The Raymond Track Report – Friday, December 12, 2025
Welcome back to the Big A for Friday’s card! Today, the analysis is simple: we are following the hot hands. With F. Prat boasting a 50% Win Rate and M. Franco holding strong at 39%, our exotic wagers are built around maximizing their success while pinpointing key longshots where M/L odds offer generous value.
Let’s break down the three most compelling races on the card.
Featured Analysis: Today’s High-Confidence Picks
Race 1: Maiden Claiming
The Angle: Prat and Franco Chalk Exacta We kick off the day with a high-percentage Exacta you can confidently anchor your early P3/P4 wagers with. Our pick is (2) Hellz Kitchen (2-1), with F. Prat (50%) in the irons. The main competition is (3) Thirsted (3-1), with M. Franco (39%). These two riders have a combined win rate of nearly 90%, making this an essential box.
- Betting Strategy: Box the 2/3 Exacta heavily. Use (1) Kid Rich (9-5) for the Show spot to protect the Trifecta.
| Pick Order | # | Horse Name | M/L Odds | Jockey (% Win) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | (2) | Hellz Kitchen | 2-1 | F Prat (50%) |
| PLACE | (3) | Thirsted | 3-1 | M Franco (39%) |
| SHOW | (1) | Kid Rich | 9-5 | K Carmouche (33%) |
Race 6: Claiming
The Angle: The 15-1 Longshot Upset This is where we find our biggest price potential of the day. Our top pick is (4) Moonlit Weekend (15-1), ridden by R. Silvera (39%). In a competitive Claiming field, this horse offers outstanding value. The favorite, (8) She’s Complicated (9-5), will be a major factor but is best used in the Show slot.
- Betting Strategy: Anchor your Exacta with the 15-1 shot, boxing the 4/3 Exacta. The 9-2 shot (3) Queen in the Deck is the logical Place partner, making this a rewarding ticket if the 4 can fire.
| Pick Order | # | Horse Name | M/L Odds | Jockey (% Win) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | (4) | Moonlit Weekend | 15-1 | R Silvera (39%) |
| PLACE | (3) | Queen in the Deck | 9-2 | J A Vargas, Jr. (33%) |
| SHOW | (8) | She’s Complicated | 9-5 | K Carmouche (33%) |
Race 8: Maiden Special Weight
The Angle: Closing the Card with a HUGE Price We are hunting for a gigantic score in the nightcap with a 30-1 longshot! Our Win pick is (9) Baby Meanie (30-1) with R. Silvera (39%). In Maiden Special Weight races, our proprietary analysis often identifies overlooked horses ready to pop. The anchor for the opposition is the short-priced (5) Party in the Army (1-1) with Franco (39%).
- Betting Strategy: We must play the 9/5 Exacta box hoping for the bomb. Even if the 9 runs second to the favorite, the Exacta payout will be strong. Use (6) Music in Motion (3-1) to secure the Trifecta.
| Pick Order | # | Horse Name | M/L Odds | Jockey (% Win) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | (9) | Baby Meanie | 30-1 | R Silvera (39%) |
| PLACE | (5) | Party in the Army | 1-1 | M Franco (39%) |
| SHOW | (6) | Music in Motion | 3-1 | K Carmouche (33%) |
The Fast Track: Quick-Pick Playbook
| Race | Race Type & Distance | Raymond Report WIN Pick (M/L) | Key Exotic Wager |
|---|---|---|---|
| R2 | Maiden Special (6F Dirt) | (3) Sammy C Note (5-1) | Box 3/1 Exacta. Silvera (39%) over Franco (39%) in a tight duel. |
| R3 | Allowance (7F Dirt) | (5) Pinky Brier (2-1) | Box 5/6 Exacta. Prat (50%) is the anchor here. |
| R4 | Maiden Special (1M Dirt) | (6) Tatania (3-1) | Box 6/1 Exacta. Another Prat anchor over Franco. |
| R5 | Maiden Claiming (6.5F Dirt) | (3) Gualillo (7-2) | Box 3/6 Exacta. Prat (50%) in the maiden claiming ranks is a powerful single. |
| R7 | Claiming (1M Dirt) | (7) Metatron (5-1) | Box 7/2 Exacta. Prat (50%) on a 5-1 shot in a Claiming race is excellent value. |
Your Winning Ticket: Exotic Wager of the Day
LATE PICK 4 (R5-R8)
We are using Prat as a key single today, allowing us to spread for massive value in the final two legs.
- Leg 1 (R5): 3 (Single: Gualillo with Prat)
- Leg 2 (R6): 4, 3, 8 (Longshot and top percentage riders)
- Leg 3 (R7): 7, 2, 8 (Prat and the two high-percentage Exacta partners)
- Leg 4 (R8): 9, 5, 6 (The 30-1 bomb and the two favorites)
Total Bet: (1 x 3 x 3 x 3) = 27 combinations
Good luck, and let’s find some winners!
