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Generated from 72 Previous Games
4.04 = 7.45
Pick: Cincinnati Reds -111
Cincinnati is 16-6 vs Milwaukee Last 3 season.
Increasing action on Cincinnati is encouraging.
Being July 4th, it stands to reason that all home teams will have a boosted home field advantage.
This pick is basically about trusting the ATS Matchups and the ATS Forecast in combination with a favourable market position; but at the end of the day, there aren’t a whole lot of stats that prove that Cincinnati should be especially dominant today.
Kyle Lohse has allowed 18 hits L3G, Alfredo Simon has allowed 13 hits L3G, but after we handicap their opponents, they’ve been showing about equally of late.
Stats to SUPPORT Cincinnati:
|When A SIMON ‘s Team played as Home or Away Team- With Total between 7.5 and 8.0||8-2-1|
|When CINCINNATI played as Home or Away Team- in the month of July||24-16-0|
|When CINCINNATI played as Home Favourite- Vs MILWAUKEE||14-6-0|
|When ANY MLB Team played as a -120 to -140 Home Favorite – Vs Conference Opponent – During the month of July – Vs. Right handed pitchers – Coming off vs. Right handed pitcher – Coming off a day game||49-30-0|
|When MILWAUKEE played as Underdog- Vs CINCINNATI||16-34-0|
|When MILWAUKEE played as Road Underdog- in the month of July||5-10-0|
|When MILWAUKEE team Played as road team as a Underdog – Playing on Friday – During the month of July||8-21-0|
|When MILWAUKEE Played as a Underdog – During Last 3 Years – Lost Last Game by 3 Runs||4 – 9 – 0|
Stats to THREATEN Cincinnati:
|When MILWAUKEE played as Underdog- With a spread between 100 and 120||15-10-0|
|When MILWAUKEE Played as a Underdog – During Current Season – With SU Record of 4 Win 3 Lost in L7G||9 – 5 – 0|
|When CINCINNATI team played as a -120 to -140 Home Favorite – After a conference game – During a night game – Coming off a Loss vs. NL WEST opponent – Allowed 3 runs or more AGAINST in their last game||6-13-0|