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Philadelphia Phillies
O/U :8

2.59

Vs.

Date: 2014-07-10
Time: 13:10:00

Generated from 15 Previous Games

Milwaukee Brewers
SIDE :-210

8 = 10.59

Pick: Milwaukee Brewers -210 (1/2 unit)

Buchanan is pitching 6.16 ERA vs RH hitters and will have to contend against the likes of Lucroy, Gomez, Braun, Ramirez, Davis, Maldonado, Weeks, and Reynolds.

This is a worst case scenario for the Phillies as there is arguably no other lineup that Buchanan would rather not pitch to.

This is our chief consideration so much of the positional considerations don’t have as much impact as they otherwise might.

RAYMOND REPORT

Team Name: PHILADELPHIA(Road Team)

Money Line: PHILADELPHIA +185 vs MILWAUKEE -205

Spread Line: PHILADELPHIA +1.5 -115 —– MILWAUKEE -1.5 -105

O/U: PHILADELPHIA 8.5 -105 —– MILWAUKEE 8.5 -115

Pitchers: PHILADELPHIA – D Buchanan (R) vs MILWAUKEE – M Garza (R)

Game Date: Thursday,July 10 2014 1:10 PM

Last Game: win 4 – 1 vs Milwaukee Brewers

Current Game: Milwaukee Brewers

Next Game: Vs. WASHINGTON

Stats & Trends: PHILADELPHIA vs. MILWAUKEE

PVI Rating on Winning: 43.96%

PVI Rating on game going UNDER: 47.62%

Road Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 30.62%

Streaks: 3 SU Win – 1 Under

Road Teams % of winning this game: 46%

Road Teams % of this game going UNDER: 51%

Road Teams Predicted Runs For: 3.67

Road Teams Predicted Runs Against: 4.22

Road Team (PHILADELPHIA)	When PHILADELPHIA is a Road Team	When Any MLB Team is a Road Team	Differential %	When PHILADELPHIA is a Road Team,the O/U	When Any MLB Team is a Road Team,the O/U	Differential % on game going UNDER
Situations	Current Season	Current Season	Differential %	Current Season	Current Season	Differential %
	SU	SU		O/U/P	O/U/P
Total is 8.5	2-1	103-116	56.85	1-2-0	99-120-0	60.73
vs Non-Division opponent	15-16	399-515	46.02	14-14-3	380-470-64	52.65
vs Conference opponent	14-12	277-340	49.37	11-12-3	250-318-49	54.08
Playing in the month of July	4-5	54-86	41.51	5-4-0	61-68-11	48.58
Playing on Thursday	3-3	71-89	47.19	3-2-1	72-81-7	46.47
Played as road Underdog	20-21	431-613	45.03	21-17-3	449-522-73	49.25
After a Non-Division Game	15-14	399-509	47.83	12-14-3	367-476-65	55.16
After a Conference Game	13-12	290-358	48.38	11-11-3	265-334-49	52.88
vs NL EAST Division Opponent	7-8	109-161	43.52	9-5-1	106-130-34	45.4
vs NL Conference Opponent	21-20	359-440	48.08	20-17-4	342-388-69	49.55
Coming off vs NL CENTRAL Division Opponent	7-7	129-164	47.02	6-7-1	125-149-19	54.12
Coming off vs National Conference Opponent	19-20	339-433	46.32	20-15-4	332-378-62	48.05
Coming off a 3 winning streak	1-2	36-44	39.17	2-1-0	41-34-5	39.33
Coming off 1 under	8-4	161-212	54.92	10-2-0	148-195-30	36.76
Coming off a win	12-10	291-340	50.34	11-9-2	306-283-42	46.53
Coming off a Road Win as a Underdog	10-8	153-192	49.96	8-8-2	169-153-23	48.76
During a day game	6-10	227-274	41.41	7-7-2	204-264-33	53.21
Coming off a 9 road trip	1-0	6-15	64.29	0-1-0	7-13-1	82.5
Coming off a 3 runs win	2-0	49-44	76.35	1-1-0	46-42-5	48.87
Coming off a score 4 runs FOR in last game	2-2	93-98	49.35	1-3-0	86-96-9	63.88
Coming off a score 1 runs AGAINST in last game	2-1	63-77	55.84	0-3-0	66-65-9	74.81
vs. opponent with a 51% to 60% winning %	12-8	238-290	52.54	9-9-2	233-252-43	50.98
vs MILWAUKEE (since 1996)	32-30	21-24	49.14	27-32-3	20-23-2	53.87
Coming off a Win over NL CENTRAL division opponent	5-3	55-70	53.25	4-4-0	60-60-5	50
Coming off a game that went under	7-9	157-181	45.1	5-10-1	157-155-26	58.18
Coming off a night game	14-17	418-534	44.54	15-14-2	405-474-73	51.1
Coming off a series win	3-2	52-61	53.01	2-1-2	59-46-8	38.57
Wins 1st three games of a series (since 1996)	2-9	1-3	21.59	4-7-0	2-2-0	56.82
Last 30 days	9-7	198-254	50.03	7-8-1	181-237-34	55.02
Last 45 days	10-12	301-369	45.19	10-11-1	287-338-45	53.23
Last 60 days	11-15	397-490	43.54	13-11-2	375-447-65	50.11
Last 90 days	19-21	586-753	45.63	21-15-4	566-673-100	48
Vs. Right handed pitchers	17-19	468-616	45.2	19-14-3	463-547-74	48.29
Coming off vs. Right handed pitcher	11-17	487-603	41.99	12-13-3	452-560-78	53.67
Coming off win vs. Right handed pitcher	9-6	212-241	53.4	7-6-2	208-217-28	48.61

Team Name: MILWAUKEE(Home Team)

Money Line: MILWAUKEE -205 vs PHILADELPHIA +185

Spread Line: MILWAUKEE -1.5 -105 —– PHILADELPHIA +1.5 -115

O/U: MILWAUKEE 8.5 -115 —– PHILADELPHIA 8.5 -105

Pitchers: MILWAUKEE – M Garza (R) vs PHILADELPHIA – D Buchanan (R)

Game Date: Thursday,July 10 2014 1:10 PM

Last Game: lost 4 – 1 vs Philadelphia Phillies

Current Game: Philadelphia Phillies

Next Game: Vs. ST LOUIS

Stats & Trends: MILWAUKEE vs. PHILADELPHIA

PVI Rating on Winning: 56.52%

PVI Rating on game going UNDER: 47.13%

Road Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 63.26%

Streaks: 4 SU Lost – 1 Under

Home Teams % of winning this game: 49%

Home Teams % of this game going UNDER: 49%

Home Teams Predicted Runs For: 4.07

Home Teams Predicted Runs Against: 4.24

Home Team (MILWAUKEE)	When MILWAUKEE is a Home Team	When Any MLB Team is a Home Team	Differential %	When MILWAUKEE is a Home Team,the O/U	When Any MLB Team is a Home Team,the O/U	Differential % on game going UNDER
Situations	Current Season	Current Season	Differential %	Current Season	Current Season	Differential %
	SU	SU		O/U/P	O/U/P
Total is 8.5	4-4	104-115	48.75	2-6-0	99-120-0	64.9
vs Non-Division opponent	13-14	435-479	47.87	14-12-1	380-470-64	50.72
vs Conference opponent	8-11	299-318	45.29	7-12-0	250-318-49	59.58
Playing in the month of July	0-3	74-66	26.43	1-2-0	61-68-11	59.69
Playing on Thursday	2-0	77-83	74.07	1-1-0	72-81-7	51.47
Played as home Favorite	21-20	523-489	51.45	18-21-2	449-492-71	53.07
After a Non-Division Game	13-14	423-474	47.66	15-11-1	376-460-61	48.67
After a Conference Game	8-13	320-325	43.86	9-11-1	263-334-48	55.48
vs NL EAST Division Opponent	2-7	120-140	34.19	2-7-0	105-122-33	65.76
vs NL Conference Opponent	19-18	387-409	49.99	13-23-1	324-402-70	59.63
Coming off vs NL EAST Division Opponent	3-7	126-141	38.6	5-5-0	119-121-27	50.21
Coming off vs National Conference Opponent	17-20	387-414	47.13	14-22-1	329-401-71	58.02
Coming off a 4 losing streak (since 1996)	20-22	19-7	60.35	22-16-4	10-9-7	44.74
Coming off 1 under	5-4	178-219	50.2	4-5-0	162-208-27	55.89
Coming off a lost	10-8	391-440	51.31	7-11-0	363-411-57	57.11
Coming off a Home Lost as a Favorite	7-7	197-210	49.2	5-9-0	184-204-19	58.44
During a day game	8-7	245-256	51.12	8-7-0	204-264-33	51.54
Coming off a 3 home stand (since 1996)	7-2	4-2	72.23	3-5-1	2-4-0	64.59
Coming off a 3 runs loss	1-2	41-50	39.19	0-3-0	41-42-8	75.3
Coming off a score 1 runs FOR in last game	3-0	73-66	76.26	0-3-0	59-71-9	77.31
Coming off a score 4 runs AGAINST in last game	5-3	88-100	54.66	4-4-0	83-93-12	51.42
vs. opponent with a 41% to 50% winning %	9-10	302-314	48.2	7-10-2	267-302-47	55.95
vs PHILADELPHIA (since 1996)	30-32	24-22	50.28	27-32-3	23-19-4	49.74
Coming off a Lost over NL EAST division opponent	1-4	70-94	31.34	2-3-0	64-83-17	58.23
Coming off a game that went under	4-4	152-186	47.49	5-3-0	156-161-21	44.15
Coming off a night game	16-14	465-526	50.13	13-17-0	433-488-70	54.83
Coming off a series loss	2-2	138-158	48.31	3-1-0	132-135-29	37.78
Lost 1st three games of a series (since 1996)	5-5	3-1	62.5	4-6-0	2-2-0	55
Last 30 days	5-8	217-235	43.24	7-6-0	181-237-34	51.43
Last 45 days	10-11	319-351	47.62	14-6-1	287-338-45	42.04
Last 60 days	13-12	424-463	49.9	15-8-2	375-447-65	44.58
Last 90 days	23-19	638-701	51.21	20-20-2	566-673-100	52.16
Vs. Right handed pitchers	16-16	515-590	48.31	14-16-2	484-546-75	53.17
Coming off vs. Right handed pitcher	21-19	491-584	49.09	18-20-2	447-558-70	54.08
Coming off lost vs. Right handed pitcher	8-5	275-339	53.17	6-7-0	254-318-42	54.72

ATS MATCHUPS

Stats to SUPPORT the Milwaukee pick:

When GARZA MATT ‘s Team played as Home Favourite- With Total between 8.5 and 9.0	7-3-0




When GARZA MATT ‘s Team played as Home Team- With a spread between 200 and 220	7-3-0
When MILWAUKEE played as Home Favourite- With a spread between 200 and 220	9-1-0

When MILWAUKEE team Played as Home team as a Favorite – During a day game – Total is between 8.5 to 9.0 – Coming off vs. Right handed pitcher – Allowed 4 runs AGAINST in their last game	12-7-0
When MILWAUKEE team Played as Home team as a Favorite – Vs. Right handed pitchers – During a day game – Coming off a Home loss as a Favorite – Allowed 4 runs or less AGAINST in their last game	9-5-0

When MILWAUKEE team played as a Home team – Vs Conference Opponent – During a day game – Coming off a lost in game 3 of a series – Coming off a Loss vs. NL EAST opponent	6-4-0
When MILWAUKEE team Played as Home team as a Favorite – Vs Conference Opponent – During a day game – Coming off a lost in game 3 of a series – Coming off a Home loss	9-3-0

When MILWAUKEE team played as a Home team – Vs. Right handed pitchers – Vs Non Division Opponent – Coming off 1 under – Allowed 4 runs or less AGAINST in their last game	61-35-0
When MILWAUKEE team played as a Home team – Vs Conference Opponent – During a day game – Coming off 1 under – Scored 1 or more runs FOR in their last game	24-14-0

When MILWAUKEE team Played as home team as a Favorite – 4th game of a series – Vs. Right handed pitchers

20-9-0

When ANY MLB Team Played as Home team as a Favorite – During a day game – Total is between 8.5 to 9.0 – Coming off a 3 Game Home Stand – Coming off a Home loss	13-8-0
When ANY MLB Team played as a -200 to -220 Home Favorite – After a conference game – Coming off a Loss vs. NL EAST opponent – Coming off a lost in game 3 of a series – Coming off lost vs. Right handed pitcher	15-5-0





When ANY MLB Team Played as Home team as a Favorite – Vs NL Conference – Vs. Right handed pitchers – 4th game of a series – Coming off lost vs. Right handed pitcher – Allowed 4 runs or less AGAINST in their last game – Coming off a series loss	16-9-0

When MILWAUKEE Played as home team as a Favorite – During Last 4 Years – With 1 Under or More

81 – 52 – 0

When PHILADELPHIA played as Home or Away Team- in the month of July	5-10-0


When PHILADELPHIA played as Home or Away Team- With a spread between 180 and 200	5-15-0
When PHILADELPHIA played as Road Underdog- With a spread between 180 and 200	8-37-0

When PHILADELPHIA played as Underdog- With Total between 8.5 and 9.0	13-32-0

When PHILADELPHIA team Played as Road team as a Underdog – Vs. Right handed pitchers – Vs Non Division Opponent – Coming off 1 under – Coming off a Road win as a Underdog

4-10-0

When PHILADELPHIA team Played as road team as a Underdog – During the month of July – Last 3 years	10-19-0







When PHILADELPHIA team played as a 180 to 200 road Underdog – Total is between 8.5 to 9.0 – Vs. Right handed pitchers	2-9-0





When PHILADELPHIA team played as a 180 to 200 road Underdog – During a day game – Vs. Right handed pitchers	3-8-0



When PHILADELPHIA team played as a 180 to 200 road Underdog – Vs NL Conference – Vs. Right handed pitchers	5-19-0

When ANY MLB Team played as a 180 to 200 Road Underdog – Vs Conference Opponent – Vs. Right handed pitchers – Coming off a Road win as a Underdog – Coming off a Win vs. NL CENTRAL opponent	4-11-0



When ANY MLB Team played as a 180 to 200 Road Underdog – Vs Conference Opponent – Vs Non Division Opponent – Playing on Thursday – Coming off a Road win – Coming off a night game	9-17-0


When ANY MLB Team played as a Road team – After a conference game – Last 3 years – Coming off a 3 run win – Coming off a series win	7-13-0
When ANY MLB Team played as a 180 to 200 Road Underdog – Vs NL Conference – During a day game – Vs Conference Opponent – Coming off a Win vs. NL CENTRAL opponent	3-15-0