When any MLB team plays at home vs. a B-Grade opponent, the results this season have leaned toward the expected β but with a few surprise patterns savvy bettors can bank on.
π SU Record: 198-130 (60.4%)
π O/U Record: 153-161-14 (UNDERs cashing 51.3%)
This situational trend tells us home teams are handling business, but the total is showing a slight lean toward the UNDER β a stat not to be ignored as early-season fatigue sets in.
π₯ Spotlight on the Texas Rangers
π When: Home vs. B-Grade Teams
β
Straight Up: 10-3
βοΈ O/U: 1-12 (yes, 12 UNDERS!)
The Rangers have quietly become one of the sharpest fades on totals in these matchups. With an average game total of 8.46, the combined score sits at just 5.76 β nearly 3 runs under. Bettors hammering the UNDER have made a killing.
ποΈ Texas has also delivered the goods SU, covering 10 of their 13 games in this role. A rare team that’s winning and driving totals UNDER. Thatβs called a value window.
π Other Team Notes:
- New York Yankees: 8-4 SU, 7-5 O/U β Home favorites getting it done
- Boston Red Sox: 6-4 SU, but 4-5-1 O/U β Not the same UNDER edge as Texas
- Toronto Blue Jays: 8-5 SU, 7-6 O/U β Steady SU with mild OVER lean
- Baltimore Orioles: 5-6 SU, 9-2 O/U β The OVER team of this group
- Chicago White Sox: 4-8 SU, 5-5-2 O/U β Fade material with inconsistency
π§ Raymond Report Tip:
Use the Value Index, team grades, and current cycle indicators to find soft lines. When B-Grade teams visit, donβt just look at SU β examine the psychology of the total. Texas shows us how valuable that angle can be.
π If the market posts a high number, but both teams are low run-producers in current cycles, the UNDER is your friend.
π² Grab the full situational breakdowns every day at ATS STATS and follow the law of averages β not the crowd.
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