Welcome to Thursday at Gulfstream! If you are looking for a day to load up on longshot value and maximize your exotic payouts, today is the day. Our proprietary analysis, leveraging the top riders like S. Marin (48%), M. J. Husbands (48%), and A. Jimenez (47%), has pinpointed three key races where the Morning Line (M/L) is wildly underestimating our picks. We are looking to smash the Exactas and Trifectas today.
Let’s dive into the races where the biggest payouts are hiding.
The Angle: The Husbands Longshot on Turf What a way to start the day! In this turf route, the M/L has given us a gift. Our top pick is the massive longshot, (2) Lu’s Redemption (15-1), ridden by the scorching M. J. Husbands (48%). With a jockey of this caliber, the 15-1 odds are simply too generous. Our Exacta partner is (5) Highway Harmony (5-1) with E. J. Zayas (43%).
| Pick Order | # | Horse Name | M/L Odds | Jockey (% Win) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | (2) | Lu’s Redemption | 15-1 | M J Husbands (48%) |
| PLACE | (5) | Highway Harmony | 5-1 | E J Zayas (43%) |
| SHOW | (10) | Pemberley | 6-1 | I Ortiz, Jr. (41%) |
The Angle: The MEGA-UPSET Play of the Day This 5-furlong turf sprint presents our biggest opportunity for a longshot Exacta score. The favorite, (6) My Voodoo Doll (2-1) with Irad Ortiz, Jr., is strong, but we are playing against him for the Win spot. Our top pick is (1) Snowname (20-1)! This horse gets I. O. Rodriguez (44%) aboard and has a major class angle in our proprietary figures.
| Pick Order | # | Horse Name | M/L Odds | Jockey (% Win) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | (1) | Snowname | 20-1 | I O Rodriguez (44%) |
| PLACE | (3) | Beijing Boss | 6-1 | M A Vasquez (44%) |
| SHOW | (5) | Sticky McShnickens | 9-2 | E J Zayas (43%) |
The Angle: Double-Digit Duo on the All-Weather We are closing out the exotic sequences with two huge longshots on the All-Weather Track. Our Win pick is (2) Fulminate (15-1) with Vasquez (44%), and our Exacta partner is (4) Magnolia Wind (20-1). When two high-percentage riders get on double-digit horses in a competitive Claiming race, we pay attention.
| Pick Order | # | Horse Name | M/L Odds | Jockey (% Win) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | (2) | Fulminate | 15-1 | M A Vasquez (44%) |
| PLACE | (4) | Magnolia Wind | 20-1 | W Ho (42%) |
| SHOW | (5) | Happy Ride | 5-2 | I Ortiz, Jr. (41%) |
| Race | Race Type & Distance | Raymond Report WIN Pick (M/L) | Key Exotic Wager |
|---|---|---|---|
| R2 | Claiming (6F Dirt) | (7) Ellagio (10-1) | Box 7/1 Exacta. Vasquez (44%) provides the edge in this upset play. |
| R3 | Claiming (5.5F AWT) | (4) Coffee At K J’s (7-2) | Box 4/3 Exacta. Strong Vasquez/Zayas matchup. |
| R4 | Allowance (6.5F Dirt) | (1) Cooey (4-1) | Box 1/2 Exacta. Husbands (48%) gets the rail over Irad (41%). |
| R6 | Maiden Claiming (6.5F Dirt) | (4) Lady Rockula (12-1) | Box 4/7 Exacta. Zayas (43%) on the 7 is the primary threat to our longshot pick. |
| R7 | Claiming (6F Dirt) | (4) Brenna (5-1) | Box 4/1 Exacta. Husbands (48%) is too strong to ignore at this price. |
| R10 | Allowance (7F Dirt) | (6) Miami Frank (8-1) | Box 6/4 Exacta. Zayas (43%) over the favorite (4) Skellig Michael. |
| R11 | Maiden Special (1M Turf) | (1) Empress New Groove (5-2) | Box 1/10 Exacta. Husbands (46%) on the rail is a confident card-closer. |
LATE PICK 4 (R6-R9)
We are using multiple value horses to maximize the potential payout today.
Total Bet: (3 x 2 x 4 x 2) = 48 combinations
Good luck, and may your longshots run true!
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