The Toronto Raptors are off to a very strong start to the season, boasting one of the best records in the league. Their performance is characterized by an excellent overall record, but a distinct underperformance against the spread, particularly with Over/Under bets.
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| Metric | Detail | Analysis |
| Record | 14-7-0 | Excellent. This record indicates the Raptors are currently a top team in the Eastern Conference. |
| Market Grade | A | High-Grade Team. Confirms their status as a strong contender. |
| Last 7 Games | 5-2 | Strong Recent Form. Despite the last gameβs loss (as seen in the season records), their play over the last week and a half is impressive. |
| Market Sentiment | BULLISH (19 Days) | High Confidence. The market has been positive on the team for nearly three weeks, reflecting sustained strong play and high expectations. |
| Confidence Index | 85% | Very High. This indicates a significant belief in the teamβs ability to meet or exceed expectations. |
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The most striking aspect of the data is the disconnect between their Win-Loss Record (14-7) and their Against The Spread (ATS) Record (8-13-0).
ATS Underperformance: The 8-13-0 ATS record indicates the team is consistently failing to cover the point spread set by oddsmakers, despite winning a high percentage of their games. This suggests the market is overvaluing them or their margin of victory is often smaller than anticipated.
Total Points (O/U): The O/U Record of 8-13-0 with a βCurrent Streaks: 4 Uβ (Under) is another strong indicator. The majority of their games are hitting the Under. This points to:
Strong Defense/Slow Pace: They might be playing a style that keeps total points low.
Offensive Inconsistency: Their offense may not be productive enough to push the score Over the total consistently.
Home/Road Splits:
Home Favorite (2-1): High Point Differential (PF)120.33 β (PA)108.67. They win decisively when favored at home.
Road Underdog (2-1): Positive Point Differential (PF)117.67 β (PA)113.33. They perform well as road underdogs, a sign of resilience.
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The βLast X Gameβ data paints a picture of a team that has been on a dominant run, with a very high winning percentage and impressive average scoring margins, which sharply contrasts the ATS/O/U data:
| Games | Record | Average Point Differential (PF β PA) |
| Last 10 | 9 Win β 1 Lost | +9.8 (118.2 PF β 108.4 PA) |
| Last 7 | 6 Win β 1 Lost | +8.14 (115.43 PF β 107.29 PA) |
| Last 5 | 4 Win β 1 Lost | +9.2 (115.4 PF β 106.2 PA) |
| Last 3 | 2 Win β 1 Lost | +2.0 (106 PF β 104 PA) |
The significant drop-off in scoring volume and point differential in the Last 3 games (from +9.8 over 10 games to +2.0 over 3 games) is noteworthy. The last recorded game shows a decisive loss to the Knicks (94-116), confirming a recent cooling-off period from their hot streak.
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The Raptorsβ next game is against the Portland Trail Blazers (Next Game: Vs. PORTLAND).
Their current game is against the New York Knicks (Current Game: New York Knicks (7 / 230)). The season record shows they just lost to the Knicks, 94-116, suggesting the current game data is likely a forward-looking prediction or a repeat matchup.
The 4 U streak (4 consecutive games have gone Under the total) is a crucial factor for the next game.
The overall trend of the Raptors playing in games that hit the Under (13 times out of 21) is a strong signal for the total in the upcoming Portland game.
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The Toronto Raptors are a championship-contending team based on their straight-up win-loss record, market grade, and high confidence index.
However, from a betting perspective, they are a cautionary tale:
They are consistently Overvalued by Oddsmakers, leading to a losing record against the spread (8-13-0 ATS).
Their games are trending heavily toward the Under, suggesting a defensive-minded or lower-scoring style of play (8-13-0 O/U, 4-game Under streak).
The performance dip in the last 3 games, and the loss to the Knicks, indicates a need to closely monitor their form moving forward.
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