🏈 NFL WEEK 17 – REMAINING GAMES

MARKET VALUE INDEX (MVI) REPORT

Sunday Games + Monday Night Football
Framework: ATS STATS | Raymond REPORT Card
Objective: Read the market, not the scoreboard

By Week 17, the betting market isn’t reacting to football anymore — it’s reacting to narratives, desperation, and playoff math. That’s where MVI does its best work.

🔥 STRONG MARKET OPINIONS (NOT PICKS)

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Indianapolis Colts

• JAX: A-Grade | BULLISH (28)
• IND: B-Grade | BEARISH (21)

Jacksonville is one of the cleanest A-type profiles on the board. Strong COW%, reliable vs weaker competition, and still undervalued relative to public perception.

Indianapolis is the opposite: 9–1 vs C teams, but completely unreliable against real competition (0–9 vs A). This is a classic inflated underdog résumé.

Market Truth: This line is about Jacksonville’s consistency — not Indianapolis’ upside.

New England Patriots vs New York Jets

• NE: A-Grade | NEUTRAL (14)
• NYJ: C-Grade | BEARISH (7)

This is a spread optics game. New England checks every efficiency box, but the market has already priced in the mismatch.

Jets remain one of the worst vs-A profiles in football (0–9).

Market Truth: Blowout risk exists — but so does overconfidence.

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cleveland Browns

• PIT: A-Grade | BULLISH (7)
• CLE: C-Grade | BEARISH (14)

Pittsburgh isn’t explosive — they’re predictable, and that’s gold in December.
Cleveland? One of the weakest structural profiles on the slate (1–9 vs B teams, 1–8 vs A).

Market Truth: This is discipline vs dysfunction.

Seattle Seahawks vs Carolina Panthers

• SEA: A-Grade | BULLISH (21)
• CAR: B-Grade | NEUTRAL (63)

Seattle is quietly one of the best Week-17 market teams:

• 10–0 vs C teams
• 7–2 vs B teams

Carolina’s numbers look better than their game film, and the market is starting to over-credit them.

Market Truth: Seattle’s edge is consistency, not hype.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Miami Dolphins

• TB: C-Grade | BEARISH (7)
• MIA: C-Grade | NEUTRAL (13)

This is a brand-name trap. Tampa’s BEARISH tag reflects volatility, not talent. Miami continues to struggle against structured defenses.

Market Truth: This game screams variance — not confidence.

New Orleans Saints vs Tennessee Titans

• NO: C-Grade | BULLISH (7)
• TEN: C-Grade | NEUTRAL (21)

New Orleans is quietly improving in situational spots. Tennessee is 0–10 vs A teams and still priced like a threat.

Market Truth: One team is stabilizing, the other is drifting.

New York Giants vs Las Vegas Raiders

• NYG: C-Grade | BEARISH (56)
• LV: C-Grade | BEARISH (52)

This is a dead-zone game. Both teams rank near the bottom in market confidence, execution, and opponent resistance.

Market Truth: If you must bet this, you’re not betting — you’re guessing.

🧠 ELITE MATCHUPS (A vs A)

Philadelphia Eagles vs Buffalo Bills

Two legitimate A-grade teams.
Buffalo carries a BULLISH (14) tag, Philly remains structurally sound.

Market Truth: This is pricing efficiency at work — not value hunting.

Chicago Bears vs San Francisco 49ers

San Francisco’s BULLISH (28) rating reflects market trust.
Chicago’s growth is real — but still situational.

Market Truth: Respect both teams, but understand who sets the market tone.

MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL

Los Angeles Rams vs Atlanta Falcons

• LAR: A-Grade | NEUTRAL (28)
• ATL: C-Grade | NEUTRAL (35)

The Rams are reliable but fully priced. Atlanta remains one of the most misleading C-grade teams — competitive but inefficient.

Market Truth: This line exists because bettors trust the Rams, not because Atlanta earned respect.

🏁 FINAL WEEK 17 MARKET TAKE

• A-Grade teams are still outperforming
• C-Grade teams are leaking value
• Totals are inflated
• Brand names are overpriced
• Discipline beats desperation

No picks needed.
The Raymond REPORT Card already told the story.

📊 Full MVI breakdowns, daily NFL market reports, and investor-level tools are live at ATSStats.com — where we don’t chase wins, we manage risk.

Week 17 isn’t about being right.
It’s about not being fooled.