NBA • NHL • NFL Sports Betting Market Conditions
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Alright folks — grab your coffee, tighten up the chin strap, and let’s get into the Sports Betting Index (SBI) numbers heading into the final weekend of November. The markets are moving, favorites are feasting, and if you’re blindly fading dogs right now instead of using the SBI like a pro, you’re basically donating to the sportsbooks like it’s a holiday charity drive.
Let’s break down where the value is based on the current market rhythms.
NBA MARKET CONDITIONS – FAVORITES DOMINATING
The NBA market continues to run hot and heavy on favorites. If you’ve been siding with chalk, you’re probably smiling like a kid who found an extra slice of pumpkin pie behind the stuffing tray.
NBA SBI Snapshot
| Category | Current Status |
|---|---|
| SU Favorites | 73% – BULLISH |
| ATS Favorites | 62.8% – BULLISH |
| Over/Under | 53% to the Over – NEUTRAL |
Recent Trends
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1-Day & 3-Day: Favorites cashing 78% SU and 78% ATS over last night’s card, and 71.7% SU over 3 days.
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Underdogs have been nothing short of roadkill — 22% SU yesterday and 22% ATS.
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Totals were a graveyard Wednesday: 11% to the OVER (8 UNDERS).
📌 Market Read: The market is extremely chalk-heavy. Books will eventually need dog money. When everything is THIS bullish, pro bettors start preparing for regression — not chasing steam like the public does.
NHL MARKET CONDITIONS – DOGS BARKING & PUCK LINES HITTING
While the NBA is a chalk-eating contest, the NHL looks like a stray dog convention behind the local arena. Favorites bettors are getting tossed around like a beer cup wave.
NHL SBI Snapshot
| Category | Status |
|---|---|
| SU Favorites | 55.3% – Neutral |
| ATS Favorites (Puck Line) | 30.7% – BEARISH |
| Over/Under | 50.9% – NEUTRAL |
Recent Trends
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Last 3 days: Dogs 55.7% SU, Dogs 76.7% ATS
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Yesterday: favorites only 47% SU, and an embarrassing 27% ATS
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Totals: trending slightly Over – 57% OVER yesterday
📌 Market Read: This is a dog-friendly market. Favorites are overpriced, especially puck lines. NHL bettors should focus on:
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Short-priced dogs
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+1.5 puck line value
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Fading public favorites during losing cycles
NFL MARKET CONDITIONS – WEEK 13 HEAT CHECK
Thanksgiving shredded favorites like a carving knife. Week 13 opened with an absolute bloodbath for chalk bettors.
NFL SBI Snapshot
| Category | Status |
|---|---|
| SU Favorites | 61.5% YTD – BULLISH |
| ATS Favorites | 50.9% – Neutral |
| Over/Under | 52.5% – Neutral |
Latest Market Action (Week 13)
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0% Favorites SU
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0% Favorites ATS
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67% to the OVER
📌 Market Read: One night doesn’t define a week, but history shows after public-favorite slaughter events, the market usually rebounds. Books cleaned up Thursday, and now the public will chase dogs like they just tasted candy. That typically sets up value spots on A/B type home favorites.
What This Means for Bettors
| League | Best Market Conditions | Worst Market Conditions |
|---|---|---|
| NBA | Riding favorites | Fading favorites or chasing dogs |
| NHL | Backing dogs & puck lines | Chalk & high juice favorites |
| NFL | Short-term bounce-back on favorites likely | Riding dogs AFTER a sweep night |
Final Word
Sportsbooks LOVE players who bet based on headlines and hype. Pro bettors use market timing, and the SBI tells us exactly where the money is flowing and when the public is exposed.
Today’s message is simple:
Buy low, sell high. Track the markets, don’t chase them.
Winning bettors invest — losing bettors react.
Want the full Raymond Report selections, computer forecasts, 80% Club trends, MVI charts, and Top 25 value plays?
👉 Join the membership at ATSstats.com and level up like a pro.
If you’re still betting without the SBI, that’s like walking into a gunfight holding a spoon.
Cheers,
Ron Raymond
ATSstats.com – Where Winners Come to Play
