The Montreal Canadiens are an unpredictable, high-scoring asset, currently struggling with consistency and defense due to a number of key injuries. Their betting profile is dominated by a strong trend toward the Over.
1. Overall Team Status & Volatility
| Metric | Detail | Analysis |
| Record | 13-11-0 | Average. Hovering near the playoff cutline in a tight Atlantic Division. |
| Market Grade | B (Tier 2 Asset) | Suggests a competitive team, but one facing volatility. |
| Confidence Index | 42% | Low Confidence. The market has little faith in their stability, largely due to major injuries. |
| DMVI | -162.67 | Extreme Volatility. This extremely low number confirms the high risk associated with betting on them right now. |
| Key Injuries | Kirby Dach, Patrik Laine, Alex Newhook, and Kaiden Guhle are all on IR. This decimates their forward depth and defensive structure, explaining the low confidence and high goals-against numbers. |
2. Situational Stats: The “Over” Dominance
The Canadiens’ most defining characteristic is the high-scoring nature of their games.
| Trend | Record / Detail | Implication |
| O/U Record | 16-7-1 | Elite Over Trend. The vast majority of their games hit the Over (67% of games). This is the safest bet associated with the team. |
| Home Favorite | 4 Win – 5 Lost (GF 3.33 / GA 4.11) | Dangerous at Home. They lose more than they win when favored at home and have a negative goal differential, suggesting they are overvalued by oddsmakers in this situation. |
| Road Favorite | 4 Win – 0 Lost (GF 3.25 / GA 2.25) | High Value. They are perfect when favored on the road, with a great goal differential. This is a high-value situational play. |
| Recent Goals Against | Last 10 Games: GA 4.2 | The defense is struggling severely, directly supporting the Over trend. |
3. Today’s Game Outlook: Vs. Ottawa Senators
The Current Game is against the Ottawa Senators (-116 / Total 7). The game is scheduled for today, December 2, 2025.
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Rivalry Factor: This is an Atlantic Division matchup, and the two teams played recently (Nov 1), with Montreal winning 4-3 in OT (hitting the Over 6.5).
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The Line: Montreal is a slight favorite (moneyline -116) with a high total of 7 goals. This is a small favorite position, and their trend as a Home Favorite is poor (4-5 L).
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Contradictory Trends: The Top Trend notes that the Canadiens are 19-6 SU when played as Home Favorite Playing on Tuesday (Today is Tuesday, Dec 2). This is a historically reliable trend that conflicts with their poor situational record (4-5 L at home favorite this season).
The betting call here is dominated by the Over (16-7-1 trend) and the historical Tuesday Home Favorite win trend (19-6 SU).
🌟 Daily ATS Collectible Card: Montreal Canadiens
This is the Daily ATS Collectible Card for the Montreal Canadiens, dated for their rivalry game against the Ottawa Senators.
| Card Feature | Data Point | Analysis / Rarity |
| Team / Series | Montreal Canadiens / The Spreadsheet | Daily Edition (12/02/2025) |
| Record Status | 13-11-0 | Average Performance |
| Market Grade | B (Tier 2 Asset) | High Upside, High Volatility |
| Confidence Index | 42% | Low-Grade Condition (Risk Warning) |
| Key Trend (The Highlight) | Elite O/U Trend: 16-7-1 | Rare High-Scoring Asset (Games consistently hit the Over) |
| Situational Stat | Home Favorite: 4-5 L (GA 4.11) | The Home Favorite Trap |
| Historical Edge | 19-6 SU Win on Tuesdays | Ultra-Rare Tuesday Variant |
| Next Game | Vs. Winnipeg (Home) | Immediate Buy/Sell Follow-up |
| Collectible Value | VICTORY VARIANT if MTL wins vs. OTT today | Highest Value Edition |
