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BAL@NYY

Posted By: ATS Staff Writer April 8, 2014

Baltimore Orioles
Baltimore Orioles 
O/U :8.54.06		 Vs.Date: 2014-04-08
Time: 12:05:00Generated from 61 Previous Games		 New York Yankees
New York Yankees
SIDE :-1304.87 = 8.93

 

Capper’s Corner brings you the Tuesday early bird game, so let’s get started!

PITCHING

  • Chen has 21 at bats vs NYY batters that were UNDER a .300 avg
  • Chen has 25 at bats vs NYY batters that were OVER a .300 avg
    (45% at bats under .300)
  • Nova has 80 at bats vs BAL batters that were UNDER a .300 avg
  • Nova has 103 at bats vs BAL batters that were OVER a .300 avg
    (43% at bats under .300)

The ‘versus’ stats seem very consistent and we don’t see a real historical advantage one way or the other. This would indicate that the more relevant information would be better found in their real-time stats.

  • Chen started his pre-season with a 6.39ERA across 12.2IP.
  • Chen has remained consistent with a 6.35ERA across 5.2IP in his season opener.
  • Chen is 2-3 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 5.01 and a WHIP of 1.307
  • Nova started his pre-season with a 3.66ERA across 19.2IP.
  • Nova has remained consistent with a 3.18ERA across 5.2IP in his season opener.
  • Nova is 5-2 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 4.56 and a WHIP of 1.260

 

BATTING

  • Baltimore had a ‘better than average’ Spring Training, ranking 10th with a .278 average.
  • Baltimore has slipped to 21st in their first 7 Regular Season games with a .231 average.
  • New York was 24th in Spring Training with a .250 average.
  • New York has improved to 10th place so far in the regular season with a .256 average.

 

 

ATSSTATS

 

 

 

RAYMOND REPORT
RAYMOND REPORT FOR MLB

Game Date – 2014-04-08
Road Team :- (3415) BALTIMORE
Home Team :- (3416 )NY YANKEES

 

BALTIMORETeam Name: BALTIMORE(Road Team)
Money Line: BALTIMORE +123 vs NY YANKEES -133
Spread Line: BALTIMORE +1.5 -165 —– NY YANKEES -1.5 +145
O/U: BALTIMORE 8.5 -125 —– NY YANKEES 8.5 +105
Pitchers: BALTIMORE – W Y Chen (L) vs NY YANKEES – I Nova (R)
Game Date: Tuesday,April 08 2014 12:05 PM
Last Game: lost 2 – 4 vs New York Yankees
Current Game: New York Yankees
Next Game: At NY YANKEES
Stats & Trends: BALTIMORE vs. NY YANKEES
PVI Rating on Winning: 28.57%
PVI Rating on game going UNDER: 71.43%
Road Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 60.82%
Streaks: 1 SU Lost – 2 Under
Road Teams % of winning this game: 44%
Road Teams % of this game going UNDER: 60%
Road Teams Predicted Runs For: 3.16
Road Teams Predicted Runs Against: 4.87
Road Team
(BALTIMORE)		 When BALTIMORE is a Road Team When Any MLB Team is a Road Team Differential % When BALTIMORE is a Road Team,the O/U When Any MLB Team is a Road Team,the O/U Differential % on game going UNDER
Situations Current Season Current Season Differential % Current Season Current Season Differential %
SU SU O/U/P O/U/P
Total is 8.5 0-1 11-9 27.5 1-0-0 10-10-0 25
vs Division opponent 0-1 33-28 27.05 0-1-0 30-28-3 74.14
vs Conference opponent 1-2 12-19 36.02 2-1-0 12-17-2 45.98
Playing in the month of April 1-3 45-46 37.23 2-2-0 39-48-4 52.59
Playing on Tuesday (since 1996) 89-120 4-5 43.51 115-84-10 2-6-1 58.61
Played as road Underdog 1-3 34-38 36.11 2-2-0 33-36-3 51.09
After a Division Game 0-1 27-25 25.96 1-0-0 26-23-3 23.47
After a Conference Game 1-2 12-17 37.36 2-1-0 11-16-2 46.3
vs AL EAST Division Opponent 0-1 10-9 26.32 0-1-0 7-12-0 81.58
vs AL Conference Opponent 1-3 23-28 35.05 2-2-0 23-27-1 52
Coming off vs AL EAST Division Opponent 0-1 8-7 26.67 1-0-0 5-10-0 33.34
Coming off vs American Conference Opponent 1-3 20-24 35.23 2-2-0 18-26-0 54.55
Coming off 2 under (since 1996) 81-90 8-5 54.46 68-91-12 4-9-0 63.23
Coming off a lost 1-2 33-29 43.28 2-1-0 25-32-5 44.74
Coming off a Road Lost as a Underdog 0-1 10-12 22.73 1-0-0 7-12-3 31.58
During a day game 1-3 29-27 38.4 2-2-0 27-28-1 50.46
Coming off a 4 road trip (since 1996) 9-10 1-0 73.69 11-7-1 0-1-0 69.45
Coming off a 2 runs loss (since 1996) 59-69 3-2 53.05 66-55-7 1-4-0 62.73
Coming off a score 2 runs FOR in last game (since 1996) 63-104 6-8 40.29 86-69-12 7-6-1 45.34
Coming off a score 4 runs AGAINST in last game 0-1 6-3 33.34 1-0-0 5-4-0 22.22
vs. opponent with a 51% to 60% winning % (since 1996) 222-354 1-4 29.27 272-280-24 3-2-0 45.36
vs NY YANKEES (since 1996) 52-97 0-1 17.45 65-73-11 0-1-0 76.45
Coming off a Lost over AL EAST division opponent 0-1 4-2 33.34 1-0-0 3-3-0 25
Coming off a day game 1-2 20-26 38.41 1-2-0 21-23-2 59.47
Coming off a game 1 of a series 0-1 13-17 21.67 1-0-0 11-16-3 29.63
Coming off a lost in game 1 of a series 0-1 6-12 16.67 1-0-0 6-9-3 30
Last 30 days 1-3 53-54 37.27 2-2-0 47-55-5 51.96
Last 45 days 1-3 53-54 37.27 2-2-0 47-55-5 51.96
Last 60 days 1-3 53-54 37.27 2-2-0 47-55-5 51.96
Last 90 days 1-3 53-54 37.27 2-2-0 47-55-5 51.96
Vs. Right handed pitchers 1-3 37-41 36.22 2-2-0 37-37-4 50
Coming off vs. Right handed pitcher 1-3 37-30 40.11 2-2-0 30-34-3 51.57
Coming off lost vs. Right handed pitcher 1-1 16-16 50 1-1-0 12-17-3 54.31
TEAM: BALTIMORE
Offensive Stats Defensive Stats
All Games Avg 3.14 4.71
Home Games Avg 2.33 3.67
Road Games Avg 3.75 5.5
Last 3 Games Avg 3.67 4
Last 5 Games Avg 3.6 5.2
Last 10 Games Avg N/A N/A
vs. Division Games Avg 2.25 3.75
vs. Conference Games Avg 3.14 4.71
vs. Non Conference Games Avg N/A N/A
vs. Top Ranked Games Avg 4.33 6
vs. Middle Ranked Games Avg 2.25 3.75
vs. Bottom Ranked Games Avg N/A N/A
After a Win Games Avg 2 5
After a Lost Games Avg 4 5.5
After a SU Road Win Games Avg 2 4
After a SU Road Lost Games Avg 4.5 4
After a SU Home Win Games Avg 2 6
After a SU Home Lost Games Avg 3.5 7
After an Over Games Avg 4.5 4
After an Under Games Avg 2.75 6
After a Push Games Avg N/A N/A
3.16 4.87
NY YANKEESTeam Name: NY YANKEES(Home Team)
Money Line: NY YANKEES -133 vs BALTIMORE +123
Spread Line: NY YANKEES -1.5 +145 —– BALTIMORE +1.5 -165
O/U: NY YANKEES 8.5 +105 —– BALTIMORE 8.5 -125
Pitchers: NY YANKEES – I Nova (R) vs BALTIMORE – W Y Chen (L)
Game Date: Tuesday,April 08 2014 12:05 PM
Last Game: win 2 – 4 vs Baltimore Orioles
Current Game: Baltimore Orioles
Next Game: Vs. BALTIMORE
Stats & Trends: NY YANKEES vs. BALTIMORE
PVI Rating on Winning: 57.14%
PVI Rating on game going UNDER: 71.43%
Road Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 40.82%
Streaks: 2 SU Win – 1 Under
Home Teams % of winning this game: 55%
Home Teams % of this game going UNDER: 55%
Home Teams Predicted Runs For: 3.61
Home Teams Predicted Runs Against: 3.11
Home Team
(NY YANKEES)		 When NY YANKEES is a Home Team When Any MLB Team is a Home Team Differential % When NY YANKEES is a Home Team,the O/U When Any MLB Team is a Home Team,the O/U Differential % on game going UNDER
Situations Current Season Current Season Differential % Current Season Current Season Differential %
SU SU O/U/P O/U/P
Total is 8.5 (since 1996) 94-60 9-11 53.02 84-70-0 10-10-0 47.73
vs Division opponent 1-0 26-35 71.31 0-1-0 30-28-3 74.14
vs Conference opponent (since 1996) 440-245 16-15 57.92 327-332-26 12-17-2 54.5
Playing in the month of April 1-0 40-51 71.98 0-1-0 39-48-4 77.59
Playing on Tuesday (since 1996) 144-74 4-5 55.25 101-107-10 2-6-1 63.22
Played as home Favorite 1-0 33-39 72.92 0-1-0 33-36-3 76.09
After a Division Game 1-0 22-34 69.65 0-1-0 26-27-3 75.47
After a Conference Game (since 1996) 449-248 14-15 56.35 328-342-27 11-16-2 55.15
vs AL EAST Division Opponent 1-0 10-8 77.78 0-1-0 6-12-0 83.34
vs AL Conference Opponent 1-0 25-27 74.04 0-1-0 24-27-1 76.47
Coming off vs AL EAST Division Opponent 1-0 6-10 68.75 0-1-0 6-10-0 81.25
Coming off vs American Conference Opponent 1-0 18-26 70.46 0-1-0 21-23-0 76.14
Coming off a 2 winning streak (since 1996) 130-90 2-14 35.8 104-109-7 6-10-0 56.84
Coming off 1 under (since 1996) 242-129 11-14 54.62 167-190-14 8-16-1 59.95
Coming off a win 1-0 16-27 68.61 0-1-0 16-24-3 80
Coming off a Home Win as a Favorite (since 1996) 459-249 10-14 53.25 299-374-35 8-13-3 58.74
During a day game 1-0 25-31 72.32 0-1-0 27-28-1 75.46
Coming off a 2 runs win 1-0 4-3 78.57 0-1-0 2-5-0 85.72
Coming off a score 4 runs FOR in last game (since 1996) 114-66 3-6 48.33 92-83-5 4-5-0 51.5
Coming off a score 2 runs AGAINST in last game (since 1996) 135-72 7-9 54.49 92-106-9 7-8-1 53.44
vs. opponent with a 21% to 30% winning % (since 1996) 18-10 3-2 62.15 14-13-1 3-2-0 44.08
vs BALTIMORE (since 1996) 96-53 3-1 69.72 65-73-11 2-2-0 51.45
Coming off a Win over AL EAST division opponent 1-0 4-6 70 0-1-0 3-7-0 85
Coming off a game that went under 1-0 12-13 74 0-1-0 10-12-3 77.28
Coming off a day game 1-0 22-24 73.92 0-1-0 22-22-2 75
Coming off a game 1 of a series (since 1996) 275-183 15-15 55.02 203-243-12 11-16-3 56.87
Coming off a win in game 1 of a series (since 1996) 165-107 11-7 60.89 107-154-11 6-9-3 59.5
Last 30 days 1-0 48-59 72.43 0-1-0 47-55-5 76.96
Last 45 days 1-0 48-59 72.43 0-1-0 47-55-5 76.96
Last 60 days 1-0 48-59 72.43 0-1-0 47-55-5 76.96
Last 90 days 1-0 48-59 72.43 0-1-0 47-55-5 76.96
Vs. Left handed pitchers (since 1996) 276-144 14-18 54.73 204-194-22 13-18-1 53.4
Coming off vs. Right handed pitcher 1-0 27-37 71.1 0-1-0 26-35-3 78.69
Coming off win vs. Right handed pitcher 1-0 11-19 68.34 0-1-0 13-15-2 76.79
TEAM: NY YANKEES
Offensive Stats Defensive Stats
All Games Avg 3.43 3.43
Home Games Avg 4 2
Road Games Avg 3.33 3.67
Last 3 Games Avg 3.33 3.33
Last 5 Games Avg 4.2 3
Last 10 Games Avg N/A N/A
vs. Division Games Avg 4.25 3.25
vs. Conference Games Avg 3.43 3.43
vs. Non Conference Games Avg N/A N/A
vs. Top Ranked Games Avg N/A N/A
vs. Middle Ranked Games Avg N/A N/A
vs. Bottom Ranked Games Avg 3.43 3.43
After a Win Games Avg 3.67 3
After a Lost Games Avg 3.67 3
After a SU Road Win Games Avg 3.67 3
After a SU Road Lost Games Avg 3.67 3
After a SU Home Win Games Avg N/A N/A
After a SU Home Lost Games Avg N/A N/A
After an Over Games Avg 2 3
After an Under Games Avg 4.5 3
After a Push Games Avg N/A N/A
3.61 3.11

 

As close as most of this season’s stats appear between these two teams, ‘The Raymond Report’ really exposes the differences between these two clubs.

All signs seem to indicate that NYY have an edge here that more than justifies the ML.
With NYY priced at -123, this will be one of the few times where betting on NYY in a home game will make sense in this 2014 MLB season.

 

 

Afternoon’s Prediction: NEW YORK to win 5-4.

 

 

 

 

 

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