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Baltimore Orioles (Norris) vs. Milwaukee Brewers (Gallardo) – Preview May 28th, 2014


Baltimore Orioles
Baltimore Orioles 
O/U :7.5



Date: 2014-05-28
Time: 19:10:00

Generated from 50 Previous Games

Milwaukee Brewers
Milwaukee Brewers
SIDE :-120

4.69 = 9.04


Short and sweet.

We like this contest to go OVER the total for the following reasons:

When BALTIMORE played as Road Underdog- Vs NL Central Division O/U: 9-1-0
When BALTIMORE team Played as Road team as a Underdog – 3rd game of a series – Last 3 years – Coming off a 1 game loss – Coming off a lost in game 2 of a series O/U: 11-2-1
When MILWAUKEE team played as a -120 to -140 home Favorite – Last 3 years – During the month of May O/U: 11-2-1
When BALTIMORE team played as a road team – Vs NL Conference – 3rd game of a series O/U: 30-18-0
When MILWAUKEE Played as a Favorite – During Last 3 Years – With 2 Over O/U: 25 – 15 – 0


In addition to that:

  • The Orioles have gone 8-1 over the total L9G.
  • The Brewers have gone 6-2-1 over the total L9G

Combined, with the hot bats, bad pens and cool starters, they are 14-3-1 OVER the total.

  • They are averaging a combined (5.7RF) L7G
  • They are averaging (5.15RA) L7G
  • 2 of 2 games this season have gone OVER the total when these teams faced each other.

Considering the total for tonight is a skimpy 7.5 runs, there are many instances where they achieve that by the 5th inning but only a minute few where 9 innings wouldn’t see 7.5 runs.

  • Norris is 4.45ERA all season and 3.86 L3G.
  • Gallardo is 2.90ERA all season but 6.46 L3G.
  • The ATS Forecast has these guys to a +9 run total.

The only thing missing is an umpire with a small SZ. That said, Jeff Kellogg is 4-5 on the total this year and 54% to the over last season, so he shouldn’t be a factor either way.



Tonight’s Prediction: BAL@MIL to go OVER the total of 7.5.






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