💥 Friday Power Plays: Prat and Franco Lead the Charge at Aqueduct

The Raymond Track Report – Friday, December 12, 2025

Welcome back to the Big A for Friday’s card! Today, the analysis is simple: we are following the hot hands. With F. Prat boasting a 50% Win Rate and M. Franco holding strong at 39%, our exotic wagers are built around maximizing their success while pinpointing key longshots where M/L odds offer generous value.

Let’s break down the three most compelling races on the card.

Featured Analysis: Today’s High-Confidence Picks

Race 1: Maiden Claiming

The Angle: Prat and Franco Chalk Exacta We kick off the day with a high-percentage Exacta you can confidently anchor your early P3/P4 wagers with. Our pick is (2) Hellz Kitchen (2-1), with F. Prat (50%) in the irons. The main competition is (3) Thirsted (3-1), with M. Franco (39%). These two riders have a combined win rate of nearly 90%, making this an essential box.

Betting Strategy: Box the 2/3 Exacta heavily. Use (1) Kid Rich (9-5) for the Show spot to protect the Trifecta.

Pick Order	#	Horse Name	M/L Odds	Jockey (% Win)
WIN	(2)	Hellz Kitchen	2-1	F Prat (50%)
PLACE	(3)	Thirsted	3-1	M Franco (39%)
SHOW	(1)	Kid Rich	9-5	K Carmouche (33%)

Race 6: Claiming

The Angle: The 15-1 Longshot Upset This is where we find our biggest price potential of the day. Our top pick is (4) Moonlit Weekend (15-1), ridden by R. Silvera (39%). In a competitive Claiming field, this horse offers outstanding value. The favorite, (8) She’s Complicated (9-5), will be a major factor but is best used in the Show slot.

Betting Strategy: Anchor your Exacta with the 15-1 shot, boxing the 4/3 Exacta. The 9-2 shot (3) Queen in the Deck is the logical Place partner, making this a rewarding ticket if the 4 can fire.

Pick Order	#	Horse Name	M/L Odds	Jockey (% Win)
WIN	(4)	Moonlit Weekend	15-1	R Silvera (39%)
PLACE	(3)	Queen in the Deck	9-2	J A Vargas, Jr. (33%)
SHOW	(8)	She’s Complicated	9-5	K Carmouche (33%)

Race 8: Maiden Special Weight

The Angle: Closing the Card with a HUGE Price We are hunting for a gigantic score in the nightcap with a 30-1 longshot! Our Win pick is (9) Baby Meanie (30-1) with R. Silvera (39%). In Maiden Special Weight races, our proprietary analysis often identifies overlooked horses ready to pop. The anchor for the opposition is the short-priced (5) Party in the Army (1-1) with Franco (39%).

Betting Strategy: We must play the 9/5 Exacta box hoping for the bomb. Even if the 9 runs second to the favorite, the Exacta payout will be strong. Use (6) Music in Motion (3-1) to secure the Trifecta.

Pick Order	#	Horse Name	M/L Odds	Jockey (% Win)
WIN	(9)	Baby Meanie	30-1	R Silvera (39%)
PLACE	(5)	Party in the Army	1-1	M Franco (39%)
SHOW	(6)	Music in Motion	3-1	K Carmouche (33%)

The Fast Track: Quick-Pick Playbook

Race	Race Type & Distance	Raymond Report WIN Pick (M/L)	Key Exotic Wager
R2	Maiden Special (6F Dirt)	(3) Sammy C Note (5-1)	Box 3/1 Exacta. Silvera (39%) over Franco (39%) in a tight duel.
R3	Allowance (7F Dirt)	(5) Pinky Brier (2-1)	Box 5/6 Exacta. Prat (50%) is the anchor here.
R4	Maiden Special (1M Dirt)	(6) Tatania (3-1)	Box 6/1 Exacta. Another Prat anchor over Franco.
R5	Maiden Claiming (6.5F Dirt)	(3) Gualillo (7-2)	Box 3/6 Exacta. Prat (50%) in the maiden claiming ranks is a powerful single.
R7	Claiming (1M Dirt)	(7) Metatron (5-1)	Box 7/2 Exacta. Prat (50%) on a 5-1 shot in a Claiming race is excellent value.

Your Winning Ticket: Exotic Wager of the Day

LATE PICK 4 (R5-R8)

We are using Prat as a key single today, allowing us to spread for massive value in the final two legs.

Leg 1 (R5): 3 (Single: Gualillo with Prat)
Leg 2 (R6): 4, 3, 8 (Longshot and top percentage riders)
Leg 3 (R7): 7, 2, 8 (Prat and the two high-percentage Exacta partners)
Leg 4 (R8): 9, 5, 6 (The 30-1 bomb and the two favorites)

Total Bet: (1 x 3 x 3 x 3) = 27 combinations

Good luck, and let’s find some winners!

Ron Raymond

Ron Raymond is a veteran sports handicapper and founder of ATSstats.com, creator of the Raymond Report sports betting system. Active in the industry since 1996, Ron has nearly three decades of experience analyzing market cycles, performance indicators, and value metrics across the NFL, NHL, NBA, MLB, and CFL. Ron’s data-driven approach has helped thousands of bettors think strategically, manage risk, and win with confidence.

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