Categories: NBA

๐Ÿ“Š The Spreadsheet: Philadelphia 76ers Analysis

The Philadelphia 76ers, designated with a Market Grade B, are currently operating as a highly volatile, injury-impacted team hovering around the .500 mark. The data suggests an inconsistent squad that struggles at home but has a strong tendency to play Over the total points line. The analysis is significantly shaped by the recent, highly disruptive injury situation involving their two biggest stars, Joel Embiid and Paul George.


1. Overall Team Status

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Metric Detail Analysis
Record 10-9-0 Average. Reflects a team currently underperforming expectations for a roster with championship aspirations (pre-injury).
Market Grade B Mid-to-High Tier. Indicates a good team, but not a top-tier contender like a Grade A team (e.g., the Raptors earlier).
Last 7 Games 3-4 Cooling Off. This losing record over the last seven contests (and 1-2 in the last 3) signals a team struggling to find wins amidst roster instability.
Confidence Index 42% Low Confidence. The market has little faith in their current situation, which is critical considering the prolonged absences of Embiid and George.
Market Sentiment NEUTRAL (25 Days) Indecisive. The market has been waiting for a clear direction for nearly a month, likely due to the ongoing injury chaos.

2. Betting & Situational Trends

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The 76ersโ€™ betting profile is almost the inverse of the Raptorsโ€™ and highlights a clear, high-scoring trend.

Trend Record / Detail Implication
ATS Record 11-8-0 Above Average. They have been slightly better than expected against the spread, especially when considering their key absences. The recent 1 ATS W streak is a small positive.
O/U Record 11-8-0 Strong Over Trend. Their games consistently go Over the total (11 out of 19). This is reinforced by the average scores in their recent losing streak: (PF)111.67 โ€“ (PA)124.67 in the last 3 gamesโ€”high scores for both teams.
Home/Road Splits Home Underdog: 4-6 Struggles at Home. They are losing more than they are winning as a Home Underdog and giving up a significant average of 120.6 points per game (PA).
Home Favorite 1 Win โ€“ 0 Lost (125 PF โ€“ 121 PA) Small Sample, High Scoring. Their only game as a Home Favorite was a high-scoring, close win, also pointing to the Over.

3. Recent Performance & Key Injuries

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The search results reveal the crucial context behind the recent numbers:

  • Injury Crisis: Star C Joel Embiid has been dealing with recurring right knee soreness/injury management, missing a significant number of games. Star F Paul George has also been sidelined with knee and back issues, though both returned briefly for the last game (a double-OT loss to Atlanta). This severely limits the teamโ€™s ceiling.

  • The Tyrese Maxey Effect: The team has leaned heavily on PG Tyrese Maxey (who put up 44 points in the last game). The high-scoring Over trend is largely driven by Maxeyโ€™s ability to push the pace and score in volume, combined with a defense that struggles without Embiidโ€™s rim protection.

  • Recent Slump (Last 3 Games): The Sixers are getting heavily outscored in the last three games: 111.67 PF vs. 124.67 PA (a -13.0 point differential). This aligns with the recent injuries and the definitive loss to the Atlanta Hawks (134-142 in double OT) in the most recent record.

4. Upcoming Game Outlook

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  • Current Game: The data shows they just played the Atlanta Hawks (30 Nov) and lost 134-142. The โ€œCurrent Gameโ€ listing of Atlanta Hawks (-2 / 231) suggests this line was the closing line for that game or a similar imminent rematch.

  • Next Game: Vs. WASHINGTON (Wizards).

    • The Wizards are a low-grade team in the Eastern Conference.

    • The Top Trend of Philadelphia performing well as a small Home Favorite (SU: 10-1-0 when pk to -3.0 Home Favorite) could be relevant if the spread for Washington is small.

    • The Under Trend (1-10-0 for 76ers as Home Team L6Y) directly contradicts the current seasonโ€™s Over Trend (11-8-0), suggesting their recent high-scoring play has broken a long-term pattern. Given the current roster issues and Maxeyโ€™s high usage, the Over remains the stronger current trend.

The overall analysis for the 76ers is that they are unreliable as a straight-up bet due to injury uncertainty and a poor recent stretch, but their games are a strong candidate for the Over due to Maxeyโ€™s offensive output and their compromised defense.

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Ron Raymond
Ron Raymond is a veteran sports handicapper and founder of ATSstats.com, creator of the Raymond Report sports betting system. Active in the industry since 1996, Ron has nearly three decades of experience analyzing market cycles, performance indicators, and value metrics across the NFL, NHL, NBA, MLB, and CFL. Ronโ€™s data-driven approach has helped thousands of bettors think strategically, manage risk, and win with confidence.
Ron Raymond

Ron Raymond is a veteran sports handicapper and founder of ATSstats.com, creator of the Raymond Report sports betting system. Active in the industry since 1996, Ron has nearly three decades of experience analyzing market cycles, performance indicators, and value metrics across the NFL, NHL, NBA, MLB, and CFL. Ronโ€™s data-driven approach has helped thousands of bettors think strategically, manage risk, and win with confidence.

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