The day after Christmas is where casual money sleeps in and sharp money eats breakfast early. Gulfstream delivers a deep card with turf routes, dirt speed tests, and just enough chaos to punish lazy tickets.
Today’s edge comes from jockey intent, surface bias, and price discipline—the three pillars of the Raymond Track Report. Let’s get to work.
Top Play: (3) Herbstreit – WIN (6-1)
Irad Ortiz on turf routes is never an accident. This one projects a perfect stalking trip in a race lacking true closers.
💡 Market note: This is a classic “bet talent over hype” opener.
Top Play: (4) Mithril – WIN (5-2)
Short sprint, inside speed, elite rider. All-Weather favors horses that secure position early.
💡 Raymond angle: Don’t fade Ortiz in short fields unless you enjoy donations.
Top Play: (4) Tropical Waters – WIN (15-1) 🚨
Live longshot with the right dirt profile and sneaky trainer stats. Chaos race—embrace it.
💡 Investor mindset: You don’t need to win every race—just the right ones.
Top Play: (5) Rebellution – WIN (7-2)
Stretch-out plus a rider who understands pace on this surface. Tactical edge matters here.
💡 Trip > class in this spot.
Top Play: (3) Sheshimaintenance – WIN (7-5)
Fast, sharp, and drawn to control the race. Chalk—but the right chalk.
💡 No need to get cute when the edge is clean.
Top Play: (4) The Town – WIN (8-5)
Distance upgrade + Irad = green light. This one improves with every added furlong.
💡 Foundation race—build the bankroll, don’t blow it.
Top Play: (2) Judge Davis – WIN (7-2)
Strong turf figures, perfect draw, and rider intent. Expect a patient ride and late push.
💡 Best turf setup of the day.
Top Play: (1) Mish – WIN (6-1)
Rail speed on dirt is never boring—and often profitable. Live price with legit pace edge.
💡 This is how you beat public favorites.
Top Play: (6) Claret Beret – WIN (9-2)
Steps into the right class window with a rider who knows when to push the button.
💡 Stakes races reward composure—this one has it.
Top Play: (8) Ditched – WIN (9-2)
Closing the card with a turf grinder who fits the distance perfectly. Late kick should decide it.
💡 Professional finish to a professional day.
This card isn’t about betting everything—it’s about betting correctly.
Turf routes favor patience. Dirt sprints reward position. All-Weather punishes indecision.
If you’re firing blind, good luck.
If you’re following structure, welcome to the long game.
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