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Pick: Atlanta Braves ML +103 (1u)
Something is gonna give. Sooner or later, something has got to pop.
Atlanta has won 5 straight games.
Pittsburgh has lost 7 straight games.
Something has gotta give here!
While positive progression systems have everyone betting the Pirates to FINALLY win, and while positive progression systems bettors have the Braves to FINALLY lose, we recognize the value that this brings to Atlanta.
Atlanta is paying dog odds with superior statistics! Usually this is a matter of a money-line being “Too Good To Be True,” but in this case, due to the extreme amount of consecutive wins-losses, we can account for that value and go ahead and pull the trigger on the dog money, hopefully to good effect.
5.7 RPG L7G.
3.1 RA L7G.
3.7 vs RH Starters.
3.16 ERA in the pen all season.
Wood is 3.07 ERA all season.
Wood is 2.92 ERA on the road.
Wood is 1.86 L3G.
3.4 RPG L7G.
6.6 RA L7G.
3.8 RPG vs LH Starters
3.55 ERA in the pen all season.
Cole is 3.78 ERA all season.
Cole is 3.56 ERA at home.
Cole is 3.68 ERA L3G.
So rarely do we get to see a team with clearly better stats and still have it priced at dog odds.
Tonight is one of the rare times when we get a chance to cash in on this kind of value and we fully intend to.
Pittsburgh has the majority of strong stats, but at the end of the day, Atlanta is definitely not without some promise as well.
Stats to SUPPORT Atlanta:
|When ATLANTA played as Home or Away Team- Vs NL Central Division||14-6-5|
|When PITTSBURGH team Played as Home team as a Favorite – 3rd game of a series – Vs Non Division Opponent – Coming off a Loss vs. NL EAST opponent – Coming off a Home loss||4-9-0|
|When ATLANTA team played as a 100 to 120 road Underdog – During the month of August – Vs NL CENTRAL opponent||4-8-0|
|When PITTSBURGH played as any home/road team – During Last 5 Years – With 3 Over or More – Lost Last Game by 8 Runs or Less – With SU Record of 0 Win 3 Lost in L3G||3 – 7 – 0|
Stats to THREATEN Pittsburgh:
|When PITTSBURGH Played as a Favorite – During Last 2 Years – With SU Record of 0 Win 3 Lost in L3G||12 – 7 – 0|
ATS RAYMOND REPORT