Welcome to the Monday edition of the Raymond Report. We are analyzing the “Psychology of the Market” to determine where the value lies going into the week. The Sports Betting Index (SBI) measures the public’s success versus the bookmakers.
Bullish (A-Type): Favorites/Overs dominant (>57.2%). The public is winning.
Bearish (C-Type): Underdogs/Unders dominant (<42.7%). The house is cleaning up.
🏀 NBA Market Report
Current Status: The NBA is currently a BULL MARKET for Favorites.
🟢 The Hot Trends (Favorites)
The most striking data point in the NBA is the sheer dominance of the Favorites, both Straight Up (SU) and Against the Spread (ATS). The betting public who loves laying the points is cashing tickets at an alarming rate for the books.
1-Day Short Term: Yesterday was a bloodbath for the books, with Favorites covering 75% of the time.
3-Day Cycle: This isn’t a fluke. Over the last three days, ATS Favorites are hitting at 77.3%—a highly Bullish indicator.
7-Day Cycle: The trend holds steady over the week at 74.4% ATS for favorites.
SBI Rating:BULLISH for Favorites (SU & ATS).
⚪ Totals (Over/Under)
The Totals market is far more efficient right now.
Short Term (1D/3D): Hovering near a perfect 50/50 split.
7-Day: A slight lean towards the Under (54.1%), but still firmly within the Neutral zone.
👉 Actionable Intel: Ride the wave of NBA Favorites until the cycle breaks. The 77.3% coverage rate over 3 days suggests the oddsmakers haven’t adjusted the lines enough to stop the chalk.
🏒 NHL Market Report
Current Status: A Tale of Two Markets—SU Favorites vs. Puck Line Underdogs.
🔴 The Puck Line Anomaly
While Favorites had a good day yesterday Straight Up (75%), the Puck Line (ATS) tells a completely different story over the last week. The value here is squarely on the Underdogs.
7-Day ATS: Underdogs have covered the Puck Line a massive 74.3% of the time. This is a “Bearish” signal for Favorites, meaning the Dog is the dominant role.
3-Day ATS: The trend is consistent with Dogs covering 63.3%.
Yesterday (1D): The market neutralized (50/50), potentially signaling a shift, but the weekly trend heavily favors the +1.5 puck line.
⚪ Totals (Over/Under)
The NHL Totals are incredibly tight. From the 1-Day to the 7-Day window, the Over/Under split is essentially dead even (50%/50% to 51%/48%). There is no statistical edge in NHL totals right now.
👉 Actionable Intel: Don’t be fooled by yesterday’s SU Favorite dominance. The weekly bankroll builder has been taking the Underdog +1.5.
🏈 NFL Market Report
Current Status: Defensive Battles & Unders taking center stage.
📉 The “Under” Trend
The NFL has shifted towards a defensive style of play over the last three weeks.
Week 13: The Under cashed 60% of the time.
Week 12: A massive week for the Under at 71.4%.
Week 11: The trend started here with 60% Unders.
SBI Rating:BEARISH for Overs (Value is on the Under).
🟢 Favorites vs. Underdogs
Week 13: A perfectly balanced week. SU Favorites won 53.3% of games, and ATS Favorites covered 53.3%. This indicates a very sharp line by the oddsmakers.
Week 12 Comparison: We saw a correction from Week 12, where Favorites won 78.6% SU but struggled to cover (Dogs covered 57.1%). Week 13 suggests the lines have tightened up.
👉 Actionable Intel: The strongest trend in the NFL right now is the Under. With three consecutive weeks of Unders cashing at 60% or higher, offenses are struggling to match the current point totals set by bookmakers.
🏆 Top 3 Roles to Watch (Ranked)
NBA ATS Favorites (3-Day): hitting at 77.3%. (Extremely Hot)
NHL ATS Underdogs (7-Day): hitting at 74.3%. (Consistent Value)
NFL Unders (3-Week Trend): Averaging over 63% winners.
Disclaimer: Past performance is not indicative of future results. Please bet responsibly.
Ron Raymond
Ron Raymond is a veteran sports handicapper and founder of ATSstats.com, creator of the Raymond Report sports betting system. Active in the industry since 1996, Ron has nearly three decades of experience analyzing market cycles, performance indicators, and value metrics across the NFL, NHL, NBA, MLB, and CFL. Ron’s data-driven approach has helped thousands of bettors think strategically, manage risk, and win with confidence.
Ron Raymond is a veteran sports handicapper and founder of ATSstats.com, creator of the Raymond Report sports betting system. Active in the industry since 1996, Ron has nearly three decades of experience analyzing market cycles, performance indicators, and value metrics across the NFL, NHL, NBA, MLB, and CFL. Ron’s data-driven approach has helped thousands of bettors think strategically, manage risk, and win with confidence.