aqueduct Racetrack
📊 Surface Focus: Dirt (speed + stamina matter more than hype)
🧠 Angle of the Day: Inside speed + high-percentage jockeys dominate winter cards

🔍 Track Overview

Aqueduct in February is not for tourists. Cold weather tightens the surface, favors forward positioning, and punishes horses that need perfect trips. This card sets up nicely for value exactas and controlled trifecta boxes rather than wild spreads.

🏁 Race-by-Race Betting Breakdown

Race 1 – Maiden Claiming | 7F Dirt

• Top Win: #5 Antietam – Reliable pilot, fits the pace setup
• Live Threat: #3 Free Spin – Tactical speed keeps him in the fight
• Value Use: #7 Frostelle – Sneaky underneath play
  💡 Play: Exacta 5/3, 3/7

Race 2 – Starter Optional Claiming | 6F Dirt

• Longshot Win Look: #4 Karey – Big price, rider upgrade
• Logical: #1 St. Brigid’s Cross
• Must Use: #7 Ohoopee
  💡 Play: Trifecta 4/1/7 box (this is a price race)

Race 3 – Allowance | 1⅛ Dirt

• Win Candidate: #4 Berning Beauty – Stamina + class edge
• Underneath Value: #1 Corvus, #5 Sanzio
  💡 Play: Exacta 4/1, 4/5

Race 4 – Allowance Optional | 7F Dirt

• Top Pick: #4 Toxic Gray – Loves this trip
• Chaser: #5 Ignite the Light
• Spice: #6 Emirates Road
  💡 Play: Exacta 4/5, Trifecta 4/5/6

Race 5 – Maiden Special Weight | 1 Mile

• Key Horse: #2 Baffle – Improving pattern
• Strong Second: #6 Cara Fiore
• Short Price Alert: #4 Saratoga Party
  💡 Play: Exacta 2/6, saver 2/4

Race 6 – Claiming | 6F Dirt

• Chaos Race 🚨
• Bomb Win: #5 Mister J T (yes, 30-1 for a reason)
• Other Prices: #9 Scaramanga, #3 Prince of Truth
  💡 Play: Trifecta 5/9/3 box — don’t overthink it

Race 7 – Allowance Optional | 1⅛ Dirt

• Win Lean: #3 Yo Daddy – Distance fits perfectly
• Main Rival: #5 Classicist
• Logical Use: #6 Kinetic
  💡 Play: Exacta 3/5, 3/6

Race 8 – Maiden Special Weight | 6½F Dirt

• Price Shot: #12 Twenty One Red – Value alert 🚨
• Obvious: #14 B Thedonald
• Underneath: #2 Ice House
  💡 Play: Trifecta 12/14/2 box

🧠 Raymond Track Report Takeaways

• ❄️ Winter dirt = speed + positioning
• 💰 Best value today sits in Races 2, 6, and 8
• 🧱 Avoid spreading too wide — let structure beat chaos

🐂 Final Word

This isn’t a “spray-and-pray” card.
It’s a discipline card.

Bet smart. Box tight.
And if you want the full data layer behind these reads…

👉 ATSStats.com
Where data beats guesswork — even in the cold.